Adidas Boosts Profit Forecast and Guidance, Shares Soar

Adidas soared to a two-year high after exceeding first-quarter expectations, prompting an 8% stock rise. The company lifted its revenue and profit forecasts for the year, indicating strong performance in the athletic apparel sector.

Adidas has seen a remarkable surge in its performance, marking a significant milestone as its shares climbed to a two-year peak, demonstrating the robust growth and appeal of the brand in the athletic apparel sector. The spark behind this uptrend is the company's exceptional first-quarter results, which not only surpassed market expectations but also led to an upward revision of its revenue and profit forecasts for the full year.

During the first quarter, Adidas reported an 8% increase in revenues compared to the previous year, amounting to €5.5 billion, with a notable improvement in the gross profit margin, which escalated by 6.4 percentage points to reach 51.2%. This margin enhancement contributed to a substantial increase in operating profit, which soared to €336 million, markedly higher than the €60 million recorded in the corresponding period last year.

The Adidas brand on its own, excluding the impacts from winding down its partnership with Yeezy, witnessed a commendable 5% growth rate. This surge was largely driven by the escalating popularity of 'terrace trainer' footwear models such as the Samba, Gazelle, and Campus, among others, underscoring the brand's entrenched position in the lifestyle segment. The success of these lines has demonstrated the enduring appeal and resonance of the Adidas brand, reigniting investor confidence and shareholder optimism.

Prompted by these impressive results, Adidas has uplifted its outlook for the year, now anticipating "mid- to high-single-digit" percentage revenue growth in 2024, a notable jump from its previous forecast of "mid-single-digit" growth. Moreover, the company has revised its operating profit expectations upwards, projecting it to reach around €700 million, significantly higher than the earlier estimate of around €500 million.

Analysts have praised Adidas for its prudently optimistic guidance, with Jefferies analysts highlighting the performance of the non-Yeezy Adidas sales as particularly encouraging news for shareholders. It affirms the strong lifestyle appeal of the brand, a factor that is crucial for its continued success and market penetration. Stifel analysts, while recognizing the optimistic revenue guidance, have also suggested that based on historical trends, the first-quarter EBIT component could potentially hint at an EBIT figure in the vicinity of €1 billion for the full year, compared to the current consensus forecast of €884 million.

In summary, Adidas's robust first-quarter performance and the subsequent upward revision of its financial forecasts underscore the company's thriving position in the global athletic apparel market. With a solid strategy that capitalizes on the popularity of its lifestyle and footwear segments, Adidas appears well-positioned to maintain its growth momentum and deliver enhanced value to its shareholders.

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