Wintrust Financial Corporation

Wintrust Financial Corporation

$25.31
0.04 (0.16%)
NASDAQ
USD, US
Banks - Regional

Wintrust Financial Corporation (WTFCP) Q3 2008 Earnings Call Transcript

Published at 2008-10-22 21:45:18
Executives
Edward Wehmer − President and CEO David Stoehr − EVP and CFO David Dykstra − Senior EVP and COO
Analysts
Jon Arfstrom − RBC Capital Markets Brad Milsaps − Sandler O'Neill John Pancari − JP Morgan John Rowan − Sidoti & Company Ben Crabtree − Stifel Nicolaus
Operator
Welcome to Wintrust Financial Corporation's third quarter earnings conference call. All lines have been placed on mute to prevent any background noise. Following a review of the results by Edward Wehmer, Chief Executive Officer and President and Dave Dykstra, Senior Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer, there will be a formal question-and-answer session. (Operator instructions) The company's forward-looking assumptions are detailed in the third quarter's earnings press release and in the company's Form 10-K on file with the SEC. I will now turn call over to Mr. Edward Wehmer.
Edward Wehmer
Thank you very much. Welcome everybody. I think we'll go through some preliminary comments by me and then Dave will talk about some specific numbers and then I'm sure the question-and-answer period will be lively. As indicated in the press release, Wintrust recorded a small loss for the quarter. This $2.4 million loss was mainly the result of the company recording a provision for loan losses for approximately $24 million as compared with $4 million for the same quarter last year. This higher provision was necessitated by both higher charge-offs and an increase in the amount of non-performing loans in the quarter. We also raised the reserve as a percent of loans to 91 basis points from 72 basis points one year ago. To a lesser degree, earnings were held back by net interest margin that has been depressed due to the recent drop in rates although it's making a comeback and we will talk about that. First, a little bit of perspective. Back in March of 2005, in light of what we considered rational markets, the inverted yield curve, market pricing void of any credit risk spreads and the overall irrational exuberance in the markets, profitable growth at acceptable risk levels was not available to us. That's when we adopted our rope-a-dope strategy you've heard us talk about. As it was apparent to us that the cycle was soon to be upon us, our strategy involved tightening our already conservative loan underwriting standards. This slowed the flow of earning assets and accordingly slowed our overall growth in deposits. We used this period to solidify our funding sources and to attempt to weed out potential future problem assets. It should be noted that our banks have never invested in the subprime mortgage markets or any related esoteric assets. We also have had and continue to have no exposure to the problematic investments of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac equity securities. Sure enough in March of 2007, we saw the first signs of the credit cycle. If you recall, this is when the subprime mortgages and related investment securities started taking their toll on the Lehman, Bear Stearns, Merrill Lynch and of the other large banks. We felt history would hold true, the cycle would be around for three years in actual duration but be subject to really a much longer hangover. We have talked about this, 85%, now 95% of the time we've been in an inverted yield environment, it's followed by a credit cycle of the same length and depth of that inversion. If this actually was the case, which by the way we believe it is, the third and fourth quarters of this year are really the absolute middle of the middle. This is really the depths of the depths as far as we're concerned as it relates to where we are in the cycle right now. Just because we saw a storm on the horizon and we battened down all the hatches and through overboard all the excess baggage, we're still in a storm and it's a heck of a storm. The effects of the storm are further exacerbated by the mandatory adoption of – on 1/1/08 of FASB 157, the infamous Fair Value Accounting Rules. These rules basically require a mark-to-market methodology as opposed to a mark-to-value methodology and in distressed markets like we have right now, charges on impaired loans which we are taking are in many cases ultra conservative. According to our auditors and our regulators and what we have learned from talking to bankers, not just in Chicago but all around the country, we believe we're way ahead of the game in our application of these rules from 157 as they relate to problem loans. There's no doubt as you all know, I don't have to tell you that the entire banking industry is under stress and there are no assurances as to when and how the stress will be alleviated. Our stated goal when we adopted our rope-a-dope strategy was to be the first guys out of the cycle in order that we could take advantage of opportunities that always present themselves as these things work out. That remains our goal, we intend to deal with our issues at a timely and a conservation basis. Further we believe the planning we have done and the actions we have taken will allow us to get through these troubled times and ultimately we are going to thrive. In order to kind of take a look at our relative position to the rest of the banking industry, I would ask you to just consider the following. Although our non-performing assets and charge-offs have increased, they still compare reasonably well with our peer group, with banking in general. We have generally in the past operated with these two categories being at 40% to 50% of our peer group. We firmly believe that when the dust settles and when accounting valuations are consistently applied throughout the industry, we anticipate that this again will be the case. We'll be at that 40% to 50% levels at the end of the day. To give you a little further evidence of our credit quality and where the portfolio stands, I'd ask you think about the following. We have no regulatory issues. We have regulators going through our banks all the time. And our recent successful capital offering, our investors performed over one month of independent due diligence and they committed and then when we closed the deal, we had our $100 million line of credit renewed at the holding company, at a time when many other banks were having their lines curtailed. I will tell you that none of internal/external examining bodies have come up with any significant problem assets or deficiencies that we have not already identified or we are working at. On the liquidity front, Wintrust has never realigned on institutional funding on its balance sheet. Our subsidiary banks are 90% funded by good old fashioned retail commercial deposits and retail deposits spread out over our 79 banking locations. In contrast, many of our competitors rely on institutional funding to degrees of 40%, 50% or 60%.. We've been able to maintain and grow our funding base in a market that would suggest to the contrary by providing innovative products like our Max Safe product, which provides 15 times the level of FDIC insurance and these products have been well accepted and we've been able to keep our funding base relatively solid and actually growing. We've historically used this product defensively to maintain existing deposit relationships, but now we're starting to use the product more offensively to garner new relationships throughout our market areas. We're in the local papers. We're doing direct mail, and we're actually on the radio right now advertising this. We're also looking into the wholesale product related to this 15 times coverage. As you know, we have deposits from the liquidity in our bulk management accounts that fund the bank right now by using this product. We are taking this out on a wholesale level to other broker/dealers and other asset managers and we've seen relatively good reception. We have a commitment. We'll see if it happens. We have a soft commitment for $250 million of these funds which will pay in the 1.25%, 1.5% ranges for the fourth quarter. Liquidity, we think is always an important attribute for a bank but even more so in this environment. We have not been out, even though it's been prevalent now, if you read the local papers, we're not advertising 4% and 5% CD rates. We believe that we are able to fund ourselves and to grow by being innovative and competitive and we've kept a very strong deposit base during this time. I mentioned it earlier, but we also raised $50 million in new capital to help us weather the storm and take advantage of the opportunities that will present themselves we think going forward. It's important to note that even before we raised that capital and even taking into consideration our results this quarter, we would have been well capitalized in all of our banks and at the holding company. So the $50 million actually improved our well capitalized base and we expect that to be the case going forward. Just in summary on this relative analysis, I think I'd like you to consider that although the third quarter showed a loss, we expect that we will be profitable for full year. The banks and the holding company are well capitalized and will continue to be so. We never participated in any of the asset classes that caused the subprime debacle. Our portfolios are more stressed than usual, is in relatively good shape and our non-performers are being worked on and they are very manageable. And our overall liquidity is strong with a vast majority of our funding coming from diversified local and retail sources. A little comment on the balance sheet if you will. We had measured growth, again, in deposits and in loans. During the quarter, loan demand is extremely strong right now but we're handing it out with an eye dropper. We want to make sure that we maintain enough cash at the holding company to service our obligations while we work through the problem assets and our goal is to hit the ground running on 1/1/09 and have most of this behind us. But, loan demand is strong and at very good spreads. We're making great progress in reevaluating our existing portfolio as the loans come up for renewal or maturity. We're getting 1% to 2% additional pricing on those loans and will continue to do that. I know you're all interested on the TARP issue. We are actively evaluating our participation in the program. There's a lot of pluses and minuses to it. We're eligible for $80 million to $240 million of TARP money if we should so choose to do so. If we were to choose to do it, we think that the opportunities would be enormous for us. It would certainly alleviate the pressure on the growth side of things which we think we can take advantage of. Again, we continue to look at over $100 million of new credit opportunities every week. We're tossing out a lot of them even though they are past credit monster for pricing because, again, we're adopting this measured growth approach and making sure we're able to maintain our capital and our cash. With $200 million, hypothetically of additional capital, leveraged 10 times that's $2 billion worth of growth that you could pick up at a 4 point spread. Importantly, we see the loan demand and we see it's good credit quality. We also see that we believe − we believe we'll be able to fund this, fund this without having to go out and pay the big rates that other banks are trying to pay just to keep themselves adequately funded. So we think that good spreads would be there and this could be a real jump start for us to make that first out of this environment that we talked about, jump start the earnings and really get the ball rolling at a time when other people are not going to be able to do that. Question is often asked, would we use the fund if we were to take advantage of this? Would we use those funds to do acquisitions? I would say that on a selective basis we will be interested in smaller, assisted or unassisted deals that would be in our market footprint where you would get a good strong deposit base. We certainly don't want to pick up a cancer transplant from anybody. I don't believe we're interested in doing a larger transaction and that would − usually a larger transaction would involve additional asset workouts and the like that might set us back in terms of our goal of being first out of this particular environment. So again, our goal is to get out of this, to get all of this stuff behind us in 2008 and hit the ground running in 2009. Again, we intend to be profitable in 2008. And this is something that's manageable in that we'll work through. I don't think we're out of the ordinary or extraordinary in reporting the results that we're reporting. I'm confident in saying that we're being aggressive in dealing with these issues in our financials. And we're aggressively working these problem loans through the system. Some may be around here, because we've marked them down to acceptable levels. They may be around here for a lot longer than you anticipate, but if I have got to build in 35% IRR on these when I mark them down I'd rather make that money than someone else. But, for the most part, we will be pushing a lot of these assets through because there will be more coming. And I think that we can get this cow through the boa constrictor over the next few quarters with the increase in the margin and with the opportunities if in fact our board, when it meets this week, decides to take advantage of the TARP funding that we'll be able to really leapfrog and jump start this growth and earnings and achieve our goal for 2009. Again, I'm going to turn this over to Dave who's going to talk a little bit more in detail about the charge-offs, the non-performing assets, our margin, and the other income and other expense, and then we'll open it up to questions.
David Stoehr
Thanks, Ed. We will quickly go through those areas. Net interest margin, our net interest margin declined three basis points in the third quarter from the 2.77% that we recorded in the second quarter of '08. The impact of non-accrual loans negatively impacted the margin by approximately 4 basis points since last quarter. Additionally, the compression in the asset yields had the impact of declining the margin by 2 basis points as a result of the prefunds contribution. We also continue to have a negative impact on our loan yields from our Premium Finance portfolio. And not because it's not a good business but because the yields that we were putting this on at a year ago were substantially higher, so the loans that are maturing off our books were higher. As you recall, rates dropped significantly in the January, March, and April time frames of 2008. So the assets that have been going on during 2008, have been going on at rates lower than those loans that have been maturing. The good news is that over the past few months, our yields have been increasing and the marketplace for those assets is getting favorable to us. The turbulence in that marketplace with some of our competitors and the cost of funds as a result of their conduit fundings coming due and repricing has resulted in increased prices on those loans and we're starting to see the benefit of that. So we expect that to start improving over the course of the next quarter and we should see margins improving. For some of the reasons that Ed talked about, we are seeing spreads increase on renewals of our commercial deals and due to the temperate approach we're taking to the growth and looking for the good yield in assets, we are seeing spreads come back in the marketplace. The one wildcard continues to be the cost of funding. Ed explained our strategy on that. We have many of our competitors that are apparently very thirsty for deposits right now that are offering 4% to 5% yields or rates out in the marketplace. We're trying not to go down that path. Our advantage of having 15 different charters and being predominantly retail funded has proven beneficial to us. That combined with our Max Safe program where we can offer 15 times the FDIC limit to our depositors that are looking for safety and not just yield on their CDs has proven beneficial to us. So overall, our cost of funds on interest bearing deposits declined 16 basis points quarter-over-quarter. We're hoping that some of this competitive pressure goes away in the marketplace and we can grow those deposits at the lower more favorable rates to us, combine that with the increasing spreads in the marketplace and we're more hopeful that we've hit bottom with the margin. We should start to see that increasing from here on out. On the non-interest income side, the Wealth Management revenue decreased by approximately 9% from the second quarter. The recent equity market declines have hindered the revenue growth as fee based accounts where the market values have declined have impacted the fees that we receive on those accounts and the uncertainty surrounding the equity markets have slowed the growth on the brokerage side of the business a bit. Mortgage banking revenue declined to $4.5 million in the quarter, down from the $6 million to $7 million range that we've been experiencing in the past quarters. Clearly, the lack of market activity for residential real estate loans has negatively impacted the revenue in this business product. But we are committed to lending to qualified individuals and we have been using the recent months to solidify our infrastructure to hire new solid originators and we're ready to take advantage of the opportunities in the market. But clearly, we need to see the real estate market stabilize a bit here and people to be able to sell their homes so they can buy new homes. But we think we're well positioned there. We think we have a good infrastructure and we're continuing to add new originators from different areas and we're hopeful that as the market stabilizes at some point and then begins to rebound, we will absolutely be standing at the table ready to take advantage of that. The other areas of non-interest income that had any significant changes would have been fees from our covered call income. The amount of fees that we received in the third quarter stood at $2.7 million. That was down from the amounts recorded in the first and second quarters of 2008 but higher than the amount recorded in the third quarter of '07. As you know, the amount of revenue we receive is dependent upon the level of interest rates and the volatility present in the marketplace at the time that we enter into those contracts. The environment for the call option income was somewhat better in the fourth quarter of this year so far. And to date, we have recorded $6.2 million in the fourth quarter of '08. So the market was a little bit better this quarter. So we obviously will see an increase on that line item in the fourth quarter of 2008. Again, we view this program as a way to mitigate the impact of the margin compression and a falling interest rate environment and consider the revenue as an enhancement to the yields that we receive on US Treasury and Agency Securities. Other than those three major areas, we have no other income areas that were significantly different from the second quarter of 2008. On the non-interest expense side, total non-interest expenses actually declined $1.6 million from the second quarter of 2008. And the majority of the decrease came in the salaries and employee benefit areas. That was due primarily to the lower commissions related to the declines in the revenues that we saw in the mortgage banking and brokerage areas. So we actually were able to decrease our overall cost even though we did have additional costs with working out of some of these problem credits and the other real estate owned costs and professional fee costs still being somewhat elevated over our normal levels. Other than the decline in the salaries area, there was really no other significant changes in non-interest expenses in the third quarter. Turning to non-performance assets area, if we go to our commercial consumer and other areas, the increase in that area from June of '08 to September of '08, we went from $64 million to $88 million, so an increase of $24 million. Primarily that increase related to seven credits that range in size from $2 million to $7 million in total. So it's not a wholesale across-the-board increase of non-performing credits. It's a rather manageable number of individual credits. On page 25 of our press release, we break that down and we have $39.1 million of residential real estate construction and land development related loans. We have $17.5 million of commercial real estate construction and land development loans. And $19.2 million of straight commercial real estate loans and $5.9 million of commercial real estate loans. So it's broken out but primarily, again, the impact as we've talked about in prior quarters are the residential real estate development types of credits that we have and again, we've just had a small number of those, less than 10, that were over $2 million, that got added to the list. On the residential real estate side, single family residential and home equity classification, we went from $3.4 million to $6.2 million. And that was primarily related to one credit that we have in Lake Forest, a single family residence with a balance of $3.3 million. Other than that, there's small items here and there. But really not a significant change in that line item other than the one credit that we have that was added during the quarter.
Edward Wehmer
It's interesting. There's about $20 million of increases. It's called commercial development loans that related to probably six properties. We have a nice property on Lake Michigan, if anybody would want to buy it. We have properties in the Lake Forest, (inaudible) area that are in the $4 million to $5 million range that have been taken back or are in the process of being taken back. That made up almost $20 million of the increase. We only had maybe one or two of the multifamily type development loans that came on the books as non-performers. But again, in the markets that we're in, the higher real estate markets, the higher value real estate markets, those types of deals can have a material effect on our overall numbers, but they're still very attractive pieces of property, ones that we have marked down now to what we consider to be reasonable 90-day liquidation rates. And will be working once we can push them through the system and the system has slowed down a little bit. If we can get a cooperative borrower, it's a lot easier. We can get a hold of the property and again on our OREO, once we get things into OREO, especially the single family type things, we're able to push them out relatively quickly. We do mark them down to 90-day liquidation, so there will be some real bargains here. Anybody looking for a house in the high net worth areas around Chicago, we might be able to help you with that. But you have to keep that in mind when you look and remember the markets that we're in, the $20 million increase can relate to six individual credits in single family residences.
David Stoehr
Besides that the only significant category we have is the premium finance area and that actually showed the lowest levels of non-performance that we've had over the course of the last five quarters. That portfolio is performing very well and we're on top of it and −
Edward Wehmer
And, again, we don't expect losses on that portfolio. That's just while we're waiting for insurance company to return the money to us. Any loss in that portfolio has been taken when we confirmed the actual amount of the returned premium. So again, that's just a timing difference for us and we really don't consider them non-performing but we have to put them in that category for accounting purposes. With that, we can open it up to questions.
Operator
(Operator instructions) Our first question comes from Jon Arfstrom. Your line is open. Jon Arfstrom − RBC Capital Markets: Thanks, good afternoon, guys.
Edward Wehmer
Hello, Johnny. Jon Arfstrom − RBC Capital Markets: A couple of questions. Would you say that you were more aggressive in this third quarter than you have been in previous quarters in terms of going through your portfolio because obviously, I think several of us were surprised by the size of the provision and the size of the non-performing increase?
Edward Wehmer
I don't think we were more aggressive. It was not on − it was not something we hadn't identified and were working on. What it relates to, Jon, is the FAS 157 issue where you have to apply market values as opposed to real values to these assets. And what we have done in the past, we had − if we had a particular asset, and mostly relates to the land development loans, we had computed what we determined the value to be based upon 15% IRRs and actual real intrinsic numbers, we have what our cost to carry is and that sort of thing. And FAS 157 according to our auditor says you can't do that. You have to look at the outside world and value it like the outside world would do, which is 35% equity, 65% leverage. The leverage you have to assume a 10% cost to carry on that and you have to assume a 35% IRR. So we − no one ever argued about absorption periods as you ran through these calculations. So what we had done was, we had reserved up to our − what we consider the value to be and in consultations with our auditors said, you really have to do it this way. So what we did was we charged those assets down to what our values were and we reserved up to the more conservative values. So we added reserves to cover that differential. We kind of − we think we've been very aggressive in applying 157 the way it's supposed to be applied. And that's how we did it this time. So this was another thing that we went through and said, "Oh my gosh! We have other issues." There was nothing that's coming up that weren't aware of, that wasn't on our watch list or problem loan list that we wasn't working on. It was more of a valuation issue and then turning around and applying these draconian variables to value on that − I think we've given the example before. There was one lone that was appraised two years ago, no less than two years ago, $22 million. It was appraised eight or nine months ago at about $18 million. And if you run these numbers on that land, it doesn't matter what the appraisal is, it comes down to $5 million. It's about $15,000 per acre on this property. But that's what they say you have to market to. We think that it's a mark to a distressed market as opposed to a mark to value. However, those are the rules and we're going to be ahead of these things. It is what it is. So there was really nothing that popped up that made our charge-offs or our provision number work. It was just the application of this particular accounting principle as we understand it to values and just being ultra conservative about it and we're going continue to be ultra conservative as we work through the rest of these assets and push them out. So nobody should think that we − all of a sudden we took another look and said "Oh no", no, we have been on these all along and it is strictly a valuation issue. Jon Arfstrom − RBC Capital Markets: How much of the $24 million in provision would you say is 157 related?
David Stoehr
Funny you should ask that. I have to get my papers out here. I would probably say close to $9 million. Jon Arfstrom − RBC Capital Markets: So the other $15 million is?
David Stoehr
Well, the other $15 million was charge-offs and to bring them down to the additional levels, plus other assets coming on that we reserved for in the normal course of business in our calculations.
Edward Wehmer
And the growth of the portfolio. Jon Arfstrom − RBC Capital Markets: Okay. This is more of an open ended question but needs to be asked I guess. How should we interpret the statement that you'll be profitable for the full year? You have $18 million in year-to-date earnings, and the loss is a surprise. It's not the end of the world and I think we all understand it. But how do we interpret that?
David Stoehr
Just like we said it. We don't give guidance, Jon. The closest you're going to get to guidance is we will be profitable for the full year. The fourth quarter, we're starting to see the margin increasing. We have additional covered call in jump. There are − we continue to see opportunities out there. But we're working through these problem assets and our goal as I said is we're going to hit the ground running the first part of next year. I'd like to get all of this stuff behind us. At the same time, we believe that even in doing so, we will be profitable for the year. So I'm not telling you, will the fourth quarter look like this or will the fourth quarter show profit, you guys get paid big bucks to figure that out.
David Dykstra
But we have clearly, as I have said, this is Dave Dykstra. Clearly we've tried to value these down to these distressed values as required by 157 on the impaired loans that we're aware of. So you shouldn't have any more significant write-downs unless the market completely falls off from here on those assets. Jon Arfstrom : I guess that's what I'm trying to get at. Is there anything behind this that says that there's more problems cascading in? Or is this a fairly aggressive take where you're saying we think we've written these down to still [ph] valuations and at some point we're going to get a recovery. I guess the question is, is there a lot more behind this from where you sit right now?
RBC Capital Markets
I guess that's what I'm trying to get at. Is there anything behind this that says that there's more problems cascading in? Or is this a fairly aggressive take where you're saying we think we've written these down to still [ph] valuations and at some point we're going to get a recovery. I guess the question is, is there a lot more behind this from where you sit right now?
David Dykstra
I think the charge-offs will be higher than they've normally been for us for the next couple of quarters. Do I think we'll be at another $25 million provision? I quite frankly don't know. It doesn't appear that way. But we're going to get this stuff behind us one way or the other. So we'll leave it at that.
David Stoehr
And Jon, as I've said, we do think that if you decide to hold some of these assets where you've had to value them, assuming that an outside participant had to put in 35% equity and get returns of 30% to 40% on, you just count that back over a five or six year absorption period on a residential development loan and you come up with a very low number. And you could look at the example Ed gave. So if we can hold on to these at our cost to capital and our cost of funds and move these things out, we clearly think that there's value significantly above what we've written them down to. But, I don't think you could look at that and say the market is going to turn around next quarter. So it's going to be a while before we realize that value back. But, clearly we think there's value there if you were to hold these assets and work through this current distressed market condition or if the SEC or the FASB decide that they're going to make the FAS 157's Fair Value Accounting Standard a little bit more reasonable where people could use their own cost to capital carried if they're able to hold it to maturity or some other methodology. But the market values out there now and if you read 157 and if you understand it and we believe talking to a lot of people that the market hasn't fully got their arms around this yet, that we valued these down to very conservative and we sometimes refer to them as scavenger values. So we think there's value there. It's just do you want to hold onto it and work it through at your own cost to capital and your own carrying cost? And if that's the case, you're going to get the value back, but it's probably not next quarter, it's over a period of time as the market recovers.
Edward Wehmer
At the same time, you have the option if you wanted to blow them off to a scavenger, you can do that, too. So what we're dealing with these things on a one-by-one basis really anything that's kind of got − that has anything that is above ground, where there are sticks above ground, we probably will either get rid of our joint venture with someone to complete the project; in other situations where there's just fire hydrants above ground. We only have right now $40 million of that type of credit. So there may be longer workouts on them. As Dave said, the recoveries might come a little bit later. Jon, I'm hesitant just when you talk about do we have another one coming, we try to identify things quickly and to deal with them quickly and we are going to deal with them as a conservative method until somebody tells us otherwise. These are uncertain types. Who knows what's going to show up in the next three weeks that (inaudible) and we think it is fine. There's things that pop up in the borrower community and we'll deal with that issue right out of the box. So when you say, will we have those issues? I don't think we will. I think we've got our arms around it, but these are extremely uncertain times right now. It's very hard to predict. Our goal is to be as conservative as we can and push this stuff out as we quick as we can identify and value and push these things out. That's the secret behind all of it. And that's where we are on it. Jon Arfstrom : Okay. Thank you.
RBC Capital Markets
Okay. Thank you.
Operator
Thank you. Our next question comes from Brad Milsaps. Your line is open. Brad Milsaps − Sandler O'Neill: Good afternoon.
Edward Wehmer
Hi, Brad. Brad Milsaps − Sandler O'Neill: Just wondering if you guys could add a little bit more color to the margin. Just curious with the recent cut in Fed funds, why you think it's going to start to expand here over the near term and just thought if possible you can maybe talk a little bit about where you think it could get to over the next couple of quarters.
David Stoehr
The issue that we talked about is it's not going to pop right out of the box. We do think that with the drop in the recent Fed funds rate and on the prime rate and the like, that that does cause further compression to the margin because you just can't cut your now accounts and some of your savings products the full amount. If you had something at 25 basis points, you can't cut it to zero. And your free funds provide less. So it's that historical thing that we talked about, that lower rates cause compression on our margin. But we're seeing across the board on loan renewals and new loans that we're bringing in significantly higher yields on those assets. We're trying to be very disciplined on the funding side. We've been successful in bringing in some of these deposits because people are looking for safety and we've got the ability to provide them with a significant amount of safety with our 15 different charters multiplying that out by the FDIC rate. And they're not necessarily looking necessarily for the 4%, 5% rate. They want something where they're comfortable with their bank. They want a decent return and they want ease of execution. And we're able to provide that for them. So, we don't have a whole lot of hot funding out there. We've got just very little brokerage CDs. We aren't really institutional funded. Our banks generally are almost all retail funded. And we've got a good customer base and we're going to try to keep that cost of funds low. And the repricing of the assets, we think will offset that in the near term.
Edward Wehmer
The lending environment relates to that recent drop in rates. We didn't lower the rates that we're charging people. We actually just increased spreads over than and it's being accepted right now. So your asset side of things, we're taking a huge portfolio and repricing a bit of it every month up 100 or 200 basis points. It's going to take time for that all to take hold. And we can drop our funding costs just a little. If we can keep our marginal cost of funds, as Dave said, relatively low, it should be mitigated and we believe that the margin should start growing. This is what Dave talked about first insurance. Although that portfolio reprices over a nine or 10-month period and the new loans are coming on, the recent drop in rates, we're not rushing to drop our rates right now. Many of our competitors are funded through securitizations. Those securitizations are bearing larger costs, so some of the people who caused us to drop those rates before can't afford to do that. We're actually experiencing the highest spreads on new business right now than we've seen in probably three years. So the asset side should more than make up for, we believe more than make up for the compression aspects of it. We stay disciplined and get the pricing we need to get and we'll continue to work the liability side. Although you do get compressed, we can still bring that down a couple of basis points here and there. So there still are some CDs repricing and the like. So we still think that there's some room on the liability side in spite of what the competitive market is for funding. Again, the asset side is relatively elastic to that latest drop in rates. People are just happy to get loans right now in this environment and we're able to get reasonable pricing again. Brad Milsaps − Sandler O'Neill: So Ed, your comment earlier that the margin should work up. It's more over time as you add these better assets at better spreads, et cetera, the next couple of quarters. You weren't more less saying you thought it would bottom this quarter?
Edward Wehmer
I think it has bottomed this quarter. I think if you add back the nonaccrual interest, we actually were probably up a little bit. Hopefully, we won't have a lot of nonaccrual interest in the fourth quarter where we have to reverse interest that's been approved on loans that we have taken to nonaccrual. But you never know. But we believe that − I think it has bottomed. And I think that you're going to start seeing the benefits of that asset repricing coming through each quarter going forward. And I still stand by the fact that over the next six or seven months that we should be back into the pre-drop range while it holds true. So we still believe that will be the case. The repricing should not be underestimated. You're talking about – we are coming out of an environment where prime meant nothing and prime plus one was a deal and real estate deals started at prime. Right now, prime means prime again. And prime real estate deals starts with prime plus one, 1.5. That's the base rate. And we work off of that. So it's been very well accepted by our customers. This is probably because they have nowhere else to go and they're happy to have the money. We haven't had a lot of pushback from customers. And the new transactions that we're seeing are all bearing terrific rates. You're back to LIBOR plus 300 or 400, you're back to prime plus 1, prime plus 1.5 type pricing and deals with very good credit quality. So it's going to take time for that to work through. But as it does, we expect the margin to increase. Brad Milsaps − Sandler O'Neill: Okay. Ed, final question. Just kind of curious with kind of where your pretax, pre-provision earnings now. Are there any other levers that you can pull maybe in terms of expenses. You've done a pretty good job there this year, but you mentioned hit the ground running on January 1, 2009. It seems that kind of core earning power is at a level that would prohibit you from being as aggressive as you'd hoped. So I'm just kind of curious. Anything on the fee income side or coming out of operating expenses that you could pinpoint now to kind of offset some of the time it takes for the margin to improve as well as some additional provisioning over the near term?
Edward Wehmer
You are always looking for ways to improve other income. We will continue to do that and raise prices where we can and to develop additional fee income. That's ongoing no matter what cycle that we're in. On the expense side of things, we think we're running pretty lean to mean as it stands right now. But, you consider what I talked about in terms of potential participation in the TARP equity program, if we the Board decides and if we decide that it makes some sense and we are still evaluating it. You're talking about the ability to bring in a couple of hundred million dollars of fresh capital. Let's say we deployed half of it, that's $1 billion worth of growth. I have $1 billion worth of growth and I believe that the asset generation could support that right now just based upon what we're seeing come through the market. I also believe that because of some of the things I talked about is related to our initiatives on the funding side of things, that we can actually fund that growth very, very inexpensively. And I also said that this TARP program if we adopt it and wanted to go with it could be the jump start to the growth and the earnings again that we've been waiting for that would have to be tempered because of the things − getting the earnings back online and then being able to start growing again. If you had this extra capital, you could pull that switch pretty quickly right now. So, from the expense standpoint, I'll probably need all hands on deck if we adopt that and if we go with that program. So, we're always looking to become extremely efficient. But if you're talking about us doing some sort of reduction in force or that sort of thing, that's not in the cards right now. Brad Milsaps − Sandler O'Neill: Okay, thank you.
Operator
Thank you. Our next question comes from John Pancari. Your line is open. John Pancari − JP Morgan: Good afternoon, could you talk a little bit more about your outlook for the loan loss reserve? I know you've been talking quite a bit about what drove the jump in the non-performers and the charge-offs, et cetera, but given that your coverage is still relatively low at 59% of non-performing loans, and then the ratio, the loss reserve ratio is at 90 basis points, it still seems that the reserve needs to go higher. Just generally looking at where we're going, potentially looking at a pretty deep recession here. So, where do you think is a reserve level that you think would be adequate in light of the trends that you're seeing more recently?
Edward Wehmer
Well, with the reserve level we have right now, we believe to be adequate or we wouldn't have it. We go through a very elaborate process of doing this. When you look at the non-performers, we talked earlier how we write them down and how we value them and how we reserve for them. We do it very, very conservatively. We look at our overall portfolio and apply pretty stringent factors to it as it relates to the quality of the portfolio and where it stands. If the portfolio continues, if non-performers continue to grow, you'll see the reserve continue to grow or we wouldn't have it there. We believe it's adequate right now where it stands. So, going forward, will non-performers increase? They probably will increase over the next quarter. I said this is the depths of the depths and the problem is trying to push some of these things out the back end, when the courts are so jammed up right now. We have exit strategies on these things. But, you have got courts and in some cases ─ if a borrower works with you, we can work to this very quickly and get these assets push through. The borrower is getting bad advice from attorneys. We're going go after him and we'll follow to their grave if we have to. But the problem is that the back end isn't flushing out as quickly as you'd like just because of systemic issues that are mainly out of our control. So, you probably will see because of the environment non-performings kick up, new ones coming on. To this extent, we can't push old ones off, that would require us to increase the reserve just based upon the formulas that we apply and applying the impairment value as required by 157. So, will the reserve probably be going up in the future to the extent we can't push the old stuff off and get them cleared? Yes, probably will. But, we look at this in a very systemic way, a very detailed way down to each individual loan, down to each individual loan category and it's adequate right now. If non-performers increase and the portfolio deteriorates, we'll be adding to it. The portfolio stays stable. We're in a pretty stable position right now. John Pancari − JP Morgan: Okay, fair enough.
David Stoehr
You have to understand, we've taken the valuation charges against the loans that are in there. So, it's just a matter of moving them out. John Pancari − JP Morgan: Okay. I understand now. FAS 157 certainly has been something in the banks have been dealing with over the past couple of quarters. And I know you had indicated comfort with your reserve level last quarter. And now we're seeing these moves in a pretty big way that has caught quite a few of us by surprise. So ─
Edward Wehmer
Wait a minute, I would tell you that that's not what you said. I don't believe it's absolutely true because we ─ as I've said in my comments earlier under discussions at conferences all over and probably with you, we have participations with other banks out in the market that are not valuing the assets the way we're valuing them. So, if people haven't been dealing with 157 as it might relate to the securities portfolio, I would tend to say I don't believe they've adopted it in the way we've adopted it as it relates to the lending portfolio and there's specific evidence in terms of participations we have with other banks around here and in discussions that they have. So, I want to make that point period perfectly clear. This was not all of a sudden we just figured it out, something that everybody else had already figured out. I think it's quite the contrary. So, sorry, I just want to make that point. John Pancari − JP Morgan: Point well taken. It's just the drastic move in the numbers again is something worth noting and that's why I asked about the reserve.
Edward Wehmer
Sure. John Pancari − JP Morgan: But, in light of that, if we could talk real quickly about capital, I know you have access here in terms of TARP to cheap tier-one capital as well as many of your peer banks do. But, on the tangible common equity ratio, I know that's the ratio that matters more to rating agencies. And given where your tangible common equity ratio is right now and where the rating agencies look at, can your just talk about that? Where is the level do you think your rating agencies may get a little bit more concerned? And how could that impact your ability to raise some funding on the balance sheet?
David Stoehr
Number one, we aren't rated by anybody. So, the rating agencies are not our primary concern. I think it's the shareholders that are our primary concern. And as you know, we went out and raised $50 million of capital in August. At that time, it seemed to be a pretty decent deal given where the marketplace was. And we increased our capital levels $50 million. And we thought that that was a good level of capital raised, support some additional growth as well as help us weather the storm a little bit and have some cash at the Holding Companies. So, we increased by $50 million. The TARP plan is out there. We'll evaluate it. We'll look at it. There are pros. There are cons. The pros are that if you did take it, you probably could take advantage of some things in the marketplace right now to grow. But, we think that $50 million capital raise we had was appropriate. And at the time, well-priced, seeing the government's offering below market rate capital out there right now to entities. But, we'll look at that. But, we don't concern ourselves necessarily with the rating agencies since we aren't rated. And we look more towards just pure what's the best thing for the shareholders. John Pancari − JP Morgan: Right. I was just going from the standpoint if there was a need for additional capital, what your options are available to you? So, I guess, it's fair to say then that you would not see any need to raise additional common equity versus the preferred equity stakes that could be available under TARP?
David Stoehr
We're not ─ I don't think we're actively looking on raising common equity at these prices as far we went into preferred in August.
Edward Wehmer
That's what makes the TARP so attractive. Not withstanding, we have to go through it. But, the TARP is kind of interesting. If your stock were to go up 30% a year for the five years, the overall cost of that TARP is 9%. If you went up 20%, it's close to 7%. That's pretty cheap capital. If you look at ─ when you push this stuff through and your spreads are now back and the earnings come online, especially if you are able to leverage, if you brought some of that capital in, your return on equity gets pretty darn good and it makes it pretty inexpensive capital and the right way to go. So, in the preferred that we raised earlier, that $50 million is totally convertible. So, you should convert it and add it into the common tangible equity. The TARP is only 15% of what your take would be and indirectly would have an increase in tangible common equity and if you have to replace it at some point in time, then again you have to have some factor of these preferred shares that would have a converted effect on what your tangible capital equity numbers (inaudible). John Pancari − JP Morgan: Diluted basis if you will?
David Stoehr
Yes, under the preferred issued in August, that is convertible. So, I think you've got to assume at some point that will convert and that will be common equity. John Pancari − JP Morgan: Okay. All right, thanks for taking my question.
Operator
Thank you. (Operator instructions) Our next question comes from John Rowan. Your line is open, sir. John Rowan − Sidoti & Company: Good afternoon.
David Dykstra
Hi, John. John Rowan − Sidoti & Company: I just want to go back to the margin and the TARP a little bit. If I remember correctly, back in your statements, you said obviously you can leverage the money from the TARP ten to one. But, you get a four point spread. And, later on in your comments, you talked about loan pricing at prime plus 1.5. Are you able to lever $1 billion worth of growth with 2% funding? Am I thinking about this right?
Edward Wehmer
I think that part of the strategy is that you could do that. If you look at the wholesale funding opportunities that we have, taking our IBD product and as I said earlier, we have a soft commitment for $250 million. This money is actually (inaudible) about 1.25%. There are other opportunities out there for the same product that could be around 2%. I think you could average out and be at those levels. So, that's part of the strategy and part of the discussion is, if you take this, can you lever it out because otherwise it's just dead capital? Can you lever it out at reasonable numbers? We think that we have because of our unique structure and this product and we've got all the plumbing in place to do it and it seems to be selling well, we do have an opportunity on the funding side to bring in those inexpensive funds. That's the key to it all, is bring in those inexpensive funds in. So, you couple that with putting floors on loans and the like, I think, yes, you probably could be close to that number. John Rowan – Sidoti & Company: Okay, I was just asking because obviously it's quite a bit higher than your margin and even your core margin which I understand is moving up based on loan price. It just seemed like it was a pretty big jump from where you are in terms of the margin on your new business.
Edward Wehmer
Right. Well, the secret is the spreads are back. And if you can get the access to this cheap funding, it's a home run and you hit the nail right on the head. But also, that’s the same phenomena that is happening in our existing portfolio as we reprice these assets when they come do [ph] or come up for a renewal, that same sort of increased spread phenomena is going to be happening at $7 billion worth of assets over the next two or three years. So, with a lot of it occurring in a one-year time period. So this is what we've been waiting for. It’s to get reasonable spreads back and that's the thing that's going to move our margin. And that's what we're doing and we're seeing it happen. So, that’s why we talk about our margin increasing with some degree of confidence because for the past four months, we've been putting these new loans and this repricing in place on existing loans and pretty soon, the wrong [ph] number is going to catch up and it's going to have a material effect on the margin.
David Stoehr
Yes, the key then will be just executing our funding side of the strategy. And so far that's going okay. There's a lot of competitors out there that are pricing we think irrationally. You got some guys out there that are offering them funding costs for a year or less at prime rate or more. I don't know how do they make any money off of that, any decent money off of that anyway. So there's that pressure but we think we've got some strategy in place where we can bring in the funding cheaply because of our structure. So, we'll attempt to execute on that and the loan prices are there. And they continue to be there. John Rowan – Sidoti & Company: Okay. And just last question on the TARP issue. Theoretically, you got $1 billion, or you got $200 million from TARP and you can lever up $1 billion in your balance sheet, right? How long does it take you to lever that? I mean, if you come out three weeks from now and say we're taking the short out on TARP, how long should we look at that leverage process?
Edward Wehmer
I think it will depend on the economy and how strong it is. Right now, loan demand is pretty strong. But (inaudible) probably lever up to $2 billion over time because if you get $200 million and 10% capital, you can get the $2 billion. You've got to be able to execute on half of it over some period of time. Generally, in the days before we pulled back because of the credit issues, each of our banks were going $50 million to $75 million a year. I got 15 different charters, you could easily grow just with normal growth at that range, $600 million, $700 million. And we've been pulling back on that because of the market and the capital and the need to be careful with the liquidity and the like. So, you could get back into that and you could sort of look at historically where we had growth and consider that some of the players are backing offer being taken out of the market and there's lots of opportunities there. We don't want to stretch it. How long would it take? Could we grow $ billion in a year? Yes, we could probably grow a $1 billion in a year. But I don't want to commit to something like that because we are certainly not going to stretch for credit to make that high bar. We are seeing a lot of good credit every week and turning our back on a lot of it just because we're handing it out with an eye dropper as we manage our holding company cash and our capital right now. With that additional capital, that's $50 million to $60 million a week we’re looking at that we could go after. The secret is going to be as you said earlier, the secret is in the funding side of things. This isn't quite as attractive to us if we have to go out and play with some of our rational [ph] competitors that had offering 4.5% eight-month CDs. If we have to do that, you’re spreads are down at the 3% range and although it's marginally profitable because we don't have a lot of overhead associated with it, it certainly makes it much less attractive and I really don't want to do that. So, the question is on the funding side, will we be able to execute that? Will we be able to bring home and close a lot of these deals that we're working on on the institutional side. Up until two weeks ago we weren't that excited about going out and trying to raise %0.5 billion of this wholesale, if you I will, IBD, this wholesale cheap money product, to other broker/dealers and the like because we didn't think we could grow that fast right out of the box, so have had it actually turn it up right now because we want to see what the potential is. Is that money out there? Is there more where that 250 commitment came from? If there is, then that will weigh heavily on our decision, on our Board's decision to whether or not to go ahead and how much of the TARP money we would actually take. John Rowan – Sidoti & Company: Thank you very much.
Operator
: Ben Crabtree − Stifel Nicolaus: Thank you. A few small questions. First of all, Dave, I want to make sure that I heard you correctly. You talked about the impact − or maybe it was Ed who talked about the impact of non-performers being four basis points in the quarter. Was that simply a reversal charge?
David Stoehr
Right, that was the impact of reversal of interest during the quarter. Ben Crabtree − Stifel Nicolaus: Okay, great. The premium finance, the discussion of how the margin is getting better there, I'm wondering if that is altering your decision about keeping more of it on the balance sheet. I guess just if you could discuss a little bit how you're thinking about upcoming sales of premium finance versus the decision to maybe hold more on the balance sheet.
Edward Wehmer
Basically, the market for the premium finance loans is dried up. With the securitization market where we were hoping to lay off $0.5 billion has just dried up on us, there is nobody out there that will do a new time-to-order securitization. It's further exacerbated by the fact that FAS 140 is going to basically make you put a securitization on your books anyhow effective 1/1/10. So, we used to sell through LaSalle. LaSalle was taken over by Bank of America, although they did put their best efforts forward. Most of the people who used to buy that are conserving their own cash and capital right now. So, the market basically has dried up and most of that stuff is going to stay on the books until we find some other opportunity or source to lay it off. So, those will be on our books, there's no place to put them right now. Ben Crabtree − Stifel Nicolaus: So, doesn't that kind of mean that the people that aren’t depositing funding, that our non-deposit funders are going to be in a long-term competitive disadvantage.
Edward Wehmer
If they hold true to this date of 1/1/10 for FAS 140, there is close to what $5 trillion worth of assets. They’re going to have to show up on balance sheet some place. In a capital starved industry already, they’re going to, this stuff is going to have to show up. Those $5 trillion worth of assets were not just − they covered car lending, they covered credit cards, they covered probably 30% to 40% of all consumer lending was put out into these off balance sheets. They’re going to have to come out someplace. Then take all the conduits that were out there that did commercial real estate. And all that money is going to have to be intermediate because there are no conduits for them out there anymore. And those three and five-year deals that were being done are starting to come due. We're starting to see on the loan generation side, it’s not just commercial loans, you’re starting to see some nice commercial real estate deals that are coming out of conduits and they have no place to go. And if you have your powder dry, you'll be able to pick up some of those assets. So, if funding is, I think somebody said it. It wasn't me; but I thought it was a great line. He said, “I never thought I'd see the day when my assets were my liabilities and my liabilities were my assets.” Funding is very important right now and I think it's a strong point to our franchises that our approach over the years to build a solid balance sheet on both sides and the funding side, and the asset side is going to pay off, especially on the funding side where we have all the retail and commercial deposits in a very spread out way.
David Stoehr
No, we don't have any inside information to any of our competitors on the premium finance side as far as what exactly their funding costs are. But, as you talk to the market participants out there that are offering that sort of funding, what they're telling us is that the cost of those conduits when they coming due are probably going up 175 to 200 basis points at least. So, to the extent that they are one-year conduits, some of these people are coming due or some will be coming due. So, we think that we’ll have continued upward pressure there because some of our competitors were out there doing deals that appeared to us were always just 100 basis points over whatever their conduit funding cost was. And if that's the case, it's got to go up dramatically. And so, we're looking forward to that. We’re seeing some of it come through. And we're in an enviable position if we can fund it with our retail deposits. Ben Crabtree − Stifel Nicolaus: All right. I'm wondering if you could comment at all − obviously we talked a lot about the 90 days and the non-accruals. But if we look further on that, I'm just trying to get some sense of what was happening within loan ratings in the quarter. Is it deteriorating across a fairly broad range of loan types? Or is it still mostly – well, first of all, how much of it is happening? And secondly, is it still mostly related to real estate?
David Stoehr
We never really disclose loan ratings in a public document, Ben. But, as you can see the residential and home equity, the single family stuff, there's a little bit more [ph] numbers there but the dollar amounts are not that significant. Again, the majority of the increase there was just one loan on the single family residence side. And the majority of the dollars still are in the residential development sort of area. We're not seeing widespread deterioration in the consumer side or the commercial side. It still is primarily driven by the real estate absorption rates on those sorts of development deals. Ben Crabtree − Stifel Nicolaus: So as a general statement, the cash flows of your peer commercial customers are still behaving fairly well?
David Stoehr
We're knocking on wood, but yeah. Ben Crabtree − Stifel Nicolaus: Okay.
Edward Wehmer
Yes. Of that non-accrual number, there's probably $6.5 million of larger commercial deals in total. So most of it is − there's a lot of onsy-twosy [ph] smaller deals out there. But of the big ones, what you would consider your bread and butter, a couple million dollar commercial deals, there's that number out there. So, nothing out of the ordinary. Who knows what's going to happen, Ben? It's interesting times. Ben Crabtree − Stifel Nicolaus: And the last question, since you've talked a bit about the TARP program, I don't know if you've looked into the possibility of issuing guaranteed debt. I'm not sure how that's going to work and how much cheaper the money is going to be to you. But do you have a significant amount of debt at the Holding Company or the bank level rolling over between now and June 30?
David Stoehr
No, really what we have at the Holding Company was our secured senior line that comes due a year from now, next August. And then we had our subordinated debt which is long term and we have got about $250 million of trust preferred securities which are long term. So that's how we fund ourselves at the Holding Company. Ben Crabtree − Stifel Nicolaus: Okay. All right, thanks.
Edward Wehmer
Thank you, everybody. We appreciate your questions, your calls. You can always feel free to call Mr. Dykstra or myself if you have any follow-up questions. With that, we'll end it.
Operator
Thank you for calling. This concludes today's conference call. You may now disconnect.