Verizon Communications Inc

Verizon Communications Inc

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Verizon Communications Inc (VZ.NE) Q1 2008 Earnings Call Transcript

Published at 2008-04-28 13:26:08
Executives
Ron Lataille - Senior Vice President Investor Relations Denny Strigl - President and Chief Operating Officer Doreen Toben - Chief Financial Officer
Analysts
John Hodulik – UBS Tom Sykes - Lehman Brothers David Barden - Banc of America Simon Flannery - Morgan Stanley David Janazzo - Merrill Lynch Michael Rollins – Citigroup Mike McCormack - Bear Stearns Tim Horan - Oppenheimer Chris Larsen - Credit Suisse Jason Armstrong - Goldman Sachs Jonathan Chaplin – JP Morgan
Operator
Good morning and welcome to the Verizon first-quarter 2008 earnings conference call. [Operator Instructions] It is now my pleasure to turn the call over to your host Mr. Ron Lataille, Senior Vice President Investor Relations of Verizon.
Ron Lataille
Good morning and welcome to our First Quarter 2008 Earnings Conference Call. Thanks for joining us this morning. I’m Ron Lataille. With me this morning are Denny Strigl, our President and Chief Operating Officer and Doreen Toben, our Chief Financial Officer. Before we get started, let me remind you that our earnings release, financial statements, the investor quarterly publication, and the presentation slides are on the investor relations website. This call is being webcast. If you would like to listen to a replay, you can do so from our website. I would also like to draw your attention to our Safe Harbor statement. Information in this presentation contains statements about expected future events and financial results that are forward looking and subject to risks and uncertainties. A discussion of factors that may affect future results is contained in Verizon's filings with the SEC, which are available on our website. This presentation also contains certain non GAAP financial measures. Reconciliations of these non GAAP measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measures are also on our website. Before turning the call over to Doreen for a review of our results, I’d like to cover the differences between reported and adjusted earnings for the first quarter. Reported earnings per diluted share were $0.57, adjusted earnings or EPS before the effects of special items was $0.61. We are excluding the following special items from adjusted results. The first is a charge of $18 million after tax or $0.01 per share for merger integration costs. We are also excluding an $81 million after tax charge or $0.03 per share for non operational costs incurred in connection with the spin off of access lines in Maine, New Hampshire and Vermont. These costs are mostly related to network, software and other activities required for these facilities to function as a separate company. As you know, we completed the spin off on March 31st. I would also note that our first quarter and prior period financials include the results of the Maine, New Hampshire and Vermont operations. Beginning with the second quarter these operations will no longer be part of Verizon. To help investors adjust prior period results for the exclusion of these northern New England operations we will post reclassified historical information on our IR website within a few weeks. These reclassifications will only affect revenues, expenses and operating income. Earnings will be the same as previously reported. We will also adjust the appropriate volume metrics. With that I will now turn the call over to Doreen.
Doreen Toben
Good morning everyone. Before I get into the details let me start with the comments about our results. Results for the first quarter were strong and demonstrate that we weathered the economic uncertainty. We turned in another quarter of mid single digit revenue growth with good margin expansion and double digit earnings growth. In fact, this is the fifth consecutive quarter of double digit growth in EPS from continuing operations. Our key growth areas; Wireless, FiOS, and Enterprise Strategic Services continue to drive results. Verizon Wireless had a very good quarter of customer and revenue growth. Our positive momentum in FiOS drove broadband and video revenues over $1 billion this quarter. Within Verizon Business, Strategic Services revenue growth once again was in the low to mid 20% range. Now let’s get to some of the details. As you see on slide four we’ve had continued revenue growth and steady margin expansion in each of the last five quarters. Consolidated revenues grew $1.2 billion or 5.5% in the first quarter. Although Wireless is still our number one growth engine our other growth drivers are also picking up scale and momentum. As I noted just a moment ago broadband and video services toped the $1 billion mark this quarter with nearly 50% growth and Verizon Business, Strategic Services revenues of $1.4 billion grew in excess of 23%. While we sustained revenue growth in the mid single digits our operating margins have expanded each and every quarter. In the first quarter the operating income margin grew 140 basis points year over year to 18.7%. Our EBITDA margins also expanded 80 basis points year over year to 33.8%, bottom line our $0.61 of diluted EPS from continuing operations this quarter was up 13% year over year demonstrating our continued ability to translate top line growth into earnings improvement. Turning to slide five you can see our strong cash performance. In the first quarter cash flows from continuing operations grew 6.9% year over year to $5.4 billion. With our strong balance sheet and cash flows we’ve continued to invest in our network and new technologies to provide the platform for growth, innovation, and productivity. Capital expenditures were flat year over year at $4.2 billion and our capital efficiency continues to improve due to our top line growth. This quarter CapEx to revenue dropped to 17.7% an improvement of 70 basis points from a year ago. Obviously the recent acquisition of 700 MHz spectrum was also a key strategic investment to strengthen our ability to capture the enormous growth potential we see for years to come in Wireless. We ended the first quarter with total debt of $35.8 billion and $5.5 billion of cash on our balance sheet. This cash, along with the $4 billion of capital raised through long term borrowings in April was recently used to pay for the FCC auction 73 wireless licenses that we won. While investing for growth is critical to value creation we are also focused on returning value to our share owners. To that end we’ve continued pay a very competitive dividend and also repurchase shares. During the first quarter we were opportunistic taking advantage of market conditions to repurchase one billion of our common stock. We expect to continue repurchasing shares at a more normal rate but maintain the ability to increase buy backs if warranted by market conditions. Let’s look now at our segment results beginning with Verizon Wireless on slide six. We continue to see strong customer growth particularly in our retail subscriber base. Total net adds were 1.5 million of which 1.3 million were retail post-paid. Retail post-paid customers comprise nearly 93% of our total base and clearly remain the primary focus of our business. Pre-paid is still approximately 4% of the base and we added 168,000 retail pre-paid customers this quarter which is about the same as first quarter last year. As you know, only 3% of our base is not retail. Reseller net adds were 20,000 in the quarter. Our growth add performance was also strong this quarter with retail growth adds up 6.5% and total growth adds up 4.4% year over year. Churn remains very low with total churn of 1.19% and retail post-paid churn of 0.93%. Both were seasonally down sequentially as expected. Turning to revenues we sustained our record of strong double digit growth, total revenues increased to $11.7 billion in the first quarter up 13.2% over last year. Service revenue topped the $10 million mark this quarter up 12.8% year over year and 2.7% sequentially. Retail service revenue grew 13.3% year over year as retail service ARPU increased by 1.3% to $51.40. About two thirds of the growth in total service revenue is from Wireless data. In the first quarter Wireless data revenue exceeded $2.3 billion up nearly 49% over last year. Retail data ARPU increased almost $3.00 year over year to $11.94. Data now represents 23% of total service revenue up from 17.5% a year ago. More than 48 million or about 74% of our retail customers had some form of data usage in the quarter and 58% of our retail base has a broadband capable devise up from 40% a year ago. As strong as these results are we see continued momentum and excellent future growth opportunities ahead in Wireless data. As we mentioned on our Spectrum Auction conference call a few weeks ago we believe we are in a unique position to tap into the exploding data market opportunity. The acquisition of 700 MHz licenses clearly enhanced our spectrum position and we achieved all of the objectives we had going into the auction. Our first goal was to obtain nationwide clear spectrum to maximize our growth potential. We also wanted to increase the depth and breadth of our footprint particularly as it related to future capacity in key markets. As a result of our success we increased our spectrum inventory by about 60%. Across the top markets we have a total average spectrum depth of about 85 MHz. With regard to our open development initiative we held our developers conference a little over a month ago in New York. The feedback has been great with lots of interest on the part of the developer community and no shortage of unique ideas and opportunities for innovation. To say the least the combination of our global broadband networks, our enhanced spectrum position, our 4G plans with LTE and the innovation that will come from our open development initiative makes us very bullish about our future growth opportunities. In summary, our strong Wireless performance demonstrates once again our ability to execute in a very competitive environment. We are confident in our ability to sustain double digit revenue growth; our continued dominance in the retail post-paid market is strengthening our high quality customer base and helping to drive further increases in data usage and growth. Our focus on retention and operational efficiencies has resulted in industry leading profitability. This quarter was no exception; EBITDA grew 5.7% on a sequential basis and 14.3% year over year with margins expanding to 44.9%. As the industry leader, Verizon Wireless has a long list of first in terms of products and service innovations. Most importantly we’ve made all of these firsts work to our benefit in terms of growth, retention and profitability. We’re feeling very good about our position to capitalize on the enormous opportunities in Wireless data for years to come. To say the least, we are very upbeat about the prospects for Wireless growth in 2008 and beyond. Turning now to Wireline, our strategic FiOS product continued their impressive growth. In the first quarter growth in FiOS TV customers accelerated to 263,000. That’s a sequential increase of 16%. We now have more than 1.2 million FiOS TV customers which is 19% penetration. Over the past year we have added more than 850,000 customers. Total broadband subscribers, DSL plus FiOS internet increased to 8.5 million up 1.1 million or 15% from a year ago and we added 266,000 broadband customers in the quarter. In FiOS internet we have just over 1.8 million subscribers representing 23% penetration. Retail residential lines declined 622,000 in the quarter compared with 616,000 last quarter and 619,000 in the first quarter a year ago. We continue to see an increasing correlation between TV availability and line retention. At the end of the quarter we were able to offer video to 82% of the 7.9 million FiOS homes open for sale expanding our Triple Play availability. Earlier this month we filed our New York City application for a video franchise covering 3.1 million homes many of which are MDUs. We already passed about 20% of these premises with Fiber so the FiOS initiative is going very well and we are gaining scale and momentum. As we move into new markets we have a great opportunity to sustain and accelerate both customer and revenue growth. In addition, our capital unit costs are trending lower as we scale and we continue to be focused on productivity. We are clearly on track to attain our goal of at least 25% FiOS TV penetration and 35% to 40% FiOS internet penetration. The consumer retail business is increasingly centered on broadband, video and bundles. Our high growth broadband and video revenues represented almost 25% of the $3.8 billion legacy consumer revenues this quarter and were up 56% year over year. Broadband and video have also driven consumer retail ARPU to $61.02 an increase of 9.6% year over year. The average FiOS ARPU of about $129 per month is more than double the overall consumer retail ARPU. Since not everyone has all three services the Triple Play ARPU is even higher. You may recall we increased prices for selected products in the first quarter last year. We anticipate increasing prices once again on certain products and bundles in the second quarter this year. Now let’s take a Verizon Business. In this market we continue to see strong demand for strategic services which are focused on IP and data growth opportunities. Total revenues of $5.2 billion grew 0.4% year over year. As we discussed at our last earnings call first quarter revenues were impacted by some customers moving traffic off of our network. These strategic take backs resulted in a loss of one percentage point of year over year growth. We believe that the first quarter will be the low point in the year for Verizon Business revenue growth and expect to see steady improvement as we work through this loss. On the top chart on slide 12 I’ve displayed our global retail enterprise revenue which is clearly our primary strategic focus. Again, the growth rates in the last two quarters reflect the effects of the strategic take backs. Strategic services now represent about 27% of total Verizon Business revenue which grew 23.5% over first quarter last year driven by private IP, managed services and security. Along with the accelerating transition to IP we’re seeing a growing trend on the part of global customers to outsource their managed and professional services. We are increasing our ultra long haul capabilities and expanding our global reach to meet this continued solid demand. In summary, we are seeing continued shift to data in both the consumer and business markets as well as ongoing secular changes particularly in consumer. Total data revenues now represent almost 40% of total Wireline revenues and data growth is accelerating up 14.8% this quarter compared with last year. We are well positioned to address these secular changes as evidenced by the growing demand for our key strategic products. We expect the customer demand for FiOS to continue as well as demand for a strategic services in the enterprise space as more customers transition to IP and look to companies like ours to manage their networks and provide data security. Similar to prior years we made investments in marketing and productivity improvement initiatives early in the year. These investments along with a full effect of the telecom pricing increases and revenue improvement in enterprise will help drive revenue growth and year over year margin expansion. We have significant opportunities to reduce costs, for example we expect operational improvements in FiOS to continue and we are very much on track to meet our goal of becoming EBITDA positive this year. As far as forced reductions are concerned we have steadily reduced Wireline headcount over the past several years. In 2007 we reduced our Wireline workforce by about 6,500 people. We expect this trend to continue with ongoing reductions planned throughout the year. We are constantly focused on reducing our access costs and we continue to work hard in the systems integration area. Overall we believe that about half of our Wireline cost structure is variable which gives us confidence in our long term outlook for Wireline margins. We remain committed to increasing Wireline EBITDA margins to the 30% to 33% range during the planning period. To wrap up our growth strategy once again drove strong results in the first quarter. We have built positive momentum in all key growth areas. Our network capabilities and the strength of our products and services position us well to continue driving growth and margin expansion. At the same time we have operational initiatives in place to reduce costs. We believe that our strong cash flows will enable us to continue investing for growth and improved productivity for years to come. Our balance sheet is strong, we remain committed to increasing share on returns through competitive dividends and share repurchases. We are fully confident of our ability to grow the business, deliver strong operating results, and create solid long term share on returns. In short, we expect 2008 will be another year of strong operating and financial performance and with that I’ll turn it back to Ron.
Ron Lataille
Operator, Doreen and Denny are now available to take questions.
Operator
[Operator Instructions] Our first question today comes from John Hodulik of UBS. John Hodulik – UBS: A couple questions on Wireline margins. They came in a little bit lighter than we expected and I heard the comments on sticking to the 30% to 33% over the planning period. Can you give us an idea of how you expect the margins to trend for the quarter, is this the low point in the quarter then you go up from here or is it going to bounce around here for the next couple quarters? How that relates to what we saw in ’07, should it be sort of flattish versus ’07 or up versus ’07? You talked a little bit about some investments, some marketing and productivity; can you give us a little more color on what some of the spending was about here in the first quarter?
Denny Strigl
Let me begin this one. Yes, first quarter margin was flat year over year. If you look back at the last couple of years the first quarter margins are typically lower than the third and fourth quarters and the full year average. For us, this year was no different and it’s what we had expected. Although there are always some puts and takes every quarter there were no changes in the key drivers, those being FiOS, EBITDA showed good improvement, definitely some secular shifts in the core but no significant change in trend. There are some timing issues that affected revenues and margins for example in consumer the first quarter last year included $70 to $80 million of price increases. We decided to implement those price increases or similar price increases in the second quarter of this year. Also, in enterprise, Doreen and I have mentioned this before, we had some, what we call strategic take backs. They are actually some large accounts that were lost either before or just after our MCI merger. It has taken some time for those accounts to, the revenue actually to diminish. However, we are at a high point on that now. We will see that again in the second quarter of this year and then we’ll work through it. What’s the outlook? Our outlook for Wireline margins hasn’t changed as Doreen mentioned on her formal remarks we’re committed to increasing Wireline EBITDA margins to 30% to 33% range and my operating plan this year targets 80 to 100 basis point improvement in margins. Frankly it what Ivan and I are paying our executive team to do. I’m targeting margins to move from the mid 27% run rate to the low 28% range.
Doreen Toben
On productivity, mostly I would call it blocking and tackling, it’s a lot of systems work. We are really focused on reducing average handling time in the centers we’ve been working on order simplification, the multi-sessions for the reps, billing simplification. We are also doing a lot on more self service trying to get more click to chat which drives our costs down. We are trying to put some things for national screening to avoid misdirected calls. I would call it a lot of blocking and tackling. On the marketing side just a lot more media spends, some of it being the TV in the first quarter.
Operator
Our next question comes from Tom Sykes of Lehman Brothers. Tom Sykes - Lehman Brothers: Obviously a lot of angst, when the unlimited plans were announced earlier this year. Can you share with us what you are seeing in terms of current customers moving down and up as well as anything you are seeing with respect to new customers in this category? In a related vein, can you talk to us about what data take rates are with these unlimited plans?
Denny Strigl
I will take that question. The status of the unlimited plan is as follows; we don’t typically comment on pricing results but given the controversy of the unlimited plans I’d like to try to put this to rest. We’re pleased with the results of our $99 unlimited plan. We’re seeing good growth in high tier voice plans. We’ve seen churn benefits and data growth and let me give you some specifics. Nearly 90% of our unlimited plan gross adds are single lines. In the first quarter our unlimited plan accounted for 13% of our single line retail post-paid adds. That compares to about 4% choosing the $99 or above tiers before the plan was launched. Additionally, a high percentage of the new customers who choose an unlimited plan also choose our select or premium data packages. From a churn perspective in March which was the first full month after the launch our average daily disconnects declined 6% from previous months and that is at the voice access tier $79 and above. As expected our churn improved in the high tiers as well. At this point we’re very happy with the way this plan is moving in the market for us. Tom Sykes - Lehman Brothers: Even with some customers moving down this basically was accretive in the first quarter it was rolled out, is that correct?
Danny Strigl
Remember there’s only one month in the first quarter. It was in the first month as far as we can see, very good for us and accretive, yes.
Operator
Your next question comes from David Barden of Banc of America. David Barden - Banc of America: On the flip side of the Wireline margin equation you guys were at the top end of your 43% to 45% margin expectation for the quarter. If one wanted to look at it on the positive side one would say that you guys are taking great market share even at the high end of your margin band and you might go north from here. On the other side you might say that this is the low watermark for Wireline margins and that as Wireline margins drift up you might decide to bring the Wireline margins back down to take share over the balance of the year. I’d love to hear your thoughts on that. As a second question, to tie off the year over year comparisons I remember last year changes in deprecation methodologies and things were an issue and how they affected earnings in the quarter. Could you address what, if any changes this quarter took place?
Doreen Toben
You’ve flipped between Wireless and Wireline, are you asking both? David Barden - Banc of America: More about whether the objective with Wireline margins is either to balance off Wireline margins and as Wireline margins go up we should expect Wireless margins to come down or given that you’re at the high end of your Wireless margin guidance and you’re taking the highest market share in the market are you comfortable now at the higher end of these levels and maybe even going north from here?
Doreen Toben
First of all, no, we’re not balancing off Wireless margins to Wireline margins; we don’t do that at all. The first part of the question was no. I think we stay with our 43% to 45% guidance on Wireless margins. I’m not going to go different than we’ve given you on traditional metrics. What else was in that question was there anything else? David Barden - Banc of America: That was the crux of that question. The second part was on the depreciation year over year.
Doreen Toben
On the depreciation we had a very small move in depreciation and we disclosed that in the K. No, there are really not many changes. If you look at our deprecation in aggregate in total you’re not going to see much difference year over year when you go to the Verizon level so not much of a change.
Operator
Your next question comes from Simon Flannery of Morgan Stanley. Simon Flannery - Morgan Stanley: I wonder if you could drill down into broadband for us a little bit. We obviously saw continued strong FiOS results but DSL continues to soften. Maybe you can update us on the number of FiOS customers that are taking DSL now and some of your moves to upgrade the speed that side of the FiOS footprint. What do you think is driving the year over year declines, is it really an issue of saturation or market share or are we seeing some economy there as well?
Denny Strigl
Here’s what I’ll say about that. First DSL growth adds as you may have seen here are up sequentially this quarter 6%. Migrations to FiOS internet were up 100 basis points to 23%. Business migrations were up about 400 basis points. Excluding FiOS migrations churn has not changed. We expect this dynamic to continue. We’re boosting DSL speeds, to your question to seven meg is some areas and we’re also doing some additional marketing. This is designed to help the gross adds but also we feel you can expect continued migrations to FiOS internet and migrations actually we think could accelerate. What’s important is the total broadband remains strong. This quarter FiOS internet subs were up by one million year over year and DSL up about 170,000. Simon Flannery - Morgan Stanley: No real impact from bad debts on the economy or anything like that?
Doreen Toben
No, we’re taking a look, as you know I look at daily, weekly, and monthly metrics as far as uncollectible we’re not really seeing it at all. No change in trends there at all or in lines so no from the DSL and uncollectible not at all.
Operator
Your next question comes from David Janazzo of Merrill Lynch. David Janazzo - Merrill Lynch: Last quarter following up on the economy, last quarter you had ticked off a number of metrics that you were monitoring across the business, can you give us an update on that?
Doreen Toben
No, I still look at all of those metrics even more if I can get a hold of them. We are really not seeing changes in trend. Actually if you look at Wireline the uncollectible number is actually down year over year so it’s much improved. Wireless has certainly stabilized. If I look at access line trends around the country trends have remained the same. As I look at all that it’s the same. I would also point you to, if you look at our volume metrics, we had very strong Wireless net adds, the FiOS net adds were really strong. Verizon Business funnel remains strong, ARPU was up both in consumer and Wireline and Wireless data revenues were up, the broadband video increased. Right now, although I’m continuing to monitor, but as I’m looking at this I’m really not seeing any change in trends and no concerns at this time. David Janazzo - Merrill Lynch: You had mentioned a correlation between FiOS and access line losses and I’ve heard you give statistics on that before, can you give us an update, the latest thinking on that?
Doreen Toben
It continues to get stronger and stronger. I’ve mentioned a couple times that I look at those essential offices or areas in every single one of the states where we have FiOS video for over six months. There is an incredible correlation at a minimum of 250 basis points many areas much higher 500, 700, 1,000 basis points. In those areas that have both data and video over six months, the correlation continues very strong.
Operator
Our next question comes from Michael Rollins of Citigroup. Michael Rollins – Citigroup: I was wondering if you could talk about how diluted FiOS is to the EBITDA and EBITDA margin currently and what are your plans to break even on that basis?
Doreen Toben
Right now I would say that it’s really on tract to the EBITDA positive so we feel really good about the numbers. We feel really good about all the capital and expense metrics that we’re seeing capital is probably better than I expected all the expense metrics on hours and what not actually better than planned. At this point FiOS is really not diluting on a sequential basis the EBITDA so you’re not seeing, that is not a cause of the sequential decline at all. Expect it to be positive by the end of the year.
Operator
Our next question comes from Mike McCormack of Bear Stearns. Mike McCormack - Bear Stearns: A couple things, first on the Verizon Business side can you guys give us an update on where you stand on the margin improvement opportunity there and also maybe just comment on the competitive dynamic? Secondly, you mentioned that there’s a possibility for pricing increases in 2Q on FiOS product. Can you give us a sense for how you guys feel comfortable doing that as far as the competitive dynamics whether it’s the cable pricing or demand on your side?
Denny Strigl
Let me begin this question. Overall for Verizon Business feeling very good about the competitive strengths we have in the marketplace. Unsurpassed global network capability, some solid sales and service teams in place with global reach and scale. Broad product portfolio led by IP capabilities both MPLS private line IP, security services and Ethernet portfolio and coverage. I think we’re in very, very good shape against the competition. Maybe what’s selling for us. We’re seeing increased opportunities with large complex deals as more enterprises look to outsource and consolidate to one vendor. We’ve been pleasantly surprised over the last couple of quarters in that regard. We’re also selling IP network services and that’s actually driven by growing data communications requirements, security services let by cyber trust offerings going well for us. Managed service for LAN, WAN and other devices looking good for us. One of the questions you all have asked us in the past concerns competitive pricing pressures and the market continues to be competitive but we think Verizon has benefited from consolidation and weakness in some of the other competitors. Pricing will always be competitive but we continue to focus on value. The write down activity has been stable and first quarter ’08 pretty much in line with first quarter of ’07.
Doreen Toben
On the margin side for Verizon Business we’ve made great progress so that’s been on plan. I would point to one thing and I think you’ve heard us talk to it before. The fact the large strategic revenues that we lost from one or two particular customers actually had very good margins. That was part of the sequential decline in margins was really driven out of a particular contract or two from that standpoint. What was your FiOS question was it on pricing? Mike McCormack - Bear Stearns: The price increase, how you’re comfortable doing that, whether or not the cable pricing is that wide of a disparity and just thoughts generally.
Doreen Toben
Yes, I think you’ll see us move up pricing probably end of this quarter, early next quarter. Obviously we think it’s a superior product, we think we’ve had great sales, we’re very comfortable moving up the pricing at this point. Mike McCormack - Bear Stearns: Are you seeing a disparity between the competitive pricing of where you guys are?
Doreen Toben
No, I think that we’re actually pretty close. Everybody still has that $99 bundle. Then there’s a little bit of a tax issue with us. I did disclose in the script sort of for the first time the $129 ARPU which I think is not the Triple Play, that’s the average which if you were to assume that’s an average not everybody has the Triple Play that is the ARPU for the Triple Play of course is much higher than that. I think that’s a pretty impressive number as I at least look at the competitors.
Operator
Your next question comes from Tim Horan from Oppenheimer. Tim Horan - Oppenheimer: Two clarifications and then a follow up. Is this take rate a pretty good run rate do you think, I might have missed this in your commentary and then maybe an update on where you are with your FiOS penetration in your most mature markets at this point?
Doreen Toben
On the tax rate actually we had given guidance of 35% to 37% I would probably tell you I might move that guidance down to 35% to 36%. I am actually looking, there are some issues that are under tax investigation and so we may have something settled next quarter which will in fact bring the rate lower for the second quarter. I would use a 35% to 36% as opposed to the 35% to 37%. On the penetration question you had as far as FiOS was what? Tim Horan - Oppenheimer: In your most mature markets the ones you’ve been in for more than two years where you are at now?
Doreen Toben
I guess in TV I would say we’re certainly well over 25, we’ve got some with a four in front of it then we’ve got several with threes in front of it so very strong. I would say on internet I think almost everybody has at least a two in front of it and many of them have a three in front of it. I would say some in the 40s which is at the high end then mostly in the 20s. Tim Horan - Oppenheimer: In your comments you said in five quarters of double digit earnings growth and you’re not seeing big impact yet from the economy. Any reason that can’t continue, if I’m looking at the trends here in Wireless it does seem like the margins continue to expand there and you talk about Wireline margins expanding. The tax rate being stable, depreciation being stable, doing stock buy backs, it looks like the double digit can continue for a while maybe absent the economy really slowing.
Doreen Toben
We don’t give quarter specific guidance. We’ve certainly given business plan guidance so over the plan we’re certainly comfortable with double digits. I don’t disagree with certainly Wireless continues to go well, Wireline, Denny gave you some guidance as to where we think it will go. I’m not going to give you specific quarterly guidance.
Operator
Your next question comes from Chris Larsen of Credit Suisse. Chris Larsen - Credit Suisse: The first is just a clarification, on the price increases on the FiOS side is that an indication you’re going to increase the $99 bundle or are those components in there? Secondly, you had the incremental margin pressure in this first quarter some of it came from the FiOS TV offer where you got the free TV, can you give us a quantification of maybe what we might see trend back? There was some talk of constraints in whether the installers or A/C boxes can you give us an update on where you are there and how you are doing on installations of FiOS?
Doreen Toben
On the price increases I think we will keep the $99 price. What we are doing is whether it’s set top boxes or its premium channels or miscellaneous so I think the $99 bundle will stay because that’s where everybody else is so you’ll see in different spots there. As far as giving you a specific number on the TVs I won’t do that. I will tell you that marketing expenses will probably trend somewhat down from where they were in the first quarter.
Denny Strigl
We’re pretty much caught up on the HD boxes; the production is in good shape at this point. There are still some that we are replacing that had been in the field and sold early on, pretty much through the problem all together. Chris Larsen - Credit Suisse: If I could ask one more, there’s some talk that you could capitalize the interest expense in the spectrum have you made a final determination on that? If you do decide to capitalize it how long can you capitalize it, is it until you deploy the 700 MHz spectrum?
Doreen Toben
The answer is yes, you would capitalize it until you deploy it. At current course and speed I anticipate that we will capitalize most of it. However, I’m not going to get out in front of my accountants in that we need E&Y and Deloitte to both sign off on the plan that we put together. Until that that’s really signed off by them other than the intent is to capitalize most of it. When I get that all done I’ll let you know. You should think about it that way. Chris Larsen - Credit Suisse: That would be amortized over the 40 year period of the spectrum?
Doreen Toben
I guess I’m not going to go through that until I get the final from the accountants.
Operator
Your next question comes from Jason Armstrong of Goldman Sachs. Jason Armstrong - Goldman Sachs: First regarding the recent access line sale in northern New England lost of nuances you saw there at the public utility commission level. I’m just wondering as you look forward does this change the appetite at all for further access line sales in your base. Second, in Wireless talking about LTE here can you give us any granularity around the cost to roll that out?
Denny Strigl
Let me start with the access line piece and we’re very pleased that we finally got into conclusion in New England with FairPoint. We think overall a good deal for both parties relative to looking at other access lines. I think it’s important to say we always look at possibilities but nothing planned at the present.
Doreen Toben
LTE as far as looking at the planning period it’s really less than EVDO was so this is not something that we see as a big increase of the capital budget.
Operator
Jonathan Chaplin of JP Morgan Jonathan Chaplin – JP Morgan: A quick follow up on the Wireline margins, I’m wondering if any of the normalizing items that you took in the quarter for Puerto Rico and for merger related expenses would have been captured in Wireline. If so, it seems like most of them probably were attributable to Wireline actually, in which case the margins would have been more, I think in the 28% range. Just looking at the sequential pressure, I understand that the large enterprise contracts or wholesale contracts, the move to where there are very high margin revenues, is there anything else besides the enterprise contracts would have accounted for the margin pressure, or is that just about all of it?
Doreen Toben
First of all, no, there is no PRTC or Dominican or anything in the Wireline margins, so Wireline is Wireline. I guess if you were to take, I'm not sure how helpful this is, if you were to take out some of the M&A normalization out of the Qs, you would see less of a sequential decline from fourth quarter to first quarter, if that was sort of your question. Then I think a lot of it I really talked about in the prepared remarks, which was we have got some marketing costs that were very heavy in the first quarter. You know some other mostly marketing in some of the Verizon Business contracts that were the first quarter pressure.
Ron Lataille
Operator, that’s our last question for the day and I’d like to thank everybody for joining us and we’ll see you again next quarter.