Valmont Industries, Inc.

Valmont Industries, Inc.

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Valmont Industries, Inc. (VMI) Q1 2010 Earnings Call Transcript

Published at 2010-04-22 19:55:16
Executives
Jeff Lauden – Manager, Investor Relations Mogens Bay – Chairman, Chief Executive Officer Mark Jaksich – Vice President, Corporate Controller Terry McClain – Senior Vice President, Chief Financial Officer
Analysts
Arnold Ursaner – CJS Securities Brent Theilman – D. A. Davidson James Bank – Sidoti & Company Ned Borland – Hudson Securities Jonathan Bratz – Kansas City Capital Steven Gambuzza – Longbow Capital Michael Coleman – Stern, Agee
Operator
I would like to welcome everyone to the Valmont Industries first quarter earnings conference call. (Operator Instructions) I will now turn the conference over to Mr. Jeff Lauden, Manager of Investor Relations.
Jeff Lauden
Welcome to the Valmont Industries first quarter 2010 earnings conference call. With me today are Mogens Bay, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Terry McLain, Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer and Mark Jaksich, Vice President and Corporate Controller. Before we begin, please note that this discussion is subject to our disclosure on forward-looking statements which applies to today’s talk and will be read in full at the end of the call. The instructions for accessing a replay of the call can be found in our press release. I would now like to turn the floor over to our Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Mogens Bay.
Mogens Bay
Good morning everybody and thank you again for joining us. Let me begin with first quarter highlights. Sales decreased 19% and net earnings declined 54%. Second, operating income in the utilities portfolio segment decreased 64% on a 38% decline in sales. Third, the results in the Engineered Support Structures segment were weaker, impacted by slow global markets. Fourth, global irrigation results were somewhat improved, and fifth, unusually harsh weather conditions throughout the Northern Hemisphere, interfered with production, shipping and the availability of our customers to store products. Sixth, the after tax expense associated with the Delta acquisition was approximately $3.3 million for the quarter. Before turning to the quarterly performance by segment, I’d like to make a few comments about our proposed offer for Delta PLC in the U.K. To recap the rational for the acquisition, their product lines either fit perfectly with ours such as galvanizing and poles, or are potential new growth platforms such as highway safety products and access systems. We also like the fact that they operate in the fast growing Southeast Asia economy and the resource driven Australian economy where our footprint today are limited. In support of this transaction, we last week issued $300 million of senior unsecured notes with a ten-year maturity and a 6 5/8 coupon. Delta’s Board has stated that Valmont’s offer represents the most attractive opportunity for their shareholders to realize value of their investment. Since we remain in the offer period, we are limited in what we can say about the transaction and must abide by the regulatory disclosure rules, any further details about the transactions can be found in the offer document which is posted on Valmont’s and Delta’s websites. Let’s now review the first quarter results. I’ll begin with the Utility Support Structure segment where sales decreased 38% to $113 million and operating income fell 64% to $14.7 million or 13% of sales. As we discussed in the fourth quarter conference call, this year’s Utility business stands in sharp contrast to last year. This time last year, we had a record backlog that included large project orders. We were in a favorable pricing environment and raw material costs were declining. This year our backlog is one-half what it was last year. We have fewer project orders, more competitive pricing environment and rising steel costs. Some utilities in the space of declining revenues have cut back capital investment for 2010 and moved projects later for ’10 to ’11 and beyond. In our discussion with utility customers, they affirm their commitment to continue the necessary investments to build and upgrade the North American transmission grid. The projects on the drawing board should be implemented and are merely delayed. Nothing has changed the necessity to improve the capacity and reliability of the grid. In our International market, sales were off significantly from last year. We’ve been fulfilling shipments on project orders for Africa from some of our plants in Europe and China and sales within China were higher than last year. Economic growth cannot take place without reliable supply of electricity. Valmont’s global utility business is favorably positioned to participate in the build out and developing economies and upgrades to the transmission infrastructure in developing economies. At the beginning of this year, our utility division made the transition into a global division. This will allow our utility management to put more focus on the significant international opportunities that exist in transmission, substation and distribution support structures. In the Engineered Support Structure segment, sales decreased 21% to $107 million. Operating income declined 59% to $2.6 million or 2.4% of segment sales, mainly due to lower volume, i.e., deleverage. In North America, lighting and traffic sales were lower. State budgets are under stress from lower tax revenues. This constrains a State’s ability to access Federal matching funds for their roadway projects. The lack of a multi-year highway bill leads to a reluctance to begin larger multi-year projects. The recent extension of the 2005 highway bill until the end of this year will help though the annual funding is significant and Congress commitment to infrastructure tied to job growth is a positive sign for our industry. Commercial lighting sales remain under pressure by weak construction markets. Our markets in the Northern Hemisphere suffered from an unusually harsh winter. European markets were also mostly lower impacted by economic weakness. Global wireless structure sales were lower and North American carriers investment in structure is down year to date and in China partly due to the reorganization of their country’s wireless industry, there’s been a delay in letting bids this year that will likely lead to a smaller total market size for that product line in China for 201. In the Irrigation segment, sales were 5% higher at $109 million. The Irrigation segment operating income was 29% higher and was 14.2% of sales. In North America, farmer sentiment is somewhat improved compared to last year but still cautious for capital investments. International irrigation markets were mixed. Easing credit conditions and government stimulus programs benefited some of our markets. Others were negatively impacted by continued economic slowness. Last year during the first quarter, certain project orders were shipped but did not repeat this year. Our outlook for the long term continues positive. Mechanized irrigation remains very strong and a growing market driver. Population growth, expanding middle class, improving diets are all favorable industry trends when coupled with concerns over water availability and the inefficient use of water by some irrigation methods, mechanized irrigation equipment is a clear beneficiary. In the Coating segment, first quarter sales were $27.9 million, 7% lower than last year due to lower internal volumes, particularly utility, and a decline in U.S. manufacturing activity. One of our key input costs is zinc. Zinc costs rose faster than we could increase prices in the first quarter. Operating decreased 24% to $4.5 million or 16.2% of sales as a result of volume deleverage and the higher zinc costs. Turning to our financial measures, inventories were down significantly compared to last year. Accounts receivable declined compared to last year reflecting lower sales activity. Cash and debt balances were up as we drew on the revolver for cash requirements to be able to bid. Depreciation and amortization for the quarter was $11.2 million and capital expenditures were $4.6 million. Taxes are down in dollars but the tax rate increased due to lower tax credit from last year, non-deductible expenses related to the acquisition and lower international profitability. We expect the tax rate for the year to be approximately 34% not counting any tax impact relating to the planned Delta acquisition. We still expect 2010 earnings to be approximately 25% lower than last year not including any impact from Delta or acquisition expenses. We expect a seasonal uptick in our infrastructure businesses as the year progresses and a continuation of a modest improvement in our irrigation businesses. Despite the uncertainty in economic conditions, there is certainty in the need for our products. Our lighting and traffic products enhance nighttime safety and help reduce traffic congestion. Our utility support structures enable the transmission of electricity to support economic growth, and our irrigation products enhance farmers’ productivity while helping conserve fresh water resources. These are great businesses to be in. Short term, we are dealing with the effects of a slow global economy but are well positioned to participate in the event of global economic recovery. This concludes the prepared portion of our remarks, and we would now like to take your questions.
Operator
(Operator Instructions) Your first question comes from Arnold Ursaner – CJS Securities. Arnold Ursaner – CJS Securities: The Delta deal expenses, where should we take those? Are they in the segment or in the corporate?
Mark Jaksich
Those are in corporate. The $2.2 million of acquisition related expenses are in there. The financing related costs are included in interest expense. Arnold Ursaner – CJS Securities: You Q2 guidance, higher than Q1. Is that excluding or including the deal expenses in Q1 and also since you did the deal for the debt in Q2, isn’t it likely you’ll have deal expenses in Q2 as well?
Mark Jaksich
That guidance does not include deal expenses related to Delta because the majority of those expenses are contingent on the closure of the transaction, so we’re not projecting those until that becomes more certain. Arnold Ursaner – CJS Securities: A question on ESS margins. Obviously, we’ve kept an eye on your company for years. Even last year was materially lower than your normal margin in ESS because you were cranking out utility poles. If I think about the 2.4% or so margin, and I know you do get some weather in that business that can impact things, if I were to think of a more normal margin, even at the lower end of historics, something more in the 6% range for that business which might have been impacted by weather, that alone would add almost $0.10 to earnings. Is that sort of the magnitude of the weather hit you took and would it be primarily in that segment?
Mogens Bay
I would say that a big portion of the weather hit was in that segment because we have a great number of plants and some of them experienced shut down as a result of the weather and all the products go to outdoor projects, and therefore we are dependent on the weather. But I would say that a big portion of the disappointing operating income in that business also is lack of absorption because of the lower volume. And I would agree with you that we would expect that segment as the year progresses to get much closer to the operating income that that business should deliver. Arnold Ursaner – CJS Securities: The irrigation margins were quite high relevant with my expectations and I think others, and frankly, completely different than your key competitor that reported a week or so ago where they talked about a lot of margin and pricing pressure. Was it just great execution on your part or are you seeing a different dynamic than your competitor?
Mogens Bay
I wouldn’t thing we’re seeing a different dynamic. I think that our irrigation people have executed well and I also think that when you have the comparison with last year, last year we were stuck with some high priced inventory going into the first quarter that compressed the margins at that time relative to what otherwise we would have expected, and therefore the comparison this year when we don’t have that additional burden makes it look better. So I think we have executed well, but I don’t think there’s any major change in how we behaved in the marketplace.
Operator
You're next question comes from Brent Theilman – D. A. Davidson. Brent Theilman – D. A. Davidson: With respect to the ESS segment, I guess now it’s a more material extension of the highway bill in place. Have you seen any pickup in terms of orders or anything to suggest that confidence has improved among the States?
Mogens Bay
I wouldn’t say that. And whereas it clearly is good news that funding has been put in place for this year, it is still not very good news because in order for States to plan projects that ultimately we will benefit from they really need to know the rules of the game going out further than now another nine months. So a high priority for us is to do whatever we can, and that isn’t much I realize, but a multi-year highway bill is going to be put in place because unless the State’s know what they have to deal with over a longer time horizon than just nine months, they’re going to be very reluctant to make commitments. Brent Theilman – D. A. Davidson: On the utility business and I’m just trying to understand the numbers here, but obviously difficult comparison year over year, but you did see a pretty sharp drop in margins just on a sequential basis on what I call a less dramatic decline in sales. Can you help me understand why there’s such a sharp drop just relative to Q4?
Mogens Bay
I would say that there are several reasons. One is lower absorption rates. We get a lot of leverage when the plants run full. Secondly, last year we really did not add SG&A to get that additional sales and therefore we had a tremendous SG&A leverage that obviously then went away. Further, the competitive pricing environment in the marketplace was much better last year when we had a very strong market. The same players are now going after a much lower activity level, and that puts some pressure on margins. Last year steel prices were declining and now they are again increasing. That may short term put some pressure on margins also. So it’s not one thing but the combination of them, and when we did through the numbers, that is the explanation why we are seeing what we normally would call very acceptable for this level operating income performance as a percentage of sales, but not what we got used to in 2009. Brent Theilman – D. A. Davidson: On irrigation, and just to clarify, did you see year over year growth in both the domestic and international regions?
Mogens Bay
I think most of the growth came in North America and I think international was about flat. Part of that was we saw growth in several regions, but it was offset by the lack of major project orders that we had in the first quarter of last year that did not repeat this year.
Operator
You're next question comes from James Bank – Sidoti & Company. James Bank – Sidoti & Company: I’d like to ask something on Delta if I could and I’ll be careful with the question, or I’ll try to. Delta has done roughly $500 million American in ’08 and ’09, operating margins at about 15%, after tax margin at about 9%. On a hypothetical, going out to 2011 it looks like the majority of their sales are coming from Southeast Asia and Australia. Is there any reason to think they couldn’t do such a number and keep those margins? What I’m getting at is, $50 million operating income on 26 million of your shares outstanding is a very big number.
Mogens Bay
Let me answer this way. First of all, if you go to Delta’s website, you will see there what they call trading forecast for the year, and if I recall correctly, they expect no major change in the market conditions where they operate and I have not heard of any major change in the profitability levels either. But do also keep in mind that in their numbers, they have a substantial impact from Delta EMD in South Africa and their minority in MMC in South Africa, all in the manganese business, which they are in the process of disposing of. So not only do you have the uncertainty in those business where profitability may move around more than they do in the businesses we are interested in, you also have the uncertainty as to timing as to when that business will be disposed of and what they will collect for the business. James Bank – Sidoti & Company: At that point, I think earlier you said, if this deal closes and manganese is still there it’s yours, but if not, then it’s not?
Mogens Bay
We have said we support their process of selling those businesses and if they’re not sold, if we complete this transaction, we will continue that process.
Operator
You're next question comes from Ned Borland – Hudson Securities. Ned Borland – Hudson Securities: On the utility business, in your conversations with your customers, what is the sense that these projects that have been pushed into 2011, what’s the risk that those get deferred further?
Mogens Bay
That’s a good question. I don’t have an answer for it, but I would say that to the extent economic growth returns to this country, and therefore the consumption of electricity will revert to an upward trend that will determine the timing for some on these projects. Over the last couple of years, I am led to believe that electric consumption has actually declined slightly in this country, which has given the utilities an opportunity to take a breather if you will on some of these projects. So I would say that the implementation of those projects, if I should guess would be somewhat dependent on the economic recovery in the U.S. Ned Borland – Hudson Securities: On irrigation, internationally I guess particularly in Mexico you alluded to government support programs. I guess there was in Mexico according to your competitor that reported a couple of weeks ago, and the deadline was March 15. I’m just wondering on the international landscape where there are consistent government support programs or things that can – areas of opportunity if you will in international irrigation.
Mogens Bay
Let me answer this way. There are in many markets, programs that sometime are short term in nature to stimulate activity and we participated in this additional opportunity in Mexico as did I’m sure the other companies in our industry. But our international business is so diverse geographically and we participate in so many markets that we don’t see major shifts in the overall activity level driven by government support or intervention. By and large, it’s the economics facing the farmers in relationship to investment in this kind of equipment. Ned Borland – Hudson Securities: In coatings, your pending acquisition with Delta plus a major competitor of yours, actually two competitors of yours are going to be consolidating it looks like shortly. What are your thoughts on the pricing on galvanizing going forward. I know it’s a very regional business, but can you help us think about how pricing looks post the closing of these two deals?
Mogens Bay
Let me pick up on the statement you made which is very correct that this is a regional business. So whereas often when you have consolidation of industries, you go, oh this will create more pricing power. That’s not necessarily the case in the galvanizing business because a galvanizing facility can only serve a certain geographic area. Having said that, the more you have competitors having price discipline participating in an industry, yes it is more likely that you will have more discipline in pricing and I think that the company that’s also consolidating in this industry, I think they have a pretty good reputation for being a disciplined players.
Operator
You're next question comes from Jonathan Bratz – Kansas City Capital. Jonathan Bratz – Kansas City Capital: With your operations sort of below par at the moment, do you see any need for any meaningful or structural changes in your operating facilities, plant consolidations or things like that. I know you’re not happy with the margins, but given the environment, do you see any need to change anything?
Mogens Bay
We constantly evaluate within the various business groups how we are structured and particularly in ESS over the last year or so, we have made substantial changes. We are not contemplating any overall structural change as to how we operate and we at the current time are not contemplating moth balling a plant or anything like that. We have the opportunity to do that if we think that is a better overall use of our assets, but by and large, we do react within each business unit to their business conditions, but structurally, we are not contemplating any changes. Jonathan Bratz – Kansas City Capital: You also made a couple of remarks about rising steel costs and zinc costs. Would you expect to be caught up here in the second quarter or is that more of a second half catch up?
Mogens Bay
It depends on what happens with steel prices. I mean in the general weak global economy, it is somewhat surprising that steel prices have been moving as fast as they have. But part of that is more discipline in the steel industry. They’re very good at taking capacity out when the demand is not there, and I don’t blame them for doing that. So it really depends on what happens through the rest of the year. Rising steel prices provide a couple of challenges for us. One is making sure we get ahead of the curve or follow getting the pricing out in the marketplace. A big driver for steel price increase now is that the market went away from one year contracts to I don’t know, this more spot market contracts and iron ore prices have been going up a lot. We also internally have a big portion of our inventory in North America on LIFO and therefore, as steel prices go up not only do we have to be fast in the marketplace, but we also a have to probably build our LIFO inventories and as you know, the whole purpose behind LIFO is to delay earnings in inflationary times. Jonathan Bratz – Kansas City Capital: Same thing with zinc?
Mogens Bay
Zinc is a little bit different. Right now there’s really no underlying reason why zinc prices should have gone up the way they did. There’s nothing in inventory that would dictate that. They are probably financial speculation in those markets and our galvanizers have been pretty good at passing on zinc price increases, so I’m less worried about zinc.
Operator
You're next question comes from Steven Gambuzza – Longbow Capital. Steven Gambuzza – Longbow Capital: Just a question on the comments you made about the margin profile in the utility segment where you noticed some pricing pressure and weaker demand. At the same time, it sounds like your outlook is calling for a sequential improvement as orders have improved a bit. Given your outlook for earnings for the year, should we expect a sequential improvement in margins over the rest of the year or do you expect Q1 margins were kind of trough or the way things get down before improving?
Mogens Bay
I think when we talked about improvement in orders in the utility business we were really talking about some of the larger orders that are only going to be delivered in 2011 and onwards. I think we will see in the utility business this year, probably margins around what we saw in the first quarter. If the order situation improves a little, if steel price increase is modified, it can move a couple of points but it certainly is not going to move to the high teens or into 20. Steven Gambuzza – Longbow Capital: I guess I just get concerned that given some of the dynamics you talked about rising steel prices, weak demand, that the steel prices are going to keep rising, and the rest of the picture might not change all that much over the next few quarters. Is your guidance for 25% earnings decline, does that take into account, is there enough risk factor around the steel price risk issue in your opinion.
Mogens Bay
I would say the 25% guidance which is unchanged from our last conference call is based on what we know today and what we see happening in the marketplace. Steven Gambuzza – Longbow Capital: How did coatings perform relative to your expectations in the quarter. You had some margin weakness there on zinc. Was that pretty much in line with what you were expecting?
Mogens Bay
They’re pretty much performing according to what we planned for the year. They had a little price on margin in the first quarter but they still hung on to more than 16% operating income, which is very good in a weak economy and fast rising zinc costs. I think they operated very well.
Operator
You're next question comes from Arnold Ursaner – CJS Securities. Arnold Ursaner – CJS Securities: Regarding the corporate expense, you mentioned the $2.2 million or so is onetime expense. Your run rate of around $8 million is well below where you’ve been. Is that what we should be thinking for the balance of the year or was there some bonus accrual reversals or some one time other items in corporate expense.
Mogens Bay
Clearly incentive pay. As you know, we operate in a way that if we do well we’ll make bonuses and if we don’t, they disappear and right now it looks like they may disappear.
Mark Jaksich
The incentive accruals at the corporate level throughout a number of the business units are down compared with last year in line with lower earnings, and there is some additional discretionary expense that went down. The lion’s share of it is that. Arnold Ursaner – CJS Securities: Assuming that you can achieve your guidance for the year, how should we think about the corporate expense line for the balance of the year? What’s embedded in that for you in terms of corporate expense?
Mark Jaksich
I believe it’s going to be pretty similar to what you’ve seen in the first quarter assuming everything plays out the way the first quarter did.
Terry McClain
The other big variables are things like health care, workman’s compensation expenses etc. At this stage though, I think Mark is giving you our best estimate of what’s going on. Arnold Ursaner – CJS Securities: On the PP&L contract that you won, I think if it’s not the largest, it’s certainly one of the largest you’ve achieved. When you have to take a contract that you’re probably not going to deliver the product the $70 million of revenue or so until 2012, how do you structure a contract like that to deal with rising costs and other variables? What commitment have you made in terms of the contractual agreement?
Mogens Bay
Let me start by saying I don’t know the details of the contract and it is one of the largest ones we’ve had, not the largest. But knowing how the utility business operates, there will be indexes that deals with steel cost so that the overall size of the contract can move up or down depending on what happens to steel cost at the time. Arnold Ursaner – CJS Securities: Your view is that even though it’s going to be, will not be delivered for quite awhile, you believe you structured it prevent fixed price contracts could be problematic that we should keep an eye on.
Mogens Bay
I do. Arnold Ursaner – CJS Securities: Three more questions on Delta. One is, I believe the final remaining regulatory hurdle is the Australian commission. Could you update us on that?
Mogens Bay
That has been cleared. Arnold Ursaner – CJS Securities: So is it fair to say you no longer have regulatory hurdles in the way of the transaction.
Mogens Bay
On the assumption it will close, when U.S. companies acquire other companies and acquire inventory, we tend to write them up and you have a margin hit when that occurs. Would a similar thing be likely with Delta?
Mark Jaksich
That’s true, and I think, actually if I recall in the prospectus on the bond deal, there was a number that was kicked out there at about $3.5 million. We don’t know for sure what that’s going to be because we haven’t been through any detailed purchase price allocation work, but that’s our best estimate at this time. Arnold Ursaner – CJS Securities: Obviously, China has been a critical market for you, but you didn’t have certain utility or an as well position in certain utility oriented products in China. Does Delta have a better capability for you and is that an opportunity that you can exploit?
Mogens Bay
No.
Operator
There are no further questions. Gentlemen, do you have any closing remarks?
Mogens Bay
This concludes our call and we thank you for joining us today. This message will be available for playback on the internet or by phone for the next week. We look forward to speaking to you again next quarter, and at this time Brook will read our statement on forward-looking disclosures.
Operator
Included in this discussion are forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These forward-looking statements are based on assumptions that management has made in light of experience in the industry in which Valmont operates as well as management’s perceptions of historical trends, current conditions, expected future developments and other factors believed to be appropriate under the circumstances. As you listen to and consider these comments, you should understand that these statements are not guarantees of performance or results. They involve risk, uncertainties, some of which are beyond Valmont’s control and assumptions. Although management believes that these forward-looking statements are based on reasonable assumptions, you should be aware that many factors could affect Valmont’s actual financial results and cause them to differ materially from those anticipated in the forward-looking statements. These factors include among other things, risk factors described from time to time in Valmont’s reports to the Securities and Exchange Commission as well as future economic and market circumstances, industry conditions, company performance and financial results, operating efficiencies, availability and price of raw material, availability and market acceptance of new products, product pricing, domestic and international competitive environments, and actions and policy changes in domestic and foreign governments. The company cautions that any forward-looking statement included in this discussion is made as of the date of this discussion and the company does not undertake any update to forward-looking statements.