Rite Aid Corporation (RAD) Q4 2018 Earnings Call Transcript
Published at 2018-04-12 15:13:07
Matt Schroeder - Group VP, Strategy, IR and Treasurer John Standley - Chairman and CEO Kermit Crawford - President and COO Darren Karst - SVP, CFO and CAO
Nathan Rich - Goldman Sachs John Heinbockel - Guggenheim Securities Charles Rhyee - Cowen & Company Elizabeth Anderson - Evercore Mike - J.P. Morgan George Hill - RBC Capital Markets William Reuter - Bank of America Merrill Lynch Joe Stauff - Susquehanna Investments Carla Casella - J.P. Morgan
Good morning. My name is Michelle and I'll be your conference operator today. At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to the Rite Aid Fourth Quarter Fiscal 2018 Earnings Release. All lines have been placed on mute to prevent any background noise. After the speakers' remarks, there will be a question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions] I would now like to turn the call over to Mr. Matt Schroeder. Please go ahead.
Thank you, Michelle, and good evening, everyone. We welcome you to our Fourth Quarter Earnings Conference Call. On the call with me today is John Standley, our Chairman and Chief Executive Officer; Kermit Crawford, our President and Chief Operating Officer and Darren Karst, our Chief Financial and Chief Administrative Officer. On today's call, John and Kermit will provide an update on the business, Darren will provide an update on our fourth quarter results and then we will take questions. As we mentioned in our release, we are providing slides related to the material we will be discussing today. These slides are provided on our website, www.riteaid.com under the Investor Relations information tab. We will not be referring to them in our remarks, but hope you find them helpful as they summarize some of the key points made on the call. Before we start, I'd like to remind you that today's conference call includes certain forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements are presented in the context of certain risks and uncertainties that can cause actual results to differ. These risks and uncertainties are described in our press release, in Item 1A of our most recent Annual Report on Form 10-K and in other documents that we file or furnish to the Securities and Exchange Commission. Also, we'll be using certain non-GAAP measure in our release. The definition of these non-GAAP measures along with reconciliation to the related GAAP measure are described in our press release. Also included in our slides are the non-GAAP financial measures of adjusted EBITDA gross profit and adjusted EBITDA SG&A and the reconciliations of those measures to their specific GAAP measure. With these remarks, I'd now like to turn it over to John.
Thanks Matt. And thanks to everyone for joining us on the call this morning. During the fourth quarter, we made significant progress in a number of areas. Our Retail Pharmacy Segment delivered strong results with an increase in adjusted EBITDA over the prior year. Our Pharmacy Services Segment is off to a strong start in the new commercial selling season and shortly after the quarter ended, we completed our sale of 1,932 stores to Walgreens. However, our most significant development was that we entered into a definitive merger agreement with Albertsons to create truly differentiated leader in food, health and wellness. We are really excited about the merger. It makes sense for us strategically and financially. The merger will transform Rite Aid by increasing geographic presence, adding new levers for growth and solidifying our financial strength. As a result, the merger has the potential to create compelling value for our customers and shareholders. Our Board and management believe this merger is the best value enhancing alternative available for the company and our shareholders. Before I get into more specifics about the merger, let me spend a few minutes talking about our fourth quarter results. Our fourth quarter pro forma adjusted EBITDA from continuing operations was $173.2 million, compared to $180.8 million in the prior year period. Pro forma adjusted EBITDA from continuing operations is a new metric that we are introducing today. It takes our adjusted EBITDA and ad fees we would have earned on the Walgreens TSA, if all the stores sold to Walgreens were being supported under the TSA for the entire respective period, and backs out results for the extra week in fiscal 2017. In terms of these results, a key highlight was the improvement of our Retail Pharmacy Segment adjusted EBITDA compared to the prior year which was due in large part to stronger gross margin and good expense control Adjusted EBITDA decreased in the Pharmacy Services Segment primarily due to a decline in commercial business and changes in the composition of our Medicare Part D membership. As I mentioned earlier, we are seeing early success in our commercial and health plan businesses this selling season. Fourth quarter net loss from continuing operations was $483.7 million, compared to $25.1 million in the prior year period. A key factor was a $325 million income tax expense relating to the revaluation of our deferred tax assets in connection with the 2017 Tax Act. Another key factor was a goodwill impairment charge of a $191 million net of tax to adjust the book value of our Pharmacy Services Segment to the amount we paid for EnvisionRXOptions when we acquired it in 2015. Both of these items were non-cash charges. Fourth quarter adjusted net loss from continuing operations was $10.2 million or $0.01 per diluted share compared to adjusted net income of $0.02 per diluted share in last year's fourth quarter. Darren will provide additional information regarding our financial performance in just a few moments. Our team did a tremendous job of achieving stronger results in critical areas at a time when we were also transferring a majority of the 1,932 stores and related assets to Walgreens. As of March 27th, we successfully completed the store transfer process in exchange for cash proceeds of nearly $4.2 billion. This put our organization in a much better financial position heading forward. For example, as of March 3rd, our debt from continuing operations net of cash was approximately $2.9 billion. Overall, the transfer process went very well and we are currently supporting these stores through the TSA. In addition, transfer of the three previously announced distribution centers and related inventory is expected to begin after September 1st. As we've discussed on previous calls, the asset sale was a significant step in positioning Rite-Aid to be a financially stronger organization with an even better network of stores and attractive positions in key markets. As we continue to focus on building momentum, we're also highly focused on making the most of the transformational opportunity to accelerate our strategy through our merger with Albertsons. As a whole, the combined company is expected to operate approximately 4,900 stores including more than 4,300 pharmacies and over 300 health clinics serving over 40 million customers a week and generating pro-forma combined revenues of $83 billion. Adjusted pro forma EBITDA is expected to be approximately $3.7 billion including full run rate cost synergies. As previously announced, most of Albertsons grocery store pharmacies will be re-branded as Rite -Aid providing us with almost 1,800 additional pharmacy counters, along with access to new markets and a stronger presence in the markets where we currently operate. Through our combined store networks, EnvisionRxOptions and RediClinics, we can attract more high-value pharmacy customers who are the most valuable customers in food retail. The merger will also provide us new levers for growth like the opportunity to leverage Albertsons’ expertise in food and consumables, and their manufacturing capabilities to further transform the front end of our stores. We can use own brand expertise of both companies to create a best-in-class portfolio that increases sales and improves margins. We can use our existing loyalty programs to leverage enhanced analytics that create stronger relationships with our customers. We can also create a world class omni-channel platform that meets customers when, where and how they want to shop through our various store formats, food and prescription delivery options, and online and mobile capabilities. And finally, Rite Aid and Albertsons management have identified approximately $375 million in potential run rate cost synergies that we believe can be realized by February 26, 2022 with associated one-time costs of approximately $400 million. Rite Aid and Albertsons management have also identified approximately $3.6 billion in potential annual revenue opportunities that we both believe can also be realized by February 26, 2022 with associated one-time cost of approximately $300 million. We recently took an important step toward completing the merger with the expiration of the waiting period under the Hart-Scott-Rodino Act. The merger remains subject to other customary closing conditions including the approval of Rite-Aid shareholders and we will be setting a date and time for a special shareholder meeting in the coming months. Subject to these approvals, we expect the merger to close in the early part of the second half of calendar 2018. We are also pleased to see the results that Albertsons released yesterday which showed strong growth in comparable sales and adjusted EBITDA for the fourth quarter. As we look to make the most of this opportunity to form a powerful combination with Albertsons, we also have a lot of exciting developments underway to strengthen our business at Rite-Aid. At this time, I'd like to turn it over to our President and COO, Kermit Crawford for an update on key initiatives at our front end, pharmacy, and healthcare businesses. Kermit?
Thank you, John. And thanks to everyone for joining us today. As John said, in the fourth quarter we delivered stronger performance in key areas of our business and made important progress in deploying our strategy for the new Rite-Aid. One of our most powerful offerings is our Wellness Plus rewards program which has been a game changer for our business since its first launch in 2010. Overall, with increased member card use and new member growth in our wellness plus rewards program, our robust customer database has helped us to make better decisions on pricing, product mix and promotions based on the expectations of our best customers. In January, we introduced bonus cash reward, a simplified new cardholder benefit that has replaced the issuance of credit cards. And it's now a key driver in our weekly promotional program. Customers have responded positively to this highly compelling value proposition which has resulted in more engagement from our best customers. We continue to be focused on finding new ways to make this highly popular program even stronger. We have integrated sophisticated new tools and technology which incorporates machine learning and enables us to offer our customers' multi-channel, hyper personalized offers in addition to our weekly promotional programs. As we continue our evolution to include more one-on-one marketing, we will not only enhance our customer retention but also benefit our supplier partners by offering more targeted and efficient ways to reach engaged customers. We're really excited about how our marketing mix is evolving and how these new enhancements to our wellness plus rewards program are helping us grow our business by both strategic and profitably moving forward, benefiting both our pharmacy and front-end businesses. At the same time, we also continue to see positive results from our wellness store format, as these stores continue to outperform the rest of the chain in terms of front-end, same store sales and script count. In my 35 years of experience, these are the best-looking stores in our industry and they now make up nearly two-thirds of our retail footprint. We will continue converting additional stores to the wellness format while constantly challenging ourselves to drive innovation in these stores. Another key priority is growing our own private label brands. In the fourth quarter, own brand penetration for stores in our go forward network increased by six basis points to 18.94%, compared to the prior year period. And we're working aggressively to grow that number. As John alluded to, this is an area of our business that we are really excited about in terms of a potential combination with Albertsons. Food plays such a critical role in health and wellness and we have a tremendous opportunity to leverage Albertsons' food expertise in providing healthy choices that differentiate our offering, drives customer loyalty and grow profitability in the front end. In the pharmacy, we continue to make progress on the key initiatives we discussed, including general clinical programs like immunizations and medication adherence. We had an outstanding year with both flu shots and total immunization. In fiscal 2018, we set an all-time company record for total immunization with 4.4 million and our goal for restores administered more than 2.7 million these vaccinations. This is a big win for our team and we continue to emphasize the value of the non-immunizations we offer, which protect against health conditions like shingles, pneumonia and whooping cough. Our success with immunizations highlights the important role our pharmacist play beyond filling prescriptions. At Rite Aid, our primary objective in the pharmacy is to serve as the trusted advisor for our patients, like with personalized consultation, supporting medication education and adherence to help patients stay on track managing and improving their health. To help achieve this goal, we remain highly focused on better leveraging enhanced technology like our redesigned mobile app, one trip refilled program and text messaging alerts. These capabilities not only make it easier for patients to comply with their medication therapy, they also help us to operate more efficiently, freeing up time for our pharmacist to provide additional services like one-on-one counseling and truly becoming the trusted advisor. At the same time, one of our most immediate priorities has been to ensure we have sustainable economics for filling prescriptions. I'm pleased to report that we continue to make progress in engaging with our payer partners, and all major contracts have been signed for fiscal year 2019. We have better predictability on reimbursement rates and access and more importantly our pharmacy margin improved quarter-over-quarter. We've also begun having conversations with plan sponsors to potentially participate in additional Medicare Part D preferred networks in calendar 2019. We've also initiated the process for finding the best long-term options for effectively managing our drug purchasing costs. As we build momentum in the pharmacy, we continue to remain highly focused on script groom particularly through file buyers and by further integrating our healthcare businesses into our retail networks. As a reminder, we will fully cycle significant plan exclusions by the end of the second quarter and therefore expect same store prescription counts to be stronger in the back half of the fiscal year. On our third quarter call, we also discussed our significant progress with Medicare Part D enrollment for our PBM, EnvisionRX options. Through these efforts, we added approximately 188,000 new lives year-over-year as of January. We continue to see strong enrollment for the lock-in period to date through April 1st, 2018 and anticipate steady month- over- month growth through the remainder of the year. We continue to see increased script volume as a preferred pharmacy in Envision's Medicare Network. Our commercial and health plan businesses are seeing early successes this selling season with over 200,000 new lives already secured. We anticipate this sales momentum to continue as the year progresses as RFP volume is up 20% compared to the same period in 2017. To capitalize on the growth in the PBM, we are also launching integrated marketing campaigns that leverage Envision's PBM data and our wellness plus loyalty data aimed at driving Envision members to our stores. Specialty pharmacy continues to be an important opportunity in our go forward strategy. And we have seen strong growth in this key area of our business. Envision specialty revenue for the fourth quarter increased by 14% compared to the same period last year. We also are leveraging health dialogues predictive analytic capabilities to identify the best opportunity to improve medication adherence for patients and deliver positive health outcomes, which enhances our value proposition and payer driven performance networks. And finally, ready clinic continues to provide quality care in convenient retail settings. Our best performing locations have historically been in grocery stores and we see tremendous potential to expand this business through our proposed combination with Albertsons. As I said earlier, we made important progress during the fourth quarter, both in terms of our performance in key operational areas and the continued execution of our go- forward strategy. With a stronger network of stores and attractive position in key markets, we have tremendous confidence in our strategy for the new Rite-Aid. At the same time, we're excited about the potential to accelerate this strategy by combining with Albertsons to create a truly differentiated leader in food, health and wellness. Thank you for your time. Now we'll turn it over to Darren Karst for more information on our financial result. Darren?
Thanks Kermit, and good morning, everyone. Today, I will walk through our fourth-quarter financial results and review our fiscal 2019 guidance. I will also recap our progress on the WBA asset sale and the related use of proceeds, as well as touch on the recent termination of our tax benefits preservation plan. As of March 27th, we completed the sale and transfer of all 1,932 to WBA under the amended and restated asset purchase agreement and received cash proceeds totaling nearly $4.2 billion. This amount does not include about $220 million that would be received after we sell the three distribution centers to WBA sometime after September 1, 2018. The proceeds received today have been used to pay off all of our $970 million of term loans. We also completed a $900 million excess proceeds offer which resulted in an aggregate repayment of approximately $49 million under our 2020 notes, our 2021 notes and our 2023 notes. That is freed up cash proceeds to allow us to call the remaining principal on our 9.25% bonds due 2020 which we expect to pay off today. We also permanently reduced our revolver borrowing commitments from $3.7 billion to $3 billion to reflect our reduced borrowing needs. The receipt of proceeds and pay down of debt in the fourth quarter gave us a debt balance from continuing operations net of cash of about $2.9 billion as of year-end and a pro forma leverage ratio of 4.6x. With the completion of the sale of stores to WBA, our Board of Directors terminated the tax benefits preservation plan that had been originally adopted on January 3rd, 2018 because it has effectively served its purpose. As a result of the plan, we protected approximately $2.2 billion of Rite-Aid's net operating losses. I'll now turn to a review of our fourth-quarter results which reflect the stores that remain as part of continuing operations. Revenues for the fourth quarter were $5.4 billion which was a decrease of $509 million from the prior year fourth quarter. Excluding revenues of $312 million related to the extra week included in last year, total revenues decreased $197 million or 3.5%. Net income for the total company was $767.1 million or $0.73 per share versus a net loss of $21.1 million or $0.02 loss per share in last year's fourth quarter. Net loss from continuing operations was $483.7 million versus a net loss of $25.1 million in the prior year. The primary drivers of this difference were an income tax charge of $325 million relating to the revaluation of our deferred tax asset as a result of the 2017 Tax Act. And a goodwill impairment charge of $191 million net of tax. The effect of the goodwill impairment charge was to adjust the book value of the pharmacy services segment to $2.1 billion which is equal to the basis in the segment at the date of acquisition. Both of these charges were non-cash charges. Adjusted net loss in the current quarter was $10.3 million or $0.01 loss per share versus adjusted net income of $19.8 million or $0.02 per share in the prior year's fourth quarter. Adjusted EBITDA was $157.4 million in the current quarter, compared to a $167.6 million in the prior year's quarter. Our results from continuing operations are fully burdened for corporate administration costs that support both continuing operations and discontinued operations. This is without regard to the fact that we will receive payments from WBA under our transition services agreement or TSA to cover a portion of our corporate administer costs. Fiscal 2018 and fiscal 2017 quarterly results from continuing operations do not include $15.8 million and $24 million of fees respectively that would have been earned if all the stores sold to WBA were being supported under the TSA for the entire respective period. Pro forma adjusted EBITDA was a $173.2 million compared to a $180.8 million in the prior year, adjusted in both periods for the full inclusion of TSA fees and adjusted to deduct the impact of the extra week on the prior year results. This is a new metric that we are providing to provide greater comparability in our results. The decrease in adjusted EBITDA is primarily due to a decline in our EBITDA in our PBM. In our Retail Pharmacy Segment, our results improved year-over-year as we experienced some stabilization of pharmacy margins, while maintaining control of our costs. Retail Pharmacy Segment revenue for the quarter was $4 billion which was a $135.6 million or 3.3% lower than last year's fourth-quarter, adjusted to deduct the impact of the extra week in last year's results. The decrease was due to lower pharmacy and front-end sales. Overall, same store sales decreased 1.7% in the quarter. Front and same store sales decreased by 0.6% while pharmacy same store sales decreased by 2.3%. Pharmacy same store script count was down 1.8% on a 30 day adjusted basis, which was caused in part by being excluded from certain pharmacy networks where we were able to participate in last year. Retail Pharmacy Segment adjusted EBITDA in the quarter was a $124.1 million or 3.1% of revenues, which was $1.1 million higher than last year's fourth-quarter adjusted EBITDA of $123 million. Total Retail Pharmacy Segment gross profit dollars in the quarter were $76.4 million lower than last year's fourth quarter, but gross margin was 122 basis points higher as a percent of revenues. Excluding gross profit of $82.8 million related to the extra week last year, gross profit increased $6.4 million. Adjusted EBITDA gross profit was unfavorable to last year's fourth quarter by $91.1 million due to the extra week last year, but 77 basis points better as a percent of revenues. The improvement in gross margin was due to improved generic drug purchasing and a stabilization of reimbursement rates. Retail Pharmacy Segment SG&A expenses for the quarter were lower by $78.1 million compared to last year's fourth quarter, while SG&A rate as a percent of sales increased by a 100 basis points. Excluding SG&A expenses of $75.1 million related to the extra week last year, SG&A was $3 million higher. Adjusted EBITDA SG&A was $92.7 million better than the prior year due to the extra week last year, but 44 basis points worse primarily due to the negative expense leveraged from reduced sales. We did a good job of overall expense control but still lost some expense leverage due to our lower sales base. Adjusted EBITDA for the Pharmacy Services Segment of $33.3 million was $11.3 million lower than last year's fourth-quarter adjusted EBITDA of $44.6 million. The decrease is in part due to a reduction in revenue and an increase in SG&A expense as we invest for future growth. The Pharmacy Services Segment had revenues of $1.4 billion which was a decline of $65.4 million or 4.3% primarily due to a decline in commercial business and changes in the composition of our Medicare Part D membership. The changes in our Medicare Part D business is related to our strategic decision to reduce our participation within the low-income subsidy market in certain Medicare Part D regions in calendar 2017 and to focus instead on increasing our mix of chooser members which we expect to be a more profitable book of business in the longer term. In the short run, this strategic shift is resulting in an investment of higher operating costs as we build increased chooser membership, but we think this is the right long-term move for our Medicare Part D business. As we stated on our last earnings call, we had a very successful 2018 Medicare Part D bid and continue to see strong enrollments since January. We added approximately an 188,000 lives year-over-year as of January 2018, and are now covering over 500,000 lives. We expect to grow this base of covered lives throughout the remainder of the year as we add enrollments throughout the course of calendar 2018. Our cash flow statement for the quarter shows a net source of cash from operating activities of $87 million as compared to a use of $13.9 million in last year's fourth quarter. The difference is primarily due to reduced inventory and other working capital timing changes. Net cash used in investing activities for the quarter was $44.8 million versus $53.5 million last year. During the fourth quarter, we remodeled 38 stores and relocated six stores. At the end of the quarter, we operated 1,651 wellness stores within our continuing operations which are almost 65% of the store base. For the fourth quarter, front- end, same store sales in our wellness stores that have been remodeled in the past 24 months were approximately173 basis points higher than our non wellness stores. And script growth in these stores was 259 basis points higher. During the quarter, we received proceeds of approximately $3.3 billion from the sale of 1,554 stores to WBA. These proceeds are shown as a source of cash from investing activities in discontinued operations on the cash flow statement. The related reduction in our revolver borrowings is shown as a use of cash from financing activities in discontinued operations. As I mentioned earlier, our pro forma leverage ratio is 4.6x. Now let's turn to our fiscal 2019 guidance. Our guidance reflects our expectations for continued reimbursement rate pressure and generic purchasing benefits, as well as the continued anticipated benefits of our wellness remodel program, and other initiatives to grow sales and drive operational efficiencies that Kermit covered earlier. Additionally, our guidance does not give effect to our pending merger with Albertsons. We expect total sales to be between $21.7 billion and $22.1 billion and adjusted EBITDA to be between $615 million and $675 million for fiscal 2019. Same store sales are expected to be in a range from staying flat at 0% to an increase of 1%. Key items that we expect to drive the improvement in comp store sales include the cycling of plan exclusions in the second half of the year, clinical initiatives and script file buys. As a result, we expect the first half of the year to lag these ranges somewhat and the back half of the year to be stronger. We expect adjusted net income to be in a range of $18 million to $61 million and adjusted net income per share to be in a range of $0.02 to $0.06 per share for fiscal 2019. Our fiscal 2019 capital expenditure plan is to spend approximately $250 million which includes $60 million for script file buys. We are planning to open two new stores, complete three relocations and remodel 132 wellness stores in fiscal 2019. We also plan on closing 43 stores during the year. That completes my portion of the presentation. And I would now like to turn it back to John. John?
Thanks Darren. Before we begin taking questions, I'd like to thank our Rite Aid team for their extraordinary efforts during the quarter, and as we begin a new fiscal year. The fourth quarter was a busy time for our organization and from our leadership to our frontline associates, we've done a tremendous job of staying focused to meet our strategic priorities and deliver a consistently outstanding customer experience to our customers. In fact, during this busy time, overall customer satisfaction has increased this year compared to the previous, which is a testament to just how dedicated our teams are to exceeding the expectations of our customers. That concludes our prepared remarks for this morning. We will now open up the phone lines for your questions.
[Operator Instructions] Your first question comes from Robert Jones from Goldman Sachs. Your line is open.
Hi. This is Nathan Rich on for Bob this morning. Thanks for taking the questions. I just wanted to start with a reimbursement rates, definitely encouraging to hear that you guys have your major PBM contracts locked in for fiscal 2019. I'd assume those rates are now fully reflective of the new store footprint post the asset divestiture to Walgreens. So first just wanted to get a sense of how those rates in the new contracts compare to your rates prior to the store divestiture? And then as we think about going forward the larger pharmacy footprint that you'll have following the combination with Albertsons, have you started to engage with PBMs and payers about what type of reimbursement rates will look like kind of following the close of the deal?
So I can answer it -- I can answer the last part of the question first which is no. And we can't have any conversations with any partners about reimbursement rates until after the close the deal. So that's not something we can do till we get there, but Kermit you want to talk about the 2019 contracts?
Sure. So Nathan I would tell you that our reimbursement has stabilized quarter-over-quarter, especially the last two quarters. And when we think about the new footprint, we’re having as good or better results as we did before. If you think about the old Rite Aid, we were in certain markets where we were number three and number four in market share. And that really didn't give us the kind of coverage that a payer needs. So when you think about the new footprint, we have the concentration in our stores that could very well be enhanced with the Albertsons acquisition, and therefore we feel very good about the contracts we have in place and our ability to continue to manage our reimbursement going forward.
Okay, that's helpful. And then maybe just one on the same store sales guidance for 2019. You mentioned, I guess cycling the exclusion from certain networks that impacted volumes in fiscal 2018. I was wondering if you could just give us a sense of how much of a drag that actually was to script volumes in fiscal 2018? And does the guidance for next year contemplate a return to positive script volumes, I guess by the back half of the year?
So I think in terms of the impact, it's a big piece of our decline currently is network exclusions, that's kind of got us to where we are in script count. It's the biggest piece of that decline in terms of the back half. Kermit?
Yes, we will cycle those exclusions at the end of the second quarter, and I would tell you that the back half we do anticipate positive prescription growth in the back half of our business.
Your next question comes from the line of John Heinbockel from Guggenheim. Your line is open.
So, John, let me start with reimbursement environment right and getting these contracts done. I know in the past your partner's had exerted some pretty significant pressure on you. Do you think there has been a change, aside from your different footprint, a change in relationship, their approach because I think there had been some frustration right on your part about that pressure particularly on generics. Is there now a different mindset in the dialogue you're having with them such that this stabilization or normalization, whatever you want to call it, is kind of here for the longer term?
Tough question to answer. I mean I think a couple of thoughts John. I think one if I looked at others in my space and looked at their margin over the last couple years, it has suffered as well. I mean, we kind of probably should expect sort of benchmark ourselves based on public information. I think one of the frustrations on our side is that as that margin eroded, we really didn't have some of the same opportunities I think to gain access to additional customers, that's probably where the Walgreens merger overhang really manifested itself, I think in our results, and in fact we lost a couple of networks that we got to cycle our way around here. I don't think that the reimbursement rate environment in the long term is going to be great or stable or whatever. I think it's always a challenge. And when we talk about pharmacy margins stabilizing, we have some reimbursement rate loss, but Kermit and team have also done a great job on the purchasing side. And as you know, our challenge is always to try and get those two things to match up. Can we find enough value on the purchasing side to offset what's happening in the marketplace in terms of rate erosion? So rate erosion continues but not at the same rate right now that in terms of what's been contracted for fiscal 2019 that we saw in fiscal 2017 and 2018. So in that sense it's more stable and we found some good value late last year going into this year that's really helping us on the generic purchasing side. As I look forward, I still see it as a very competitive marketplace with re-payers who are close to 70% of our business who can still kind of at their whim exert a lot of influence over us. So it still remains a challenging environment but I do think as Kermit just talked about the kind of refocused store base makes the conversations a little clearer in terms of what our value is to their networks versus where I think it may have been a little bit muddled before. So in that sense I think the conversations are a little bit better.
And then maybe as a segway to that right, as soon as part of the Albertson's S4 right, your view of long-range forecast out there which are pretty robust. They just high-level when you think about particularly growing the top line those kind of rates is that almost has to be driven by PBM growth as opposed to core retail. That's we're already actually think core retail can grow a lot faster than it has you know maybe not just in the last year or two but even going back five years.
Yes. I think we think there's some growth opportunity for core retail but the PBM is the bigger driver.
Your next question comes from Charles Rhyee from Cowen. Your line is open.
Yes, thanks for taking questions. Just had a quick question around sort of you mentioned that generic purchasing -- generic purchase was positive in quarter. Can you maybe elaborate a little bit more on that and discuss maybe your relationship with how with McKesson at the moment? And perhaps how those discussions have changed now with the Albertson's deal?
Yes. Well, I think Kermit can provide some color on generic purchasing in the quarter. In terms of where we are with McKesson, we are in a conversation with them as you'd expect about how we can go forward. You'd probably have to ask McKesson their view on how the Albertson's transaction kind of stirs into that. But from our perspective it does over time give us more scale from a purchasing perspective, which we're going to do our best to leverage as we go forward.
And Charles the only thing I'd add in, I think our -- the way we're working with McKesson and [Indescernible] today, if you think about the from McKesson point of view, they did know what Rite Aid was going to be around as a part of the Walgreens deal. And now we've gotten back to having constructive conversations, understanding that we do have an option to enhance our purchasing. So we're looking to find best, most economic source for us to buy our drugs going forward, both brand and generic.
Okay, that's -- I am sorry, go ahead.
And I would just comment we do think there's a potential purchasing synergy related to Albertsons down the line here when we can get to it.
Right, okay, thanks. And just another question, you talked about the resources you relocated and new ones you've opened. Can you kind of remind us what sort of -- how many stores you see as opportunities for relocation and how does that change now with Albertsons coming into the mix? That sort of what's your strategy there.
I don't think it changes it dramatically. We still have-- I don't know, I haven't exact number on top my head but we still have some stores we need to relocate. It's still a good opportunity for us. We still have some stores and need to get to the Wellness format. We are working our way through the story base. So as we look at what's left, it is a group of relocation opportunities combined with remodel opportunities, but there are some of both therefore still some good returns to be made, some good investments to make.
Yes. I mean the thing I would add is we've got about 65% of the existing store base that our wellness stores probably by the time we get through fiscal --the current fiscal year, we're probably closer to 70%. So a piece of that 30% is our relocation opportunities. There are still some additional remodel opportunities. So I think that we'll get to that in due time.
Right and I think if you want to kind of layer Albertsons on top of it but I think what comes out of that is the opportunity to maybe get to some freestanding drug stores and some new markets as we move forward. So we get into some pretty exciting new geography in Arizona, Texas. Chicago. There are some pretty compelling markets there for us to think about in terms of where we want to invest.
Okay and that's all. I think my last question can you can you remind us again I remember you used to give metrics around the improvement in same store sales from the new wellness format stores. Are those metrics still -- would you say those are still relevant in terms of how we think about sort of the improvement in performance as you shift the format or relocate stores?
Yes. I think those are still relevant. I actually think I mentioned it in my comments the front- end, I think was like 170 some basis points and the script growth was about 250 basis points higher in the wellness stores than versus the non wellness stores. And that's been pretty consistent quarter-over-quarter.
Your next question comes from Ross Muken from Evercore. Your line is open.
Hi, this is Elizabeth Anderson in for Ross. I was wondering if you could elaborate on some of your commentary in terms of the front- end for fiscal 2019. I saw that obviously it's stabilized sort of Q over Q but I just wanted to sort of understand that outlook helpful in giving that commentary on the script side.
Well, we think we're going to continue to benefit from additional development investments in wellness stores. And Kermit, you mentioned I think in your talks in terms of wellness plus into the exciting things we have.
So I think there are a number of things. We talk about cycling plans that we've been excluded from. We talked about other programs, other clinical programs like our immunization program. We had a hugely successful flu season last year. We're also doing very well on our non flu immunization things like shingles and pneumonia and whooping cough. We have the ability to provide all 17 CDC approved vaccinations in the states that allow it. So that helps to grow our business things like medication adherence. We're working very closely with health dialogue in our predictive analytics to drive better overall adherence. We've also done some technology improvements with our one trip refill and using our mobile app. So all of these things are driving better overall retention of our business, and in our comp script growth.
So as I kind of bridged that to the front end that the headwind on the front end, a piece of it has been, we've had some customer loss in the pharmacy and those are pretty good front end customers. So we've had a little bit of a headwind there. So as we come around the back half of the year and we cycle that impact that puts us I think in a better position to show, to achieve some positive comps there. But again, wellness plus, it's got the bonus cash program that we're launching. We're continuing to work on merchandising efforts. We've got the wellness store. So we've got I think a number of exciting things that we're also working on the front end of the store.
Okay, that's really helpful. And then how are you thinking about retail SG&A going forward? Obviously as the store basis changed a little bit it's crept up as a percentage of sales on per sale -- per store basis, it's true remains steady or is that something you're looking to make sort of changes to or you're sort of happy with levels of how things are now?
Yes. I mean I think a couple; I'll give you a couple of comments there. One is we deleveraged ourselves a little bit here with the top-line challenges. So as we get into the back half of the year and get some growth back in the sales, that'll help a little bit in terms of --as a percent. I think on the dollar side, we're always looking for ways to run our business more efficiently. And we've got some initiatives to work through this year on the cost side. We've done some things operationally in terms of how we provide supervision to the stores, and field structure and things like that that will benefit this fiscal year. But we're also facing some headwinds in terms of wage rates. We've got some wage increases that we'll see across various markets, and so we've got some things built into our plan for that as well.
There's nothing out of the ordinary fairly consistent with the past but we've, yes, we've definitely got some opportunities to continue to take costs out of the system.
Your next question comes from the line of Lisa Gill from J.P. Morgan. Your line is open.
It's actually Mike in check in for Lisa. Thanks for the questions. So just first going back to the generic purchasing efficiencies being a tailwind at fiscal 2019. From a timing standpoint does that assumed that you reached the decision with regards to your drug purchasing contract at some point in fiscal 2019? And this economics are flowing through as it relates to that fiscal 2019 network or is that more of a fiscal 2020 opportunity? Just any color there you can provide will be helpful.
That's more of fiscal 2020 opportunity, yes. Q - Got it and then PBM operating profit was down pretty significantly year-over-year. Can you talk about the main driver there? It seemed like it was more in the OpEx side versus our expectations? Just sort of a new runway we should anticipate going forward or is there some of those cost that can go away over time?
Yes. So I think there's kind of two dynamics that work there. One I think we talked a little bit about as we were kind of hanging around on the Walgreens deal; we had a tough selling season last year to put new lives into the PBM this year. I think people were just kind of waiting to understand what the future of the PBM was. As we have come out of that overhang into this year's selling season, we're as we mentioned I think on our talk here a few moments ago where we're seeing some very robust pipeline activity. And some early wins that are very encouraging coming out of the gate. Obviously, there are no assurances in terms of how the selling season will finish out, but we are off to a very strong start in the selling season. And accordingly, we have built a lot of additional infrastructure at Envision for growth and also to improve compliance and customer service and a number of things as we've invested in the asset. So we are carrying some SG&A there but we think its important SG&A to help us grow the business, and provide the level of service that's going to help differentiate us in the marketplace. So I think if we work our way through this fiscal year on a year-over-year basis, the PBM will be under a little bit of pressure but we hope to show that we're getting lives that will drive revenue in the following year. So it's really an investment for next year.
And we built that all that into our overall guidance.
Next question comes from George Hill from RBC. Your line is open.
Hey, good morning, guys. I think a lot of my kind of housekeeping questions has been answered. John, I wanted to ask about how are you guys thinking about, how I guess how dynamic the markets been the last several months and I guess the role that the clinics are going to play in the combined company going forward given the vertical industry tie ups that we're seeing? Then I've got a quick follow-up on the PBM.
Yes. It's definitely a very I think dynamic a period of time in the industry. That the big takeaway for me from a lot of this and I think I've mentioned it before is just I think a realization of the value that we create in terms of how we interact with customers and patients every day. A lot of the value that we create manifests itself somewhere down the line based on whoever is taking risk on the life. Clearly, there's a lot of focus on access to lives with a lot of this consolidation in the marketplace. And so I think it's not only important we have PBM, but it's also important that we're a great partner as we move forward here for payers and others who own lives. And so I think clinics do play a critical role in that in combination with our pharmacies. We have an outstanding opportunity in Albertsons. There's a lot of clinic space that's actually already built out at Albertson's and so as we bring the transaction to the close, we are going to have opportunity fairly quickly. We'll have to do a little bit of work on that space, but we'll be able get some clinics open and really grow our clinic business, gain access to new customers and have I think an important lever in discussions or an important capability in discussions with various partners as we go forward.
Okay, that's helpful. Then I guess is we think about the PBM business and I say if we assume that the deals that we seeing in the market come to close where do you think becomes the niche for the Envision PBM business? And I guess do you think of it more as a government facing PBM business or are there specific niches on the commercial side or do you feel like you can explain the company's got a chance to take market share given the -- given kind of what we're seeing in the market?
Yes. So our niche today is really kind of more I'd say primarily in the mid-sized market. We win and compete very effectively for health plans and commercial business in that space. And I think that markets still going to be very much available to us. I think there's going to be a lot of clients who don't want to have necessarily have bundled healthcare insurance and pharmacy coverage in the same plan. So I think there's going to be a number of health plans who will potentially look at these big aggregated entities. And say well I think I'd rather be independent from them in terms of how I go to market. So I think there's going to be lots of spots here for us to be very competitive in the marketplace, and differentiate ourselves in terms of the fact that we're fully capable, freestanding, kind of unaffiliated if you will PBM in the marketplace.
Next question comes from William Reuter from Bank of America. Your line is open.
Good morning. When I look at your guidance for 2019 adjusted EBITDA, it's relatively flattest year-over-year. I was wondering if you could talk a little bit about the puts and takes between the retail side and the pharmacy services side of the business? And I guess which one maybe we might expect growth versus declines in?
Yes and I guess the pharmacy services business is down a little bit. And in general the retail business is up a little bit. So that's probably the mix between those two things. We've got a little bit of sales growth obviously built into the retail side of the business. So that's helpful in terms of driving profitability in that part of the business.
I think it's an important year for us to not only sure I take some stability from an earnings perspective but as we get to the back half year to show growth. That's really the thing in this guidance that's critical.
Right and to some extent the pharmacy services business is a little bit of a building year.
And we've talked about how we're off to a pretty good start in the selling season. So we expect that to kind of grow over the year and really we're probably looking beyond that into the following year. Right, it's a significant kind of growth.
And it set itself from 2020 what we get done this year.
Yes, right. No, it sounds like long term that's certainly where you guys believe the opportunity is and even in 2020 as well. Okay and then in terms of the sale proceeds from the DCs which will be in the fall of this year. Do you have thoughts on what you might be using that $220 million for?
Well, I mean the original intent was to continue to just repay debt. So I don't think we have a different viewpoint on that at this point.
Okay and then just lastly, earlier you mentioned that the reimbursement rate pressures that you're going to experience this year will not be as much as 2017 and 2018. I don't have a sense at all for just what type of quantification of that we're talking about. Is there anything you can provide in terms of what it was in 2017 and 2018 or what you expect for 2019?
I mean I guess what I would just tell you is we see a more stable margin environment this year, where we saw substantial declines the last two years that's probably the best way you can go look at it.
Okay but in terms of numbers, there's nothing that you guys have talked about or that you could provide to us?
No. I was just I would just say if you looked at our EBITDA declines the last couple years, it's very much driven by the decline in reimbursement rate that we've seen. So if you want to quantify the impact that's the single biggest driver of the pressure we've seen on EBITDA.
Your next question comes from Joe Stauff from Susquehanna Investment. Your line is open.
Thanks very much, good morning. I wanted to ask just I realized this is an earnings call specifically to Rite Aid but as your stock obviously is geared to the value of the pro forma company. And as a result of that I think there is certainly some difficulty looking just how your stock has behaved since sort of the announcement there is some difficulty getting your hands around basically the entire organization that is investors. And I was wondering when or what you guys plan to do to really try to make the case with respect to the pro forma company and the benefits and how that accrues or gears into the stock?
Sure. So I mean I think a couple thoughts. I mean one is we're as you know we're working our way through a process here so we have got an S4 on file which has a lot of great information I think about the combined company included in it. We've got some great investor information on our website. Now that we have all the information with this earnings release here kind of in the marketplace, we'll be doing our work kind of on the Investor Relations side here to kind of get out and tell our story in terms of the value this creates for our shareholders. And why we believe this makes sense and so we'll be doing some work over the next couple months to do that.
Okay and I guess the expected closed for the transaction I know you historically said end of the summer, let's say for illustration it's September first, would the shareholder vote effectively then be say planned in mid to late July or would you expect that to occur earlier?
So I mean in terms of process here we've got an S4 on file. It goes through a review process. We will have to update that document as our numbers get stale. Some were probably already stale. Some they're getting stale. So we're going to get, we've got to get 10-K file which will get done here in the next couple of weeks. We'll update that S4 and re-file with those numbers. And once clear by the SEC we can then move to proxy phase, get a proxy printed and sent out and we've got a waiting period for everybody has a chance to review the proxy and what not. And so just when you sort of time the whole thing out, yes, that's shareholder votes probably out in July somewhere just roughly depending on how things sort of play out. We can close once the shareholder vote is done.
Okay, thank you very much.
And your final question today will come from Carla Casella from J.P. Morgan. Your line is open.
Hi, can you hear me all right? Okay, great. You talked about debt pay down with all of the asset sale proceeds. Can you give us any more color on the timing of the 2021 or 2023 notes and whether those 2023 notes would be refinanced even if Albertsons feel or we're not too close?
Yes. So we probably will be in the not-too-distant future going out with another asset sale proceeds offer because we still have some asset sale proceeds. So that's something that I suspect you can expect but beyond that I don't think we're really commenting on what we're doing in terms of paying off those other two securities.
Okay, great and then the DC transfer, if you start that September 1st, is that something that takes like a month? Or is that six months? How long is that process typically?
Well, what we've said is that we expect that after September of 2018 it's really up to WBA when they're prepared to take those DC's. And so it could technically I think somebody referred to it occurring in fall. It may or may not happen in fall. It's just what we have publicly said is after September. So it could be several months or even longer than that. And I don't think they all have to go it as one.
And the store closures are those weighted to more the front end or back half of the year? And I'm assuming they're all at least renewal period.
They're more in the front of the year, Carla. And I think it's a combination of renewal period and maybe some opportunistic closures in the portfolio.
Okay and then you gave a pro forma, you gave a tax estimate in your guidance but did you give a tax rate that you expect going forward?
Well, I think the cash taxes be very minimal going forward, Carla, from a rate standpoint. I think it's probably something closer to kind of a standard marginal rate.
It can get bounced around.
Yes. But it can get bounced around, I am little hesitant to give you an exact number. I mean definitely I think our rate is probably 28% -30% but it can bounce around because of discrete item right and are probably the more relevant item is our cash taxes which are in the range of about $10 million to $15 million.
And we think we still have an NOL left even after all the sales.
Okay, that's helpful. And then just one clarification. You've got some questions already on the pharmacy purchasing and what's the timing on a decision to use either the Walgreens network or renegotiating with McKesson?
While our McKesson agreement goes through March of 2018 so unless we're going to re-up with McKesson we probably won't be making a change until after the McKesson of contract expires.
Okay, great. And then one last housekeeping do you have an estimate or approximately pro forma rent expense after you've sold all of the stores to Walgreen?
Yes. I don't have those top of my head I mean that honestly will be in our10-K when we file in a couple weeks we'll have it and actually we have a recast 10-K that we put out there with-- along with the S4 that has rent from continuing operations. I think that number if you go that footnote give you a pretty decent idea.
All right, okay, sorry I missed that.
Sorry, I don't want to interrupt. Okay, great. Thanks everybody for joining us this morning. We appreciate it. Thank you.
Thank you everyone. This will conclude today's conference call. You may now disconnect.