Ferrari N.V.

Ferrari N.V.

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Ferrari N.V. (RACE) Q4 2020 Earnings Call Transcript

Published at 2021-02-02 15:41:04
Operator
Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by and welcome to the Ferrari 2020 Full Year Results Conference Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. [Operator Instructions] For your information, this conference is being recorded. Now I would like to hand the conference over to your speaker today, Nicoletta Russo. Please go ahead.
Nicoletta Russo
Thank you, Andrei, and welcome to everyone who is joining us. There are two topics that we'd like to cover today. First, the group's full year 2020 operating results and then our full year 2021 guidance. In light of this the duration of the call is expected to be around 60 minutes. Today's call will be hosted by the Group Chair and Acting CEO, Mr. John Elkann; and our Group CFO, Mr. Antonio Picca Piccon. All relevant materials are available in the Investors section of the Ferrari corporate website. At the end of the presentation, we will be available to answer your questions. Before we begin, let me remind you that any forward-looking statements we might make during today's call are subject to the risks and uncertainties mentioned in the Safe Harbor statement, included on Page 2 of today's presentation and the call will be governed by this language. With that said, I'd like to turn the call over to Mr. John Elkann.
John Elkann
Good afternoon, Nicoletta. Good morning and afternoon to all. I would like to start thanking all of my colleagues in Ferrari for the remarkable results in 2020, a testament to the strength of our business model, and resilience of our core business. In fact, we exceeded full year guidance on all metrics in 2020. These results have been achieved, factoring the impacts of COVID-19 on all of our activities. This environment gave us the opportunity to learn more about our strengths and weaknesses, which allowed us to further fortify our company for the future. 2020 has also been characterized by the successful digital unveiling of the Ferrari Portofino M, SF90 Spider and 488 GT Modificata. Today, we have the most beautiful, most innovative, and widest product range in our history. I would like to highlight some of our achievements that we are particularly proud of. Back on Track, which is Ferrari's program to safeguard the health of our employees in a COVID-19 secured environment, which has become a reference in Italy and around the world? Equal salary certificate; in July, we were the first Italian company awarded in recognition of the same compensation amongst women and men for equivalent roles and jobs, testifying our commitment to create an inclusive and diverse working environment. And social responsibility in helping with different activities during this pandemic crisis. I'll just mention a few which we are particularly proud of. We launch with our clients of fundraising, matching all of their donations to support the medical staff and the health system of our community in Maranello and surroundings. We joined forces with the Italian Institute of Technology to present the open source project SI 5, a revolutionary low cost and lightweight pulmonary ventilator. And lastly, during the seven weeks closure of the factory, we did not use any state aid program and continue to pay full salaries of all of our employees. 2020 was also a year of celebration. Our 1,000 Grand Prix, the highest number in Formula One ever reached; our victories in the GT racing season and we reached over 2.5 million visitors in our eSports series. But our 2020 Formula One results reminded us that a great past doesn't equate to a great present or future. This painful reality, both for ourselves and our fans is that from which we must restart with humility, focusing on what will make us competitive and ultimately lead to winning. As we enter into 2021, which Antonio will give you more details about, we continue to work on our product plan for this exciting decade ahead, adapting it to a fast evolving environment. Our journey to carbon neutrality will provide a wider framework for our future. We are working on a clear plan, including Formula One to become carbon neutral through actions taken directly and indirectly within this decade. We are optimistic about the opportunities ahead of us and look forward to sharing and discussing the future of Ferrari for this decade at our Capital Markets Day in the first half of 2022. Now, let me address the CEO succession. We have established as a board, a search committee, which is responsible for a process to identify the rights et cetera to the Louis Camilleri. And we want to take the necessary time to find the best possible CEO for our company. On this note, I would like to express my most sincere thank you to Louis, who is listening on our Call today for his personal commitment, as our CEO since 2018 and as a member of our board since 2015. His passion for Ferrari is and has been limitless. Under his leadership, the company has further firmed its position as one of the world's greatest companies. Louis built a leadership team that is continuing to propel our company forward as our results demonstrate, and for which I am personally grateful to him, and to all of my colleagues at Ferrari. I now hand over the call to Antonio who will review of for year 2020 results and 2021 guidance. Since our strategy remains unchanged, and our execution of it is on track. He will also directly manage the Q&A session. I would like to thank you all and pass it over to Antonio.
Antonio Piccon
Thank you, Mr. Chairman. And good morning or afternoon to everyone who is joining us today. I start from Page 6, where you can see the highlights of 2020 results, which exceeded our latest guidance in this difficult time driven by very strong fourth quarter results. This was achieved on the back of the strength of our core business, improved Formula One revenues. The cost containment actions deployed during the year and a tailwind from foreign exchange compared to our projection. Our shipments in 2020 were 9,119 units, approximately 10% less than prior year in line with our production planning. Group's net revenues were EUR 3,460 million, down 8.1% compared to prior year, driven by lower deliveries as well as lower Formula One and brand revenue. EBITDA came in at EUR1, 143 million down 10% with a margin of 33%. It is worth noting that the EBITDA margin in our core business was better in 2019. EBIT 716 million, down 21.9% embedding higher D&A. Adjusted net profit was EUR 534 million, down 23.5% versus 2019 and resulting in an adjusted diluted EPS of EUR 2.88 versus EUR 3.71 of prior year. The adjusted figures reflected a tax benefit with no cash impact on 2020 as a result of the one-off partials step up of the trademark book value in accordance with Italian Tax Regulations. Industrial free cash flow for the year was EUR 172 million. What you can't see in this chart are the fundamental dynamics underlying our business. We have recorded strong order intakes since summer 2020 fueled by the resumed commercial activities and the new product unveiling. As a result on a yearly basis, we ended up with a net order intake very much in line with 2019 despite a very different environment, and the trend continued in January. The order book is at record level up 22% versus last year and covering the entire 2021 and beyond. Should we discount the effects of the production loss due to COVID-19 it would be up nearly 10%? Cancellations remained well within our average experience and were actually lower than in 2019. Residuals are holding up well on the back of the growth of pre owned transaction volume. This happened notwithstanding the challenges and thanks to the effectiveness in reshaping the way we engage with customers through a mix of inputs and digital events, digital reviews, and more exclusive gathering and test drives. We obviously owe a lot great lot to our dealers for this, who have been standing by us unabated even during the most difficult outburst of the pandemic in their respective countries. Page 7 shows the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic that mostly hits the second quarter of 2020 due to the seven week production suspension and the temporary dealers' closure. The flexibility and adaptability that is a hindrance to our organization, and the resilience of the order book and there being a V shaped recovery. Indeed, our Q4 was a record quarter in terms of volume, net revenue and EBITDA growing double digit versus an already robust Q4 2019. Turning to page 8, you can see the details of the full year 2020 shipments down 1,012 units following the seven week production suspension in the first half of 2020 and dealers' temporary closure due to the COVID-19 pandemic, partially offset by a gradual production recovery of roughly 500 units in the second half of the year. Sales of both V8 cylinder and V12 were down 10.3% and 9% respectively. During the year despite the COVID-19 disruptions, we managed to deliver Ferrari Monza SP1 and SP2 as originally scheduled. F8 family continued the ramp up phase offsetting the special series of the 488 Pista family, which was approaching the end of its lifecycle. 812 GTS whose deliveries commenced in the second quarter and reached global distribution. While the Ferrari Portofino phase out at -- of the introduction of the Ferrari Portofino in 2021. The deliveries of the SF90 Stradale started in Q4 following the industrialization delays experienced and then sold. In the same quarter also the Ferrari Roma commenced deliveries. The new shipments were affected by our deliberate geographical location, based on the different stages of the life cycles of our model by region. As a result, EMEA and rest of APAC were almost in line with prior year, Americas was down 19.8% but showed a 14% of turning in Q4 thanks to the ramp up of the 2019 models. Mainland China, Hong Kong and Taiwan, posted a decrease of 45.5% in the year while grew triple digit in Q4, thanks the ramp up of 2019 models and easy comparison versus prior year. As a reminder, we privilege deliveries in this region in the first nine months of 2019. Notwithstanding the challenges of the COVID-19 pandemic, we unveiled three new models in 2020. The Ferrari Portofino M, SF90 Spider and the limited edition track car 488 GT Modificata, which will lead the market in 2021. And I'm happy to announce that our portfolio will be further enriched by three new models unveiling this year. Turning to page 9, you can see here displayed the work of our group net revenues for the full year that was down 8.9% at constant currency. Revenue from cars and spare parts were down 4.1% at constant currency. Such performance reflects the volume decline and their personalization partially offset by the positive mix price, mainly thanks to the Ferrari Monza SP1 and SP2. Personalization rates on cars and spare parts, revenues was around 18% while down in absolute terms given the volume contraction. Engine revenues were down 24%, mainly reflecting lower shipments to Maserati and revenues from the rental of engines to other Formula One racing teams. Revenues from sponsorship, commercial and brand were down EUR 150 million significantly impacted by the COVID-19 pandemic, resulting in a shorter number of Formula One races, as well as lower in-store traffic and museum visitors. Other revenues down 18.3% at constant currency were mainly impacted by reduced sports related activities and the cancellation of the MOTO GP at the Mugello racetrack, only partially offset by the first ever Formula One Grand Prix as -- at our circuit. Currency including translation and transaction impact, as well as foreign currency hedges, which played a significant role, had a positive contribution of EUR 32 million, mainly the US dollar. Moving to page 10. Let me review the change in our EBIT, which was EUR 716 million, down 21.9% or 25.3% at constant currency with EBIT at 20.7%. The negative variance at constant currency remains mostly the COVID-19 impact on Formula One brand related activities and engine sale, partially offset by the resilience of our core business. More precisely, volume drove a negative variance of EUR 126 million due to previously mentioned reduced deliveries. Mix price variance was positive for EUR 130 million thanks to the Ferrari Monza SP1 and SP2 and a richer product mix and counter mix in Q4 despite fewer FXX-K EV. This was partially offset by the lower contribution from personalization programs, given the decrease of shipments and the gradual phase out over the 488 Pista the family. Industrial costs, research and development costs increased EUR 38 million mainly due to higher D&A, net of the benefits of technology related incentives recognized in the year. This also included the full cost of employees paid days of absence during the COVID-19 production suspension. SG&A decreased EUR 6 million reflecting significant cost containment action, partly offset by Formula One racing activities. Other decreased EUR 211 million due to the pandemic impact on the Formula One racing calendar, lower traffic from brand related activities as well as engine sales to Maserati. Result on net positive impact of currency was EUR 38 million year- on-year. Turning at page 11, Industrial free cash flow generation for the year was EUR 172 million. The positive generation was driven by EBITDA partially offset by investment of EUR 709 million to fuel our long-term product development, including over EUR 16 million from the purchase of tracts of land contiguous to our facilities in Maranello. Net of the impacts of IFRS 16, our capital expenditure for 2020 were slightly lower than our guidance due to slower spending cadence in the last quarter that we will make up in 2021. The capitalization ratio was approximately 38% for the year basically in line with 2019. The adverse working capital impacts due primarily to the reversals of the Ferrari Monza SP1 and SP2 advances received in 2019 and higher products and raw material inventory to protect the supply chain in this complex month. Net industrial debt at the end of the year was EUR 543 million compared to EUR 337 last year. During the year a total worth of EUR 130 million shares were repurchased before the decision to temporarily suspend the program and EUR 212 million were distributed in dividends. With respect to the share repurchase program, it's important for you to know that we remain focused on rewarding our shareholders, and the Board of Directors will decide the best course of action as the year unfolds. At the end of 2020, total available liquidity including undrawn credit lines were EUR 700 million committed was EUR 2,062 million, which compares with approximately EUR 1,880 million as of September 30. As a reminder, an amount of EUR 500 million will just use to reimburse the bond maturing in January. Moving to page 12, you can see the 2021 guidance which targets a strong rebound versus 2020 with net revenues around EUR 4.3 billion and such target is predicated upon having trading conditions affected by further restrictions, or impacts from the pandemic on our core business. Revenues from Formula One, still discounting the known uncertainties on the calendar and reflecting a lower 2020 ranking. And brand activities still dealing with the COVID-19 challenges throughout 2021. Adjusted EBITDA between EUR 1,450 million and EUR 1,500 million with approximate percentage margin between 33.7% and 34.49%. Adjusted EBIT between EUR 970 million and EUR 1,020 million, targeting and EBIT margin between 22.6% and 23.7%. This reflects the higher D&A following the CapEx increase of most recent year besides the mentioned challenges due to COVID-19. In addition, we expect operational and marketing expenses to gradually resume. Adjusted diluted DPS between EUR 4 and EUR 4.20 per share assuming approximately 20% tax rate. Industrial free cash flow in the region of EUR 350 million. Our free cash flow will reflect higher CapEx which we expect to amount to around EUR 800 million with a slight catch up compared to 2020 as already commented. Finally, it is worth noting that the guidance for 2021 rests on the assumption that the exchange rate will remain in line with the last part of 2020 for our most relevant currencies. The Extraordinary conditions of 2020 affected all of us in many ways. What has not changed is the commitment and passion that we live and breathe every day in Ferrari. 2021 guidance growth is an evidence of our unchanged ambitions. We clearly know that there is a lot of focus on 2022. On the one hand, the pandemic has clearly affected our plans. As disclosed, we have postponed some initiatives. In addition, the pace of introduction of new emissions regulations all over the world has been accelerating. To have better clarity on our future, we also need to handle the uncertainties caused by COVID-19 impacting the development of our core business, our Formula One racing and brand related activities, possibly nothing longer than originally expected. On the other end, the inherent strength of our business model and resilience of our core business have proved their worth in this recent period, which gives us confidence in our ability to tackle challenges and possibly transform them into opportunities. As our Chairman just said, we have an exciting decade ahead, which we look forward to sharing and discussing when we meet for our Capital Market Day in 2022. With that said, I turn the call over to the Nicoletta.
Nicoletta Russo
Thank you, Antonio. We are now ready to start the Q&A session. As a reminder, you will be managed by Antonia. Thank you, Andrei to you.
Operator
[Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from the line of Michael Binetti from Credit Suisse.
MichaelBinetti
Hey, good morning, guys. Thanks for all the detail. I want to ask about the guidance first, I suppose. If we look at the 2022 EBITDA that we talked about at the Capital Markets Day, it had implied incremental margins of about well over 50% relative to the 2019 numbers and then your 2021 guidance implies less than 40% incremental margins versus 2019. I'm wondering what you consider are the components that will leave incremental margins in 2021 below the trajectory that that we knew about.
AntonioPiccon
Thank you, Michael. It will not look that much at 2021 for the trajectory to 2022. This pretty much depends on the mix. We assume that the capital product mix to assume that the Capital Market Day, as I said, we'll review. There was an expected significant growth between the two years. 2021 as of now is back on the trajectory we had at the time; we prepared the plan of September 2018.
MichaelBinetti
Well, let me ask you about that. I guess if you -- if I just look at the bridges you just gave us. If I just back out the business losses that you showed us hard numbers for in 2020 EUR 126 million volumes and EUR 211 million of loss revenue from Formula One calendar activities and brand activities, that would have put you at EUR 1.48 billion of EBITDA in 2020, which is the midpoint for that you guided us to for 2021. Obviously, you'll get some car business back. And I know that the general theme of the capital markets day long term plan was to keep growing the business and evolving the profitability. So I'm just -- I'm wondering how much I guess the nexus of the question is how much conservatism you feel like you need to bake into the 2021 margin guidance today.
AntonioPiccon
I think very some, because 2021 is still affected by significant uncertainty. I mentioned some elements in the slide that you see, cannot be more specific in terms of amounts, but clearly, all of our business, including F1 some extent to deal with the uncertainty related to the development of the pandemic.
MichaelBinetti
Then and just one last one I know, John mentioned regarding a path to carbon neutrality, and developing a wide framework. I thought that was a very interesting comment. Would you mind elaborating because it's a subject of much discussion among shareholders? Could you elaborate on what you think are the key high level underpinnings to get there that we should think about as far as how Ferrari thinks about it?
AntonioPiccon
Yes, I think I can speak on a qualitative basis. Despite the fact that we are focused on the car business, we also have other activities in. Our cars business is basically made of the carbon footprint of our products. F1 is very specific, per se. And brand related activities also have their own feature. So first of all, we need to pull all that together, and be able to compute the carbon footprint for the company, company wide, basically. And then given the size of this footprint, we can put together a mix initially at least of actions to take tackle the issue both with various actions and with compensation. As I said, the plan is first to achieve carbon neutrality, sorry, a carbon footprint certification. And then at that point, we'll be probably ready to be more specific as to the actions that we put in place to achieve what our Chairman just mentioned, is the goal to become carbon neutral within the decade.
Operator
Our next question comes from the line of John Murphy from Bank of America.
JohnMurphy
Good afternoon. And because you mentioned Louis was listening, Louis, hope you're doing well and miss you on many levels. Just a first question, and I think Michael's question on 2021 guidance, I think is very important to know, because I think we're all trying to figure out what the basis is to work off of for our 2022 and beyond numbers because it still seems like there's some noise and pressure on 2021. Is that kind of a fair statement to say hey 2021 is still a year that's got a COVID noise, some incremental costs and some other things that might not be the best way to think about building off as a basis year for the trajectory in 2022 and beyond? Is that a fair statement?
AntonioPiccon
I'm not sure I got all the details of your question, because the line is not very good here. I understand you're asking about 2021 may be informative as to the development of the results for 2022. Only partly I would say, 2021 is mostly execution, assuming that COVID-19 allow us to do so to execute well in alignment with our plans. 2022 already encompasses the expectation of introduction to the new model, and there is where we need to be more specific later on.
JohnMurphy
Okay, and then just a second question, you mentioned personalization was lower in 2020. I'm just curious as you think about 2021 and a recovery, and then beyond do you think that personalization will be significantly additive to results going forward? And it was a little bit depressed in 2020 because of COVID.
AntonioPiccon
Okay, thank you for this question, John. I think we discussed a number of times in previous calls too. We don't do product personalization because it usually, while the average does not move much throughout time, it is actually depending on the mix of our products. We mentioned, I think already in a couple of calls, decide that personalization rate has been influenced by specialty areas. Clearly, the price of the cars is important because it affects the denominator meaning the total revenues. And so I will not be particularly mindful about the fluctuation of this personalization rate. What actually matters in absolute terms are the margins attached to that. So you may imagine that the personalization right for Monza in terms of the share of revenue is lower compared to that of a Portofino or maybe Pista, it depends, is a balance of that but the company's contribution may be very different.
JohnMurphy
Okay and just lastly on the Concorde Agreement, I just wondering if you could give us any basics on the positive or negative side for economics going forward, and just how we should think about that in a very basic way on the positive negative swing factors.
AntonioPiccon
Yes, I prefer to comment saying that the net impact of the introduction of the new Concorde Agreement and the budget cap is kind of neutral for us. That is the expectation that we will be monitored throughout time.
Operator
Our next question comes from the line of Giulio Pescatore from Exane.
GiulioPescatore
Hi, everyone. First of all, I also wanted to take this opportunity to wish Louis all the best. Now coming to the questions, I want to come back to the 2021 guidance and in particular to the free cash flow one. I really struggle to understand how to reconcile this EUR 350 million guidance also because you've given us EUR 800 million CapEx number. So what are the other assumptions behind this number in terms of working capital and then how do we think about bridging this result with the 2022 target given that it would imply a growth of three times in cash flow generation.
AntonioPiccon
Thank you, Giulio. As you know, our free cash flow is basically the result of how much we take out from EBITDA due to capital expenditures. Working capital in a wider sense meaning we take into account also the impact of the advances that we receive on the Monza and we have drag, significant drag and still in 2021 basically, we catch some significant part of the price of the Monza already in 2019 and we want to have them in 2021. And besides the usual dynamics of the rest of working capital, that does not count much usually. We have the tax and financial charges payment. As far as taxes concerned and you should take into account the fact the new Patent Box scheme basically provides for the cash benefit to be split in three years. So there will be a slight reduction in 2021 compared to what we witnessed in 2019 and 2020. Does it help?
GiulioPescatore
Yes, a lot. Thank you very much. And if we look at the 2022 number again, does it include any impact from new deposits for a potential new limited edition car? Or is or should we say it's a clean number?
AntonioPiccon
Yes. That's a fair assumption.
GiulioPescatore
Okay. Thank you very much. Then I also wanted to come back on the decision to postpone the CMD. Is that only driven by the fact that there isn't a permanent CEO at the moment or if there is anything else behind the decision to --
AntonioPiccon
I don't think we have communicated that date for the CMD, Giulio. If there is anything, we speak about that.
GiulioPescatore
Okay. And then also looking at your shipments for Q4. I mean you were indicating shipments down around 9% for the full year in 2020. You closed the year down 10. Is there any maybe conservativeness in deliveries in the last few weeks of the year? Have you taken maybe -- have you halt the deliveries to kind of --?
AntonioPiccon
No, It is just rounding, Giulio, just rounding.
Operator
Our next question comes from the line of Susy Tibaldi from UBS.
SusyTibaldi
Hi, thanks for taking my question. First of all, I would like to talk a little bit about the mix evolution to expect in 2021. Clearly, your mix is becoming stronger and stronger at the same time we do have the generalization of the Monza and also the Pista's being phased out. So net-net what should we expect in terms of contribution from the mix in 2021?
AntonioPiccon
We expect mix to be positive and this due to the fact that we will keep on delivering the Monza as per our plan, and we should have significant growth in terms of the delivery of the SF90. So that the main driver of what we expect.
SusyTibaldi
Okay, and then -- and when it comes to the percentage of volumes that you expect to be hybrid and because you had a target of the CMD to have 60% by next year, which I mean, at the moment you have two models. So how should we think about the step up? And do you have -- can you give us an indication of what percentage of 2021 volume could be hybrid?
AntonioPiccon
No, as you know, we prefer not to go into that. We prefer to look adjusted revenue. Those are much more relevant than volumes per se.
SusyTibaldi
Okay. And on this CEO search, I mean, I can imagine that you cannot give details in terms of names that you might be considering. But can you perhaps discuss a little bit what are the key criteria and qualities that you are looking for in the next CEO?
AntonioPiccon
I am sorry. The question is about what I didn't -- I didn't catch you.
SusyTibaldi
Yes, the search for the new CEO, if you can describe the key criteria and characteristics that you're looking at?
AntonioPiccon
Yes, I'm sure the board is considering all of the criteria that are necessary to run a company like ours, right, yes.
SusyTibaldi
Okay. And maybe just one last one as a clarification, can you just remind us what plans have been affected? And what initiatives have been postponed as a result of COVID?
AntonioPiccon
No. Once again, I think we mentioned a couple of times this year. The basics and the main drivers of our growth plan remain unchanged. It's just a question of timing for most of that. But we are not specific in advance the models we will launch we cannot be even more I would say on the initiatives that will come in a couple of years or longer.
Operator
Our next question comes from the line of Monica Bosio from Intesa SanPaolo.
MonicaBosio
Good afternoon, everyone, and thanks for taking my question. The first one is on China. Can you give us a flavor on what are we doing to expect in terms of shipments from Mainland China, Hong Kong and Taiwan in 2021 and if you see some major flow of shipments in the coming year from these regions? And second is on the timing for the new models. Can you give us a rough timing for the announcement of the three new models in 2021? And the very last is on the quarterly trend. I know it's difficult, but the outlook is still uncertain. So do you see some differences between the quarter by quarter if you can just give us a flavor about the first quarter and going forward? Thank you very much.
AntonioPiccon
Thank you, Monica. I will start from the launch, that is a nice try, but as you know, we do not go into that sort of details. And with respect to the quarterly development of the year, we have some seasonality; something has changed in 2020 due to the impacts of the pandemic. So the comparison will not be an easy one, is not just the development of volumes, but it's also the mix of changes and also in terms of revenue recognition for the F1 activity. So it's a bit difficult without entering into the detail of modeling and I prefer not to do. The last one is on China. What we currently witness is a nice comeback of orders from there, and you should not ever look at our deliveries in 2019 and 2020. Because these were affected by our decision to anticipate the introduction of a new emission regulation that was unexpected in 2019 as a result 2020 suffered in the comparison. 2021 what we currently see is a significant growth of order particularly and nicely, that’s maybe an interesting one on the Monza -- sorry, on the Roma and with a significant share of orders from women there. So that means something in terms of the facilities a car may have, even if with a thermic engine.
Operator
Our next question comes from the line of George Galliers from Goldman Sachs.
GeorgeGalliers
Good afternoon and thank you for taking my questions. The first question I had, and apologies if you did allude to this in the comments, but just for this year, what are your assumptions around raw materials and FX? And have you already taken action to price through the appreciation in the Euro against the US dollar, which we saw last year?
AntonioPiccon
Thank you, George. In terms of our policy on FX, as you know, we have a policy that provides for hedging on a rolling basis with some target percentages. So a significant chunk of 2021 is already been hedged throughout 2020. Still we do not go under percent and there is room for changes and impact -- from changes in effect on our results, which is minimized but may go one side or another. As far as raw material, for those who really matter we have a similar policy.
GeorgeGalliers
Understood, thank you. And then the second question I had was just with respect to the order book, you're obviously extremely clear that the order book is very strong and extends well into next year. Can I just ask you; is a much variation by modern line or more importantly by market in terms of what you see with respect to the order book? Or is it pretty robust across the board at this point in time?
AntonioPiccon
I will describe it as a pretty robust across the board across geographies. Across the board meaning across product and geography nicely enough.
GeorgeGalliers
Great. And then the final question, just to clarify, and I think both Michael and John, have already touched on this, but I just wanted to clarify. At this point in time, you still are aiming to deliver the 2022 targets that were presented. Is that a fair statement?
AntonioPiccon
I think that will come with at Capital Market Day. At that point we may describe the strategy we are pursuing and if and by our match any results expected -- for any target expected for 2020 is to be changed. Sorry 2022.
Operator
Our next question comes from the line of Thomas Besson from Kepler Cheuvreux.
ThomasBesson
Thank you very much. And have a couple of questions. A couple of questions left, please. First, on the EBIT Bridge in 2020 because of COVID, you had an enormous [ojas] line but who is V negative. Should we expect part of that to reverse positively in 2021? Or is it just something that's gone?
AntonioPiccon
Not sure I got, which is the part of the EBIT Bridge that you're talking about.
ThomasBesson
The one called --
AntonioPiccon
Sorry, well, that there are other includes the impact of F1, which in principle may come back to the extent the calendar, the F1 calendar is not affected the same way it was in 2020. That obviously includes the revenues from the commercial right holder and revenues from the sponsorship, but also include the impact on EBIT from the delays on our -- delays and closure of our brand related activities. Once again, there we are very much dependent on the evolution of the pandemic. And finally, we are also partly dependent on Maserati in terms of volumes and margin attached to that.
ThomasBesson
Okay, thank you. Actually you gave me a connection to the next question. Can you just clarify the potential financial consequences of stopping the delivery of Maserati engines? We are not fully aware of obviously of the contract you had with them. Is there you need to write off any of your asset or --
AntonioPiccon
The agreement with Maserati is expected to end in 2023. That business is diluted for us in terms of margin. And furthermore, I think we outline since the time of the Capital Market Day that we expect to have some capacity to be freed up from top of their activities that may be used for the development of our model and of our power thing forward.
ThomasBesson
Okay, thank you. I have a last question that may be beyond the scope, but I trade. Could you give us any hints about the 2022 CapEx plan and the timeline for the Purosangue launch whether it's still within the frame of the initial plan or whether it's now pushed into 2023?
AntonioPiccon
No, I would prefer not to go into that. Once again, we said there are some developments ongoing. It is better talk when everything is clear.
Operator
Our next question comes from the line of Massimo Vecchio from UBI Banca.
MassimoVecchio
Yes. Good afternoon to everybody. I have a follow up question on the topics indication. EUR 800 million is a really a big number is probably the highest in the industry. I was wondering if you can give us some details on what are the number ones or two projects that you are investing in. Or at least by categories if it's R&D for new proportions, or any color would be helpful?
AntonioPiccon
Sure, Massimo. By the way this was the same target we gave better expectation that we gave beginning of last year when we started 2020 and before being informed by about the impact of COVID. And there is some catch up in that number from the slower days of our investment in the last part of 2020. Mostly, this is mostly product or product development, which all work is attached to that in terms of the consideration that we are not in more only some thermic engine. We also have as you will know hybrid and we are working on other infrastructure is a small part of that, but we cannot disregard the development in our factory here. As we did by the way by purchasing some tracks on land contiguous to our headquarter here. So as I said multi product. And this by the way full in line with what we said at the Capital Market Day back in 2018. So we’re adjusting and executing with that.
Operator
Our next question comes from the line of Adam Jonas from Morgan Stanley.
AdamJonas
Thanks everybody. And I have a question for John Elkann but I just wanted to say at the outset that I mean, all the talk around 2022 guidance, I totally understand it. But just think about how much the world has changed in terms of C02 and climate change and EV economics since the 2018 CMD. It's almost renders toward the 2022 guide irrelevant in my opinion, but just my opinion, but John, question for you. Ferrari vehicles, I know management in the past on tailpipe emissions, have the comment that because Ferrari vehicles are such a miniscule part of the park, that it's really tiny, and that you could kind of talk to regulators and somehow convince them, we're not a big deal. And you could kind of purchase credits and very easily at current carbon prices. Or even more than that, kind of make it neutralize it. But what's happening, of course, as you know, John, and the team now cities are getting involved. London, Los Angeles, Hong Kong, and big Ferrari cities are kind of saying no, we're not going to allow the operation of ICE vehicles in the coming years. And so it just means you run the risk of having the regulatory environment move outside of your control. So with that in mind, I'd love to hear maybe a direct question, John, can you see a day within the next decade where the majority of Ferraris products are 100% electric, not just hybrid because that's still considered tailpipe climate changing cars in the eyes of these mayors and cities that we're talking to and you're talking to. Could you see and I'm not asking you to say it's going to happen. But is that too radical for Ferrari while protecting the sanctity of the brand? Thanks, John.
JohnElkann
Hi, Adam. Good to hear your voice. I think that the best way to answer is really an open invitation for next year in Maranello to talk to you and all your colleagues who are going to join us on the exciting journey that we have over this decade. And 2030 will still be a year where we will have hybrid cars. So within this decade, we will be seeing a Ferrari, fully electric. Well, we will see within this decade is an electric Ferrari, and I hope you will buy one, Adam.
Operator
Our next question comes from the line of Stephen Reitman from Société Générale.
StephenReitman
Yes, good afternoon and thank you. Question on you mentioned very impressively that your cancellation level in 2020 was lower than in 2019. Can you comment a little bit about where were the cancellations either by geography and by product ready to get an idea about that? And secondly, you alluded on the new customers that you had a very strong interest from women in China for the Roma. Can you talk more generally about the level of interest globally further on the Roma? And also the level of interest for SF90 Stradale the other extreme, and particularly the amount of the proportion of people who are specifying the Assetto Fiorano additional uptake? Thank you.
AntonioPiccon
Yes. Thank you, Steven. In terms of the cancellation fee we were public in the second quarter. That's the fact that we had some cancellation in North America and in Australia. They were pretty much concentrated there. From then on we haven't seen anything specific. So the ones that we had were usually evenly distributed to other various geographies nothing special to report. With respect to the color on the order intake from -- for the various models. I think it is confirmed that the Roma attracts more than any other Ferrari before new to Ferrari's customers, which is interesting and nice. It happens also that the SF90 attract younger customers more probably than we were expected. And the order book for that car is very, very long. And it may become preorder already some months ago. And that probably the two most interesting element that you should take into account.
StephenReitman
In terms of sort of the model cancellations were they concentrated at the lower end or the higher end of the model lineup?
AntonioPiccon
I don't think there is any specific concentration on either the low or the high end of our range. There wasn’t any across the board
Operator
Thank you. There are no further questions on the line. Please go ahead.
Nicoletta Russo
Thank you, all. Bye - bye.
Operator
That concludes the call for today. Thank you for participating. You may all disconnect.