Option Care Health, Inc.

Option Care Health, Inc.

$30.94
0.03 (0.1%)
NASDAQ Global Select
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Medical - Care Facilities

Option Care Health, Inc. (OPCH) Q4 2021 Earnings Call Transcript

Published at 2022-02-23 12:47:05
Operator
Thank you for standing by, and welcome to the Option Care Health Fourth Quarter 2021 Earnings Conference Call. At this time, all participants are in listen-only mode. After the speakers’ presentation, there will be a question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions] As a reminder, today’s program maybe recorded. And now, I’d like to introduce your host for today’s program, Mike Shapiro, Chief Financial Officer and Senior Vice President. You may begin.
Mike Shapiro
Good morning. Before we begin, please note that we will make certain forward-looking statements that reflect our current views related to our future financial performance, future events and industry and market conditions. These forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from our comments. We encourage you to review the information in the reports we filed with the SEC regarding the specific risks and uncertainties. You should also review the section entitled Forward-Looking Statements in this morning’s press release. During this call, we will use non-GAAP financial measures when talking about the company’s performance and financial condition. You can find additional information on these non-GAAP measures in this morning’s press release posted on the Investor Relations portion of our website. Finally, I wanted to highlight that we have posted a brief presentation to our Investor website to augment our comments on this morning’s call. With that, I will turn the call over to John Rademacher, Chief Executive Officer.
John Rademacher
Thanks, Mike. 2021 was quite a dynamic year to say the least. And despite many challenges, the Option Care Health team continues to deliver extraordinary care for our patients and strong financial results for our shareholders. As Mike and I will discuss this morning, we continue to manage through a challenging environment, but nonetheless, we could not be prouder of the dedication and focus of the thousands of Option Care Health team members. We continue to build on our reputation as a trusted partner for payers, health systems, physicians and patients, as well as the team that delivers on our financial commitments, while expanding access to care and setting the standard on patient care in the industry. We entered 2021 in an environment of optimism, as COVID-19 vaccines and improved treatments were being introduced. And yet, we exited the year in an environment that in many ways was more disruptive. With the emergence of the Omicron variant, we experienced more widespread disruption in our labor models and volatility in our referrals of patterns. As we sit here today, we continue to manage through a difficult environment with broader labor disruptions and challenges in engaging with our referral sources. The resurgence of COVID late last year, clearly impacted our results as we exited December and it’s also resulted in a disruptive start to the first quarter. Despite all of the challenges the team has faced, we are very pleased with the financial results we delivered in 2021. For the year, we drove mid teens top line growth with improved performance across both our acute and chronic portfolios. Our chronic therapy set continues to be the biggest contributor to the top line growth, as we expanded our therapy portfolio and increased our engagement with the referral sources to ensure unsurpassed clinical care for their patients. At the same time, we’ve translated top line growth into leveraged earnings growth with EBITDA margins expanding to over 8% for the year, which is up approximately 200 basis points since the merger and adjusted EBITDA growth of over 30% above the prior year. And as Mike will expand upon, we’ve dramatically improved our capital structure and leverage profile while deploying over $100 million in capital investments and M&A in 2021 with more progress to come in 2022. While we continue to focus on near-term execution, we also continue to invest for future growth. In 2021, we invested in improving our existing care management center footprint, open three new state-of-the-art facilities in Chicago, Cleveland and Northern New Jersey, and opened 11 new standalone infusion centers, increasing our infusion care capacity by 10% to more than 500 cares across the country. These centers offer logistically convenient and esthetically pleasing infusion suites for our patients and are a critical component to both our clinical and operational efficiency strategy. We continue to make progress on expanding this network of connected and technology enabled facilities. With the merger integration squarely in our rearview mirror, we pivoted in 2021 from integration to acceleration by focusing our M&A efforts to expand our capabilities and I’m very pleased with our progress. We’ve executed on three complementary acquisitions and have one more in flight as we sit here today. In December, we acquired Wasatch Infusion, the infusion center market leader in Utah, which is highly complementary to our existing operations in Utah and the Mountain West. The Wasatch team has created unique patient experience across their network of a four infusion centers, and we’ve already learned a great deal from the Wasatch team. Although, this acquisition is relatively new, the early read is quite encouraging. As previously announced in October, we acquired Infinity Infusion Nursing to broaden our clinical capabilities and increased access to clinical resources in support of our growth objectives. While a simulation efforts are ongoing, the progress to date has been tremendous. Again, Infinity’s focus on nursing excellence at the point of care is complementary to our pharmacy infrastructure and will allow us to capitalize on additional vectors of growth. This business has a unique care model that supports other market participants and uses its network of highly qualified infusion nurses to meet aggregated market demand. As an organization that is built by infusion nurses for infusion nurses, it improves access to alleviate some of the labor pressures we are experiencing in nursing resources. On the heels of the Infinity acquisition, this morning, we’ve announced that we have signed a definitive agreement to acquire Specialty Pharmacy Nursing Network or SPNN. SPNN is a national leader in providing Infusion Nursing services and is highly complementary to Infinity and we anticipate closing on the acquisition later this year. SPNN’s additional focused on providing clinical services in support a biopharmaceutical manufacturer collaborations, broadens the aperture of nursing services we can provide while clearly expanding our network of Infusion Nursing resources at the same time. Upon the consummation of SPNN, we will have created unique national nursing network that will support our growth and deepen our relationship up and down the pharmaceutical administration value chain. So we have achieved solid progress on our M&A efforts to-date and executing our strategy to help transform health care by reimagining the infusion care experience that improves outcomes, reduces cost and delivers hope to our patients and their families. We expect the momentum to continue in 2022. Before turning the call over to Mike, I wanted to spend a few minutes on the current pandemic and labor situation. As we have stated previously, there isn’t a simple uniform statement to describe the pandemic situation on our enterprise. In late Q4, we saw considerable variability in referral patterns with the onset of Omicron, with numerous referral sources closing doors and several acute care facilities reverting back to delaying procedures. We also saw and continue to experience a broader disruptions to our labor force given the nature of the Omicron variant and the widespread infection rates. We have attempted to the best of our ability to lean out our redundant operational network and dynamic staffing model, but it has impacted us nonetheless. At the same time, we are not immune from the labor scarcity dynamic that is affected almost every enterprise across the economy. This is impacting access to resources and also placing pressure on wages. We remain proactive in managing our labor force with particular focus on our pharmacy and nursing resources, but it remains a very challenging environment. We continue to take steps to recruit and retain our talented team members daily and to remain an employer of choice through our diversity inclusion initiatives, health and well-being programs and various employee support and training program. Given the commitment of our team and our focus on working closely with our referral sources. Thus far, although, we have had some market level disruptions, we continue to build on our reputation as a trusted partner. We will continue to actively manage through the situation to try to minimize the impact. Significant investments in Wasatch, Infinity and SPNN are clear examples of how we are taking proactive steps to have a nimble and resourceful operating model. So while we are very encouraged by the strong results in 2021 and the platform we are building, we remain cautious as we enter the new year and the adjusted EBITDA guidance range of $310 million to $330 million we communicated this morning reflects the dynamic environment in which we find ourselves. With that, I’ll turn the call over to Mike to review the results in a bit more detail. Mike?
Mike Shapiro
Thanks, John. Fourth quarter revenue of $927 million, represented 15% growth over Q4 of 2020 and was led by our chronic portfolio, which grew in the high teens, while our acute portfolio grew in the low single digit. The chronic portfolio continues to perform well and we saw balanced growth across established therapies as well as solid contribution from newer therapies for MS myasthenia gravis and chronic inflammatory conditions. Despite mix shift towards lower margin rate chronic therapies, we held the line in Q4 on gross margin rate of 22.9%, which expanded 10 bps over the prior year. The team continues to focus on operational efficiencies to offset inflationary pressures and mix headwinds, but we do not anticipate sustainable gross margin expansion going forward. Adjusted EBITDA of $86.8 million, grew 28% over prior year or almost 2 times revenue growth. EBITDA margin exceeded 9% for the first time at just under 9.4% and reaffirms the leveragability of the foundation that we’ve established. Noted in reported net income and earnings per share this morning, we’ve recognized a one-time gain in the fourth quarter resulting from the utilization and reversal of most of the valuation allowance on deferred tax assets on our balance sheet with a net impact of $30 million. As required, we regularly reassess our ability to utilize deferred tax assets and based on our improved profitability, we have reversed substantially all of the reserves in Q4, resulting in the one-time gain. Cash flow continues to be very strong. And for the year, we exceeded $208 million of cash flow from operations. We thoughtfully deployed most of the inflow through capital expenditures, reduction of indebtedness and deployment of more than $80 million across three acquisitions. And we feel really good about where we exited the year from a capital structure perspective. With the recent maturity extension and improvement of our debt profile and the fact that we exited the year with a net debt to EBITDA ratio of 3.4 times. As we develop the guidance as articulated this morning, we obviously incorporated many of the dynamics that John articulated earlier. On a preliminary basis, we expect to generate $3.65 billion to $3.85 billion of revenue or 6% to 8% topline growth. Our EBITDA range reflects the topline expansion as well as continued inflationary and operational challenges that emerged in later 2021. We are yet to fully contain some of the inflationary cost pressures, which go beyond just labor and include everything from corrugated the transportation to medical plastics and PPE. Also note that our guidance does not incorporate any contribution from the pending acquisition of SPNN as that transaction has not yet closed. Finally, we expect to generate at least $230 million in cash flow from operations and would anticipate the primary uses to continue to be capital expenditures in our infrastructure, as well as continued focus on M&A opportunities. We will naturally provide updates to our guidance throughout the year. And with that, we will open the call for Q&A. Operator?
Operator
Certainly. (Operator Instructions) Our first question comes from the line of David Macdonald from Truist. Your question, please.
David Macdonald
Good morning. So a couple of questions. First, just on the staffing, can you guys just provide a little bit more detail on what Infinity has done for you since the acquisition. And then SPNN, it sounds like have some capabilities that may angle a little bit more towards the chronic book on the specialty side. Can you just talk about kind of the incremental capabilities those bring in and how it complements Infinity?
John Rademacher
Hey, Dave. Good morning. It’s John. Yes. First and foremost, really thrilled with Infinity and the announcement this morning with SPNN. First and foremost, we know firsthand that having access to nurses is a critical path of our growth trajectory. And so the ability for us to have access to a broad network of qualified infusion nurses is front and center part of our strategic imperative. And so these two moves really augment our – the strength of our existing team and give us a lot of flexibility. We’ve talked about the model that we operate with having full time, part time per diem and then the utilization of these agencies to augment. And to really fill in, especially, where we don’t have density of patient centers to be able to utilize these resources. And so early stages of the simulation with Infinity, but we’ve seen really positive access with that and being able to utilize that team were fully. And as you called out with the team at SPNN, a little bit different angle that they had certainly focusing around chronic, the biopharmaceutical manufacturer collaborations that they have just opened that aperture and gives us an opportunity to participate up and down the value chain in a much greater basis.
David Macdonald
And then guys, just a couple of other questions. One on chronic, just the strength in terms of the growth there. Wondering if you’re seeing any further narrowing of networks as part of this, the sales team. I know you guys made some investments there in 2021 increasingly hitting stride. Just anything that you’d call out in terms of the ongoing strength in chronic.
John Rademacher
Yes. Look, I do think, although, it does disruptive year with openings and closings and some streams on the referral patterns. I think the team did a very good job of increasing region frequency, which was part of the investment that we made in that chronic sales team. I would say, look, there still is a movement towards the home is being the center of care, in which we’ve gotten some of the benefit of that, given the position that we hold. And so in working with our payer partners in continuing to have the conversations at that level, Dave. They are looking to right site care wherever they can and look to get that balance of cost and quality and I think we’ve been able to capitalize on the position that we hold and the strength of the platform and the reach that we have to be able to reach 96% of the U.S. population.
David Macdonald
Okay. And then Mike just a couple of quick numbers questions. It looks like the infusion suite number will pick up in 2022. CapEx, we think about it still in that kind of $25 million to $30 million range. And then secondly, just with what it sounds like is a little bit of chop coming out of year-end. I think last year adjusted EBITDA in the first quarter was 17%, 18% of the full year. Should we think about that being a touch lower in terms of just kind of the percentage of full year EBITDA?
Mike Shapiro
Yes. Sure, Dave. You’re spot on CapEx, we would expect CapEx to be in the $25 million to $30 million range. We’re on offense around expanding our infusion suite capacity. These are relatively efficient build. So we can absolutely accommodate that within our base run rate. In the first quarter, you’re going to expect my normal caveat that we don’t give quarterly guidance. But yes, I mean, look, Q4 is typically the strongest, Q1 is typically the lightest, and again, given some of the sluggishness at the beginning, I think that trend will hold true for this year as well for sure.
David Macdonald
Okay. And then just last question guys. Look, with some of the pressures we’re seeing out there. Have you seen – I’ve got to imagine this is killing some of the smaller and regional folks. Have you guys seen a noticeable uptick in terms of just incoming phone calls and potential M&A activity?
Mike Shapiro
Yes. I mean the – as you can imagine, I think one of the things as John really touched on in his remarks, is the redundancy and the scalability. So that if we have disruptions in certain areas, we’ve got the interconnected network, which really just gives us a higher degree of confidence to be that dependable partner. And I think frankly, that’s something that a number of participants are lacking. And so I think a lot of folks are having more challenging environments, obviously, one of the keys is access to clinical labor and we’ve remained on offense to ensure we have the best and the broadest nursing team in the industry. And I think that is posed challenges and as you would expect the number of inbounds remains robust for sure.
David Macdonald
Okay. Thanks guys.
Mike Shapiro
Thanks, Dave.
John Rademacher
Thanks, Dave.
Operator
Thank you, Our next question comes from the line of Joanna Gajuk from Bank of America. Your question, please.
Joanna Gajuk
Good morning. Thank you so much for taking the question. So I guess, just a couple different follow-up here on the different topics. But I guess, good to see you doing on these acquisitions and I guess you are expanding your access to nurses, which is great and obviously you flagged, you’ve seen some pressure on labor. So can you give us a sense of a magnitude of things you’ve seen in your business? And I guess, is it correct to assume labor is maybe 10%, 12% of your revenues. And I guess within that year, kind of what trends have you seen, how bad I guess, it got in terms of employees in quarantine, how you seeing it so far in this quarter.
John Rademacher
Yes, Joanna. It’s John. Look, we – as everyone else is feeling a bit of the strain of some of the challenges in the labor market. I’ll start first with the last part of your question. Look, with the community level of infection rate that we saw with Omicron and how quickly that spread, needless to say, that had impact on our team members as well as either our team members themselves or family members were diagnosed with the Omicron variant what we had to do for quarantine and the disruption that that created. I certainly need to call out the great work that our team did in the field in being very nimble and responsive and really a situation that was not in their control, not knowing who the next person that was going to be out on quarantine. So we have a dynamic model, we’ve got a technology-enabled platform that allows us to kind of be effective from that standpoint. The overall inflationary pressures, look, we feel it is everyone else does, as we outlined in our – in my comments, we have a lot of programs going on more broadly than just wages to make certain that we are an employer of choice and then our team has access to training and education in development. And so we’ll continue to focus on that. We have a saying around here, where we recruit our team members every single day. That’s the expectation of the leadership team and our managers and we’re going to continue to effectively manage through that process, but we will feel pressures from increased wages, but as Mike also outlined inflationary pressures on other aspects in the cost of goods that include med supplies and other aspects.
Joanna Gajuk
So would you be willing to share kind of your views in terms of the – over I guess the labor costs outlook for this year. Are you expecting going to and meaningful acceleration versus historical?
John Rademacher
Yes. Look, I mean, we’re not in a position to specifically articulate what our labor inflation rate is, because there’s a lot of moving pieces with that. I mean, look, we’re very thoughtful around there is certain disciplines, especially around our clinical teams, where frankly the labor inflation is a little bit higher than other categories. But it’s also a rally cry for us just to continue to drive more efficiencies and try to offset that. So look, like every other enterprise across the economy we’re struggling with labor inflationary pressures, which again is just the rally cry to continue to drive more efficiency.
Joanna Gajuk
Okay, great. Thank you. Thanks for that. And I guess, when you mentioned on this acquisition, depending acquisition that it’s complementary to the asset that you acquired previously Infinity. So any ways for us to kind of understand the size of that or any similarities in terms of the margin profile or the multiple you’ve had or you’ve expect to pay for that asset.
John Rademacher
Yes, Joanna. So as we mentioned, we signed a definitive agreement. We’ll naturally be in a position to provide a little more color once we actually consummate the transaction, which again we would hope would be here in the not too distant future. So hang tight and we’ll definitely provide more color on the specifics around on SPNN when we actually get into the end zone.
Joanna Gajuk
That makes sense. And I guess my last question, I guess, chronic business growing very nicely. You touched a little bit about on the, I guess, the efforts there in terms of the sales force. But the other, I guess, side of this equation and any updates on payer contracting in terms of the base. I guess, your business was United grown as they also grow their own infusion capabilities and kind of any, I guess, a bit on payer contracting. Thank you.
John Rademacher
Yes, Joanna. Look, the thing I think that would be most pleased about is the fact that we’ve seen growth across all of our payer platform. So when we look at the top 10 payers that we have and really all of the national payers, we think growth across all of those. And so that has been, I think the testament to just the team and the platform that we put together. With that, look, we don’t necessarily go into the rates at a payer level given the fact that there is a lot of moving pieces. We have over 800 payer relationships and over 1,400 contract. There’s puts and takes that happen with all that as prices in the marketplace. But overall, we’re really pleased and we feel like we have strengthened the relationship across the entire portfolio of payers, given the work of our market access team.
Joanna Gajuk
Thank you so much for the question.
John Rademacher
Thanks, Joanna.
Operator
Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Pito Chickering from Deutsche Bank. Your question, please.
Pito Chickering
Hey, good morning guys. Thanks for taking my questions. The first one is on EBITDA margins for 2022. Those are got to be flat versus 2021. Can you walk us through if there are any changes to the acute gross margin versus chronic gross margins within guidance? And how we should model the natural gross margin pressure as chronic grows. And same topic, can you refresh us as the fixed versus variable component of SG&A costs, in 2021, you got to 40 basis points of margin expansion and SG&A. How much pressures have you see there from labor or supply pressures?
Mike Shapiro
Okay, Pito. Hey, it’s Mike. One question in 15 parts. Keep me honest to make sure I stop for you here. Look, I mean, obviously our EBITDA margin, we’re treading cautiously as most folks given some of the dynamics of this year. We still believe in the leverage ability of the business. But one of the things that we are expecting going forward is that obviously, as John mentioned, chronic’s going to continue to outpace the acute. The acute portfolio we see is growing in the low single digits. We had some nice growth in 2021, because frankly, we had a lower base in 2020 with the initial onset and disruptive nature of the pandemic. And so we don’t provide gross margin guidance, but not the sound defeat is because the team fights for every basis point of cost leverage. But clearly, with that slice growing significantly faster with the margin profile over time, I think it’s realistic to expect some modest gross margin rate declines, even though, again, we still expect robust gross margin dollar growth. Your question around the fixed versus variable, like, within our SG&A base, given the investments we’ve made in especially on the technology infrastructure, we estimate that approximately 80% of our SG&A is relatively fixed. Now that’s fixed in terms of functional support, there are some inflationary pressures around wages, et cetera, within that component. But overall, that gives us the confidence that the SG&A will continue to grow at a pace significantly lower than those gross margin dollars. And so that again gives us the confidence that over time, we will continue to expand and accrete to a better EBITDA margin, I think as we outlined our initial guidance today, again, that doesn’t undermine our confidence in net leverage ability. I think it just reflects a cautious tone given what frankly is unprecedented inflationary pressures facing all of us.
Pito Chickering
Okay. And then so, I guess, two sub questions, just a follow back to last one, what percent of your total costs come from clinical labor.
Mike Shapiro
We don’t break out that specifically. We’ve talked about having more than 1,500 nurses, again, which that’s combined with our – the per diem folks that we added with Infinity. The majority of our team is of a clinical nature, including not only nurses but pharmacists, pharma techs, registered dietitians, respiratory therapists, et cetera. So it’s more than half of our team are comprised of clinicians.
Pito Chickering
Okay. And then last question here, there’s definitely meant a lot of disruptions due to COVID the last year and beginning of this year. I guess, what percent of your revenues came from chronic versus acute in 2021 and kind of what are you assuming that for 2022.
Mike Shapiro
Yes. We’re right around 70-30 chronic, acute. And again, that was around 60-40 at the time of the merger. So again, we don’t give guidance around those two, but we have said and obviously if you interpolate that we think the acute portfolio is going to grow in the low single digit, that implies obviously the other end of the barbell where chronic will be growing faster.
Pito Chickering
Okay. And then last just quick numbers question D&A for ticked down throughout 2021 as you building more infusion suite. Just curious what we should you modeling for D&A in 2022.
Mike Shapiro
Yes. I think, D&A will continue to decline modestly. I mean, I think if you modeled flat to down slightly. And again, it’s not that we’re under investing is that we’ve made so many significant investments in the technology and pharmacy infrastructure over the last several years that we’re in a state where $25 million to $30 million of CapEx is more than adequate to maintain the infrastructure we built as well as continue to invest in growth initiatives. And so I think just given that I don’t expect D&A to increase from where it is right now.
Pito Chickering
Okay. And then the two deals that you announced today, are you included those in guidance and kind of how much of that have added 2022 guidance. Thanks so much.
Mike Shapiro
So obviously, Infinity is as well as Wasatch really excited about the Wasatch acquisition. Again, as we disclosed this morning, we paid $18 million. You can think that we paid low double digits. So from overall impact, it’s not more around the immediate benefit. But as John mentioned, it’s just an extraordinary team and we’re really excited about incorporating their patient experience and their model into our broader infusion suite strategy. So yes, the short answer Pito is both Infinity as well as Wasatch are incorporated into our guidance as I mentioned SPNN is not to date because we have not yet closed.
Pito Chickering
Right. Thank you so much guys.
Mike Shapiro
Thanks you.
Operator
Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Matt Larew from William Blair. Your question, please.
Matt Larew
Hi, good morning. Your comments around disruption on the labor side. I’m curious, do you actually have a challenge filling referrals that you were getting and that lead to any uptick in contract labor that would kind of be part one. The second piece of that would be, have you yet been able to preferentially allocate any of the Infinity resources to Option Care referrals to deal with those staff shortages.
John Rademacher
Hey, Matt. Yes, it’s John. So, first and foremost, look, we have a pretty dynamic model as we’ve talked about and the ability to move work across the network is one in which the operations team has gotten very adept at. So as we kind of outlined, look, there were some market level disruptions, where you come in on a Monday and everyone’s there and you come in on a Tuesday and a third of your team is out, because they have the Omicron variant needless to put – say that, puts a little bit of strain on that local market. And there may have been some referral disruptions at that level. But we quickly responded behind that and certainly prioritize any of that work to make certain that where we could work with our referral partners to delay a start or to kind of move things around, we did and did that very effectively. And as we said in the comments, we believe that we continue to be a partner, a trusted partner for those referral sources. As for the Infinity question and what we have there is, look, we are continued to work very aggressively to assimilate them into the organization. And as we said, part of that model is that it does support market participants beyond Option Care. It allows us to aggregate market demand. And so we’re continued to work down that path. We certainly utilize them wherever there is capacity and tap into their broad network of nurses. They’re qualified for infusion services. We’ve seen great early uptick on that. And needless to say, we will use our full-time and part-time that are on the Option Care side of the house first, wherever we can utilize them fully to maximize and leverage that incredible asset that we have. But then quickly behind that, we will be working with Infinity and then post close with SPNN to be able to augment that and continue to feed our growth trajectory.
Matt Larew
Okay. Next, in terms of utilization of the inventory suite, I think you exited Q3 at about 20%. You’ve talked about 25% longer-term. Maybe just give us a sense for where you exited the year and kind of what we should be expecting for 2022.
John Rademacher
Yes, Matt. Look, we continue to add more facilities into the mix as we entered or exited the year and we’re going to continue in this year. So it’s a little bit to work, in the sense of you got to start up and other things that are in there. I mean, look, I think we saw really strong progress on working toward achieving those goals, bringing those additional facilities online. We think it’s fantastic. And we don’t see anything at this point in time that would change our perspective around the amount of utilization that we could drive towards.
Matt Larew
Okay. I’ll jump back and let others ask questions.
Mike Shapiro
Okay. Thanks, Matt.
John Rademacher
Thanks, Matt.
Operator
Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Lisa Gill with J.P. Morgan. Your question, please.
Lisa Gill
Thanks very much. Good morning, John and Mike. Mike, let me just start with the guidance. I just want to understand when I think about the range on each side. What are the key drivers to getting to the upper end of the guidance range for both revenue and EBITDA?
Mike Shapiro
Sure, Lisa. Good morning. Obviously, there is a broad array of variables we’re trying to model as we enter the year. The short answer is, the two key things are referral patterns and the inflationary pressures. With the onset of the Omicron, we saw, as John mentioned, a pretty quick disruption around some of the referral sources, shutting doors, restricting asset, et cetera. One of the benefits of our chronic portfolio, as you know, is that’s a longer duration therapy, so you have more forward look. And so the things we’re watching here in Q1, as we think about the various scenarios that get us to the higher, the lower ends of our guidance range are primarily the referral patterns how quickly our commercial teams can get back in front of referral sources and replenish those new patient referrals. On the other side of that, obviously, it’s real time management on the disruptions to the supply chain managing through transportation costs, cost of corrugated, et cetera. And our – and many of our suppliers aren’t without supply chain challenges that they’re facing. So those are the key things that we’re trying to model out, where admittedly being a little cautious entering the year and historically, we’ve tried to tighten and narrow our thoughts as we move throughout the year and we’d expect to do that as well.
Lisa Gill
As we sit here at the end of February, obviously, hopefully, Omicron feels like it’s kind of moving in the rearview mirror, who knows if we’ll have another variant. But are you starting to see referral patterns pick up as the virus starts to wane a little bit in different areas of the country.
John Rademacher
Yes. Lisa, it’s John. Yes, look, as things start to go back to normal, we start to see that rebound. There’s a little bit of latency as people start going back to the hospital or things get rescheduled with office visits et cetera. But yes, we’ve normally see that pattern kind of follow a little bit behind, what you’re seeing in the infection rates within the local markets. And so, again, as we’ve said before, it’s not consistent across the country. So it’s really market by market, but we start to see that and it following the pattern that we saw before with Delta and other of the variant.
Lisa Gill
Okay, great. Just one last question for me. Just two areas of how do I think about them limited distribution drugs for 2022 and then biosimilars to either have any kind of meaningful impact as we think about 2022.
John Rademacher
Yes. Look, I think as we’ve always said the limited distribution drugs if they launched, they have a limited impact on the year, but the kind of build as they move forward and we’ve got a dedicated team that’s working it from a business development standpoint upstream with biopharma in order to help with those launches and really to support them through that process. And we expect and we’ve said before, we normally do one to two, two to three a year on that. And so we expect that pattern to remain as we go through the year. On biosimilars, look, as they get introduced, it certainly has opportunity and impact for us continues to move those forward and given the portfolio of therapies that we have those kinds of move-in. Again, they don’t follow the traditional pharmaceutical generic event given that they are kind of a unique product through that process and not the equivalent. But we do see that and we expect we’ll manage that through as those get launched and be able to provide them as part of the overall portfolio in the different therapy sets that we provide services.
Lisa Gill
Great, thanks for the comments.
Mike Shapiro
Yes. Thanks, Lisa.
John Rademacher
Thanks, Lisa.
Operator
Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Jamie Perse from Goldman Sachs. Your question, please.
Jamie Perse
Hey, good morning, guys. I wanted to start with just the comments on 4Q, the labor disruption and the referral patterns from Omicron. How much did that impact top line growth in 4Q or were the impacts more weighted to the first quarter, just given the timing of when infection started picking up.
Mike Shapiro
Yes, Jamie. It really affected, I mean, if you think about it was really in December and really the second half of December, when we saw the astronomical increase in the infection rates. So it really was impacting more of our late, call it, even late December referral patterns, which again, that’s the rolling momentum into Q1. So it really didn’t affect the reported results in Q4 as much as it did the momentum.
Jamie Perse
Okay. That’s helpful. And then just on labor, can you talk about what you’re seeing from a turnover perspective across the last year and more recently and if you can comment on if staff that are leaving within healthcare or exiting healthcare.
John Rademacher
Yes. Look, we monitor and manage that all the time and look, we continue to make investments into our team. We put in place program for bonus programs and other aspects that allow our team members across the organization to participate in the value creation that we’ve had as an organization. We continue to monitor that as we move forward. We saw some really good turnover rate, post merger as we really consolidate the organization and got everyone focused around the mission and vision that we had articulated. And look, we’ve seen a little bit of an uptick as others have seen. Certainly, there is different job categories that have different turnover rates there. But all in all, I think, look, we’re managing it effectively, we’re investing in our people, we really focused around making certain that we are an employer of choice. And as I said, we focus on trying to recruit our team members every single day. We believe we’ve got a great cause as an organization, knowing the care that we deliver and that there’s a loved one on the receiving end of every dose that we’re dispensing. We know that we’ve got to be competitive from a compensation standpoint. And we know that we’ve got to create a environment and which our team feels like they’re cared for and that we’re helping them develop and really being able to meet their career aspirations. And so we’re investing in all of those areas and knowing that as an organization, our team rallies around the fact that what we do, it helps to change life for the better and that’s a really good machine in a north star that drive us.
Jamie Perse
Okay, great. And then just on the EBITDA guidance, I know you’re adding a bunch of centers last year and this year. Can you give us a little bit of detail on what the EBITDA headwind from those is in year one as you ramp up and relative to 2021? Is it greater or smaller in 2022? And then kind of same question on sequestration and any other government headwinds you expect in 2022 and guidance.
Mike Shapiro
Sorry, Jamie. I missed the first part of your – what the headwinds were on the guidance, I missed the first part of your question.
Jamie Perse
Just as you add new centers, the impact on EBITDA, like, what’s the drag, is it greater in 2022 than 2021 or smaller, just that you can comments on impact there and then for sequestration and government programs.
Mike Shapiro
Okay. Yes. I got you. Look, as we ramp these up, it’s a good question. I’m glad you asked that because as we bring new centers online, there is a fixed cost, you got the rent, utilities, CAM charges the infrastructure to – for the turnkey. And so these are typically break even around 18 months to 24 months. So the new centers will bringing online is really around fueling future growth. Not a big burden, it’s a couple of million dollars of SG&A that will be bringing on incrementally in 2022 relative to 2021, which was a couple of million dollars to bring on online, the centers that we’ve opened. And so there’s a little bit of a lagging benefit up in the gross margin efficiency but yes, there will be a couple of million dollars of incremental cost for that infrastructure.
Jamie Perse
Okay.
Mike Shapiro
And then on the sequestration, we’re not assuming any major change in and again, as you know there is not a material size of our business that has direct pen stroke risks since 88% of our revenue or with commercial counterparts. So we’re not expecting any material impact from any government programs.
Jamie Perse
Okay, thanks for the color.
Mike Shapiro
Thanks, Jamie.
John Rademacher
Thanks, Jamie.
Operator
Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Mike Petusky from Barrington Research. Your question, please.
Mike Petusky
Hey, good morning, guys. A couple of questions. Mike on – it looks to me like based on your guidance and commentary this morning, maybe about $200 million of free cash flow. Can you just talk about priorities of debt pay down, M&A, internal investment, just how you would stack rank those priorities in terms of your free cash.
Mike Shapiro
Sure, Mike. Good morning. I think as I mentioned, I think our top priority and we think the best way to create value for our shareholders is primarily through M&A deployment. We’ve brought the capital structure just to an extraordinary level with no maturities now until 2028. Our cash interest burn is now around $50 million or maybe a nudge less and leverage profile of 3.4 times. With growth, we’re going to continue to just naturally drift southward. And so we’ve said that we are very comfortable operating in the 3 to 4 times range. And so, look, with a very capital efficient model, we expect CapEx to be around $30 million, maybe a little bit less this year. And so that affords us considerable capital to continue doing – what we’re doing, which is looking for both strategic and economic opportunities to leverage the platform and we think there is a robust universe of opportunities out there for us.
Mike Petusky
Would you guess that the absolute total debt number would be lower though at the end of 2022 than it was at the end of 2021.
Mike Shapiro
Given the leverage profile that we have, we’ve got a pretty straightforward. We’ve got $600 million of loans and $0.5 billion of the senior unsecured notes. I don’t know that paying down additional gross debt is a top priority at this point. And just given the fact that we’ve got considerable cash. I don’t feel, paying down additional indebtedness at this point as being a top priority of ours.
Mike Petusky
Okay, great. That’s helpful. And then just we talked a lot about COVID and related headwinds, inflationary pressures, et cetera. But I think there is a thought or at least I have thought that possibly you guys benefited in 2021 from site of care sort of shifting from hospital to home or alternate site. And I guess, first, did you – if you did – is there any way to quantify that, and as you think about 2022 if any of that’s true, how does that impact 2022, could you actually see a reversal on the fund sort of that site of care shifts. Thanks.
John Rademacher
Yes. Mike, it’s John. Look, it’s hard to quantify it in totality, as you would expect. But anecdotally, yes, we believe that both from a preference as a patient standpoint as well as some of the site of care initiatives from the payer perspective, there were some forces that helped move those patients out of the hospital and hospital outpatient department for service in the home or one of our infusion suites. And so we’re well-positioned to take on that volume as it came available. We also know though that the number of office visits have been constrained, the number of new diagnosis and being constrained. And so I think as we move through the year, expectations are those puts and takes are kind of still be out there and we fully expect that some of the hospitals are going to try to pull some of that business back. We expect that integrated delivery networks that are looking at how they operate within the communities are going to continue down that path of identifying where they can play. We will still be a partner of choice. We think we’ve got an incredible offering. We think that from a consumer-centric point of view that patients want to be served in the home or one of our infusion suites. And so, look, we’re going to continue to operate as we have, we’re going to continue to have feet on the street and be out there to capture the market demand that’s being created. And we feel like we’re in a really good position, but we also recognize that it’s a competitive environment and we’ve got to fight for every referral and we’ve got to fight for every start.
Mike Petusky
All right, very good. Thanks, guys.
Mike Shapiro
Thanks, Mike.
John Rademacher
Yes. Thanks, Mike.
Operator
Thank you. This does conclude the question-and-answer session of today’s program. I would like to hand the program back to management for any further remarks.
John Rademacher
Yes. Thanks, Jonathan. Look, as we outlined today, we’re very proud of the performance of our team and pleased with the progress we’ve made in 2021. We look forward to a very productive 2022 as we work through the near-term market dynamics and capitalize on the platform that we’ve created. Thank you for joining us this morning and please stay safe. Take care, everyone.
Operator
Thank you, ladies and gentlemen, for your participation in today’s conference. This does conclude the program. You may now disconnect. Good day.