Ferroglobe PLC (GSM) Q3 2019 Earnings Call Transcript
Published at 2019-12-03 13:07:06
Good morning ladies and gentlemen and welcome to the Ferroglobe’s third quarter earnings call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. Later we will conduct a question and answer session and instructions will be given at that time. As a reminder, this conference call may be recorded. I would now like to turn the call over to Beatriz Garcia-Cos, Ferroglobe’s Chief Financial Officer. You may begin. Beatriz Garcia-Cos: Good morning everyone and thank you for joining the Ferroglobe third quarter 2019 conference call. Before we get started with some prepared remarks, I am going to read a brief statement. Please turn to Slide 1 at this time. Statements made by management during this conference call that are forward looking are based on current expectations. Risk factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from these forward-looking statements can be found in Ferroglobe’s most recent SEC filings and the exhibits to those filings, which are available on our webpage, www.ferrogloble.com. In addition, the discussion includes references to EBITDA, adjusted EBITDA, gross debt, net debt, and adjusted diluted earnings per share, which are non-IFRS measures. Reconciliations of these non-IFRS measures may be found in our most recent SEC filings. I would like now to turn the call over to Javier Lopez Madrid, Executive Chairman of Ferroglobe. Next slide, please.
Thank you Beatriz, and good morning to everyone. Today we have with us Pedro Larrea, Chief Executive Officer; Beatriz Garcia-Cos, Chief Financial Officer; Benoist Ollivier, Chief Operating Officer and Deputy CEO; and Gaurav Mehta, Executive Vice President, Strategy and Investor Relations. Before we get started today, I would like to take a moment to comment on a few executive management changes which were recently announced. In October, we appointed Benoist Ollivier as Deputy CEO and Chief Operating Officer. As part of his role, Benoist oversees a number of important initiatives focused on our ongoing efforts to right-size operations, generate cash, and drive cost reduction. Benoist has been with Ferroglobe and his predecessors for over 25 years and has a wealth of operational, technical, and managerial experience. His knowledge of the organization and our industry combined with his proven track record for delivering results supports the effective management and execution of our near-term plan to navigate the current downturn. Additionally, we are thrilled to welcome Beatriz Garcia-Cos to the executive management team of Ferroglobe. On October 29, Beatriz was appointed Chief Financial Officer. Beatriz has over two decades of experience as a senior finance professional in multi-national companies, including having spent the past seven years as CFO of public companies in the metal and mining sector. She will lead Ferroglobe’s finance strategy and oversee the company’s financial operations. With the creation of a new Deputy CEO and COO role and the appointment of a CFO, we have strengthened the management team to successfully and expeditiously execute our strategy. Our financial results clearly reflect a challenging operating environment; however, we have been doing what we need to do one step at a time to ensure we successfully navigate this downturn. The team has executed on a number of initiatives both on the operational and the financial front. This includes complex divestitures such as the sale of FerroAtlantica and with it our Spanish hydro assets. We have replaced our RCF with a new, more flexible North American ABL facility and we have made production curtailments in parallel with cost-cutting initiatives. Although there have been some positive data points recently, we remain cautious and are continuing to adapt our platform until there are stronger signs of improvement in the trading environment. Furthermore, following our lead, we’re now seeing a number of recent capacity curtailments by other producers as the industry takes action necessary to support a recovery in prices. The entire organization is focused on completing the initiatives we have announced as well as generating new ideas to optimize our performance while reducing costs. On the financial side, the repayment of our RCF was a critical step in removing financial constraints and further alleviating pressure on our capital structure. Notwithstanding our efforts thus far, the Board and management fully understand there is much more that we need to do to recover value for our stakeholders, and we are committed to the task. So now, I would like to thank our customers and suppliers for their support during this period, working with us to develop mutually beneficial solutions to weather the downturn. I am confident that the steps we’re taking and the team we have in place will enable the company to drive improved results beginning in 2020. At this time, I would like to turn the call over to Pedro to discuss our operating results in more detail as well as providing insight into our end markets.
Thank you Javier and good morning everyone. Q3 results are reflective of an overall industry slowdown with revenues, EBITDA, and net income at disappointing levels. One area where we have seen a positive trend is a drop in our input costs which partially offset the top line decline. As we review our financials, please note that our prior period financials have been restated to reflect the recent sale of FerroAtlantica and its associated Spanish hydro facilities. Overall volumes during the third quarter were down 3.8% relative to Q2. Our push to sell silicon metal and work down inventory during the quarter led to an increase in silicon shipments; however, silicon-based alloys and manganese-based alloy shipment volumes were down for the quarter. An important factor of the Q3 results was reduced pricing across most of our products. On a quarter over quarter basis, silicon metal prices dropped 6.3%, silicon-based alloys dropped 5.2%, and manganese alloys dropped 4%. Although this sales price decline is reflective of the overall market evolution, it includes selling prices in many of our markets that are above index but also some extra sales in less attractive markets at lower prices with a goal of inventory work-down. The overall weaker volumes and pricing during the quarter yielded a 6.8% decline in our top line revenue versus the prior quarter. Adjusted EBITDA in the quarter was negative $7.2 million compared to positive $5 million during the prior quarter. The adjustments include $174 million impairment charge during Q3, amongst other items. Our EBITDA margin of negative 1.9% is a decrease of 312 basis points from the prior quarter. Given these negative developments, we are actively making changes to our commercial, operational, and financial strategy, which we will discuss in a moment. Turning to Slide 6 please, I would like to highlight that the numbers in these graphs have been restated to reflect the sale of FerroAtlantica and other non-core assets. Our consolidated sales have decreased 6.8% in Q3 to $382 million, down from $409 million in Q2 2019. Silicon metal revenues were higher during the quarter, driven by increased volumes, while silicon-based alloys and manganese-based alloys had declines in sales during the quarter due to lower volumes and lower pricing. This revenue weakness was only partially offset with cost improvements, resulting in negative adjusted EBITDA of $7.2 million during the quarter. In historical terms, the softness in revenues remains accompanied by a relatively high costs in some of our inputs if we compare to where such costs were only a couple of years ago. Prices for manganese ore, coal, electric components, met and petcoke, as well as power are coming down but are still at relatively high levels. Furthermore, it is important to note that there is a lag factor for inputs such as manganese ore where prices have declined significantly during Q3, but we will only capture the full benefit in the coming quarters. Next slide, please. Adjusted EBITDA restated to exclude discontinued operations increased to negative $7.2 million in Q3 versus positive $5 million in Q2. The biggest contributor to the decline during the quarter is lower pricing across all three product categories, which had an adverse impact of $14.7 million. There was a negative $1.7 million impact on the overall decline in volume during the quarter. Partially offsetting the pricing declines is a cost improvement of $10.9 million, which includes improved realized power pricing and operational efficiency improvements. We also realized the benefit of declining manganese ore prices which yielded $5.5 million in cost savings quarter over quarter. During the quarter, we took an inventory write-down of $5.1 million in order to value our finished goods at the lower of cost and net realizable value. This mostly relates to inventories of silicon metal and manganese alloys and was driven by the falling selling prices of these products. Finally, mining and other items negatively impacted results by approximately $1.6 million. Turning to Slide 8, on the next three slides we will discuss pricing and volume trends, earnings contributions, and market operation for each of our key products. Turning first to silicon metal, Ferroglobe saw realized average selling price for silicon metal decline by 6.3% to $2,175 per metric ton. The index pricing in the U.S. and Europe faced a steady decline in Q3 as the demand side of the equation has eroded faster than supply side cutbacks. As a result of the industry’s recent actions, we have seen price stabilization at the beginning of Q4 and some index price recovery in certain markets like China and Europe in the past few weeks. Recently Ferroglobe announced extended production curtailments at plants in Europe and Canada resulting in a run rate capacity reduction of 56,000 tons. Similarly, other producers have announced capacity curtailments as they respond to the declines in demand and to prices at [indiscernible] levels. We view this trend favorably and see this dynamic as critical to stabilizing and eventually improving the pricing environment. We continue to have a decent order book for Q4 with fixed price contracts and with floor limits in some of the indexed price contracts. These contracts will allow us to realize average prices that do not decline as much as the underlying index. The bar chart on the top right of Slide 8 shows an increase in silicon metal volumes. Despite continued demand slowdown across the aluminum, chemical and solar end markets, Ferroglobe realized higher sales volumes due to a network of working down finished goods inventory, in line with our previous announcements. Some of these volumes were sold at prices that brought our average realized price down during the quarter but have helped with our cash flow generation. We saw a slight deterioration in our EBITDA from the silicon metal business quarter over quarter. The net impact of lower realized prices outweighed the positive impact of lower input costs and cost improvements driven by technical performance. Additionally, we had $2.3 million in inventory write-down at the end of the quarter. Lastly, it is worth noting that we announced the formation of a domestic trade coalition in late October. Ferroglobe’s U.S. subsidiary and Mississippi Silicon, the two domestic merchant producers in the U.S., agreed to form the coalition to address international trade regulatory issues related to unfair import competition, which affects both companies. Next slide, please. Turning to silicon-based alloys, during the quarter the average selling price increased by 5.2% to $1,490 per metric ton, down from $1,572 per metric ton in the second quarter of 2019. In addition to the price decline, we also realized lower sales volumes during the quarter. Sales volumes were approximately 69,000 metric tons in Q3, about 9,000 tons lower than the prior quarter. This decline is attributable to an overall slowdown in the steel sector which impacted sales of both our silicon and foundry, which is priced to the automotive end market. As you can see from the graph on the top left-hand side of the slide, the pricing has shown some recovery in both geographies in the current quarter--the index pricing has shown some recovery in the current quarter. We recently announced extended outages which lowered run rate production by 104,000 tons and we continue to monitor developments in the steel industry and plans for capacity reductions by steel producers. EBITDA for our silicon-based alloys business was adversely impacted by lower prices and volumes as well as higher costs. We also had a $0.5 million inventory write-down during the quarter. Collectively these factors resulted in a drop of EBITDA contribution from this product category to $4.1 million in Q3, down from $11.4 million in the second quarter. Next slide, please. Turning now to manganese based on alloys, EBITDA contribution from this business was down marginally at $1.7 million in Q3. It is important to note that the Q3 results include an inventory write-down of $2.4 million. Without this write-down, this part of the business would have shown some early signs of margin recovery. While we report our realized prices and corresponding index in U.S. dollar terms, the European index in euros was rather flat during the quarter, hence the decline you see on the top left-hand corner of the slide, primarily due to foreign exchange movements. Our realized average price decreased by 4% during the quarter to $1,140 per ton. Volumes were down 5.6% during the quarter as a result of seasonality and some delays in shipments at quarter end. The recent trend line on the index pricing for manganese ore continues its positive trend. During the quarter, the Chinese index price for 44% rate ore declined from almost $6 per DMTU at the end of Q2 to just over $5 at the end of Q4. Current prices are well below $4 already. Slide 11, please. Manganese spreads defines the selling price for manganese ore alloys less the cost of manganese ore. As can be seen in the chart on the left side of the slide, these spreads have been volatile historically. Over the past several quarters, we have seen a gradual improvement in this spread largely driven by the drop of manganese ore prices relative to the alloy prices, which have declined marginally during this period. It is important to note that the spreads shown on this slide are illustrative based on the spot prices for ferromanganese and silicon manganese and the spot pricing for ore. This does not detail the company’s specific spread but gives an indication of the trend line evolution in the spread spot prices. Most noticeable is the significant acceleration in the recovery of this spread in recent weeks. Given that factor, this dynamic should benefit us in future quarters. I will now hand the call over to our CFO, Beatriz to review some financial highlights from the quarter. Slide 12, please. Beatriz Garcia-Cos: Thank you Pedro. Now turning to Slide 12, working capital. Working capital increased some $410 million in Q2 to $579 million in Q3, primarily resulting from the revised accounting treatment of the account receivable securitization program. Excluding the impact of this, working capital declined $13.4 million to $397 million. A release of inventory in the plants contributed to working capital improvement by $25 million. A decline in trade payables negatively impacted working capital by $90 million. Now I will provide some comments on the securitization program. The recent downgrades in the company’s rating triggered an amendment to the securitization program. This change affects the risk profile of the program as a result of which it was classed as on-balance sheet for IFRS purposes at the end of the quarter. The impact of this on the balance sheet is an increase of $182 million in working capital. As we speak, we are working on replacing the current account receivable securitization facility with the aim to increase the size of the loan and to return to a better risk profile which will allow the company to take it off balance sheet again. The cash balance as of September 30, including restricted cash, remained flat at $188 million. Slide 13, please. To begin, let’s review the debt position. There was a decrease in our gross debt and net debt by $110 million compared to Q2. The main drivers for the debt reduction are as follows: $58 million for this pay down following the FerroAtlantica divestiture, $21 million of debt paid down in the form of a letter of credit, and the fair market adjustment of a swap financial instrument by $10 million. Moving now to the free cash flow evolution, the reported EBITDA for the quarter was negative $483.1 million. This includes our $174 million goodwill impairment charge with $143 million allocated to Ferroglobe’s U.S. operations and $30.8 million allocated to the Canadian operations. When adjusting for discontinued operations and other non-cash items, the cash EBITDA from operations was negative $3.9 million. The changes in operating assets and liabilities is mainly working capital, inventories and payables contributing $7.3 million. The change of $66.2 million in the accounts receivable securitization financial assets is a result of three factors: first, the rebalancing of the collateral which resulted in $25 million of debt reduction; second, the amendment of the securitization program in September which excluded the eligibility of Canadian receivables, this accounts for $12 million that are now in the North American ABL facility, which was closed on October 11; and finally, as the facility terms were amended, the cash conversion from incremental accounts receivable during the quarter was adversely affected. This accounted for $22 million which we expect to recover once the facility is replaced. Including the impact of interest and income tax, the net cash used by operating activities totaled negative $82.3 million. Excluding the impact of the accounts receivable securitizations, the net cash used by operating activities was negative $16.1 million. Capex expense during the quarter was $6.3 million. When accounting for the $171 million from disposal of non-core assets, the free cash flow during the quarter was $82.5 million. Slide 14. The ending cash balance at September 30 remained flat with the previous quarter at $188 million. First, I would like to highlight that cash provided by the core activities of Ferroglobe was positive by $3.4 million with a negative contribution from EBITDA but a positive impact from working capital. The sale of non-core assets generated the net receipts of $171 million. The majority of this amount was used to repay debt, including the already explained effects of the accounts receivable securitization. During the quarter, we had $81.3 million of debt repayment mainly related to hydro lease tied to the sale of FerroAtlantica as well as some pay down of letters of credit. As explained on the prior slide, there was a negative net impact of $66.2 million from the account receivable securitization facility. Next slide, please. Subsequent to the quarter end, on October 11 we announced the refinancing of our revolving credit facility with a new North American asset-based revolver. In effecting this refinancing, we used cash from our balance sheet to repay a portion of the revolving credit facility as well as a partial pay down of the accounts receivable securitization in the United States to free up the accounts receivable for the new ABL. Net of these transactions, cash on hand dropped by approximately $97 million, leaving the pro forma September 30 cash balance of $91.3 million. This use of cash, however, is more than compensated by a reduction of the minimum cash requirement from $150 million in the old revolving credit facility to $22.5 million under the new ABL. As a result of this transaction, the total gross debt balance decreased by $63.8 million to $492.5 million on a pro forma basis at September 30. It is important to note that the refinancing marks a very important transaction for the company. The new ABL has no leverage base, no financial base covenants, and offers minimum liquidity requirements compared to the limitations imposed under the prior revolving credit facility. Furthermore, the ABL is fully prepayable without any penalty or incremental cost, which gives us the optionality to refinance it as required. All in all, this refinancing has improved our available liquidity and has eliminated the level of risk of financial covenants during the current downturn. At this time, I would like to hand the call over to Pedro to review the near term strategic plan. I would also remind the audience that there are some supplemental slides on our financials in the appendix.
Thank you Beatriz. So we turn to Slide 17 now, please. To date, we are faced with an ongoing uncertain operating environment across our main products. While there are some early positive data points emerging across the various products, we are assuming a delayed recovery and are adapting our cost structure and our production portfolio on this basis. Over the past 12 months, we have introduced a number of initiatives impacting our operational, financial and corporate areas. On the operational side, there has been a significant push to right-size the production footprint to address a decline in demand. By curtailing or idling plants, we reap a number of direct and indirect benefits. Our goal is to adapt our production platform to the reality of decreased demand. Furthermore, by scaling back production we are able to drive plant-level cost savings as well as focus on working capital release, primarily through the reduction of inventories. On the financial side, we continue to evaluate opportunities to further improve our liquidity; however, this is always underpinned by the premise that any new capital needs to provide financial and operational flexibility. Finally, on the broader corporate side, our emphasis is continued cost reduction such as re-evaluating headcount and screening various corporate level expenses. Additionally, we continue to evaluate our portfolio of assets to determine ways to streamline and potentially monetize these businesses, as we did in the case of FerroAtlantica. We have considerable asset value across our [indiscernible] business and are constantly looking at opportunities to extract value and improve our capital structure. We will develop these points in the following pages, so next slide, please. Our operational action plan is focused on three primary areas: one, focus at plant-level economics; two, releasing working capital; and three, making adjustments to our production and operational profile. Over the past few quarters, we have repeatedly discussed our key technical metrics for our KTM program. The goal of the KTM initiative is to continuously monitor and benchmark key metrics across our facility to drive improved operational efficiency while decreasing cost and improve competitiveness. The initial KTM plan has yielded successful results and we are now launching a second phase. With an operating culture centered on continuous improvement, each facility practically and constantly looks to improve its cost structure. We recognize that the competitive environment across our product categories is dynamic and we have to evolve to remain competitive. Shifting now to working capital release, as the demand for our products has declined, we have made the necessary changes to ensure our working capital follows this trend. Last quarter, we announced our decision to shut down the Polokwane facility in South Africa in order to control inventories and reported our plans to de-stock in the later part of the year. After further review, we have developed a comprehensive plan for each plan to achieve inventory work-down. This includes improvement of raw materials and spare parts management and optimization of finished goods stocks. At the moment, we are targeting inventory reductions of at least $75 million over the next two quarters. As a reminder, we were able to raise $89 million of cash from inventories released in Q4 of 2018, so we feel confident in our ability to reach our target. Working down inventory levels is aided by our ability to adapt production to reduce demand from end customers. The plant curtailments we are making have been viewed as a necessary step by the industry given current pricing levels, and that has led other producers to follow with similar actions. It is critical that the industry bring supply levels down to support the producers’ cost structures. As the recent activity of our peers is viewed positive by Ferroglobe, we certainly will continue to take action as necessary and feel our peers are of similar mindset. Next slide. On the topic of capacity curtailments, the graphs on this slide show the run rate production capacity evolution across our key product categories. Recently we announced a series of extended outages. In silicon metal, we have now curtailed a cumulative 66,000 tons in Canada and Europe expressed on a run rate basis. In silicon based alloys, we reduced production by 88,000 tons in the U.S. and Europe, and in manganese based alloys we are curtailing production by 125,000 tons at our Mo i Rana facility in Norway. Downsizing our operational platform has a number of benefits and underpins our targets for cash release from inventory work down. Turning to Slide 20, we provide an update on our cost savings achieved through the first half across three cost cutting areas. For the year, we were expecting to realize $10 million of savings through reduction of corporate overhead costs. During the first nine months of the year, we have achieved $7.4 million of this target. Improvements in overhead costs are primarily attributable to a reduction in personnel costs, reduced use of third party consultants and advisors as more work has been handled in house, particularly related to operational and legal matters. As a general update, the move from London to Madrid is progressing on schedule. Most of the executive management team has now moved with the remaining few expected to do so over the next month or two. We have also made hires for key roles where the previous incumbent is not moving to Madrid. In addition to the new hires, there is a thorough transition plan for each role which continues to be executed. Overall, the move to Madrid has been successful and we are seeing the advantage of having the majority of the management team under the same roof through improved costs and efficiency, enhanced communication, and more agile decision making. Once again, this is important as we execute on our various initiatives. The next bucket is the KTM initiatives. The key technical metrics program is focused on achieving performance improvements through increased productivity and efficiencies, including changes to raw material mix and focus on byproduct recycling and change to electrode technology. To date, we have achieved $13.4 million of the $15 million target for the year. Lastly, we have been focused on reducing fixed costs at the plant level. During the first nine months of the year, we achieved savings of $14.3 million which compares to our full year 2019 target of $15 million. Overall, we are on track to achieve the $40 million cost savings targeted for 2019. On a run rate basis, our target savings remains $75 million. Next slide, please. Given the continued negative results and under the working assumption of a prolonged downturn, it has been critical for the company to improve its liquidity position and its financial flexibility. We have already delivered in a number of significant initiatives: first, the divestiture of FerroAtlantica in August that was already extensively explained in the Q2 results presentation. Also as a subsequent event after the closing of Q3 results, on October 11 we announced the successful replacement of the existing RCF with a loan backed by our North American inventories and accounts receivable. Beatriz has already explained the details and advantages of the new facility. All in all, this refinancing has improved our available liquidity and has eliminated the lingering risks of financial covenants during the current downturn. We continue to evaluate a number of alternatives aimed at further strengthening our balance sheet and liquidity. We have unencumbered assets and incremental debt capacity which can help facilitate our goals. Finally, with regards to our maturity ladder, the company does not have any near term maturities. The largest single tranche of debt are 2022 notes maturing in over 24 months. While we prudently evaluate options to optimize value, no formal decisions have been made at this time. I would now like to turn it over to Javier, who will review the near term outlook.
Thank you Pedro. The slower activity in many of our end markets in 2019 has certainly been the driver of this cyclical downturn in our financial results as the end customer demand has declined much faster than the industry originally anticipated. While each of our end markets are impacted by different factors, there are commonalities tied to fears of a global economic slowdown which has led many of our customers to cut back their production and hence purchase fewer of our products. The ongoing trade war developments have added another layer of uncertainty to the demand picture. Given the fact that the broader global economy remains relatively healthy, coupled with the de-stocking we believe to have taken place this year and the recent wave of capacity cutbacks, there is a possibility of market squeeze which could be favorable for our products, mainly silicon metal, but we are not conducting our operations under that assumption. The aluminum sector continues to be challenged by the trade war and demand for aluminum for the automotive industry has declined significantly this year. Offsetting this has been a slightly better demand dynamic for aluminum going into end markets such as packaging and transport. Overall, the global deficit in aluminum along with the long low inventory levels should provide some stability to end market demand as we enter 2020. The greatest drop in volume in the past few quarters has been in the chemical market at levels which far outpace GDP decline. While customers are cautiously purchasing going into 2020, we see tightness in this end market as de-stocking could have already taken place and the demand is predicted to remain at GDP-plus levels globally. Finally, the picture for the photovoltaic industry has not changed much; however, as new PV installations hit an all-time high in 2019, we think there is probably a work down of solar cell inventories which will need to be replenished, hence we’re expecting some recovery in this end market in 2020. The steel industry, which impacts our manganese based alloys and ferrosilicon business, has been under pressure in 2019 and we expect these headwinds to continue. In the U.S., we see some potential risk of oversupply pressing prices, but the demand picture should be fairly stable. It is true that there is some risk of year-over-year slowdown in demand, but we have to remind ourselves that we are coming off record-setting years. In Europe, the recent wave of capacity curtailment by steel producers have been more drastic and is largely driven by retrenchment in the auto industry. Our sales into this market have been stable in 2019 to date, and we continue to monitor developments. The curtailments we have made should certainly help us manage our sales book and keep inventory levels low despite potential slow down in steel demand. Slide 24. As we continue to negotiate contracts in the silicon metal business for next year, all the trends and factors discussed today come into play. There was a slow start to the contracting season due to the demand side slowdown, but activity has picked up in recent weeks. As a matter of fact, we have won some business in the U.S. and Europe at levels which reinforces some of the points just discussed around the tightness in the market. We are not expecting a [indiscernible] recovery, but the fundamental supply and demand dynamics certainly support a gradual recovery in silicon prices in 2020. Our commercial and operational strategies will certainly support this strength, and we will be very careful in restarting capacity. The decision to curtail silicon capacity was intentional given market uncertainties. We have emphasized the urgency of an industry-wide return to profitability. In light of the risk of a saturated market, our priority is to stay at sustainable margins rather than to focus on volumes. On the other hand, we will head into 2020 with an order book which is less committed overall than prior years, as it would be not in our best interests to sign deals with customers at a time when the market is showing signs of some improvements. Shifting to the silicon based alloys portion of our business, the pace of contracting is consistent with prior years with some very significant orders already booked. Our focus on optimizing specialty sales is bearing fruit. With manganese alloys, we stand to benefit from the continued decline in ore prices. Furthermore, we expect some stabilization in alloy prices as de-stocking slows, which helps our spread. Once again, with our curtailed volumes, we do not foresee any issues selling our alloys and may even restart one furnace, depending on the evolution of the spread. The key to our commercial strategy in 2020 is to sell less but to ensure a healthy margin. Shrinking our footprint helps facilitate a number of key objectives and make the business more manageable in this operating environment. Turning to Slide 25 in closing, the third quarter highlights the continued downturn in our business and disappointing financial results in 2019. Despite some positive signs of recovery, we’re operating under the assumption that the headwinds challenging our business on the demand and pricing side will continue into the beginning of 2020. As such, our strategy has centered on ways to combat the cash losses in our business by driving initiatives geared at cash flow generation and financial flexibility. The more drastic actions we’re taking to curtail capacity and temporarily shrinking our operational footprint will help accelerate our efforts and increase our rate of success in hitting our targets. This strategy might limit our upside should there be a market [indiscernible], but we want to remain prudent to ensure that the business remains cash neutral during this stretch. We do see 2020 shaping up to a better year than we expected just a few months ago, but the recovery won’t happen overnight. While we welcome a faster recovery, we have developed and we are operating under a plan that prepares us for a few more difficult quarters. Recent history has highlighted the volatility in the business, both on the downside as well as on the upside. For more than a year now, we’ve been faced with downward pressure which have materially impacted our businesses. We have systematically done what was needed to combat the evolving market environment and plan on continuing to do so as necessary. Updating our plan is only half of the story. The other half is the execution. I am confident that the management changes we have made will be effective in ensuring that we’re putting our best foot forward to execute the near term strategy. We have been in this position before and have been able to navigate through these difficult times. I don’t see this time being any different. Once again, thank you for your participation on today’s call. At this time, I would ask the Operator to open the line up for questions.
[Operator instructions] Our first question comes from Matt Farwell with Imperial Capital.
Hey, good morning. Thanks for taking my question. I was wondering if you could give a little bit more color on the potential to release cash from refinancing the AR facility that was mentioned in one of the slides. What amount of cash could be released in that to add to the balance sheet? That was my first question, thanks.
Thank you Matt, this is Pedro. If there is any comment that Beatriz would like to add, I’ll allow her, but we mentioned that during the last weeks of Q3, the changes in the AR securitization program we are under right now drove $22 million of invoices that were not translated into cash. It is approximately that amount, but we would be expecting to recover when we replace the AR securitization, the current facility with a new one.
Okay, great. One other question when you talked about $125 million of lean capacity, would you be able to clarify any plans to utilize that capacity in the short term? Is there--would you pursue some sort of exchange or refinancing?
The $125 million is a description of what the bond indenture allows us in terms of room for additional capacity, and we are confident that we have an asset base that allows us to raise additional capacity--or sorry, additional capital within that capacity. We are examining different options for that.
Okay. Final question for me, would you be able to just give us some more color from a macro perspective on capacity curtailments that you’re seeing from your competitors? We know that Ferroglobe has taken one for the team essentially by shutting down a significant amount of capacity. What else are you seeing out there, and what is the problem? I know one of your slides has indicated that take-or-pay contracts are perhaps sustaining capacity above economic levels, so could you just give us some more market color on that front, please?
First in terms of what we have observed, and I’ll focus specifically on the silicon metal market, public data shows that--and I think this is the main factor in the supply-demand dynamics in this market. It shows that Chinese exports for silicon metals this year on an annualized basis are somewhere around 120,000 tons below last year. That is the main factor in terms of the supply-demand dynamics. The second point is we also have some observation of reduced capacity utilization in Brazil in the past two or three months. We are not certain about what is the level of that reduced capacity utilization, but there is some capacity utilization. Third is there’s been public announcements of Rusal reducing silicon metal production, also Elkem reducing capacity utilization, and then some other minor players. We know that the Iceland plant, PCC is having difficulties in operating that we cannot confirm, but it looks like they are not hitting the market as they would have expected, and also Bosnia is showing production curtailments as well. The second part of the question, sorry, it slipped my mind.
That was it. I was just asking about market color and--oh yes, regarding the take-or-pay arrangements in Malaysia.
Oh yes, sorry about that. Yes, you’re right. We have made that point in the past in terms of the ability of certain of our competitors to cut back capacity right in the middle of the year because you would have some commitments in terms of take-or-pay, power, labor, etc. We think that the fact that we are now seeing some of our competitors are cutting back capacity, may be meaning that some of those restrictions have been lifted or they have reached the point in which they have the option either to renew those commitments or not renew, and they are now having more ability to cut back capacity.
Got it. Thanks for taking my questions.
[Operator Instructions]. Our next question comes from Brett Levy with AD Securities.
Hey guys. Under the new agreement, are you allowed to repurchase any of your bonds at discounted levels?
We are. In terms of the bonds, we are contemplating different options going forward. We still have more than 24 months until maturity. We will be looking at different options. We have made no decisions, but we are allowed.
Got it. Then in terms of your cost cutting plans, I know at one point you guys put out a target of $75 million and that sort of thing. Is there a dollar amount sort of from this point going forward that you have as a cost cutting target say between now and the end of 2020 given what you’ve achieved? Give me a year to date or period to date cost cutting effort update, and then how much is left to go on the target.
We announced a $75 million run rate savings. Run rate means that that is the savings that we would be having actually in 2020 compared to 2018. In 2019, we announced that we would be having savings of $40 million in the year as a whole compared to 2018, and so far--and this is all detailed on Slide 20, so far we have achieved $35 million year to date, which of course places us on track to achieve the $40 million for this year. So far, we have not announced any additional targets above those $75 million that you referred to, and that would be fully captured only in 2020.
All right, thanks. My other questions have been asked.
I’m not showing any further questions at this time. I’d like to turn the call back over to our hosts.
Okay, thank you. That concludes our third quarter earnings call. Thanks again for your participation and we look forward to hearing from you on our next call. Have a great day.
Ladies and gentlemen, this does conclude today’s presentation. You may now disconnect and have a wonderful day.