GreenPower Motor Company Inc. (GP) Q3 2022 Earnings Call Transcript
Published at 2022-10-20 00:00:00
[Audio Gap] everyone. Welcome to Grameenphone's earnings disclosure for the third quarter of 2022. My name is Naureen. I'm the Head of Investor Relations for Grameenphone. With me today are our CEO, Mr. Yasir Azman; and our CFO, Mr. Jens Becker. The presentation that we are using today, along with additional documents and financial statements, are available for download on our Investor Relations website. You can start posting your questions in the comment box, and we will address them at the end of our presentation. In case you cannot post your questions, please send me an e-mail or text. I will now welcome our CEO, Mr. Yasir Azman, to start our presentation.
Thank you, Naureen. And good morning, everyone. My name is Yasir Azman. I am the CEO of Grameenphone. Thank you for joining us for our third quarter results announcement. I would like to begin with some industry facts. As reported by our regulator, till August 2022, the telecommunication industry reported 183.5 million subscribers, declining by 0.9 million subscribers from June 2022. And till August, mobile data users have increased by over 1 million, [ reaching to ] 116.1 million from June 2022. If I go by the highlights for Q3 2022. Grameenphone is continuing to experience positive traction in -- this year. We continued growth momentum on revenue and EBITDA in the third quarter. The main driver behind our growth is improving contribution from voice and data revenue and users. We will discuss our performance parameters in further details in the subsequent slides. However, the third quarter presented many challenges on the macroeconomic and regulatory environment. Like the rest of the world, Bangladesh is also facing pressure from macroeconomic situations due to rising inflation and energy costs, which have dampened our top line and affected customer spending capability. Our teams continue to navigate the challenging circumstances by ensuring that we remain committed to our strategic priorities while delivering value for our customers and shareholders. We are growing despite macroeconomic pressure and regulatory challenges. As mentioned earlier, our ongoing growth momentum is driven by higher revenue and usage from voice and data. This is the result of our commitment to continue improving our network quality and coverage and ensuring an enhanced experience for our customers in meeting the demand for high-speed connectivity. We have been heavily investing and improving the quality of service, as far as data network experience is concerned. In the third quarter, we continued to invest in our network, leading to over 19,700 sites all together for Grameenphone. With the vision to expedite the journey towards smart Bangladesh, Grameenphone successfully completed 5G trials in all divisional cities in July. As the tech service leader of the country, we showcased 5G to customers throughout the country, where they experienced advanced technologies and different use cases, like robotic arms, augmented reality videos [indiscernible] virtual reality, gaming, cloud gaming, et cetera. In the third quarter, we made several changes to our product portfolio, revising prices in our data portfolio while remaining user focused with our bundle offers. As a result, we saw increase in both data usage and revenue, while bundle contribution also grew. Digital recharge continued to improve in the third quarter with a 6.3% growth in digital recharge volume compared to last year. At the end of the quarter, Grameenphone's self-service, a one-stop solution at MyGP, registered a user base of 13.4 million. We also faced several external challenges in this quarter, mainly from worsening macroeconomic climate and regulatory environment. The inflation rates in Bangladesh continued to worsen, aided mainly by higher cost of energy. As a measure to curb energy consumption, the government initiated several austerity measures affecting both the public and private sectors, such as controlled load shedding [ of daily electricity from ] the national grid, reducing working hours, et cetera. Grameenphone has also engaged in several austerity measures to ensure we remain responsible in our consumption of energy while we tackle the ongoing crisis. And as a result of that ongoing inflation, we see higher operating costs and reduced spending capability of our customers, which is adversely impacting our growth momentum. At the end of June, the regulatory had imposed a ban on SIM sales of Grameenphone, citing quality of service, due to which Grameenphone's subscriber base witnessed a negative growth of 3.4% from Q2 2022. We have been actively engaging with the regulator and working toward overcoming this imposition, and as of mid of September, the regulator has partially lifted the ban, enabling us to resume our SIM sales immediately. We'll continue to work together with our regulator and engage in constructive dialogue to overcome this embargo [indiscernible]. We continued empowering our societies with our various activities. Grameenphone's operation have always focused towards ensuring sustainability and fair business practices. We focused on various aspects encompassing environment, social and government -- governance in our operations and day-to-day interactions with all stakeholders. As a part of a digital inclusion enablement, as of 30th September 2022, Grameenphone is connecting a subscriber base of 81.8 million customers, of whom 45.5 million customers access the Internet and 32 million are empowered with 4G connectivity. As an equal opportunity employer. Diversity and inclusion are imperative in our way of the way we do business. Our diversity agenda broadly includes gender, skills and competence. [ As the ] third quarter of this year, 45% of new hires were women, while percentage of women in total [ workforce ] reached to 18.5% level. The extended leadership team of Grameenphone's comprise of almost 13% female representation at this point of time. GP is focused on creating a positive to -- notion to drive [ into the forward higher skills for future career ] of graduating students through Grameenphone Academy. This is an online platform launched in collaboration with Cisco net academy (sic) [ Cisco Networking Academy ] that is also running student engagement through universities around the country. Since its launch in May this year, Grameenphone Academy has over 11,000 students enrolled. And over 1,900 students received course completion certification on different skills [ process ], including career readiness skill, entrepreneurship skill, cybersecurity, introduction to IoT and Python programming skills. The program has also been creating awareness about future challenges, opportunities and importance of skill development [ of a student ] through town hall in different universities. Besides, [ 2 female-focused ] workshops were also conducted with e-certified training on innovation and robotic process automation. More details of Grameenphone's ESG initiatives as well as performance KPIs are available on our investor relation website. Anytime, you can access those. At this point of time, I will now welcome our CFO, Jens Becker, to take you through our financial performance for the quarter. Jens?
Thank you, Azman. And good morning to everybody. Let me start with a short overview of the key KPIs. Grameenphone continued to deliver a strong financial performance in Q3 despite -- as mentioned by Azman, despite the headwinds that we saw from the economic environment due to the inflation, rising energy prices and austerity measures to reduce energy consumption. We experienced growth in top line and EBITDA for 6 consecutive quarters, with enhanced growth momentum for 5 quarters. Increased customer-focused market activities, continued improvement in our operational efficiency, a site rollout and spectrum deployment contributed to our top line and EBITDA growth momentum. During the quarter, Grameenphone registered 6.9% year-on-year growth in subs and traffic revenue, after 6.5% growth in the last quarter. And EBITDA grew by 5%, after 4.3% growth in Q2. EBITDA margin stood at 62.2% with a 1.2 percentage point margin improvement from last quarter. We continued our network expansion and modernization plans to improve customer experience further. With the continuous investment effort, at the end of Q3, GP's CapEx-to-sales ratio for the quarter stood at 12.7%, based on the fourth quarter moving average. Earnings per share for the quarter stood at BDT 6.72, which is a 6.1% increase from last year. Now starting in the details and turning first to the subscriber base. During Q3, Grameenphone's subscriber growth was impacted by the SIM sale restriction. To lift the ban on SIM sales, GP has been actively engaging with respective stakeholders. BTRC partially lifted the SIM sales restriction in the middle of September. Due to the SIM sale ban, at the end of Q3, Grameenphone's subscriber base had a decrease, has decreased by 2.1% from the previous year to 81.8 million, while the number of data users has decreased by 1.2% year-on-year to 45.5 million. Despite having a degrowth in subscriber base in Q3, Grameenphone's 4G data users continued to grow and reached 32 million, which is a 15.9% growth from last year which was possible due to our continued effort to enhance the 4G network experience. Grameenphone's subscription market share also got impacted, as there was no subscriber acquisition till middle of September due to the regulatory restrictions. According to BTRC's published information as of August '22, GP's subscription market share stood at 45.3%, which is 0.7 percentage points lower compared to last quarter, yes. Grameenphone registered 6 consecutive quarters of growth in total revenue and daily subscription and traffic revenue. Total revenue grew by 6.7% in Q3, after 5.9% growth in last quarter. Growth in total revenue was mainly driven by the 6.9% growth in daily subscription and traffic revenue, which was 6.5% in last quarter. The growth in subs and traffic revenue was driven by all three. It means bundles, data and voice. Now turning to the revenue details. Grameenphone refurbished its data portfolio during the quarter due to the implementation of 15% VAT on data services in response to changes in the national budget. Considering customer needs, Grameenphone introduced exclusive data-only products while continuing focus on user-friendly bundle offers. Bundle revenue and data revenue, therefore, increased by 28% and 7.7% year-on-year, respectively. With this significant increase in bundle and data revenue, subscription and traffic revenue as a whole increased by 6.9%. Next slide. We continued our value propositions through attractive market offers, supported by continuous investment in deployment of spectrum and 4G network expansion. As a result, amidst macroeconomic and regulatory challenges, GP's average megabyte per user grew by 52.1% from last year and 8.4% from last quarter. On the other hand, the overall service ARPU increased by 5.9% in Q3, after 2% growth in last quarter. The growth in service ARPU was driven by higher contribution from bundles, data and the voice segment all alike. Now turning to the bottom line results. Along with the continuous top line growth, Grameenphone also had continuous EBITDA growth for 6 straight quarters. With a healthy margin of 62.2%, Grameenphone's EBITDA increased by 5% in the third quarter. Top line growth was primarily responsible for the increase in EBITDA. OpEx for the quarter stood at BDT 12 billion, which is a year-on-year 9.1% growth. Year-on-year growth in this OpEx was mainly contributed by higher market spend, regulatory costs, operational maintenance and energy costs. Next slide. GP invested BDT 2.8 billion CapEx during the quarter, focusing mainly towards 4G network, coverage expansion and spectrum deployment. We rolled out 2,200-plus new 4G sites and more than 2,000 new coverage sites in last 12 months. In addition, as of Q3, GP deployed spectrum in more than 18,000 sites. At the end of Q3, the number of 4G sites reached 19,719. During the quarter, 4G pop coverage reached 97.8%, which was a 1 percentage point increase from last year. Turning to net profit. Net profit for the quarter stood at BDT 9.1 billion with a margin of 23.5%. The year-on-year net profit growth was led by higher EBITDA and lower modernization costs, which were partially offset by higher depreciation due to new site acquisitions and higher finance costs due to currency devaluation. Next page. The operating cash flow, means EBITDA minus CapEx, for the quarter stood at BDT 21.2 billion, reflecting a year-on-year BDT 0.2 billion growth, in combination of a BDT 1.1 billion higher EBITDA and BDT 0.9 billion higher CapEx spend. On the other hand, net debt stood at BDT 9 billion as of Q3 '22, in combination of BDT 13.8 billion short-term bank loan and BDT 4.8 billion cash balance excluding restricted cash. Now contribution to the national exchequer. Till September '22, GPS paid BDT 78.5 billion, equaling 69.5% of our total revenue, to the national exchequer in the form of taxes, VAT, duties, license and spectrum assignment fees. And since inception, that means GP contributed more than BDT 1,000 billion to the national exchequer. I will now hand back to Azman to summarize and wrap up. Thank you.
Thank you, Mr. Jens. As I mentioned, the first 9 months of the year has been good in terms of our continued and improving growth momentum, mainly driven by higher usage, strong market execution and a strategic focus on network investment to enhance our customer experience, and at the same time, as we discussed and mentioned, that we were facing challenges both externally or from a macroeconomic climate, at the same time, regulatory environment, which has actually dampened our growth momentum, as far as new subscriber growth concerned. However, as mentioned earlier, with strong teamwork, Grameenphone remains committed to delivering value for our customers and shareholders through continued investment and modernization initiatives that will help us to cater to the constantly evolving connectivity needs of our customer. With that, I will hand over to Mr. -- Ms. Naureen for Q&A session.
Thank you, Azman bhai. And thank you, Jens. We will now take 1 to 2 minutes for questions to start coming in, so everyone, please start posting your questions.
Azman bhai, we received some questions from IDLC, so I will start with the first questions for you. Could you please provide more details on the partial uplifting of SIM purchase restrictions? And do you have any estimate on how much the revenue was lost during the restriction?
I think -- on this particular ban on SIM sales, we appreciate that our regulator has withdrawn the SIM sales ban on unused prepaid -- preapproved numbers actually to address our customer needs. Those were approved earlier, and we are committed to meet our customers' expectations with those. The growth in subscriber acquisition, the overall growth of subscriber, slowed down in the industry due to the demand and supply shortage of Grameenphone SIM in the market and due to an embargo on recent new SIM sales. We believe the industry will be back to growth momentum once the ban is fully lifted, and customers will get connections from the most preferred telecom brand in the country. At this point of time, our preapproved SIMs are there available in the market. GP has continuously improving experience. That has been reflected in our regulators' finding in the same time, and we continue our dialogue to progress in this area further positively. At this point of time, really pinpointing, as such in a way, to what's the revenue loss of -- out of this SIM ban, it's getting difficult because -- you understand that it's a multi-SIM market. Even with slowed-down growth for Grameenphone, we have seen the continued usage growth of our existing subscriber. And with the investment we are making to improve our network quality, we have seen our growth momentum continued both in revenue and EBITDA.
Thank you, Azman bhai. Just to follow up: "When do you plan to complete rolling out of the new spectrum?" I believe this is a reference to the spectrum acquired in 2022.
Yes. So it's like -- obviously according to our plan and for the market, it's like [ real ] need to ensure quality data network experience. It is important that we have a right rollout -- planning for the spectrum rollout. We have acquired spectrum in 2021. And we have almost completed the rollout of 2100 megahertz spectrum which we acquired in '21, and we are now starting rolling out 2600 megahertz.
Thank you, Azman bhai. We'll move on to the performance questions for Jens. What was the voice degrowth -- sorry. What was the voice growth in quarter 3 2022?
Yes. This have been -- year-on-year, this was a 3.1% growth in the voice revenue.
Additionally, Jens, what -- have you experienced substantial data price cut among competitors in Q3 '22?
We -- as you all know, this is a very competitive market and there is pressure on prices always, but I can't say that we have seen a dramatic [ cut ], if this is the question. You asked for substantial data price cut amongst the competition. I think the answer is no. The whole market rather have been impacted by the data VAT increase from 5% to 10%. And as a result, according also to the BTRC published information, overall industry lost 2.4 million subscribers. So that, in essence, we don't see substantial price cut going over what we have seen before.
Thank you, Jens. We don't have any further questions on the portal. We will wait 1 or 2 more minutes to see if there are any more questions. Thank you, everyone. As there are no further questions, we will be closing our session today. Thank you very much for joining us. If you do have any follow-up questions, please feel free to get in touch with me over e-mail or text. We will be taking meetings for the next few days on any questions related to the quarter 3 performance. Thank you, Jens and Azman bhai, for your presentations today.