Good day and welcome to the Fossil Group's Fourth Quarter 2015 Earnings Conference Call. Today's conference is being recorded. At this time, I'd like to turn the conference over to Eric Cerny, Investor Relations. Please go ahead, sir. Eric M. Cerny - Investor Relations Contact: Thank you. Good afternoon, everyone. Thank you for joining us and welcome to Fossil Group's fourth quarter 2015 earnings conference call. I'd like to remind you that information made available during this conference call contains forward-looking information, and actual results could differ materially from those that will be projected during this call. Fossil Group's policy on forward-looking statements and additional information concerning a number of factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from such statements is readily available in our Form 10-K and 10-Q reports filed with the SEC. In addition, the company assumes no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, except as required by law. Please note that you may listen to a live webcast or replay of this call by visiting fossilgroup.com under the Investors section. Now, I would like to turn the call over to the company's Chairman and CEO, Kosta Kartsotis. Kosta N. Kartsotis - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: Thank you and good afternoon, everyone. I will begin with a few prepared remarks before turning the call over to Dennis Secor, our Chief Financial Officer. Following his prepared remarks, Greg McKelvey, our Chief Strategy and Digital Officer, will join us for the Q&A. We look back on 2015 as a year of both significant challenges and accomplishments. We anticipated economic, competitive and consumer headwinds, which all materialized and in some cases intensified, putting pressure on sales and earnings. Despite disappointing operating results, our team remained focus on our strategic priorities to strengthen our leadership position in our core business and to extend that leadership further through our investments in wearable technology. We set course to reposition the company with the necessary platform to accelerate sales and profitability in the future and made significant progress against our goals. We are very proud of the dedication and resiliency our team demonstrated as they rose to meet the many challenges in 2015. Their ability to remain nimble in a quickly changing environment and the strategic actions we have taken over the past year better positioned us to improve our performance in the future. Through that lens, while a challenging year, it was an energizing year, a year where the entire organization was challenged to re-imagine their role and evaluate processes and procedures to have more of a direct impact on the business. We restructured our operations and teams to be in the best position to compete in this rapidly evolving time in retail and look forward to building on those actions in 2016. As I mentioned on our call in November, with disruption in the marketplace comes opportunity to take advantage of growth and changing trends. While our performance over the last six years or seven years has delivered strong revenue and earnings growth, our performance in 2015 was below our expectations and more importantly, below where we see the potential of this business. The last time we experienced disappointing trends in the company, we regrouped and refocused our efforts on design and innovation and positioned the company for strong growth. Given the current environment, that has been our objective, and we have made strides to that end. The determination of our team, the focus on our strategic objectives and our drive for innovation has us positioned for future growth in a rapidly changing world. We will take this time to review the strategic objectives that we laid out for you coming into 2015 and update you on our progress against each. These objectives and priorities will remain our focus for the foreseeable future, and we intend to build on the momentum we gained in each during this past year. We are very focused on these objectives to improve our performance in the future. First, investing in growing our own brands, Fossil and SKAGEN. We believe this is very important for the long-term valuation of our company and our position in the marketplace. Throughout our history, we have successfully leveraged our strategic and competitive advantages to become the licensee of choice in the traditional watch space. While we will continue to play that role, we believe the long-term value for the Fossil Group is to be a strong lifestyle brand builder and leverage that strength to grow our licensed brands. This past year, we invested in brand building and demand creation activities for our brands, and on a comparable basis to last year, drove 4% growth in Fossil and 15% growth in SKAGEN. We advanced our CRM capabilities to better understand our customer, their shopping patterns and preferences, and establish a deeper connection with them to provide for continued dialogue, all with the intent to facilitate repeat customer visits and to drive additional sales. In 2015, we completed development of a global customer database to run targeted CRM campaigns around the globe with a focus on understanding all digital and social activity of our customers. The insights gained allowed us to create new social activation programs and in-store events aimed at driving traffic to our websites and our stores. We continue to work towards converting customers into multi-category purchasers and expanding our customer base to help drive growth going forward. We will continue to invest in these initiatives based on the initial success we have seen. You can expect more cross-channel events along with testing of additional social based engagement programs. We believe these efforts will prove crucial as consumer shopping patterns continue to evolve, and of course strategic, given the profitability associated with growing our own brands. We also have made great strides in increasing brand awareness through product innovation, both in traditional categories as well as the connected accessory space. I'll talk more about the connected accessory initiative in a moment, but we know that innovation across watches, jewelry and accessories will continue to be a source of growth. We saw this for Fossil leathers in our wholesale partners in the fourth quarter, as improved product, better designs and the quality of our products resonate with customers. We intend to build on the categories momentum in 2016. Additionally, our collaboration with opening ceremony is a great example of innovation and newness that can create consumer demand. Second, investing in our digital capabilities to improve the online experience for the customer and increase our omni-channel capabilities. With changes in consumer shopping preferences, and continued declines in mall traffic, this is a critical component to capturing the customer in the current retail environment. We need to be wherever the customer is and provide them a differentiated and uniquely branded experience beyond the traditional trip to the mall and store experience. Following the late 2014 re-launch of the SKAGEN website, we re-launched the Fossil website in 2015 in time for the holiday shopping period. The new website is also a key component to advancing our omni-channel capabilities, providing us the opportunity to further develop their relationship with the brand in an effort to drive sales. With the new website, we have given the customer an improved shopping experience, added compelling brand content and stories, and carried these capabilities across an upgraded mobile platform. All of this functionality is supported by a world-class content management system which enables us to update our branded experiences more efficiently and scale globally as we grow our international e-commerce. Our investments and efforts in this area proved successful, driving double-digit growth across our e-commerce channel in 2015. Given the returns on these investments, and ensuring we continue to evolve with the customer, we look to bolster our digital capabilities through continued investments in our platform and shopping experience. Key functionality coming in 2016 includes more flexible fulfillment options, social integration and referral programs, and continued improvements for mobile. Additionally, we have initiatives targeted to support our Fossil brand focus on gifting and personalization, including custom watch building capability, as well as embossing and engraving capability online, something we executed in the first quarter in time for Valentine's Day gifting. Third, extending our leadership position in the traditional watch market by continuing to optimize and enhance our portfolio of lifestyle brands. 2015 proved to be a challenging year for the traditional watch category, with technology and new functionality taking mindshare and likely impacting customer purchases. Given those pressures, performance in the category was choppy across regions, and globally actually showed declines towards the end of the year. However, our external data sources continue to forecast growth in the category for the coming years and we believe our portfolio of highly-desirable lifestyle brands will enable us to continue to take share in the space. This past year, we added two new brands to the portfolio that will benefit us going forward: Kate Spade New York and Chaps, which is a Ralph Lauren brand. These new brands complement the existing brands in the portfolio and represent new opportunities for price points and distribution channels. While we inherited an existing business with Kate Spade New York, immediately reaping the benefit in 2015, most of the year was spent bringing the brand on to the Fossil Group platform. The teams have been designing and producing new styles to take advantage of our global distribution network in an even more meaningful way in 2016. We also look forward to launching the Chaps line later this year. Managing a portfolio provides a natural element of diversification, but as all brands experience ebbs and flows, it is our responsibility to ensure our portfolio includes the best brands in the fashion lifestyle category. A portfolio is always changing and evolving, trimming and adding. So even as a great brand like Burberry decides to no longer pursue the category and to focus on their soft goods offerings, we have many other brands that can drive growth. We will always direct our resources to the areas of the business that generate the highest returns and will now redeploy those resources to other brands and growth areas of the business while keeping an eye on the potential for bringing new brands into the portfolio. We believe the new brands I mentioned earlier are very capable of driving future growth. Innovation and design are key elements to driving growth, and our team is focused on elevating our platform of brands with new designs, materials and functionality to capitalize on what is trending in our space, all in an effort to put the traditional watch category back on a path to achieve sustained growth. Technology is another form of innovation and we are very focused on building our presence in the connected accessory space, our fourth objective. With consumer interest in the category driving the trend and our retail partners seeking to add more technology-infused product to their assortments, we are putting resources behind this initiative in a very meaningful way. Perhaps no other category of our business is moving as quickly as this one. We spent 2015 designing, developing, producing and launching the Fossil Q assortment in time for the holiday shopping period. We are bringing fashion to technology, filling a void within the wearable technology space that will enable increased functionality with a unique fashion and branded experience. We believe technology has the ability to be the next catalyst in the accessory space and we are positioning ourselves to take advantage of the trend unlike any of our peers. On the heels of our Fossil Q product launch, we made a significant investment behind this initiative with the acquisition of Misfit. With their scalable cloud and app platform and world-class engineering team, we are developing cutting-edge technology-infused products for our brands and are on track to deliver these throughout 2016. We find ourselves at the epicenter of the convergence of fashion and technology and are focused on continued innovation in the space. Our branding and design capabilities combined with our production and global distribution network have enabled us to become a category leader in traditional watches. Now, combined with our efforts this past year in launching Fossil Q and acquiring Misfit, we have differentiated ourselves from the competition and further enhanced our competitive advantages. The response to our Fossil Q line of the connected devices was strong in the fourth quarter. Our retail partners have given us increased placement and we have plans to introduce more styles into the Fossil brand in 2016, including the Fossil pilot that launched in the first quarter. The strategic acquisition of Misfit accelerates our ability to become a force in the wearable technology space and ensures a consistent flow of new product with technology, innovation and increased functionality. Misfit further broadens our capabilities and allows us to leverage their cloud and app platform to provide a unique branded experience for our portfolio of brands. We intend to bring fashion to a functional category much like we did in the traditional watch category. Earlier this year, in conjunction with the Consumer Electronics Show, we announced that we will be launching new products in the connected space throughout 2016. And Misfit also expands our addressable market for 2016 and gives us new doors to distribute existing brands to, and the opportunity to leverage our existing global distribution to broaden the Misfit brand as well. Dennis will go into more detail about what this means to our business model in 2016, but we recognize this is a huge priority for us and it makes sense for us to invest in this area to support future growth. Our ability to combine the technology that consumers are demanding with the design, style and brands that they've always loved at the global scale necessary to drive the right economics is unparalleled. We believe we are uniquely positioned to lead the convergence of style and technology and become the fashion gateway to wearable technology and the connected device markets. So through the lens of those priorities, we look at 2015 as a solid year, delivering against the strategic initiatives we laid out at the beginning of the year and will continue to focus on these in 2016. In some ways, this past year felt like the year of a perfect storm given the headwinds and challenges we faced. Unfortunately, those headwinds don't simply disappear with the start of a new year. In fact, some of those macro challenges appear to have increased with the onset of the new year. However, we operate with a little more visibility into these challenges and a better tool set with which to respond. We face new entrants coming into the watch space with the must-have fashion trend of the year, proving to be technology. This is proving to be a good thing, drawing more and more attention to the accessories category and consumers are now having more options to choose from than ever before, but it was clearly a headwind for us prior to the launch of our connected accessories. Our results were impacted from prior year comparisons of the exceptional growth and outperformance of Michael Kors, one of the most successful lifestyle brands in this watch space. While a difficult hurdle to overcome in our reported results, we're looking for new ways to drive even further growth in the brand with innovation and design, including technology leading the way. Consumer shopping behavior is changing and evolving quickly. As mall traffic continues to decline, our digital and omni-channel investments should allow us to compete in this new age of retail. And of course currencies moved against us in 2015 as well. While regional diversification of our business model is typically a point of strength, foreign currency significantly negatively impacted our reported results in 2015 and will persist into 2016. Nearly three full points of our operating margin erosion in the year came from currency alone. Macro uncertainty in many of our key international growth markets, particularly in Asia, also put pressure on our business last year and that doesn't show signs of easing. And finally, restructuring efforts impacted our reported results in 2015. The team embraced our restructuring efforts and endured tough but necessary decisions and changes that align our resources with new opportunities for growth and will make us leaner and more nimble to pursue those opportunities. In light of all those challenges and despite a year that fell short of our operational goals and typical growth, we delivered sales of roughly $3.5 billion, excluding the impact of foreign currencies and an adjusted EPS of $5.63. Additionally, we continued to return value to the shareholders, repurchasing $229 million worth of stock, just under three million shares, while maintaining a prudent leverage ratio. Specific to the fourth quarter, we are encouraged with the way we concluded the year, particularly given the performance of our business within key areas of focus for 2016 and beyond. On a constant currency basis, sales declined 2% in the quarter, with all three of our regions improving sequentially from the third quarter. And notably, Europe returned to growth in the quarter. Our multi-brand watch portfolio declined 2% in the fourth quarter in constant currency, also a sequential improvement from the third quarter. With SKAGEN and Fossil both performing well across categories and regions, we continued to focus on how to improve the performance of many of the licensed brands in the portfolio. Given the strength and desirability of the lifestyle brands in the portfolio, we have the opportunity to drive greater growth, ensuring each brand reaches its full potential, something we are always focused on and where we believe innovation and newness can drive that desired outcome. So, before I turn it over to Dennis to give you more details on our performance and outlook, I want to recap our priorities for 2016. Our goal is to deliver continuous improvement as we move throughout the year, and the team is very focused on these initiatives, given their potential to drive future growth. First is to optimize our portfolio of lifestyle brands to extend our leadership position in the global watch market. Second is to focus on building out presence in the connected accessory space by leveraging Misfit across our portfolio of brands. And third is continuing to build on the progress made growing our owned brands, Fossil and SKAGEN, as well as advancing our digital and omni-channel capabilities. In this rapidly changing world, we are very excited about the opportunities for Fossil Group. We remain very optimistic about the future, confident in our long-term strategies and look forward to building on the progress we made this past year regarding our strategic priorities. As 2015 resulted in our first EPS decline in a decade, we recognize it was a difficult year for our shareholders, but we appreciate your support and the long-term horizon with which you invest. We believe 2016 will be a transformative year in further advancing our wearables initiative and unlocking the potential of Misfit and applying increased functionality and a robust platform across our portfolio of brands. This will enable us to launch innovative new product in time for holiday and to expand on those efforts even more in 2017. Our restructuring efforts have enabled the company to be leaner and more nimble with increased efficiencies that should position the company to tackle the new world of technology. And we believe that our many growth opportunities, combined with our diversified business model, solid financial position and cash flow generation set us up to win over the long-term and drive value for our shareholders. Now, I will ask Dennis to walk us through the results and the outlook for 2016. Dennis R. Secor - Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer: Thanks, Kosta, and good afternoon, everyone. We are relatively pleased with our fourth quarter performance as the potential for intensifying headwinds that concerned us going into the holiday season, given our limited visibility, and a lot of market disruption, did not materialize to the extent we felt they might. Overall, fourth quarter net sales decreased 2% and on a reported basis declined 7% to $993 million. While sales did decline in the quarter, each of our three regions posted sequential improvements and Europe turned to constant dollar top line growth. Off-price sales were also higher than we anticipated. We are encouraged by the continued growth in Fossil and SKAGEN as well as the contribution from newer brands and categories which we intend to build on in 2016. For the quarter, we delivered diluted earnings per share of $1.46 compared to $3 last year. The EPS comparison to last year's results was negatively affected by several factors, including $0.28 from currencies, $0.14 due to last year's bonus accrual reversal, $0.13 due to a noncash impairment charge, $0.12 for Misfit transaction costs and $0.04 of restructuring charges. Compared to last year, the current quarter benefited $0.12 from a lower tax rate and another $0.09 due to the lower share base. Beyond the sequential improvement in each region, we were encouraged with the 3% constant dollar growth in the quarter for Fossil, led by growth in watches with leathers and jewelry increasing as well. Sales growth was strongest in Europe and Asia while the Americas experienced a very slight decline. Globally, the retail stores performed well across full price and outlets with improved conversion offsetting continued declines in traffic, yielding an overall comp increase of 1%. Of course, our launch of the Fossil Q assortment was very well received, particularly, the Founder, which is our new smart watch with display. SKAGEN sales grew 12% in constant dollars with growth across all three categories led by watches. Growth in Europe and Asia was partially offset by a decline in the Americas. In constant dollars, our multi-brand watch portfolio declined 2% compared to last year. Despite a sequential improvement in performance for the portfolio, it is clear that technology continued to put pressure on the traditional watch category during the busy holiday period. And some of our stronger brands in the portfolio continued to be hindered by anniversarying historically strong growth. Excluding Michael Kors, our multi-brand watch portfolio was up slightly, with the benefit of newer brands in the portfolio. Overall, for the year, reported sales decreased 8% to $3.229 billion. On a constant currency and calendar basis, sales declined 1% with growth in jewelry and leather offset by decline in watches, and growth in Europe offset by declines in the Americas and Asia. Global retail comps increased 1% for the year, with increases in Europe and the Americas offset by a decline in Asia. Fossil grew 4% for the year, while SKAGEN grew 15% for the year. Our multi-brand watch portfolio declined 3% as growth in Fossil and SKAGEN and the addition of Kate Spade New York were offset by declines in most other brands in the portfolio. In the Americas, fourth quarter reported sales decreased 5% to $518 million, a 3% constant dollar decrease. The decrease was driven by watches and jewelry, partially offset by modest growth in leathers. Excluding Michael Kors, watch sales increased for the quarter in the region. Across brands, constant dollar sales increases for Armani, and the benefit of having Kate Spade New York were offset by declines in nearly all of the brands in the portfolio. Within the region, growth in Canada across the retail and wholesale channels was offset by a decline in both channels for the U.S. Comp store sales declined slightly as traffic continued to be down in the region. Constant dollar wholesale sales declined during the quarter, largely driven by a weak performance in U.S. department stores where traffic continues to be a challenge and softer trends in the business persist. Overall, for the full year, reported sales in the Americas region decreased 5% to $1.662 billion. On a constant currency and comparable calendar basis, sales declined 2% compared to last year, as growth in the retail channels, including positive comp store sales was offset by a weaker wholesale channel. In Europe, reported sales decreased 7% to $347 million. Constant dollar sales increased 3%, with increases in all three categories, led by watches. Growth in the region was driven by Fossil and SKAGEN, partially offset by a decline in the licensed portfolio. Within the region, strong constant dollar currency growth in France was partially offset by a decline in distributor markets and a relatively flat performance in larger markets like the U.K. and Germany. In the region, given continued traction from our marketing investments, we drove growth in the retail channel supported by new stores and a solid increase in comp store sales. Our e-comm business also performed well in the quarter, delivering double-digit growth. Overall, for the full year, reported sales in Europe decreased 11% to $1.070 billion. On a constant currency and comparable calendar basis, sales increased 2% compared to last year, as double-digit growth in the retail channel, including solid positive comp store sales was partially offset by a weaker wholesale channel. In Asia, reported sales decreased 15% to $127 million while constant dollar sales decreased 9%. The decrease was driven by watches and jewelry, partially offset by modest growth in leathers. Growth in Korea and continued solid growth in India was offset by declines in most markets in the region, including Japan, Hong Kong and China where general economic sluggishness and macro uncertainty has continued to impact our business. Growth in Fossil, SKAGEN, Michael Kors and the addition of Kate Spade New York were offset by declines in the other brands in the portfolio. Comp store sales were flat in the region. Overall, for the full year, reported sales in Asia decreased 12% to $497 million. On a constant currency and comparable calendar basis, sales decreased 4% compared to last year, as modest growth in the retail channel driven by new stores was more than offset by a weaker wholesale channel. From a global perspective, within our licensed portfolio, we continued to anniversary strong growth comparisons for the largest brand in our licensed portfolio, Michael Kors. While still a very productive and successful brand, its growth has subsided in recent quarters. For both the fourth quarter and full year, growth in jewelry was unable to offset declines in watches for the brand. Regionally, the brand declined in the Americas, though in constant currency grew in both Europe and Asia. While repeating the tremendous success of this brand is challenging, we continue to believe that there are white space opportunities to energize the brand with our new designs, wearable tech, and men's as well. In the quarter, gross profit decreased to $526 million and gross margin declined 380 basis points to 53%, 300 basis points of which relates to the stronger U.S. dollar. Our gross margin rate was lower than we had anticipated as our in-store promotions proved very successful in driving customers to our stores. That drove further sales and gross profits, though at the expense of our margin rate. We also sold more through off-price partners than we had planned and took some additional actions to help drive sales of Swiss watches. These same factors, partially offset by the favorable impact of our pricing initiatives and lower product costs, drove the margin changes compared to last year's fourth quarter. Fourth quarter operating expenses were higher, as planned, increasing $54 million or 14% to $437 million. The largest driver of expense growth related to our increased marketing and strategic investments. We were also anniversarying last year's fourth quarter reversal of incentive comp accruals in the quarter. This quarter, we also recorded $8 million in costs related to the Misfit acquisition and an additional $9 million noncash charge to write down the carrying value of our SKAGEN intangible assets. This charge resulted from a fairly formulaic accounting calculation that is driven by a comparison of our most recent projected SKAGEN revenues to our initial projections after the 2012 acquisition. Given the stronger U.S. dollar, there is now a gap between those projections which drives this accounting charge. The brand, with its unique aesthetic, continues to drive strong constant currency growth, including a 15% gain for 2015 and we remain very optimistic about its future. We also recorded $3 million of restructuring costs in the quarter. Offsetting all these increases was a favorable impact of currencies. Our fourth quarter operating expense rate was 44% compared to 35.9%. Operating income decreased to $89 million, including a $39 million unfavorable currency impact, and operating margin decreased to 9%, including a 320-basis point headwind from currency. Most of the additional operating margin headwind was driven by the expense factors I just discussed along with an 80-basis point headwind from gross margin. Interest expense increased to $6 million given our higher debt level. Fourth quarter other income increased $5 million to $12 million due to net gains on foreign currency contracts and account balances. Our effective income tax rate for the fourth quarter was 24.2%, lower than last year's 30.4% due to the favorable impact of foreign tax credits recognized during the quarter. Fourth quarter net income decreased to $70 million, largely due to lower sales and operating income, partially offset by lower taxes. Now, turning to our cash flows and balance sheet. For the full year, we generated operating cash flow of $361 million and drew down a net $180 million on our revolver. We used those funds to invest $231 million in share repurchases, a net $220 million to acquire Misfit, and $80 million in CapEx. We ended the year with roughly $289 million in cash compared to $276 million last year, and debt of $808 million compared to $630 million a year ago. We ended the year with inventory of $625 million, a 5% increase over last year. The primary driver of the growth is new businesses and brands where we didn't have an inventory position a year ago. Excluding those, our inventories would have been flat. We also have begun using more ocean versus air shipments as a means to reduce freight costs, though this has modestly increased our in-transit inventories. Overall, our inventories are well placed in better selling brands, and as we highlighted last quarter, we are working to reduce our Swiss inventories given the sluggishness in certain markets like Asia. Accounts receivable decreased by 14% to $371 million and wholesale DSOs improved by five days compared to the prior year. Depreciation and amortization expense totaled $23 million for the fourth quarter and $84 million for the full year. As we invest more in our omni-channel initiatives, we continue to reduce our store openings. For the year, we opened a net two stores, including 11 in Asia, six in Europe, and in the Americas, we closed 30 stores, primarily full-price concepts, and opened 15 stores, primarily outlets, for a net of 15 closures for the region. In addition, we acquired 24 stores in South Africa where we acquired that business from our distributor earlier in 2015. Now, let me move on to 2016 and share with you our outlook for the year. We began 2015 anticipating many operational, competitive and financial headwinds, and those all materialized and some even intensified. First, longer-term brand building and omni-channel investments to support Fossil and SKAGEN put pressure on near-term earnings. Second, new consumer demands for tech infused products impacted traditional watches, and we did not yet have an offering to meaningfully meet that demand. The outsized historical performance of one of the most successful lifestyle brands in our portfolio, Michael Kors, created strong pressure on our year-over-year comps. Next, strong growth markets for us like Asia remain sluggish, both economic and political factors affected our business. And finally, the strong U.S. dollar created a huge top and bottom line headwind. All of these headwinds converged on 2015 and drove sales, margins and earnings down. As a management team, we are certainly not satisfied with results and are working diligently to overcome these challenges, though always with an eye on the future. As we move to 2016, while some of these headwinds persist and the environment remains challenging, we feel conditions are more stable and we have strengthened our hand in many ways. We're gaining traction in our owned brands. Supported by our increased investments in the back half of last year, both Fossil and SKAGEN accelerated in the fourth quarter and are poised for continued strong growth in many markets. Our acquisition of Misfit fast-forwards Fossil Group into the explosive wearables market, which is estimated to grow at a 36% CAGR to reach $45 billion by 2019. Misfit's scalable tech platform and world-class engineering team, coupled with our existing strategic advantages, position us now to be the leader that can drive the convergence of the growing watch and wearables market. In 2016, our goal is to expand our Fossil Q business, and bring significantly more wearable styles to market across several brands. The acquisition also gives us a native wearables brand, and we can drive growth with it, leveraging our global distribution and operating platform. We remain a leader in traditional watches, a market that is forecasted for continued growth. The strategic advantages that we have always enjoyed in this market, our design capabilities, global distribution and operating platform, along with our best-in-class supply chain, continue to make us the best partner for the most attractive lifestyle brands in the world. With the additions of Kate Spade New York and Chaps, we continue to strengthen our portfolio to drive growth in our business. So we've entered 2016 with an improved arsenal to drive growth and help mitigate remaining headwinds. Our historical success with the Michael Kors brand likely represents the largest variability in our business this year, so we believe our new designs, opportunities in men's, jewelry and international markets along with technology can help reinvigorate this brand and change its trajectory. Key markets like China, while challenging in the near term, remain big opportunities for us with strong market demographics working in our favor. And the U.S. dollar remains a strong headwind, even intensifying late last year. So based on our current plans and assumptions, including prevailing exchange rates, we expect full year revenues in a range between a 1% increase and a 3.5% decline. This includes roughly a 140-basis point currency headwind in our growth rate. Therefore, in constant dollars, our full year revenue assumption would be to range between a 2.5% increase and a 2% decline. We expect revenue headwinds to be strongest in the beginning of the year and then to abate as we move into the second half, given prior year growth comparables and the stronger currency headwinds mainly in the first quarter. Our opportunity to return to growth will come in the second half of the year, given prior year comparables as well as the timing of our wearables rollout which we have planned for the second half of the year, most notably to support our holiday business. We believe our opportunity to return to growth in the second half largely turns on our ability to use the growth drivers we just described to offset the remaining headwinds in our business. For the first quarter, we are planning revenues to decline between 7% and 10%. That includes roughly a 230-basis-point headwind from currencies, resulting in a constant dollar decline between 4.75% and 7.75%. Overall for the year, we expect modest gross margin expansion in constant dollars, so given currency headwinds, reported gross margins will likely decline slightly given prevailing rates. We expect that the currency impact will be most severe in the first quarter and lessen, though not disappear in later quarters. The impact of purchase accounting on our acquired Misfit inventories will negatively impact margins earlier in the year until that inventory is sold through. We continue to expect that wearables will be a drag on our gross margins, especially as we increase penetration in the second half of the year. International sales mix should represent a slight gross margin tailwind, and we are working on a number of initiatives to offset headwinds and drive higher margins. We expect our cost reduction and sustainability initiatives to benefit us as we move throughout the year, and we are also working with our supply chain partners to affect efficiency gains and to gain benefits from the currency environment in China. We also do not expect the same level of off-price sales. Given timing and how all these initiatives will affect our inventories the most significant offsets and thus opportunity for net margin expansion will be heavier in the second half of the year. For the first quarter, we expect a modest decline in constant dollar gross margin. Moving to expenses, there are many unusual items in our expense base given last year's Misfit acquisition and our restructuring activities. On this call, we will provide some additional commentary and insight into our cost structure, especially in light of the Misfit acquisition. We're providing this information to help reorient investors and analysts to better understand our cost structure, though we do not undertake an obligation to report on these items in the future. Overall, our goal is to operate with a full-year expense rate that is very slightly higher than last year's, assuming we can deliver our sales goals. Let me start with the unusual items from last year. In 2015, we invested roughly $25 million in restructuring to optimize both our store fleet and much of our core infrastructure. We are not currently planning a similar restructuring charge in 2016. Last year, we also incurred $8 million in Misfit acquisition costs and recorded a $9 million impairment on SKAGEN intangibles. We expect to operate our core business with significantly lower infrastructure costs versus last year and redeploy those savings to offset the infrastructure expenses for Misfit. Related to the Misfit acquisition, we expect to record up to $26 million, split roughly evenly between purchase accounting charges to amortize acquired intangible assets and the cost of contingent equity gains whose vesting will dependent on future performance. The cost of these equity grants will not extend beyond three years. The balance of our year-over-year expense changes will be for marketing and other strategic investments to drive growth and customer engagement. The majority of this will support growth strategies around Fossil and SKAGEN, the continuation of our omni-channel strategy where we are gaining traction online and to support wearables, including app development that can be leveraged across our full portfolio of brands. A substantial part of this will also support growth and awareness of Misfit, as we look to expand its distribution throughout our existing global network and into new channels. Based on our current plans, we expect the strongest impact of the higher marketing efforts in the first three quarters until we anniversary last year's fourth quarter when we enhanced our marketing efforts. For the first quarter, we expect reported operating expenses, including the favorable impact of currency to be roughly flat, yielding a higher rate given the anticipated sales decline. Therefore, for the full year, we expect reported operating margins to range between 7% and 8.5%. Given roughly a one point headwind related to currencies, this would result in roughly an 8% to 9.5% constant dollar operating margin. We are expecting full year EPS in the range between $2.80 and $3.60 per share. For the first quarter, we are expecting operating margins to range between 1% and 2.5%, which includes roughly a two point headwinds related to currencies. For the first quarter, we expect EPS in the range between $0.05 and $0.20. Our guidance assumes roughly prevailing exchange rates and some benefit from non-operating currency contract gains given our hedging programs. We are planning with a tax rate of roughly 30%. We are planning CapEx in the range between $75 million and $85 million. As we mentioned on our last call, given the investment we made in Misfit and the additional leverage we took on to support that, we plan to reduce our share repurchases this year, likely to levels to offset employee equity dilution. We expect interest expense to increase compared to last year given the additional debt we took on last year, especially to complete the Misfit acquisition. We also would not expect to repeat the gain from last year's second quarter settlement of an interest rate swap. Let me take a moment to discuss the significant impact that currencies continue to have on our earnings. Currencies affect our earnings in three ways. First, there is a translation effect. When the U.S. dollar strengthens, our international sales and earnings are translated into fewer U.S. dollars. Secondly, there is the margin effect. As the U.S. dollar strengthens, the cost of inventory which is generally purchased in U.S. dollars increases in our foreign businesses, driving their margins down. Finally, there are hedging gains or losses. These are recorded below operating income and generally move opposite to the translation and margin effects, but do not completely offset them because we do not hedge 100% of our transactions. Based on prevailing rates, we would expect the combined translation and margin effects would represent roughly a $0.53 headwind compared to 2015. In addition, given the less severe currency operating headwinds this year, we also expect fewer offsetting net currency contract gains this year, resulting in an expected $0.31 non-operating headwind. Thus, we estimate the year-over-year impact of currencies on EPS will be roughly $0.84 for the full year. Translation and margin headwinds will be strongest in the first quarter, as will the net hedging gains, yielding roughly a $0.24 net headwind in the first quarter. Assuming prevailing exchange rates, translation and margin headwinds would become less severe after the first quarter, though hedging gains would also decline yielding a roughly consistent net headwind for each quarter. Before we move to your questions, I want to take a moment to review the changes in our operating model over the last couple of years and discuss our operating margin goals for the future. If we contrast our expected operating margin this year, assuming we achieve the top end of our sales goals, in just two years, our operating margins will have declined about 7.5 points. We are not satisfied with our operating margins, but it is important to understand the principal drivers of the decline and actions we are taking to regain our position over the longer term. The first driver is currency. About half of that margin compression is the result of the strong U.S. dollar. While we have mitigated some of that decline through hedging, hedging only delays the EPS impact, but does nothing to mitigate margin. And even if and when currencies stabilize completely, there will always be the following year EPS challenge of anniversarying non-operating hedge gain. We've also responded to currency fluctuations through targeted price increases and will continue to seek opportunities to offset the impact of currencies over the longer term, though pricing must always reflect the competitive environment and consumers' willingness to pay. The other principal driver of the margin compression comes from our strategic growth investment. Compared to 2014, based on this year's plans, we will have invested over two full points of operating margin and brand building and awareness around Fossil and SKAGEN, and in improving our omni-channel capabilities. These investments are already delivering returns as evidenced by our 2015 results, though some of those results have been masked by headwinds in other parts of the business. The balance of the comparison largely comes from our investments in wearables, most significantly, the impact of Misfit. We expect to drive growth with Misfit as we invest in the brand and expand it over our global distribution. That will take a little time, though, and as we said in our last call, we expect Misfit will be dilutive to earnings throughout 2016. On top of that, the purchase accounting and related contingent equity charge that I described earlier will be fully part of our operating model for the next three years. So that's where we are now. Let's pivot and look to the future. As we said earlier, we believe that we have strengthened our hand significantly in 2016 to drive growth, first with our owned brands. We're gaining traction in both Fossil and SKAGEN, improving our omni-channel platform to drive sales, and our initial launch of Fossil Q had been very encouraging. Then there's our portfolio. Brands will continue to ebb and flow as they always do. We were already advantaged as the best partner for the best brands in watches, and we believe that advantage will become stronger with our tech capabilities. Over the next couple of years, we will bring more and more of our brands onto our tech platform. We are at the convergence of watches and technology, and we feel we are unrivaled in our space when it comes to delivering design and innovation across the brands consumers want at scale around the world. On top of that, we have now added an owned native wearables brand, Misfit, which we believe we can grow both through new and our existing distribution. As we move then over the next three years, our goal is to see accelerating constant dollar sales growth. Our biggest risk, as always, will be to use our growth drivers to more than offset the headwinds that will always be part of our diversified business model. We will continue to identify opportunities to drive gross margin expansion through price and cost initiatives and the further benefits of scale to offset the potential headwinds from technology, given its existing lower margin structure. Then there's our cost structure. Given substantial progress we've already made, we feel our global infrastructure is largely in place for the next few years. The leverage we can drive by growing our business and managing our infrastructure costs carefully can be significant. And finally, our marketing investment. Our goal after this year would be to generally drive sufficient growth so that our marketing and strategic investments would no longer represent headwinds to our operating margin. So looking past 2016, we see a path to delivering accelerating sales growth and operating margin expansion. Our longer-term goal is to deliver operating margins more consistent with historical levels. However, over the next three years, we will have to absorb the Misfit purchase accounting and contingent equity costs, and overcoming the currency impact through commercial activities, rather than a significant weakening of the U.S. dollar, will likely take longer. So with that, we will open the call up to your questions. To be fair to everyone, please ask only a single-part question. If you have more questions, please re-queue after others have asked theirs.