FirstEnergy Corp.

FirstEnergy Corp.

$39.67
-0.13 (-0.33%)
New York Stock Exchange
USD, US
Regulated Electric

FirstEnergy Corp. (FE) Q4 2005 Earnings Call Transcript

Published at 2006-02-18 09:53:46
Analysts
Gregg Orrill, Citigroup Charles Fishman, AG Edward Bill Benjamin, Morgan Stanley Steve Fleishman, Merrill Lynch David Frank, Peacock Capital Hugh Wynne, Sanford Bernstein Paul Ridzon, Key McDonald Ashar Khan, SAC Capital. Paul Patterson, Glenrock Associates Gregg Orrill, Lehman Brothers Paul Fremont, Jeffries. Margaret Brown, Citigroup Vens Bunk, Womerns Management Glen Wynne, Glenrock
Operator
Good afternoon ladies and gentlemen. My name is Natasha, and I will be your conference facilitator today. At this time I would like to welcome everyone to FirstEnergy Fourth Quarter Earnings Conference Call. All lines have been placed on mute to prevent any background noise. After the speakers remarks there will be a question and answer period. If you would like to ask a question during this time, please press “*” then the number “1” on your telephone keypad. If you would like to withdraw your question press the “#" key, thank you. It is now my pleasure to turn the floor over to your host, Kurt Turosky, Director of Investor Relations. Sir, you may begin your conference. Kurt Turosky, Director, IR: Thank you, Natasha. During this conference call, we will make various forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Safe Harbor provisions of the United States Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Investors are cautioned that such forward-looking statements with respect to revenues, earnings, performance, strategies, prospects and other aspects of the business of FirstEnergy Corp are based on current expectations that are subject to risks and uncertainties. A number of factors could cause actual results or outcomes to differ materially from those indicated by such forward-looking statements. Please read the Safe Harbor statement contained in a consolidated report to the financial community, which was released earlier today and is also available on our website under the earnings release link. Reconciliation for GAAP for various non-GAAP financial measures you need to refer today or also contained in that report as well on the investor relation section of our website. Participating in today's call are Tony Alexander, President and Chief Executive Officer; Rich Marsh, Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer; Harvey Wagner, Vice President and Controller, and Jim Pearson, Treasurer. Perkins Alvin, Vice President of Investor Relations. I will now turn the call over to Tony Alexander. Tony Alexander, President and Chief Executive Officer: Thanks Kurt and good afternoon everyone. Thanks for joining us today. I am pleased with our performance in 2005, we made significant progress in executing our plans and everyone at FirstEnergy work hard to achieve these results and enhance shareholder value. I will start by reviewing our progress and highlighting our 2006 objectives and then Rich will discuss our fourth quarter financial results. Our financial results during the year either meet or exceed the expectations we established in our financial guidance. Our 2005 earnings guidance was initially established that $2.70 to $2.85 per share, we then raised this by $0.15 per share in July to $2.85 to $3 per share. Our normalized non-GAAP earnings for 2005 were $3 per share at the top of our revised guidance range. On a GAAP basis earnings were $2.62 per share for the year. In a similar fashion we initially established our 2005 non-GAAP cash generation guidance at $560 million and then raised that to $620 million in July, excluding the December voluntary pension plan contribution, our non-GAAP cash generation for 2005 was $688 million exceeding our guidance by $68 million. We ended the year with our debt capital ratio within our target range and successfully concluded our debt retirement program. During his initiatives four year term, we reduced outstanding debt and prepared securities by nearly $4 billion. Due to our strong performance and confidence in our outlook, our board raised our common stock dividend twice last year for a cumulative increase of 14.7%, additionally on November on 15th the board declared a 4.7% increase in the dividend payable March 1st 2006. Combined these three actions represented overall dividend increase of 20%. In addition to favorable financial results we also produced solid operational performance. Our possible nuclear generation groups establish in annual output record of 80.2 million megawatt hours during 2005 exceeding the previous record of 76.4 million megawatt hours that we said in 2004. This was driven by a higher possible generation, which set record output of approximately 15 million megawatt hours. Our base load fossil units operated at an 87% capacity packer, which places in top just on nationally. Our nuclear units beginning with the critical summer period starting in June run at 100% capacity factor for the reminder of the year. During the year our core fired Chinese unit II set the national record for the longest running single turbans steam generating unit in the nation's history. By completing 1017 days of continuous operations. That broke the previous record by nearly 200 days. In our transmission and distribution businesses, we have accelerated our capital investment to enhance our infrastructure and improve levels of customer service and reliability. We already seeing the benefits of this investment. For example our transmission reliability was near top, that’s out of the industry performance during 2005. And we expect the progress to continue over the next several years. We also results several important regulatory issues during the year. The JCP&L rate cases were successfully settled, and we implement a recovery mechanism higher for increase milestone transmission cost. Another milestone was the approval of our rate certainly planed by the higher commission. This will provide customers with lower and more certain rate levels for 2008. And was expected to provide the Company's greater earnings ability and consistency. The rate certainty plan gives us the ability to refer up to $450 million of delivery system improvement expenditures for future recovery. As well as the opportunity for current and to further recovery of fuel cost increases. The improvement of the rate certainty plan was an important element that our preparations for the transitions to competitive generation markets higher in 2009. We also saw two other important actions during the year. To better position us for the future. The first was the transfer of our own fossil and nuclear generation assets to a unregulated generation companies. This better alliance the ownership of these assets with their operational responsibilities and prepares us for the time, we were no longer subjected to a fixed power obligation to a regulated retail customers. Our generation played a sufficient cost effective from prepare to succeed in a comparative generation market. Second, we made a voluntary $500 million contribution to our pension plan in late December. This reduced a dead like obligation and we will be creative to earnings by about $0.06 per share during 2006 and in subsequent years. And also delays future funding requirements and minimize our exposure to potential pension reform legislation. We will place that investors responded positively to our performance as evidence by our 2005 total shareholder returns of 28.5%. Going forward we will build on our accomplished this year, by specifically focusing on further maximizing the performance of our generation fee, reinvesting in our various businesses to improve system reliability and perusing for and timely regulatory recovery as a eligible cost. This year we have several important plan generation outages that will be a key focus for us. On Monday of this week we started the complex outage that we revolve in unit 1. In addition to refueling we plan to replace the units first in generators as well as the reactor vessel head. The outage is expected the layouts 2 to 3 months and we resulted more efficient operations and shorter refueling outages in the future due to reduced inspection requirements. Refueling outages are also planned for Davis-Besse and Beaver valley unit 2. And the Davis-Besse outage is also expected to include the replacement of 2 reactor cooling process. Filling the mass fuel unit 2 outage is small, we plan to install high pressure dense packed turbans that will enable an additional 50 megawatt of output. Similar to the upgrade that we successfully completed at the unit 1 in 2005. Even with these planned outages, we expect that will achieve generation output in access of 81 million megawatt hours in 2006, which of course will be another record. Turning to our delivery business, we will continue to make substantial investments to improve our service infrastructure and retire levels of reliability for 4.5 million customers. As outlined at our analyst meeting in November, total capital spending in 2006 is projected to be above $1.1 million, with approximately 630 million of that year mark for our energy delivery business. Achieving forward and timely regulatory recovery of our cost, will remain a clinical priority we hope to achieve resolution on a number such issues in 2006, Rich will touch on these in just a minute. As I discussed in November analyst meeting FirstEnergy will considered our share repurchase program after we gain additional priority on three important milestone namely the cruel of the rate certain declined by the higher commission which occurred last month Completion of the Beaver valley unit I extended average and finalization of our environmental complaints plans for our fossil plans we continue to expect resolution of these issues in the first half of this year and at that time we will be ready to address the share repurchase program. I'm proud what we achieved in 2005 We look forwards to buildings on those results this year. I appreciate the support and confidence receive from the investment community. I'll show you that our management team will continue to work hard the future expectation through percentage and I'll turn up the call over to Rich for more detail of our financial results and other matter before we take question Rich Rich Marsh - SVP & CFO: Thank you Tony for my portion of the presentation in my behalf of the re-purchase and consolidated report to the financial community that we issued today, and reported also posted on the inventor relation section of our corporate website. First with our fourth quarter results, turning back in the GAAP basis in the fourth quarter were $0.58 per share compared to $0.61 per share during the same period of 2004, normalize non-GAAP earnings were $0.77 per share excluded the key notes have effective in the accounting change of $0.09 per share and net unusual items of $0.10 per share this compares favorably to normalize non-GAAP earning of $0.72 per share in the final period of last year. During the quarter we recognize four unusual items. The first of these was the penalty associated with the permanent adjusted the first prosecution agreement regarding Davis-Besse reactor had issue, this reduce tuning by $28 million or $0.08 per share, the second was the $13 million or $0.04 per share impairment related to our non-core business. The third reflect the $13 million or $0.04 per share charge for potential assessment in a New Jersey state income order relating to prior years. And the final items was the benefit of 20 million or $0.06 per share resulting from adjustment the preferred tax right off associated with the higher work tax pledge legislation, this tends from our higher ex benefit associated with the $500 million voluntary pension contribution that made in December. Also during the quarter we adopted TIN 47 accounting for condition assets retirement obligations. This resulted in the accumulates to effort of an accounting change that reduces net income by $30 million or $0.09 per share. And important factor that contributed to the improvement normalize non-GAAP earnings during the period was a $56 million or $0.10 per share increased in our electric gross margins after adjusting for changes in regulatory deferrals This was driven by increased distribution deliveries continues strong performance from our generation fleet and the JCP&L rate increased. These positive were partially offset by the higher purchase power prices and increased fossil fuel expenses. Distribution delivery increase 4% in the final quarter part to that code weather with feeding the greed days been 7% higher than in the same period last year 2% of our normal Our total electric generation sale growth 7%, this is largely due to higher regulated retail sales from the code weather and the impact of the customers returning from all our suppliers for that's excess in our higher market. As Tony mentioned our nuclear partial generation fleets produce the notable performance throughout 2005. In the fourth quarter output increased 1.5 million megawatts hours or 8% compared with same period last year. Most of the entire generation reduce the severe increasing regulated retail loads which limited opportunity and capitalize on high margin wholesale sales. Other driver are of our improved financial performance included in $0.08 per share benefit from reduce nuclear operating expenses primarily due to the absence of the refueling outage during that quarter, and a $0.05 per share benefit from lower pension in other employee benefit costs. Factors that partially offset our earnings improvement included a $0.07 per share reduction from increase in PJM and MISO transmission costs, primarily attributable to higher congestion and ancillary service cost PJM. A $0.06 per share reduction from increases in depreciation and amortization expense partially due to a higher aisle transition cost amortization. And $0.04 per share reduction resulted from increase energy delivery expenses due to system reliability initiatives and higher uncollectible account costs. Uncollectible expenses increase significantly due to a search in customer bank proxy filings in the fourth quarter, prior to the effect of the new federal bank proxy you have. Net interest charges decline $4 million during the quarter due to reduce dept for preferred stock levels. Financing activities included the $140 million reduction for preferred securities and $343 million of refinancing. For the year we reduce debt preferred securities by $779 million and completed $678 million of refinancing and $80 million of re pricing. These results excluded the temporary increase in short term barring and defend the voluntary pension contribution in December. 2005 mark the end of our debt reduction programs. Over the last four years we've reduce nearly $4 billion of debt for preferred securities and lowered our debt total capital ratio from 67% at the end of 2001, so about 56% that year-end 2005. Going forward, the focus of our financing plan will shift from that reduction, the capital structures management. This will include reducing debt at the holding company its outstanding issues mature including the $1 billion or 5.5 note series do in November, issue into our new debt some of our utility to achieve capital structures that are appropriate in the free banking context and maintaining the consolidated debt capital ratio at the current level. This will entire issue for the additional debt overtime as equity growth so that we can maintain our targeted debt ratio. Finally, I'll like to briefly update you on several regulatory initiatives related to our continued efforts to gain full time the recovery relative to cost. We were preparing submit regulatory filing in Pennsylvania seek recovery of increased cost that our metropolis medicine and Pennsylvania electric utilities. We believe that our current transmission, distribution and generation rates taken together resulted and effort returns for both utilities. You may recall that we previously saw the differ increase PJM service in congestion cost in Pennsylvania. We expect to provide notice or tend to file these cases in the March to April time frame followed by the filling itself not less than 30 days later. We will able to discuss these cases in more detail once we make the fillings. We also have a securitization request standing before nuclear report of public utilities. The board recently selected as their financial advisor and we hope to receive a cruel for the transaction during the second quarter. Following a 45 days appeal period of securitization could take place early in the third quarter. And the amount securitized could range from a $177 million to as much as $277 million. Finally we've also filed for $165 million increased in the non-utility generation cost for JCP&L. And if approved this request for the recover above market cost associated with low contracts and increase our cash flow but have no impact on earnings. Let me concluded by saying that well, Tony and I gratified by our performance and results in 2005. We remain very mindful of the need to again see the expectations of our investors and customers in 2006 and beyond. I guess found plans in place to do this and I think we have the right chain to execute this plan. With our continued focused on operation last months, reinvestment in our business timely recovery of regulated cost and an aggressive approach to increasing productivity and reducing expenses and I am confident that will continued to improve the various proposition for both our investors and customers. We appreciate your support and interest in Firstenergy as well as you time today and I'll now like to have Natash should open the call for questions from analysts. Thank you.
Operator
At this time I would like to remind everyone if you would like to ask a question press "*" then the number "1" on your telephone keypad. Will pause for just a moment to compile the q&a roster. Your first question is coming from Gregg Orrill of Citigroup. Q - Gregg Orrill: Thanks good afternoon gentlemen A - Tony Alexander: Hi Gregg Q - Gregg Orrill: Couple of quick questions, what the aggregate equity investment and what was the average equity return on your Pennsylvania investments in 2005? A - Tony Alexander: We are pulling against together right at this point. We can get in this specifics as we say all the things filing our and notice of impact the market state of timeframe so there would it all filing in that April to May timeframe so can get under specifics at this point. Q - Gregg Orrill: Okay looking at page 10 of your release the non-GAAP reconciliation of cash flows that number that’s $347 million at the bottom line is a little bit wider than what you guys are projected in November. It looks like that there were some positives in operating cash flow related to non-operating items and then is this negative other in that of $280 million which is of additions to modestly higher CapEx so can you walk us through what those, what those positives and negatives are and why you came out modestly below the target A - Tony Alexander: Of a big driver there was pension contribution that we made in December Gregg and that after tax basis that's $341 million paid on that you are seeing now so, part of that would have been you know $688 million approximately so that was really the difference. Q - Gregg Orrill: The last item is in November was a $10 million positive from other net and you came in at $280 million negative so that was like a $230 million swing which, either to some of the positive items on the cash from operating activities lines so what was that item or what are those series of items. A - Harvey Wagner: Gregg this is Harvey Wagner, one of the items that was not included before what’s the return of the cash collateral one item, credit ratings were upgraded by us in peak and you see that up in the net cash from operating activity. So to keep things on a comparable basis that was removed as part of the other net down below to get through the non-GAAP number Q - Gregg Orrill: Okay, thanks the another item that’s the you distribute critical plants perform very, very well and you highlighted that in your comments Tony, yes I think your goal on a overall fossil performance for the year that was 66% CapEx was came in about 200 basis points below that would have employed some of your other plans didn’t operate up to your targets is that in fact correct or is that something wrong from this thing. A - Tony Alexander: Gregg, I think all of plans operated pretty close to plan might sense is that there is, if there is if there were any slight deviation from that it's probably related to utilization in terms whether after power can replaced in the market Q - Gregg Orrill: Okay if you want that for I just want to make sure there weren’t any operating issues A - Tony Alexander: No they were not Q - Gregg Orrill: Okay final question a little bit on the release, I can see a -- back a couple of years ago when FirstEnergy solutions were still, getting in to other markets outside your jurisdiction you want to 11 trenches of the BGS there are 56 around $55.5 those contracts were often in May '06 and one of items that impact your earnings in the fourth quarter was higher congested I am wondering if that’s directly related to those Load-Serving obligations and when those will are you making money or losing money on those contracts right now when they roll off, is the impact of that roll off fully reflected in your current '06 guidance A - Tony Alexander: We are making money on those transactions now and the impact of those really now is reflected in our earnings guidance. Q - Gregg Orrill: Okay thank you guys A - Tony Alexander: Sure, thank you Gregg
Operator
Your next question is coming from Charles Fishman of AG Edward Q - Charles Fishman: Wholesale generating revenues for fourth quarter and full year wholesale. A - Tony Alexander: Sorry, I miss the first part of your question Charles. Q - Charles Fishman: Of the generating revenues, could you break a damp in wholesale and retail A - Tony Alexander: Sure Q - Charles Fishman: That will corresponds the sales the actual kilowatt hour sales, megawatt hour sales A - Tony Alexander:
Off the mike comments
not the kilo but the actual revenues are correspond that was a wholesale kilowatt hour sales just want I am looking for A - Tony Alexander: And this is Kurt Turosky, in the fourth quarter the wholesale, our sales revenue are about $360 million Q - Charles Fishman: 360 A - Tony Alexander: Yes Q - Charles Fishman: And for the full year do you have plan that A - Tony Alexander: I can get back to offline on that. Q - Charles Fishman: That will be fine thank you. A - Tony Alexander: It’s about the $1.4 billion for the year, can you hear that Charles Q - Charles Fishman: Yes $1.4 billion A - Tony Alexander: It's correct Q - Charles Fishman: Thank you A - Tony Alexander: Thank you.
Operator
The next question is coming from Bill Benjamin of Morgan Stanley. Q - Bill Benjamin: Hi, good morning A - Tony Alexander: Hi Tason Q - Bill Benjamin: Could you talk about any data points receiving in Pennsylvania regarding Penn power, RFP process proposal, I guess it in Mike of the archive results that a small utility there had. A - Tony Alexander: Where we question RFP process solid with the where we see there is a lot of discussion how about what market rates are until four, we’ve not get any specific kind its back in our proposal which is, and now the mechanism behind that is suppose toward final result would be so, when we have with that we now expect to receive the decision from the sort of in the first week of March and probably with the machine about probably around the beginning of the April. Q - Bill Benjamin: Great thanks and as far as uses of cash is that basically stand as what you have said at the analyst meeting by last year possible stock buyback in the second half of this year. A - Tony Alexander: Yes there is really but no change in our views and use of cash flow Q - Bill Benjamin: Great thanks very much A - Tony Alexander: Thank you.
Operator
Your next question is coming from Steve Fleishman of Merrill Lynch Q - Steve Fleishman: Hi guys A - Tony Alexander: I got you Steve Q - Steve Fleishman: In your commentary on the Pennsylvania rate filing you said you are going to file for a change in transmission distribution and generation, could you just clarify on the generation piece since I thought that was frozen with the polar contracts. A - Tony Alexander: Again Steve, that our cases being prepared right now and we have more to talk about what is actually noticed towards the end of March or April. Q - Steve Fleishman: Okay, but you are going to address generation, is what you said A - Tony Alexander: As Rich indicated that we believe when you conclude transmission, distribution and generation, the returns are in adequate. Q - Steve Fleishman: Okay and your refries on T&D expire allow those, is that correct, new Pennsylvania A - Tony Alexander: That’s correct Q - Steve Fleishman: Okay and then you never receive that the full accounting order A - Tony Alexander: That’s correct is that out there? Q - Steve Fleishman: Okay, thank you A - Tony Alexander: Thank you Steve
Operator
Your next question is coming from David Frank of Peacock Capital Q - David Frank: Hi good afternoon A - Tony Alexander: Hi David Q - David Frank: I guess obviously the recent, the result for the recent New Jersey BGS auction we are currently profound, is the main purpose of the upcoming Pennsylvania regulatory filings that litigate future increases in un-recover purchase power expense? A - Tony Alexander: Now the main purpose is to deal with fundamentally and what we believe to be in adequate returns and how those are shape will be a part of the case that there will be talking about later half on in the filing Q - David Frank: Okay, and Tony no respect in queue most queue that FE has changed its wholesale power agreement with channel like to provided I guess a option over the next year to terminate the agreement at any time with 60 days notice. Are you even in fastest to bring sensitive Firstenergy from that had internal act and it’s so what’s that’s for able to taken. A - Tony Alexander: I don’t think we are going to process that doing that we just made a business decision there. A - Harvey Wagner: Yes, what’s part of as specific length strategy, David I wouldn’t for that way I mean it’s a decision because of flexibility but its not part of this specific Ring-fencing approach. Q - David Frank: Okay well I guess you had agreement before which allows you to break it once a year A - Tony Alexander: Right Q - David Frank: Why the necessity over the next 12 months where I guess next year to have it to be able to be broken on 60 days notice. A - Tony Alexander: Well I think it large for David, its because there is, at this point there is essentially no shopping Ohio also that load is coming back to the Ohio Companies and it’s a question how we are going to deal with that kind of issue going forward. Q - David Frank: To the Ohio, I am sorry the shopping, the agreement was with the Pennsylvania utilities so. A - Tony Alexander: I understand that for primarily supported by generation that was, that’s used to support the higher loads but the shopping in Ohio. There was move free more to ship into the Pennsylvania markets. That’s being work through right now. Q - David Frank: I see, and your blended polar price in Pennsylvania is I want to say somewhere in the 40's A - Tony Alexander: Yes its right 46, about Q - David Frank: Okay, thank you A - Tony Alexander: Thanks David.
Operator
Your next question is coming from Hugh Wynne of Sanford Bernstein Q - Hugh Wynne: Hi Harvey A - Harvey Wagner: Hi Hugh Q - Hugh Wynne: A couple of quick questions on the chart on page 6, which compares the fourth quarter of ’04 and ’05. On the first line the increase in regulatory services revenues and the decrease on power supply management revenues, I think it thus related to the shift in consumption of power from competing retailers in Ohio and Pennsylvania to FirstEnergies power supply and therefore an increase in a year to regulated sales versus year. On regulated sales, am I wrong about that? A - Harvey Wagner: Hugh, this is Harvey Wagner, on the regulated segments that’s all strictly increases in deliveries on our distribution side of our business under the Power supply management I don’t if you recall, we adopted a new reporting methodology for wholesale transactions in the PJM market in 2005. Q - Hugh Wynne: Right A - Harvey Wagner: And doing so, there was a reduction of wholesale sales comp comparatively for the prior year in the quarter of about $240 million Q - Hugh Wynne: Okay, so that’s why it reflects in that due accounting. A - Harvey Wagner: That’s correct Q - Hugh Wynne: Now going down on this line 4 other have actually get should interrupt in other revenues, regulator services that been increase by the revenues at Power supply management services. A - Harvey Wagner: It’s a primarily transmission related Q - Hugh Wynne: Why would it increase the revenues on one side and reduce the money other A - Harvey Wagner: The transactions on wholesale side by the power supply managements services segment were increased Q - Hugh Wynne: And then this was, I am sorry, could you just give me any more color on that I am not understanding. A - Harvey Wagner: Just a volume of transactions going through the system for the unregulated side of our business have collecting more transmission revenue. Q - Hugh Wynne: Alright, and reason why down on the regulated side A - Harvey Wagner: Again leverages is be a function of the transactions. We can get through a more detail on that you, I believe the, on the regulated side about half of that differences due to a reduction in transmission revenue. Q - Hugh Wynne: Right, may be I call it occurred afterwards A - Harvey Wagner: That could find, we will walk in to that Q - Hugh Wynne: Then the going down to the expenses level we have a major change in the amount of fuel consume, in the amount of purchase power, at the Power supply managements services, I think is this just a reflection of the reduction and outages that your nuclear flee, that’s right? A - Harvey Wagner: Oh, again the purchase power is also affected by that PJM netting transaction so, that’s $240 million on that, and the difference in the fuel cost, differences in the fuel mix and increased fuel prices. Q - Hugh Wynne: Okay. A - Tony Alexander: For as this quarter is the last time I’ll see that, PJM netting issue that will now to half a way beginning with the first quarter of ’06, so it will make the comparison be there. Q - Hugh Wynne: Okay, and the final quick question, if I could, we have a $27 million, increase in operating expenses of the regulated, I’m sorry, decrease operating expenses of the regulated services segment, those but they are from 448 in ’04 to 421 in ’05. Yet on the first periods of the released you talked about significant increase of $22 million and Energy delivery expenses, what accounts then for the large decline in other operating expenses for the regulated services? A - Harvey Wagner: Which specific line when you Q - Hugh Wynne: Look at line 9, on page 6. A - Harvey Wagner: Okay. I don’t know if he gets the answer in your fingertips. Q - Hugh Wynne: Out of it would be the reduction in our employee benefit cost, pension and other falls retirement benefits. A - Harvey Wagner: That’s related to the funding of the hedged plan I suppose. A - Tony Alexander: Well that’s a part of it, that we’ve also had changes in our Health care plans that have must going forward as well. Q - Hugh Wynne: This were obviously more than enough that’s a increase in your deliveries side. A - Tony Alexander: That would be part of that, that’s okay. Q - Hugh Wynne: Okay. Alright thank you very much. A - Tony Alexander: Thank you.
Operator
Yours next question is coming from Paul Ridzon of Key McDonald. A - Tony Alexander: Hi Paul. Q - Paul Ridzon: Hi how are you. A - Tony Alexander: How are you doing? Q - Paul Ridzon: How much of your prior and combat loaded is currently shopping? A - Tony Alexander: Well outside of our FAS regulated subsidiary very little. Everybody is already left. A - Harvey Wagner: Everybody is already, well everybody has come, basically all the customers had come back to First energy. Q - Paul Ridzon: That’s Okay, have a lots of competitors suppliers? A - Harvey Wagner: Yes. Q - Paul Ridzon: And then, with the return of the high or low outage in which I’d mean ,so Pennsylvania, how does that, how do you thinking about maybe getting longer, either at acquisitions or otherwise? A - Harvey Wagner: Paul, I don’t think it has any effect on our near term strategy, in terms of how we intended deploy cash. But what we have said in the past, I mean we are incrementally upgrading our facilities at the maximum planned as an example over the next, including what we did in ’05 and over the next two years we’re add about a 150 Megawatts to the system. We are in the process of upgrading some of our nuclear facilities so that they able to produce additional kilowatts force, that’s the near term plan at this point. Q - Paul Ridzon: And the types of annual rate case, also mitigate some of the pressures? A - Tony Alexander: In terms of the power supply, Paul is that what you are saying? Q - Paul Ridzon: If anyone can address the generation side, when you are going to Pennsylvania, that was a kind of a strategy that as well. A - Tony Alexander: Again Paul, we said we haven’t talk specifically about the components of that case as just being developed right now. Q - Paul Ridzon: Okay, thank you.
Operator
And the next question is coming from Ashar Khan of SAC Capital. Q - Ashar Khan: Good afternoon. Most of the question answers just going back to, you said JCPL, the timing of that case in the decision on that case in terms and, could you just repeat the cash flow amount if you get a positive decision? A - Tony Alexander: Above 155 I share. Q - Ashar Khan: When do you file and when do you expect the decision? A - Tony Alexander: We’ve already filed, and you know what we expect the decisions specifically, but. Q - Ashar Khan: Okay. A - Tony Alexander: Okay we filed on December, there is no statutory time limit on. Q - Ashar Khan: Okay, but. A - Tony Alexander: Sorry, we are not talking about the securitization, are you talking about– Q - Ashar Khan: No, I’m talking about the separately what you mention. But that is not in your cash flow guidance is that correct? A - Tony Alexander: That is correct. Q - Ashar Khan: Okay, and when do you expect that the nuclear at back on line is it May? A - Tony Alexander: You are talking about nuclear Beaver Valley? Q - Ashar Khan: A - Tony Alexander: So that I would just, started this week actually, really Monday morning and its going to be a 2, 3 month outage. Q - Ashar Khan: Okay, thank you. A - Tony Alexander: Thank you.
Operator
The next question is coming from Paul Patterson of Glenrock Associates. Q - Paul Patterson: Good afternoon guys, how are you? A - Tony Alexander: Hi Paul Q - Paul Patterson: Just wanted to touch if you on the total hedge position you guys with respect to your pole in Pennsylvania, and so high yield with the returning customers and everything else, what are we talking about in terms of exposure, to your purchase power obligation with here, you guys have send some operate do you guys have, if you are move in pieces here, what are we looking at in terms of how hedged you are from, 2006 through I guess if we end of the board. A - Tony Alexander: Looking at 6 and 7, first I think we’re affectively net move in both PJM and MISO, for that timeframe, now, when you talk about different periods of time obviously its going to change after 2008 and when the call is expected to go way in the half, do that point of time, where well covered for in each in both stage, clearly, 2008 at the end of the year to our callers expected to go away and then we’re much longer in both markets as well. Q - Paul Patterson: Okay, so in generally speaking, there should be a big increase in purchase power expenses, for ’06 through ’08, right, in system wide, you guys are pretty well covered, am I correct on that? A - Tony Alexander: Yes. Q - Paul Patterson: Okay, so, I know you guys also want to talk about the Pennsylvania case in detail, but, we are now looking at you guys being exposed to the substantial way in terms of getting recovery at purchase power expenses out there, is that correct? A - Tony Alexander: We’ve talked that the past about our hedging strategy so far as, lets take the so the details about what the PA case, well around you, but now we’ve been affective it trying to make sure that we have to supply 12 folder application runs, and I know how I think we’ve as affective in doing that. Q - Paul Patterson: Okay, and then we are also want to ask you guys was, in 2006, we are not expecting any impact in the Pennsylvania cases in your guidance, is that correct? A - Tony Alexander: That’s correct. Q - Paul Patterson: Okay, and then finally, with respect to the Bankruptcy, law and the impact on the other, the uncollectible which sounds likes an unusual item to a certain degree, can you break out what happened there and we’d be faced to assume that probably was unusual more shall up in ’06? A - Tony Alexander: Yes, I think that was a one kind of that, driven by the new bankruptcy laws, were a lot of people wanted to file with the advents of the scripter laws, so that’s should not be a recurring t kind in that. Q - Paul Patterson: But how much was that I guess, it’s you mentioned in the $22 million per delivery expenses, but how much of that I guess was, from the bankruptcy thing? A - Tony Alexander: About $8 million. Q - Paul Patterson: Okay, and then finally, would you expect the PJM and MISO expenses, when you guys are in November, you guys saw that’s giving the 2006, and you felt RTO came from losing calls, hurting by about $0.05 of share, is there any change, or you can elaborate a little bit of what’s you guys are seeing when we expected the PJM and this, yeah, this high can just in entry service cost, and how you see them spending going forward and what have you, and what is not that’s up $0.05 number still hold? A - Tony Alexander: We have the mechanism is so high, to recover those forms or regulated service area, so the issue really becomes PJM cost. In the fourth quarter the net increase in PJM cost was about $37 million dollars as resulted in the congest in the service cost, but I think probably trending and expectation with our earlier thoughts, we are obviously take a number into our ’06 expect in terms of what those cost will be, we don’t see anything, we just believe that’s going to be grows with different than that. But may obviously, now it is that right under was very focus on this big number for us. Q - Paul Patterson: Okay, great, thanks a lot. A - Tony Alexander: Thank you.
Operator
And the next question is coming from Gregg Orrill of Lehman Brothers Q - Gregg Orrill: Thanks my question has been answered. A - Tony Alexander: Thanks Gregg. A - Harvey Wagner: Thanks Gregg.
Operator
Your next question is coming from Paul Fremont of Jeffries. Q - Paul Fremont: Thanks just a clarification in terms of one of our Patterson questions, through the '06 mail 7 timeframe your net long based on the generation that you all in plus the hedges that you haven’t place for Pennsylvania is that sort of correct? A - Rich Marsh: Yes Q - Paul Fremont: And the hedges I assume end in '07 so, in '08 why you still are obligated to cervical higher customers I think through the end of 2008, right. Would you actually be next short in '08? A - Rich Marsh: Your presumption that the hedges end in the end of '07 is not correct so far, so much still hedges continue many of them continue on over time. Q - Paul Fremont: Okay, so I guess just looking at '08 independently, would you characterize yourself as still net long in '08 describe the fact you still have an ongoing obligation to serve the all higher puller customers? A - Rich Marsh: That’s not specifically, yes can't tell you specifically, don’t know the answer at this point it close to probably neutral. Q - Paul Fremont: I guess the other question that I have is, with respect to your plus for differed accounting figure in Pennsylvania I trust from your answer Rich, that it was not that you are you didn’t get sanative yes or no out of the commission, the commission simply fail to act on that request? A - Rich Marsh: It is not acted on our request, there is an intervention in that case and, nothing is been scheduled. Q - Paul Fremont: Okay, thank you very much. A - Rich Marsh: Thank you Paul.
Operator
Your next question is coming from Margaret Brown of Citigroup Q - Margaret Brown: My question is been answered, thank you. A - Tony Alexander: Thanks Maggie
Operator
Your next question is coming from Vens Bunk of Womerns Management. A - Tony Alexander: Hello Ven Q - Vens Bunk: Hi. With respect to the potential times of being the filing, would you take as it as sort of very standard rating as of return were, is this the situation where you've been able to where, the calculations or there is the trustworthy or the methodologies a little bit unusual and therefore you've been able to discuss the potential structures with commission before hand? A - Tony Alexander: Ven, I'm not going to characterize this case at all. Q - David Frank: Okay. Thank you. A - Tony Alexander: Thanks Ben.
Operator
And next question is coming from Ban Venken of State of this conference Q - Ban Venken: Hi good afternoon. I have a few things here. First on the, nuclear plate, I was wondering that you may said the overall capacity factor in '05 was 87.2, you have left the capacity factor less had to tune in? A - Tony Alexander: Yeah we didn’t get you that. I will give you that offline. Q - Ban Venken: Okay and then among the outages, I didn’t catch what outages you are going to add to other besides the beaver valley I unit, that’s gone on right now what is the other outages in '06. A - Tony Alexander: Sure, the other outages in '06 is of there is two others Ban, we have which is going down in the March time frame and that will be one to two months type of outages involves refilling at some of the reacted property replacement, so it’s a more involved then this typical straight we feel in, and then also we have Beaver Valley 2 which will be conventional refilling average in the October timeframe that to be about one month outage. A - Rich Marsh: Or else, by the way we also have may have main scale unit II, to upgrade the environmental equipment and to install the gents factor is better we talk about, and I'll take place this call. Q - Ban Venken: How long will be that advanced for that outages be about? A - Rich Marsh: My guess is again that’s probably 2 to 3 months outage. A - Tony Alexander: Okay it's probably reasonable run given the number and length as some of these strategies that might be lower in '06 and then in you where in '05 or '07. A - Rich Marsh: No actually the average days will be less than '06 and then '05. If the numbers gained you to ask for full year 2005 capacity factors, beaver valley I was actually a 101.4% beaver valley II was 91.8 they Davis-Besse was 92.3 and that was 69.3 obviously impacted by the first outage at the beginning of the year than the expected fueling outage. Q - Ban Venken: Okay, so would expect those capacity factors then it will be higher in ’06, you thought response to would the expenses related to that probably be lower than as well. A - Rich Marsh: Last year was unusual year, and we did have the extended outage in the first outage periods so these outages this year will be more conventional outages, so that’s why we are staying at the nuclear generation here the Nuclear generation outage will be last in '06, and then '05. Q - Ban Venken: Okay. A - Rich Marsh: We are obviously the stream replacement that’s a big unit for our sale, significant cost component some of which is already been expanded with capital going outside, well we have an on going benefit towards in the future since future outages will be shorter and will have less inspection on that. Q - Ban Venken: Okay then you mentioned in your press release that you completed the transfer of units to non regulated, that kind of little bit about your capital structure management, do you anticipate to talk about pushing some dept down property against you despite assuming that was particular twinkles. A - Rich Marsh: Well long-term, our over urging view to be able to position our regulated business and investment great entity, so obviously that by certain levels of capitalization, well we are really focusing on as making sure that we are going regulated operating company that level that are appropriate in a right making contacts. So you don’t want those to be over advertise as the beginning of regulatory cycle, that’s were we want to focus is. Q - Ban Venken: So when do you refinance that to spend you got it some likely to be operating, its was regulated operating. A - Rich Marsh: That’s right. Q - Ban Venken: I think I had one more question. And also in the fourth quarter the interest expense was up versus a year ago over downs that due to higher interest rates. A - Rich Marsh: Yeah, part of that if the interest on the accrued tax recognized related to New Jersey Q - Ban Venken: Okay, so without that would have been lower. A - Rich Marsh: If would been pretty flat actually. Q - Ban Venken: Okay do your expect even lot of rates have down and your balances what do you expect interest to be above flat and higher lower end of ’06 and then ’05. A - Rich Marsh: Still be lowered ’06 and then 05. Q - Ban Venken: Okay and that's all of have been thank you A - Rich Marsh: Well, I appreciate Ban thank you right only in the interest of time take one more caller and then if there is any follow up question we can handle those offline
Operator
Your last question is coming from Glen Wynne of Glenrock Q - Glen Wynne: Good afternoon A - Tony Alexander: How are you Q - Glen Wynne: I am good thanks. Could you just remind me what you’re targeting for credit rating so parent company and the new GENCO. A - Tony Alexander: That the parent company were targeting strong it will ratings, regulated business is we are looking to have it be investment grade. Q - Glen Wynne: Investment grade at the GENCO A - Tony Alexander: One of the entities where you should likely be FTS which is the, if you are holding Company for the GENCO Q - Glen Wynne: This is sure related to the last caller's question you depending transferring from the crucial control of that, and offset to the GENCO I'm wondering what happen to that plan. A - Tony Alexander: Yes that will happen we are not obligated transfer that underwriting certain time constraint of we will do that opportunistically over time when it makes second of extends to that. It’s the longer eventually that conclusion will migrate over to the generating company from the operating company. Q - Glen Wynne: Thank you very much. A - Tony Alexander: Thank you very much and we appreciated everybody time and attention today is there any further follow up question that we didn’t get to please gets various protocol, we appreciate everybody times today and appreciate your continued interest in Firstenergy, so I hope everybody has a great day, thank you very much. Rich Marsh - SVP & CFO: Thanks everyone, bye now.
Operator
This concludes todays Firstenenrgy's fourth quarter earnings conference call, you may now disconnect.