Avantax, Inc. (AVTA) Q4 2013 Earnings Call Transcript
Published at 2014-02-20 19:30:08
Stacy Ybarra - Director of Corporate Communications William J. Ruckelshaus - Chief Executive Officer, President, Director and Member of Mergers & Acquisitions Committee Eric M. Emans - Chief Financial Officer, Principal Accounting Officer and Treasurer
Daniel L. Kurnos - The Benchmark Company, LLC, Research Division Joseph D. Janssen - Barrington Research Associates, Inc., Research Division Daniel Hultberg - Oppenheimer & Co. Inc., Research Division Mitchell O. Bartlett - Craig-Hallum Capital Group LLC, Research Division Brian Patrick Fitzgerald - Jefferies LLC, Research Division
Good day, everyone, and welcome to the Blucora Fourth Quarter Earnings Results Conference Call. This call is being recorded. With us today from the company is the President and Chief Executive Officer, Bill Ruckelshaus; Chief Financial Officer, Eric Emans; and the Senior Director of Investor Relations, Stacy Ybarra. At this time, I would like to turn the call over to Stacy Ybarra. Please go ahead, ma'am.
Good afternoon, and welcome to Blucora's investor conference call to discuss fourth quarter and full year 2013 earnings. Before we begin, I'd like to remind you that during the course of this call, Blucora representatives will make forward-looking statements including, but not limited to, statements regarding Blucora's expectations about its products and services, outlook for the future of our businesses and growth initiatives and anticipated financial performance for the first quarter 2014 and tax season 2014. Other statements that refer to our beliefs, plans, expectations or intentions, which may be made in response to questions, are also forward-looking statements for purposes of the Safe Harbor provided by the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act. Because these statements pertain to future events, they may and/or are subject to various risks and uncertainties, and actual results could differ materially from our current expectations and beliefs. Factors that could cause or contribute to such differences include, but are not limited to, the risks and other factors discussed in Blucora's most recent annual report on Form 10-Q on file with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Blucora assumes no obligation to update any forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date the statement is made. In addition, during this call, our management will discuss GAAP and non-GAAP financial measures. In the press release, which has been posted on our website and filed with the SEC on Form 8-K, we present GAAP and non-GAAP results along with reconciliation tables and the reasons for our presentation of the non-GAAP information. We have also provided supplemental financial information to our results in the Investor Relations section of our corporate website at www.blucora.com and filed with the SEC on Form 8-K. Now I'll turn the call over to Bill Ruckelshaus. Following his comments, Eric Emans will review the fourth quarter results and first quarter outlook. Then, we'll open up to your questions. William J. Ruckelshaus: Thank you, and good afternoon. We have a busy agenda today. I want to begin with a few brief comments in response to a report published recently about Blucora. As a matter of practice, we do not comment on individual reports. However, given the nature of the accusations this week, we feel it is important to set the records straight. While we will not take time on this call to address every inaccurate statement in the report, we do want to specifically respond to the allegation regarding illicit keyword search terms. I would be very brief and then move to our operations, where we continue to be focused. Blucora and our InfoSpace subsidiary has zero tolerance for illicit keywords of the sort referred to in this week's report, and we have long-standing procedures in place to suppress such search terms. The contention that our business is built around this type of traffic is irresponsible, abhorrent and diametrically opposed to what we stand for as a company. Totally removing illicit keywords from a search network is an ongoing battle for all industry participants. This is all the more challenging in the case of code words and euphemisms that are ever-changing. While our systems and filters are robust, they require constant evolution. The suggestion that we are deliberately seeking this traffic or that we are financially dependent on it is false and despicable. Other aspects of the report too numerous to mention, including claims of involuntary and artificial clicks impacting the quality of our network traffic, are also false. We will not dignify this report with further comment. With that, I will move to updating on our businesses. The InfoSpace business performed above our expectations in both the fourth quarter and for the full year 2013. Our strong revenue growth can be attributed to both our owned and operated properties and the addition of new Search distribution partners. Our team has been working closely with Google over the prior months, and we are pleased to announce today, we have renewed our contract together effective April 1, 2014. The 3-year agreement extends the partnership through 2017, with a mutual option to extend for another year. Importantly, our new agreement applies to desktop only and excludes smartphone and tablet search going forward. This represents a change from the terms in our current agreement and will drive InfoSpace to evolve our mobile offerings going forward. Mobile is a modest component of our Search business today, but clearly, the potential exists for us to broaden our exposure in this evolving market in the future. By way of background, Google communicated to us late in our renewal discussions they are reviewing their syndicated mobile Search offering and, as a result, this renewed agreement does not include the mobile Search product going forward. Given our long-standing relationship with Google, we are optimistic we will find new ways to work together in mobile in the future. In the meantime, our Search team is ready with alternatives to Google in mobile. Our immediate response will be to display mobile Search results from other sources, including Yahoo!. Longer term, we will continue to experiment with search and non-search solutions, including programmatic display, text and video, to evolve our offerings in mobile and remain relevant to users and partners as mobile usage further matures. There are a number of important things to consider in connection with this announcement. First, I want to underscore that the vast majority of our Search business today is desktop-related, and desktop will continue in the new contract under the same rates that we have in our current contract with Google. Desktop was 85% of our business in Q4, represented nearly 2/3 of our revenue growth from last year and grew at a compound annual rate of approximately 28% from 2010 to 2013. Second, our value proposition in the Search marketplace continues to center around bringing liquidity and quality traffic to our Search engine partners and differentiated content and monetization solutions to users and partners. This core equation remains intact and continues to offer InfoSpace and our partners compelling opportunities going forward. Last, the InfoSpace team's experience and our diversified model allows us to quickly adapt to market changes. We will navigate to a new baseline and continue to deliver value in this new chapter. Now turning to tax prep. The tax season is underway, and the tax team is poised for strong performance, this year brought another delayed start to this season and we believe the filing pattern overall will be very similar to last year. Consumers are increasingly conditioned to start their tax returns later in the season. TaxACT delivered and launched a record number of new products and enhancements this season, centered around user experience, website content and decision support. We migrated our small-business DIY tax solution online, launched a consumer-facing health care insurance site at HealthcareACT.com and introduced a number of applications, including a tax calculator, mobile refund tracker and mobile donation assistant. The team also launched ahead of this season a differentiated smartphone app for tax filing, TaxACT Express, for free federal tax filing. With TaxACT Express, TaxACT now offers a suite of tax filing products for desktops, tablets and smartphones with anytime, anywhere access. The team is firing on all cylinders, and I couldn't be more pleased with their progress. We entered the tax season with increased momentum, best-in-class products, an outstanding value proposition and programs aimed at increasing consumer awareness. We feel good about how TaxACT is performing to date and believe we are well situated going forward to grow in digital DIY and bring more value to our customers. Now turning to E-Commerce. The condensed holiday shopping season and soft consumer demand led to fourth quarter sales slightly below expectations. Some of this softness is carried over to Q1, and while we don't believe the issues to be long term, we are nonetheless guiding cautiously in the first quarter. We purchased Monoprice because of their compelling value equation. They provide quality products at fantastic prices and deliver great service. Their core customer base, strong product reviews and high net promoter scores speak to the loyalty they generate. We continue to believe in the growth potential and remain committed to the multiyear vision of growing Monoprice into an established household brand. In closing, 2013 was a year of growth and continued transformation for Blucora. We are executing well on the blueprint in place and look forward to seeing our companies advance on their respective paths in 2014. With that, I'll turn the call over to Eric. Eric M. Emans: Thanks, Bill. I'll start out with a quick review of our full year 2013 consolidated results before moving into a more detailed discussion on our fourth quarter performance and end my comments with first quarter 2014 outlook, as well as some commentary on the 2014 Search expectations given our Google renewal. Consolidated revenue for 2013 was $574 million, up 41% versus prior year, and adjusted EBITDA was $114.2 million, up 42%. These results reflect strong growth in our Search business, which was up 24% and 33% on a revenue and segment income basis. Our tax business was also up considerably, in part due to a full year results versus 2012 due to the timing of the TaxACT acquisition. Additionally, our 2013 results benefited from the acquisition of Monoprice in the third quarter. Non-GAAP net income for the year was $97.7 million or $2.25 per diluted share, and GAAP net income was $24.4 million or $0.56 per diluted share. On a pro forma basis, which includes the acquisition of Monoprice for the full year, consolidated revenue for 2013 was $666.2 million, adjusted EBITDA was $127.6 million and non-GAAP net income was $106 million or $2.44 per diluted share. Pro forma free cash flow for the year was approximately $107 million. Further detail on our pro forma results can be found in our supplemental information release in the IR section of our corporate website. We exit the year with a strong balance sheet with cash, cash equivalents and short-term investments of $333.7 million and net cash of $11.1 million. During the year, we repurchased approximately 417,000 shares for approximately $10 million. And under the current share repurchase, we still have $40 million we can put to work. Turning to our fourth quarter performance. Consolidated revenue was $167.3 million and adjusted EBITDA was $22.6 million. Non-GAAP net income was $18.1 million or $0.40 per diluted share. It is worth noting that the non-GAAP diluted share count for the quarter included approximately 1.8 million shares related to the conversion premium in our convertible debt, as our average share price for the quarter exceeded the conversion price. During the quarter, we recorded a GAAP net loss of $1.1 million or a loss per share of $0.03. The net loss was driven by a noncash loss of $5.7 million or a loss per share of $0.13 related to a derivative instrument for a warrant that was exercised during the quarter. Normalizing for the impact of discharge, we would have exceeded our net income and diluted EPS expectation for the quarter. Moving onto our segment performance, beginning with our Search segment. Revenue for the quarter was $125.6 million and segment income was $25 million, up 30% and 44%, respectively, from the same quarter last year, carrying the momentum we had exiting the third quarter. Owned and operated revenue was up $14.7 million versus prior year as we continue to acquire new users through marketing investments. Distribution revenue was up $14.6 million driven by new distribution partners launched in 2013 of $16.9 million, which offset a slight decline in our existing partners. Segment margin was flat sequentially but, again, up versus prior year, benefiting from the growth of owned and operated revenue, as well as mix shifts in our distribution partner network. Turning to E-Commerce. Revenue for the quarter was $39.7 million and segment income was $4.1 million. As Bill discussed, sales were a bit softer than expected. With that being said, we were pleased with Monoprice's performance in the quarter, which on a pro forma basis, grew revenue and segment income 21% and 30%, respectively, while maintaining segment margin of 11%. Orders were up approximately 10%, implying a healthy increase in average order value, so all in all, a good finish to the year. Touching quickly on our Tax Preparation segment. Revenue for the fourth quarter was $2 million and recorded a segment income -- segment loss of $3 million, both in line with our expectations. Closing on the fourth quarter, unallocated corporate operating expenses were $3.5 million, sequentially down, as the third quarter included transaction expenses related to the acquisition of Monoprice. With that, let's move onto our first quarter expectations. We expect consolidated revenue between $213 million and $222 million; adjusted EBITDA between $51 million and $54 million; non-GAAP net income of $45 million to $48 million or $1 or (sic) [to] $1.06 per diluted share; and net income of $22 million to $24.5 million or $0.49 to $0.54 per diluted share. Let's talk through some trends at the segment level that informed our consolidated outlook. Starting with tax, we are tracking to the first half 2014 guidance of revenue of $95 million to $97 million and segment margin of approximately 52%, which was provided during our third quarter earnings call. We expect a bit north of 70% of the revenue to hit in the first quarter and a segment margin in the neighborhood of 48%, give or take. E-Commerce is up to a slow start, as Bill mentioned. And for the first quarter, we expect revenue to be up low to mid single digits versus prior year but will be down sequentially. E-Commerce segment margin is expected to compress from the fourth quarter to 7% to 8% as we are making some investments primarily in the sales and marketing side of the house, including improving our analytic capabilities. Search again begins the year with headwinds, the team is working to adapt in phase in changes related to our Google renewal. Additionally, and consistent with other folks in our space, we are seeing some pricing softness in our owned and operated properties. As a result, we expect first quarter year-on-year revenue growth to be in the high single to low double digits. We also expect segment margin to compress to 17.5% to 18% range. Before closing, I do want to provide an update on our 2014 Search segment expectations adjusted for the projected impact of the Google renewal. Given our current line of sight, we believe we can grow revenue in the low single digits for the year. We expect second quarter revenue will be down sequentially and likely represent a low point for the year as we transition to new mobile solutions. We also believe segment margins may further compress from the first quarter outlook levels, in essence, establishing a new baseline for the business. As always is the case with the Search business, our visibility out of a few quarters is limited, so we fully expect the 2014 expectations to continue to evolve during the year and can be further impacted by unforeseen external factors. The good news this year, we have the support of our Search engine partners, a diversified partner network and an experienced team. As we stated before, the Search business is volatile at times but durable and remain focused on driving free cash flow from this segment. With that, let's turn the call over to the operator, and we'll take your questions.
[Operator Instructions] The first question comes from Dan Kurnos from Benchmark Company. Daniel L. Kurnos - The Benchmark Company, LLC, Research Division: Just let's start in Search and O&O, you had a pretty strong quarter. Eric just gave some good guidance going forward, but maybe you can give us a little more granularity in the quarter on how it broke down between query growth and pricing growth. And understanding that there is softness in CPCs right now, in that particular space, are you still anticipating pretty healthy query growth for the balance of the year? William J. Ruckelshaus: Dan, this is Bill. On the O&O traffic, we did see pricing softness in the quarter, in many ways, persisting trends that we had seen throughout the year. It does vary pretty dramatically depending on the category, as well as, to an extent, geographically in terms of how those trends have been strengthening or holding or weakening. And as it relates to how we're feeling about going forward, I think Eric's captured it in terms of where our emphasis is going to be and how we're going to respond but it really -- it has been more weighted in the direction of volume than it has been pricing-driven. But the pricing issues are not across the board either, so I wouldn't say that, that's a uniform explanation. Daniel L. Kurnos - The Benchmark Company, LLC, Research Division: That's fair enough. And just to maybe drill down just a little bit more there. We all know that your O&O business is certainly not, I should say, as mature as IAC, for example. And we talked about some levers you can pull there. Maybe just go a little bit more to your strategy about how you're driving growth on that side of the business. William J. Ruckelshaus: So what oftentimes gears in the direction of a marketing discussion here, in our minds, much more has to do with the North Star, which is how we're going to bring value to users. And that really becomes ultimately a content-centered discussion and strategy. And so there's nothing -- good marketing is not going to cure a strategy that does not have content at the center of it. And so we're focused on not just bringing quality Search results through our model, which is, one where -- as you know, we work with a multitude of partners and bring diversity of algorithm, paid Search results, but also thinking more expansively down the line about how we can stay in front of users not just when they're engaging in simple keyword but when they're doing things like research and information and looking for idea generation and things like that. And so that's really going to be at the core of how it is we think about evolving the owned and operated business. And then if we get that right, the marketing and audience questions will, I think, answer themselves. Daniel L. Kurnos - The Benchmark Company, LLC, Research Division: Great. And then shifting to the B2C side, just help me understand here a little bit more. If 85% is desktop, your initial guidance was calling, I believe, for low double-digit Search growth for the year. You reduced that, understand that there's a headwind on the mobile side of the business. But maybe give us your high-level thoughts on the long-term health of the B2C business. We had a number of new partner wins this year, how's that factored into your guidance? And just generically between pricing and conversion rates, whether it's shift to alternative monetization path that might be driving revenue a little bit lower, just how we think about that overall? William J. Ruckelshaus: So one of the differentiating aspects of our B2B model, of course, is that it's not always going to look like the market because the network is itself comprised of individual partner relationships that we can enter into or exit out of within a given year. And that's very much in our election and depending on how partnerships are evolving and our perceptions as to the quality of the partners we're working with and momentum trends, et cetera. And so there's a reasonable amount of discretion as to how it is we grow the partner network, and a lot of that is really going to be driven by our views as to, collectively, the quality that we're driving, ultimately, of the traffic in the network. And I think that the comments that I made at the outset around desktop orientation, I think, are going to, in many ways, be defining as to growth potential there. The mobile alternatives that we're working on and will ultimately introduce to our partners are going to be critical in terms of allowing our partners to maintain relevancy in front of their users, both in the desktop and across smartphones and tablets. I think the way Eric outlined it is probably the best way for us to characterize how we see things evolving this year. But it is ultimately a business development and new partner identification-driven sales equation. And you can see the evidence of that having been successful over the last several years. Daniel L. Kurnos - The Benchmark Company, LLC, Research Division: Not to monopolize here, just one quick follow-up, or I'll call it two-part follow-up. E-Commerce segment, you've done a lot on the SKU launch side, love to hear how that's progressing. I know that, that was a primary focus. And then you've got a lot of cash, timing and thoughts on potential size of an acquisition. William J. Ruckelshaus: Sure. So we are -- we had mentioned upfront, we continue to be excited about Monoprice. I would say it's still early in our having acquired Monoprice and moving forward together with the team in California, but we're very excited. And a component of their growth in prior periods has absolutely been delivering great products within their core categories. They're starting out in cable and switches and developing innovative new products within those categories. So that's been a key component, but as you mentioned, broadening the category coverage within consumer electronics and surrounding categories as a way of widening the audience and also giving more opportunities for a given visitor to transact with Monoprice while at the site. And I think that two-pronged strategy is going to continue to exist. It is critically important within the long-standing categories at Monoprice to continue to innovate. And technology cycles continue to sort of shorten within those categories where you can see sort of break out new feature sets and innovations within HDMI cables, as an example, which occurred last year, that proved to be a catalyst in the front part of the year. So we're focused on both, which is innovation inside of our existing categories, as well as smart additions of additional products to sell so we can broaden our assortment. And as Eric mentioned, and I mentioned at the outset, we are seeing a little bit of softness that we think is carryover from Q4 but -- so we want to be cautious as to how we sort of speak to the coming quarter, but we're very excited about the business. And as far as acquisitions, we have done, I think, it's probably pretty clear, a number of acquisitions in the last couple of years, which we think have been catalysts. And we are very much focused on driving the businesses we currently own. I think there's more runway in each of the 3 areas. Obviously, each subject to different dynamics, but we're very excited. And in this environment, we're going to continue to be opportunistic about further acquisitions, obviously, going to have to be disciplined as it relates to pricing. But the other alternative or opportunity that Eric mentioned around share repurchases is another way for us to think about capital allocation.
The next question comes from Joe Janssen from Barrington Research. Joseph D. Janssen - Barrington Research Associates, Inc., Research Division: Bill, maybe just going back to Google real quick. Maybe what was the thought process with Google, maybe why they decided not to exclude (sic) [ include] mobile? And is it something that we might see be either amended or renewed to include in the future or is that something off the table? William J. Ruckelshaus: Yes, so I think the comments upfront are probably -- I can just reiterate them, which is in our discussions which took place over several months, it became known to us that there was an internal review with respect to the mobile search product. And as a result of that review, we ended up where we ended up. It isn't our understanding or belief that, that review is in any way specific to InfoSpace, but I would absolutely point you to Google for any more specifics. Joseph D. Janssen - Barrington Research Associates, Inc., Research Division: Okay, fair enough. And then what -- mobile is never really a big revenue driver within Search. What percentage within the -- derived from Google came from desktop versus mobile? I thought you said 2/3 in the prepared remarks, but I thought it would have been higher than that. William J. Ruckelshaus: Yes. Go ahead, Eric. Eric M. Emans: I think the easiest way to calculate that is just understanding how -- the concentration of Google in our revenue was somewhere in the 85 to 90, depending on what quarter you're in. And then I think clearly just been applying to say that 85% of our traffic came from desktop, I think that's the best proxy we could give you at this point is that I don't imagine it plays out too differently from a concentration standpoint as you think about just the various components there. Joseph D. Janssen - Barrington Research Associates, Inc., Research Division: Okay. And then one last question, I'll jump back in queue. In E-Commerce, you mentioned -- I heard the previous caller's response, what you responded to. Given that you had a quarter to digest this and you're kind of hit off to a slower start, maybe just any reason -- can you take a step deeper in why we're off to a slower start? Anything specific in terms of you need to digest it a little longer or is the change in how your go-to-market strategy, anything you can share with us? William J. Ruckelshaus: Well, I would point you back to kind of 2 of the macro environment comments we made which is it is, I think, there's a sluggish consumer environment out there that's been discussed and, I think, identified and to a certain extent, is a carryover from the holiday season where you saw the same dynamics. It's been a pretty competitive environment that, again, was observable in the holiday season. I think it's carried over into the new year. And then specific to Monoprice, much of this is our recently having acquired the company as we pointed out in terms of the timeline last year, and just wanting to be cautious. And also, as Eric pointed out, we do see opportunity to make some investments. And really, in some respects, investments that had not been made in the prior ownership that we think is going to be a benefit to Monoprice over the medium term. And so together, those are sort of driving some of the sentiments we expressed.
The next question comes from Scott Schneeberger from Oppenheimer. Daniel Hultberg - Oppenheimer & Co. Inc., Research Division: This is Daniel Hultberg, filling in for Scott. I have a two-part question, I want to ask them both upfront. The first question is, if you can give some color on how far we've trended week-to-week through February 15? And the second part is if you will attribute an increase in DIY filers at the IRS to weather-related issue? William J. Ruckelshaus: Okay. Can you mind repeating the first question, I'm not sure I heard that. Eric M. Emans: Week-to-week filing trend. William J. Ruckelshaus: Okay, week-to-week filing trend. So I think, and Eric, jump in here. I think what we are doing is to stick to the approach we took last season, which is to point back to the guidance we gave for the first half of the year, which really was at the end of '13. And as you hear, we feel good about how the season is progressing thus far and stand behind the guidance that we've already provided for the tax year '13 through the first 6 months of '14. And as you could pick up in our Q1 guidance and the TaxACT component of that, you can get a better sense for how it is we see the seasonality breaking between January through March and then the final month in the second quarter. So that's probably as far as we want to go in that front. Eric, is there any more color you can think of? Eric M. Emans: No, I think that's right. And in regards to weather patterns, I don't think we have a comment on that at this juncture.
[Operator Instructions] The next question comes from Mitch Bartlett from Craig-Hallum. Mitchell O. Bartlett - Craig-Hallum Capital Group LLC, Research Division: I know in the past, you've been a little bit low to talk about your distribution network, the partners involved and things like that, but given the pressure on the stock, can you give us some idea of where the strength of your traffic is coming from within that network, or anything that you can -- any color you can provide? William J. Ruckelshaus: Yes. So Mitch, this is Bill. The way that we have discussed our partner network in the past is really more from a quality perspective because that, in our view, is how ultimately we're going to build and grow our volume on the distribution side. We have a partner network that is north of 100 partners. They, year end and year out, are going to vary in terms of their contribution levels to the network and the geographic split is going to vary. But as I had mentioned earlier, a key driver of the growth ultimately is going to be not necessarily in adding to the aggregate number of partners but finding the right mix of partners to finding the right quality traffic within that partner network and then also finding the partners that are able to grow by bringing value to users and working with InfoSpace as a monetization and as a content solution. So it is very much of a partner-driven growth formula and that includes both existing partners who've been with us for years, as well as finding new partners that can help us grow in the current year. Mitchell O. Bartlett - Craig-Hallum Capital Group LLC, Research Division: So if I could push it just a little bit further, the traffic gains that you experienced this year, was it concentrated to a few very large partners or was it fairly well dispersed? William J. Ruckelshaus: I think it was fairly well dispersed. We did not -- Eric M. Emans: If I can jump in here, we do, on a quarterly basis, in our filings, provide essentially a -- some metrics around that. And as far as concentration in our traffic by partners and how they're concentration was this year versus last year, we continue to lower that number. And so I would say, we're starting to see more traction with more quality traffic across more partners, which is what we want to see.
The final question comes from Brian Fitzgerald from Jefferies. Brian Patrick Fitzgerald - Jefferies LLC, Research Division: I wanted to ask about whether or not you're approaching things differently this year in terms of marketing the TaxACT brand. It seems to be a little more front and center to us from a casual basis, so any color there would be great. William J. Ruckelshaus: Yes. I would say that the marketing mix has not dramatically changed. I think some of the creatives you might have been getting exposed to focus on empowerment themes, and the TaxACT filer tends to be well educated, confident and financially well off comparatively on a relative basis. And so we feel like we have a great brand to expose across that demographic and get the message out. And so we definitely have evolved the core messages around TaxACT but really also try to stick to a lot of the attributes that we emphasized last season around honesty and integrity and matching the messaging in our outbound marketing to what we'll ultimately deliver on in terms of the product experience. So trying to evolve out of what were some of the core messages last season but also trying to make it feel new and fresh this season.
Ladies and gentlemen, that does conclude the conference for today. Again, thank you for your participation. You may all disconnect. Have a good day.