RH

RH

$427.01
7.77 (1.85%)
London Stock Exchange
USD, US
Specialty Retail

RH (0KTF.L) Q1 2013 Earnings Call Transcript

Published at 2013-06-13 17:00:00
Executives
Cammeron McLaughlin – Vice President, Investor Relations Carlos Alberini – Chief Executive Officer Gary Friedman – Chairman Emeritus, Creator and Curator Karen Boone – Chief Financial Officer
Analysts
Lorraine Maikis Hutchinson – Bank of America Merrill Lynch Matthew J. Fassler – Goldman Sachs & Co. Neely J. N. Tamminga – Piper Jaffray, Inc. Daniel Hofkin – William Blair & Company, L.L.C. Peter Benedict - Robert W. Baird & Co. Matt Nemer – Wells Fargo Securities LLC Janet Kloppenburg - JJK Research
Operator
Good day, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the Restoration Hardware Holdings, Inc., First Quarter Fiscal 2013 Financial Results Conference Call. My name is Teisha, and I'll be your operator for today. At this time all participants are in a listen-only mode. Later we will conduct a question-and-answer session. (Operator Instructions). As a reminder, this conference is being recorded for replay purposes. I would now like to turn the conference over to your host for today, Ms. Cammeron McLaughlin, Investor Relations. Please proceed.
Cammeron McLaughlin
Good afternoon, everyone. Thank you for joining us for Restoration Hardware Holdings first quarter fiscal 2013 financial results conference call. Joining me today are Carlos Alberini, Chief Executive Officer; Gary Friedman, Chairman Emeritus, Creator and Curator; and Karen Boone, Chief Financial Officer. Before turning the call over to Carlos, I would like to remind you of our standard legal disclaimer that we will make certain statements today that are forward-looking within the meaning of the Federal Securities Laws, including statements about the outlook for our business and other matters referenced in our financial results press release. These forward-looking statements involve a number of risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially. Please refer to our SEC filings as well as our financial results press release for a more detailed description of the risk factors that may affect our results. Please also note that these forward-looking statements reflect our opinions only as of the date of this call and we undertake no obligation to revise or publically release the results for any revision to these forward-looking statements in light of new information or future events. Also during our call today, we will discuss a number of non-GAAP financial measures, including adjusted operating income, adjusted EBITDA, adjusted net income and adjusted earnings per share. These measures are just our GAAP results to eliminate the impact of certain items. You will find additional information regarding these non-GAAP financial measures, and a reconciliation of these non-GAAP to GAAP measures in today's financial results press release as well as a reconciliation of adjusted P&L items on page 10. A live broadcast of this call is available on in the investor relation section of our website at ir.restorationhardware.com. With that I will now turn the call over to Carlos.
Carlos Alberini
Thank you, Cammeron. Good afternoon everyone and thank you for joining us today. I would like to start with an overview of our first quarter performance and then share our progress today on our long term strategy. Gary will then provide an update on our current business trends and discuss the new business launches we announced today. Karen will close our prepared comments with a review of our first quarter financial results and update you on our outlook for 2013. After that we will open the call for your questions. We are extremely pleased with our first quarter performance and financial results. Once again we delivered industry leading sales growth with a net revenue increase of 38% on top of an 18% increase last year. This performance marks our 13th consecutive quarter of double digit net revenue growth during a time when we continue to contract our store base. As we previously announced during the quarter we experienced strong customer response to our product assortment and benefitted from our better inventory position, contributing to our strong top line growth was an outstanding 41% comparable store sales increase, which was on top of a 26% comp increase in the year-ago quarter. In the period we drove better than expected profitability while investing in our infrastructure and new businesses to support our growth. Our business remains strong and we continue to gain market share. Our growth has been driven by the expansion of our assortment. However as we have said before, less than 20% of our current assortment is displayed in our retail galleries today. And this number becomes even smaller when you consider the continued evolution of our assortment. Time and time again products that are displayed at retail experience a 50 to 150% lift, the transformation of our real estate remains a key to unlocking the true value of our assortment. This is one of our highest priorities for the company and it's core to our long term growth strategy. We are still in the very early stages of this transformation. So let me update you on our progress. We now have five full line design galleries and the results from all of them continue to exceed our expectations. Los Angeles and Houston are now included in our reported comparable store sales figure. Both markets drove comp growth in excess of 50% in the quarter and have delivered over 38% growth since their first anniversary. Both of these galleries also continue to deliver annual sales per selling square foot in excess of $1,500. Our Full Line Design Gallery in Scottsdale has delivered strong demand growth in that market of approximately 95%, since its opening in November of 2012 and is delivering annual sales per selling square foot of about a $1,000. The early reads from our Boston Full Line Design Gallery are strong and ahead of our expectations as well, delivering store demand growth in that market of approximately a 125% since we opened that in April of 2013. We also opened our Indianapolis Gallery in April and store demand in that location has reached nearly 200% growth since opening. We are receiving overwhelming support and interest from the landlord community, with offers to become an anchor tenant in several of the most prestigious shopping centers in North America. We just returned from a great ICSC Conference in Las Vegas and our deal pipeline is robust, a further confirmation of this enthusiasm. These anchor tenant deals will provide opportunities for higher sales, increased turnings, lower capital investment and higher ROIC than previously expected in our initial target store economics. The also provide for increased square footage to accommodate the continued expansion of our core assortment, our Small Spaces Collection, Baby & Child, Objects of Curiosity as well as any of these future new businesses that we are considering. Based on the outperformance that we are seeing, coupled with the improved deal economics, we not see opportunities to have Full Line Design galleries in even more than the 50 markets that we originally targeted. Currently we are in negotiations for sites in over 30 markets in North America, including New York, Chicago, Miami, Denver, Nashville, New Orleans, and San Diego among many others. We plan to open our next Full Line Design Galleries in Greenwich, Connecticut, and Atlanta in 2014 and we expect increased opening activity beginning in 2015 and forward. Regarding our infrastructure we continue to make investments to support our operations and position the company for long term growth. During the second quarter we will open our third furniture DC near Dallas, Texas. This facility will also have a customer care center. During this period we will also complete the expansion of our Ohio shelf stock facility. We continue to make progress with our in-home delivery initiative and are on-track to have in-sourced hubs in seven of our top markets by the end of this year. We have an amazing team and continue to attract some of the best talent in the industry. As we announced today, Richard Harvey has joined our team as Chief Merchandising Officer of our new business, RH Kitchen and Tableware. Richard is arguably the most experienced and talented leader in this industry and we are thrilled to welcome him to our team. We are very pleased with the strength of our business and remain confident in the strategic direction of our company. We have tremendous growth opportunities ahead and we have a terrific team to execute our vision. We believe we are disrupting the marketplace and gaining significant market share, we have a powerful business model that we believe will capitalize on this opportunity and drive operating margin expansion and increased earnings. We look forward to continue to update you on our growth. With that I would like to now turn this over to Gary. Gary?
Gary Friedman
Thank you, Carlos and good afternoon, everyone. I am going to spend some time updating you on the performance of our business, including our new and developing concepts and speak to some of the new launches planned for this year and next. First, let me start by trying to frame the bigger picture. Our continued industry leading performance is a reflection of our demonstrated ability to innovate, curate and integrate new products, businesses and experiences, across our multiple channels. Our growth has been driven by a combination of new products, new categories, new businesses and the reconceptualization of both our retail and direct platform. We believe we are not only building a proprietary offering but also a completely new ecosystem to experience our collection and inspire our customers. Both these factors are producing industry leading sales per square foot in our galleries and with continued innovation and refinement will also result in what we believe will be one of the most compelling and productive multi-channel experiences in retail. What's important to note is that we are in the very beginning stages of our growth story. Our results to-date have been restricted by the fact that our assortment has been trapped in legacy real estate that was designed for an entirely different company. The transformation of our real estate, as Carlos mentioned, will unlock the true value of what we have and our ability and will have an exponential effect on both our top and bottom line growth and financial performance. While many of our initiatives such as bigger catalogs and larger stores may not be intuitive and seem to move in the opposite direction of the rest of the industry fascinated by digital trend, we drive ourselves to think as say, until it hurts, so we can see what others can't see, so we can do what others can't do. The results of our initial test stores in Los Angeles, Houston, and Scottsdale have provided the learning and the new anchor tenant deal structure that Carlos mentioned gives us the confidence that we can now further expand our footprint and dominance in the marketplace. This will lead to significantly higher sales and earnings than our previous expectations in each and every market. As we thing our more immediate opportunities, let me point you to the performance of our Spring Collection represented across our six Source Book titles and 1,600 pages that just arrived in homes last month. We are extremely pleased with the early response to our efforts to expand the offering and increase our market share. Our expanded assortments of furniture, finishes and colors as well as the response to our Small Spaces and Baby & Child collection are driving strong results. Additionally the early response to our Tableware and Objects of Curiosity has been above our initial plan and we are excited to watch the results as these collections roll-out into our retail galleries in the second half of this year. We are extremely excited to announce that Richard Harvey has joined us as Chief Merchandising Officer for RH Kitchen and Tableware. As you know Richard's had a distinguished career at Williams-Sonoma, most recently as the President of the $1 billion Williams-Sonoma brand. I have had the pleasure of working with Richard for more than 10 years while at Williams-Sonoma, where we created the Grande Cuisine store concept. We are both thrilled to once again have an opportunity to reimagine and reinvent this very important part of the home. As mentioned RH Kitchen and Tableware will be a meaningful part of our next generation design gallery and will be launched with a distinctive and unique catalog and online experience in late 2014. Also announced today is our plan to launch RH Antiquities. Our plan is to develop an online platform of curated antiques that will fill customer demand that we currently see in our galleries. We see this as a highly fragmented and unedited $25 billion market. Our plan is to launch this business in late '14 or early '15. I would be remiss not to mention our fall launch of RH Contemporary Art. As discussed we will launch an immersive online platform featuring close to 50 international artists and open our first contemporary art gallery in the Chelsea Meatpacking Arts District of New York city. Our inaugural exhibition of Autonomy will feature existing and newly commissioned artworks by rAndom International, the creators of the Rain Room, which is on exhibit at the Museum of Modern Art in New York, courtesy of RH Contemporary Art until the end of July. As you might know the Rain Room has become one of the most admired pieces of modern art in recent history as evidenced by the three to eight hour wait times to view it. We commissioned the first edition of the Rain Room in the world and are thrilled to exhibit the works of these extremely creative and innovative team at rAndom International, at our inaugural exhibit this fall. In summary we are in the very early stages of a retail renaissance and believe we can curate a world and a business that goes far beyond the fall walls of the home. With that let me turn the call over to Karen.
Karen Boone
Thanks Gary, and good afternoon, everyone. I will first take you through some of the financial details of our first quarter performance and will then provide our outlook for the second quarter and revised expectations for the full fiscal year. We are extremely pleased with our first quarter performance. This was a record first quarter for the company. We delivered industry leading revenue and comp growth and recorded first quarter profitability for the first time in the history of the company. Total revenue for the first quarter of 2013 increased 38% to 301 million. Our comparable store sales increased 41% during the period with our full line design galleries outpacing the rest of the fleet. We also operated fewer stores overall with 70 galleries open at the end of the first quarter versus the 74 we had open last year. Our direct sales increased 38% to 143 million on top of the 20% increase for the same period last year. The strong top line growth across all of our channels was driven by the customer's overwhelming response to our dominant assortment and product offerings as we believe we are continuing to take market share and disrupt this highly fragmented home furnishing market. All of our product categories experienced significant growth during the period with our furniture business leading the way. Gross profit in the first quarter increased 35% and reached a 101.9 million. Gross margin decreased to 33.8% from 34.5% last year, due to changes in product mix, strategic pricing on new product introductions and increased shipping cost resulting from a higher percentage of furniture sales during the period. These increases were partially offset by leverage on the fixed portion of our store and distribution center occupancy cost. Turning to expenses our total adjusted SG&A expenses were at 97.3 million in the first quarter versus 75.9 million in the prior year. The increase in SG&A dollars was primarily driven by increases in employment, store opening and corporate occupancy cost and other variable expenses based on our increased revenue. Our adjusted SG&A includes variable non-tax stock compensation expense related to the vesting of certain performance-based shares and legal and other professional fees incurred in connection with our recent fall line offerings. As a percentage of net revenues, adjusted SG&A expenses increased by 250 basis points. This decrease was due to lower advertising expense as a percentage of sales, and leverage on our fixed payroll and other corporate expenses. Adjusted net income for the first quarter increased to 2.3 million, up from a loss of 1.3 million in prior years. Adjusted diluted EPS was $0.06 during the quarter based on 38.7 million diluted shares outstanding. Adjusted net income was calculated based on a normalized 40% tax rate and excludes the impact of non-deductible stock compensation. Turning to the balance sheet, inventory levels at the end of the first quarter were 366 million, up 35% from last year. This increase is consistent with our strategy to increase inventory levels to improve our in-stock position, reduce back orders, improve service levels and drive higher sales. Our first quarter benefited from this strategy as our strong inventory position allows us to ship and deliver products earlier than anticipated. With respect to our credit line, we ended the quarter with a 114 million outstanding on our 417 million credit facility. Our capital expenditures were 9.7 million in the first quarter and we continue to expect capital expenditures in the range of 95 to 100 million for the full fiscal year. Over half of our 2013 spend will be invested in our real estate transformation with the remainder used to fund supply chain and other infrastructure investments to support our growth. Turning to guidance, let me start with the second quarter. As Gary mentioned we are extremely pleased with our second quarter trend, especially during the last weeks once the Spring Source Books are fully in homes. In the second quarter we expect to grow revenues between 28% and 30% to 375 million to 380 million. We expect product margins to be consistent with first quarter trends. However our occupancy leverage will not be as significant due to the investments we are making in our distribution center network. Our adjusted net income for the second quarter of 2013 is expected to be in the range of 15.7 million to 16.5 million and assumes an adjusted 40% tax rate. We are providing second quarter adjusted EPS guidance in the range of $0.40 to $0.42 which assumes 39.6 million diluted shares. This share count reflects the addition of certain performance-based shares as a result of our recent stock price performance. With respect to the full year, we are increasing our 2013 revenue growth target to a range of 23% to 27% from our prior expectation of 19% to 22%. This will result in net revenues from a range of 1.47 billion to 1.51 billion. Our updated revenue outlook for the year represents growth in the range of 26% to 29% on a 52-week comparable basis. We expect adjusted net income to represent 48% and 54% to a range of 55.8 million to 58.3 million in fiscal 2013 assuming a normalized 40% tax rate. We are providing full year adjusted EPS guidance in the range of a $1.41 to $1.47, which assumes 39.7 million diluted shares outstanding. In closing we are extremely pleased with our record first quarter performance. We delivered industry leading revenue and comp growth and reported first quarter operating profitability for the first time in the history of the company. Our business remains strong and we are optimistic about our opportunities for the remainder of the year. We have a clear vision and solid growth strategy which we believe will consistently deliver long term revenue growth in the mid-to-high teens and earnings growth of 20%. With that I would now like to open up the lines for any questions. Thank you.
Operator
(Operator Instructions). Your first question comes from the line of Lorraine Hutchinson from Bank of America. Please proceed. Lorraine Maikis Hutchinson – Bank of America Merrill Lynch: Thank you. Good afternoon everyone.
Carlos Alberini
Hi, Lorraine Lorraine Maikis Hutchinson – Bank of America Merrill Lynch: Karen I believe there was a shift in timing of catalog drop and the expectations for the second quarter were for revenue to be a little bit lower because of this. Can you just comment on what you are seeing quarter-to-date?
Carlos Alberini
Yeah, I think I -- let me just start with that, Lorraine. You are absolutely right. We expected business to be somewhat impacted and especially in the second quarter because of the later drop of the book and we still have that expectation relatively speaking. That being said since the book's drop in homes, the performance has exceeded our expectations and that is what has triggered a pretty healthy guidance today. So you are absolutely right. We would expect that the third quarter will benefit more significantly as a result of that shift and based on the current performance that it's even more of a [inaudible]. Lorraine Maikis Hutchinson – Bank of America Merrill Lynch: Great and then as far as new store openings so, are there any more design galleries planned for this year and could there potentially be upside to the two that you have planned next year, as some of these deals move quickly than you expected?
Carlos Alberini
No, as you know, this takes a lot of time of development and the process is lengthy. So in terms of brand new locations we do not anticipate that. We will be expanding one, pretty significant locations towards the end of this year. It's an existing location that is going to give us a lot more space and we are very excited about that. We haven't announced that yet. Lorraine Maikis Hutchinson – Bank of America Merrill Lynch: Great, thank you.
Operator
Your next question comes from the line of Matthew Fassler from Goldman Sachs. Please proceed. Matthew J. Fassler – Goldman Sachs & Co.: Right, good afternoon. First question, your gross margin decline year-on-year was a bit smaller in the first quarter than it had been in the fourth quarter and obviously your comp was big enough perhaps, leverage of fixed cost was a decisive factor there. But if you could comment in general on your promotional stance and perhaps how it's evolved since the end of last year and just kind of tell us whether in fact, better fixed cost leverage was responsible for the smaller decline?
Karen Boone
Yeah, hi, Matt. This is Karen. You are exactly right as it relates to Q1, the higher topline growth did allow us to basically have better leverage on the fixed cost as we talked in terms of retail stores and the DCs. And then with Q2 as we mentioned that will decrease a bit, when we have some of the investments coming online as we open our Dallas furniture facility and expand Ohio, shelf stock facility. So that's just some of the timing and expectation versus Q1. As it relates to overall promotion I think Q1 relative to the prior year is kind of where we expected to be. There was this shift of one event that we moved to coincide with the timing of the book. So there was one event that shifted from the end of Q1 to the beginning of Q2. Matthew J. Fassler – Goldman Sachs & Co.: Great, a second question if I could. I know there was a point in time last year when you reached out to more households with your catalog drops. And you grew the base to some degree. How did you treat the Spring catalog this year in terms of household, is that number still growing, are we tapering that list yet. What we are seeing kind of year-on-year?
Gary Friedman
Hi, Matt, this is Gary. We did and we communicated that we tested the depth of our file last fall. And we are working kind of quarter-to-quarter to optimize our mailings as we go forward, and obviously with the fish biting as we are seeing in the second quarter right now we would actually be looking at our plans for the fall book as we look forward in determining how deep we go in the direct business as you see response rates go up to your assortment, you want to take that opportunity and mail into that and especially if there is any market trends that are positive and we believe everybody probably in the home has been affected by the good news in the rebound of the housing market. Matthew J. Fassler – Goldman Sachs & Co.: Great, thanks guys.
Operator
Your next question comes from the line of Neely Tamminga from Piper Jaffray. Please proceed. Neely J. N. Tamminga – Piper Jaffray, Inc.: Hey, good afternoon and congratulations on a fantastic performance this quarter and as you are kicking off Q2. I have got a question for Carlos and for Gary, then a -- first for you Carlos, you did mentioned the ICSC Conference and that there is clearly an (asset) for the RH brand and it increased. What does this mean in terms of where the store size in the context of the ICSE conversations, and where maybe some of the availability of that space is, could you comment on that?
Carlos Alberini
I think we will take this together with Gary. Let me just start by saying we are thrilled with the response that we got during the convention and the enthusiasm is across the board. We have a lot of new opportunities that we are talking to and a lot of landlords in many different markets and this goes even beyond the States into Canada. The size of the locations and obviously like we have said in the past it's going to depend on each market, but we see bigger opportunities for a larger box and I don't know Gary do you want to jump in?
Gary Friedman
Yeah, I'd say there is an opportunity. I think I will start with the fact that we recently communicated that about 20% of our current assortment is available at retail. And we know when we put goods into the retail marketplace and they are displayed at retail we get a meaningful lift on these goods. So as we tested the first new stores, think about Scottsdale and Houston and Los Angeles we have had roughly 15,000 to 20,000 square feet of selling and we have had somewhere between 25% to 30% of our assortment displayed in the stores. Also think about the fact that we are expanding the assortment since we opened the stores, now we've had the Tableware catalog launch, we had the Objects of Curiosity catalog launch, we are expanding the Rugs business and Leather business and now as we just announced that RH Kitchen as well as since then we have expanded our Small Spaces Collection and Baby & Child collection. So we believe we can merchandise a significantly larger footprint and but what we wanted to determine is how to take that step by step and how do you optimize the box if you will. What was significantly different about what's happening now and what we tried to communicate and to kind of give it to you in broad strokes because until we sign a meaningful enough number of these deals we will come back to your target stores economics but I think about it from the back that there is meaningfully larger footprint that we will have than previously communicated. We will have lower rent per square foot, we will have higher landlord build out contributions per square foot, so less capital per square foot than we were planning from the company. And they will lead to meaningfully higher sales, meaningfully higher earnings…
Carlos Alberini
Profitability
Gary Friedman
Or profitability per store and so if we do stand back and think about every market we will extract significantly more sales and earnings out of every market than we -- than our original expectations.
Carlos Alberini
And because of this, because of this dynamic now we see that the universe of opportunities here to really build and develop this new Full Line Design galleries goes beyond what we have targeted as 50 markets we see a larger universe. Neely J. N. Tamminga – Piper Jaffray, Inc.: Okay, encouraging and helpful, thank you for that. And just Gary, just a little bit on your Richard Harvey announcement. I think that, that's a great development there. Restoration Hardware, RH Kitchen and Tableware, could you help us conceptualize how big or significant that business could be to the total overtime? I mean is this 5% or is this something more than that? Thank you.
Gary Friedman
I'd given away less competitive secrets and I am trying to curb my enthusiasm right now. I would just say we think it's going to be a meaningful business, it's going to have a meaningful footprint and a new next generation design galleries, that's going to have its own independent catalog and web experience. We think there is huge amount of opportunity here. We don't play in this area at all today. As we think about it from furniture furnishing, of all different furnitures, the number one room that's remodeled in homes is the kitchen. And that's where the significant spending is and we believe we can be a dominant player there in have a real platform.
Operator
Your next question comes from the line of Daniel Hofkin from William Blair & Company. Please proceed. Daniel Hofkin – William Blair & Company, L.L.C.: Hi, good afternoon. Add my congratulations. Just thinking about the particularly strong sales trends the last couple of months and what seems to be carrying through even on an underlying basis into the second quarter, where do you feel like the -- is it mostly your old traffic or is there some additional kind of ticket benefit from higher pull through of furniture, I would just be interested in your -- how you would describe that?
Carlos Alberini
Yeah, Daniel we do not disclose those types of stats. I think that -- I am sure you can read between the lines, the business has been so strong and so healthy. Most of those measurements are up. We do not have traffic counters. So that's not something that we can even refer to. But overall you see a combination of our sort of value increase and more transactions. Daniel Hofkin – William Blair & Company, L.L.C.: Okay, great. As your, I guess within categories can you discuss the margin trends, not quantifying it but just directionally, putting aside the mix differences and some of the investment in supply chain what you are seeing within merchandise categories.
Carlos Alberini
Yeah, we have not disclosed margins by product categories, what we have said in the past is that we have marked the furniture business does carry a lower margin structure, especially when you consider shipping cost, that are significantly higher than the rest of the business and those trends are ongoing.
Operator
Your next question comes from the line of Peter Benedict from Robert W. Baird. Please proceed. Peter Benedict - Robert W. Baird & Co.: Hey, guys. Couple of questions first. If we look at the increased sales guidance for the year and the associated net income increase, I mean you kind of get a flow-through margin in the mid-teens, I think that's the way the math works. So can you just talk about -- I know you are investing a lot in investments, but how should we think about that as we look beyond kind of this initial investment phase? What do you think the flow-through margin profile is of the business maybe as steady states probably weigh out, but what can you help us with on that?
Karen Boone
This is Karen, to start, because I want to make sure you fully understand the nature of the investments we are making. So the supply chain so we've had this question ongoing for just the levels that we did have in investment in Q4 of last year, with the expansion of the Baltimore furniture facility. So won't anniversary that until the back half and the next coming Q4 '13. And then in this quarter, in second quarter we are going to be opening as Carlos mentioned the Dallas furniture facility and expanding our Ohio shelf stock. So that will anniversary the back half of next year. So those are two big investments on the supply chain side. But there is also just other operating investments when it comes to just building new businesses and building teams. I think Gary outlined a lot of the different things that have come online, between Tableware and even some of the things that we are doing now with RH Kitchen. Those investments will continue to have costs associated with them before we have the associated revenues, along with a lot of the real estate transformation as we build the teams there and expand those stores. We pay rent sometimes for the stores open. So the flow-through model right now in the short-term is not necessarily reflective of what we expect the long term. We haven't updated our store targets and economics. So we are not ready to land a very specific number but it north of where we are now.
Gary Friedman
Yeah, I'd say if you just stand back and think about what all this development that's happening here, first start with what's happening in our Interiors Source book and the expansion of the Furniture and Lightning business and textile businesses there. So that's one. But then just thinking about it I can say we developed a Baby & Child business and continue to the Small Spaces business, Contemporary Objects of Curiosity, Tableware, we just announced the new catalog RH Rugs, another new catalog RH Leather and now announcing RH Kitchen. The amount of products and new businesses that are being developed for this new platform are as extensive as probably anything in retail and the fact that we can still do that and leverage the business and grow earnings and invest in the infrastructure is I think quite a feat in its own. And you can imagine -- and none of these businesses by the way have a retail presence. But none of them are benefiting from the fact that they are no retail market places. We transformed this real estate, cycle the investment and the infrastructure and get in to the right kind of real estate, the right kind of economic model. This will look like an entirely new different business from an economic point of view.
Carlos Alberini
And what I would say is you ask the question what should we expect. I think that the great thing about all this is that we are just seeing this growth in earnings in spite of our absorbing all those investments and we have not really in reality started to execute on our real estate transformation strategy. Once you start seeing that the growth and the opportunity for leverage, when you combine the productivity that we are seeing and the deal economics that we are being offered I put it all into one model, you can see a significant opportunity for operating margin expansion. I think I said to you in my remarks that we expect to start seeing a pretty significant increase in opening activity in 2015. So once you start taking those new openings into '15 and going forward you are going to see a tremendous opportunity for leveraging and the earnings growth should by far exceed the topline growth. Peter Benedict - Robert W. Baird & Co.: That's very helpful guys. Just one other question can you give us a sense of what you are seeing in terms of return rates? I am trying to understand what the typical lag time might be between when a sale occurs and then you will start to see the returns come in. And we have obviously seen a huge uptick in demand. So just trying to understand what we should be expecting on that front, thank you.
Carlos Alberini
I would just think about it from the fact that our return rates have been relatively consistent and we would expect them to track demand and as demand goes up return rates will be as a percentage of sales, we are trying to decrease return rates and improve quality and so on and so forth. But I wouldn't think of any anomalies necessarily.
Operator
Your next question comes from the line of Matt Nemer from Wells Fargo Securities. Please proceed. Matt Nemer – Wells Fargo Securities LLC: So my first question if we look at the new full year guidance, I'd be curious which new product initiatives are having the biggest impact between Baby, Small Spaces, Tableware Objects, is it possible to sort of rank order the impact of where you are seeing incremental growth?
Carlos Alberini
Yeah, I'd say probably nothing we want our competition to know Matt, so but we are in context of our plans we are very pleased with each of them. Matt Nemer – Wells Fargo Securities LLC: Okay and then just kind of a follow-up to Peter's question, if we look at the new product lines that you have announced today like Leather and Rug and Kitchen, how much incremental leverage do they get against the infrastructure versus prior launches like Baby. Do each require sort of a full organizational build out or is the flow through on those launches probably higher?
Carlos Alberini
Better flow through in things like Rugs and Leather. In Kitchen we will have some build out in (inaudible). Matt Nemer – Wells Fargo Securities LLC: Okay, and then lastly since we -- given the success of your real estate discussions, it sounds like there is a lot of leases in the pipeline. How much capacity do you have as an organization in terms of store opening teams and managers and how many stores can you open in a given year, how many full line stores and if there is a need to be lot of build out to do, say north of five?
Carlos Alberini
So the way we look at this is the other way around. We think about the opportunity and how fast we can grow and then how do we build the organization strength to be able to accomplish that. So and currently we are very excited about the talent that we are talking to and we are very confident that we are going to be able to put the resources in place so then we can grow really fast. You should not be surprised to see that we could open anywhere north of 10 to 15 units in any particular year.
Operator
Your next question comes from the line of Janet Kloppenburg from JJK Research. Please proceed. Janet Kloppenburg - JJK Research: Hi, that's good news. Carlos did I just hear that you said that you could open north of 15 overtime in any year, is that what I just heard?
Carlos Alberini
I said that you shouldn't be surprised to see that we could open anywhere between 10 and 15 units and it could even be more, currently, because of the way we work. Janet Kloppenburg - JJK Research: So that would be after 2015?
Carlos Alberini
Well, it's because of the timelines for anyone of these projects, the timeline is pretty lengthy and so projects that we are discussing today you shouldn't expect that we will be able to open before 18 to 24 months from now. So you are thinking about '15 will be the first year where you would see that increase flow of activity. Janet Kloppenburg - JJK Research: Okay, great. So that's very exciting. And Gary just a couple of questions on RH Kitchen and Tableware. Would you ever consider having that as a standalone format or is that something that's being considered to be a brought into Restoration Hardware stores, is that…?
Gary Friedman
I mean I think many of them could be considered standalone, Janet, just like Baby & Child could be inside or outside, this could be inside or outside. There's tremendous economic advantages of being able to integrate these business into one box and going outside with that kind of standalone I think would put us at a disadvantage of paying much higher mall rents et cetera. So one of the things we are seeing here is the advantage of integrating these businesses into an entirely unique shopping experience that the world's never seen. But think about it as a meaningful footprint inside that shopping experience, in a completely innovative way that no one's experienced before. Janet Kloppenburg - JJK Research: And would it be totally vertically integrated, Gary, in other words even in some of the electronics and cookware areas, is that going to be your own brand or you are considering using some of the national brands as well?
Gary Friedman
I think we are certainly flexible. We just want to have the best products, curate the best collection, present it in the most inspiring way and I think what's great here is the model we are building from a real estate and a direct perspective is, we believe long term its going establish competitive advantage from just the cost structure of the platform that we will be able to compete with anybody and within any product. Janet Kloppenburg - JJK Research: Okay and on the antiquities, are you working with a partner on that? Is the sourcing structure of that business different than what you know in the home business and what is the margin profile, obviously you don't have to give me numbers but some sort of qualitative look at the margin profile of that business?
Gary Friedman
Yeah, and probably as I think about it we are probably one of the biggest antique buyers in the world today. So if you think about a lot of our products they are inspired by antique we -- what we do, we travel the world and we go to antique fairs, we go to flea markets all over the world and we work with great artists and partners that have deep experience in the antique market. So we have multiple partnerships, wind outs and tee-ups that we have been communicating, we have been working on for a while. We have been thinking about this one for two to three years. And when you stand back you think about a fragmented market, I mean it's a massively fragmented market. There has really only been what I call a couple of aggregation plays but they are not editing plays. So I think 1stdibs and Michael Bruno have done a great job of being the first aggregator on the market right, but you still got to sweep through all the crap to find one good table or a good lamp. And so people don't have ability or that patience to go them unless you are really a trained eye. What we are going to do is very different, we are going to edit, we are not going to aggregate and edit it and curate. And so the ability for our consumers, our customers to have a place, because everybody wants everything. I mean big people love to have antiques and love to have one of the fine things in their homes. So it's the ability to curate an amazing collection that's always new, changing, unique. We know there is still that customer demand there today. We know our customers spend a lot of money on this. I mean this is a $25 billion completely fragmented mom and pop markets. Janet Kloppenburg - JJK Research: With good margins?
Gary Friedman
Yeah, well I mean how do you know what the margins are, how do you compare, if it's all one of a kind and… Janet Kloppenburg - JJK Research: That's what I meant, that's what I wanted to bring out.
Gary Friedman
But we always -- and I joke around when we think about that, the antiques market and the contemporary art market we think this might be the first time we have ever had appreciating inventory in our life. Janet Kloppenburg - JJK Research: Right, good. No, I just want to make sure I was right that there was sort of a premium margin opportunity there.
Gary Friedman
We believe there is, yes. Janet Kloppenburg - JJK Research: Okay, and lastly Karen, should we be expecting the gross profit margin to be compressed for the rest of the year given the strength of the curative business or do you think we will start to anniversary some of that. How should we be thinking about it?
Karen Boone
Well, like I said in the back half and especially in Q4 we will anniversary investments in the Baltimore facility. But in addition we haven't had as very much in Tableware and Objects are some of those businesses that are margin accretive versus for instance that haven't been displayed at retail yet. But those will roll out and have a significant presence in the stores. So we will see some of that benefit in the back half as well. Janet Kloppenburg - JJK Research: And is there a benefit to the margin from the infrastructure spending on distribution and delivery, Carlos as those come online.
Carlos Alberini
No, in reality because of the investments that we are making and they are considerable. And also you should know Janet we are -- we have been investing in inventory and the additional inventory obviously requires to be housed and that requires additional DC capacity. So all that is impacting our numbers in a pretty substantial way, in this specific order. And I think that will alleviate as we start cycling through some of those investments as we go towards the back of the year. But you shouldn't expect to see the kind of leverage that we experienced in occupancy, even this quarter, actually in the first quarter. So you should expect that this is going to be a soft landing and it's going to take us a few quarters to really cycle through those investments and therefore start seeing some opportunity for leverage and occupancy.
Operator
Ladies and gentlemen we have no more questions in the queue. I would now like to turn the conference back over to Mr. Carlos Alberini. Please proceed.
Carlos Alberini
Well thank you very much. I just want to close by saying we have never been more confident in the strategic direction that we have chosen for the company. We are super excited here. We have a disruptive and powerful business model that we believe will drive significant market share gains and support our financial goals for many years to come. And last but not least we are an amazing team that is ready to execute. So we look forward to continue to update you on our progress. Thank you very much for participating today.
Operator
Ladies and gentlemen that concludes today's conference. Thank you for your participation. You may now disconnect. Have a great day.