Gogo Inc.

Gogo Inc.

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Gogo Inc. (0IYQ.L) Q3 2016 Earnings Call Transcript

Published at 2016-11-03 12:36:08
Executives
Vavara Alva - VP of IR and Treasurer Michael Small - President and CEO Norman Smagley - EVP and CFO
Analysts
Dick Ryan - Dougherty Phil Cusick - JPMorgan Louie DiPalma - William Blair Denny Galindo - Morgan Stanley Andrew De Gasperi - Macquarie John Hodulik - UBS Andrew Spinola - Wells Fargo Lance Vitanza - Cowen Carter Mansbac - Jupiter Wealth
Operator
Good day ladies and gentlemen and welcome to the Q3 2016 Gogo Earnings Conference Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. Later we will conduct a question-and-answer session and instructions will follow at that time. [Operator Instructions] As a reminder, this call maybe recorded. I would now like to introduce your host for today’s conference Miss Alva, Vice President of Investor Relations and Treasurer. Ma’am, you may begin.
Vavara Alva
Thank you. Good morning, every1. Welcome to Gogo's third quarter 2016 earnings conference call. Joining me today to talk about our results are Michael Small, President and CEO, and Norman Smagley, Executive Vice President and CFO. Before we get started, I would like to take this opportunity to remind you that during the course of this call, we may make forward-looking statements regarding future events and the future financial performance of the Company. We caution you to consider the Risk Factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements on this conference call. These risk factors are described in our earnings press release and are more fully detailed under the caption Risk Factors in our 10-K, which was filed with the SEC on February 25, 2016 and our other documents filed with the SEC. In addition, please note that the date of this conference call is November 3, 2016. Any forward-looking statements that we may make today are based on assumptions as of this date. We undertake no obligation to update these statements as a result of new information or future events. During this call, we will present both GAAP and non-GAAP financial measures. We include an explanation of adjustments and reconciliations of our non-GAAP to the most comparable GAAP measure in our third quarter earnings press release. This call is being broadcast on the Internet and is available on the Investor Relations section of Gogo's website at ir.gogoair.com. The earnings press release is also available on our website. After management's remarks, we will host a Q&A session. And now it’s my great pleasure to turn this call over to Michael.
Michael Small
Thanks, Vavara. Good morning, every1. Congratulations to the Chicago hub. We had another strong quarter and continue to build momentum around 2Ku. I cannot emphasize enough the importance of this technology as it is the fuel powering our continued growth. As of today, 2Ku is installed on 47 planes across five airlines. We remain on track to meet our guidance of 75 to 100 installs by the end of the year. More importantly, we are spearheading an unprecedented operational ramp up to bring more than 500 2Ku aircraft to the sky by the end of 2017. Quite simply 2Ku is the best performing solution in the world. We are seeing streaming class connectivity speeds of more than 50 megabits per second today and we will more than double that figure next year with our new proprietary modem in the availability of high throughput satellites. This market leading performance in all regions not just certain parts of the United States is why we have grown our backlog to more than 1,500 aircraft, 1,000 of which were awarded this year al1 including additional aircraft with Delta. The more high bandwidth 2Ku aircraft we have in flight to higher ARPA. Therefore, we remain keenly focused on reducing 2Ku. We expect to ramp up to an annual install rate of about 750 planes in 2018 and to maintain that level in subsequent years. We expect CapEx to decline in 2019 both in aggregate dollars and more significantly as a percentage of revenue. We expect to be solidly generating cash in 2020. During the quarter, we announced our next gen North American ground network that will launch in 2018. It will deliver a ground like experience for business aviation and commercial regional aircraft operating in the United States and Canada. With our regional next gen ATG network and our global satellite 2Ku network, we are uniquely positi1d to serve far more aircraft with 100 megabits per second service than any other IST provider. More importantly, we are delivering results now, our growth remains strong with revenue for the quarter of 147 million, up 17% year over year. Adjusted EBITDA was up 57% to over $15 million. In our commercial aviation business, we saw key advancements in each region of the world. In Europe, after a highly competitive process, Air France-KLM selected 2Ku for long haul aircraft. This award along with British Airways, Iberia, Virgin Atlantic, Delta and Air Canada wins brings our share to about 40%, all transatlantic flights. The quarter also marked several important global expansion milest1s, in Asia; we secured regulatory approvals and are now providing service to our airline partners flying over China. And in South America, we launched 2Ku service for Gol, for its inaugural flight 2Ku was offered free of charge, close to 100% take rate with passengers screening and web browsing. The CEO of Gol even did a Facebook live session in flight. Operationally, our focus continues to be on accelerating 2Ku installations. Since our Investor Day a month ago, we have more than tripled the number of installed 2Ku aircrafts to 47. We now have 12 installation lines up and running and have added 2Ku to new STCs in the past month bringing our total to ten. With the summer travel season behind us, we are seeing installs steadily increasing and has cut our 2Ku install time down to 3.5 days from 8 days just a month ago. During the quarter, we also installed or upgraded an additional 180 aircraft to ATG4 and are on pace to meet our guidance about 600 such installs for the year. Turning to business aviation, we continued to generate outstanding financial results including significant cash flow. During the quarter, we began selling Gogo Biz 4G in anticipation of launching the service in the first half of next year. We also announced partnerships with Constant Aviation Partners and Duncan Aviation to secure SCCs for Gogo Biz 4G on selected business aviation aircraft. To augment our BA product and service offerings we signed agreements with leading app providers Garmin, JetFuelX and FltPlan.com. Pilots will soon have real time information enabling them to fly more safely and efficiently and also resulting in considerable cost savings. By continuing to add new partnerships and by enhancing our BA capabilities will the addition of Gogo Biz 4G and next gen ATG, we remain well positioned for long-term revenue growth in this important segment. Before turning it over to Norm, I want to clarify a few things about our next gen ATG technology that we first introduced a month ago. This new offering is made possible by patent and proprietary technology we have developed over the last two decades. By leveraging more than 60 megahertz of spectrum and the 2.4G band we can offer a streaming class ATG experience similar to our global satellite network. In addition to our R&D capabilities, two other things really set our next gen solution apart from the competition. First, ours is a fully integrated solution that combines our existing licensed spectrum with unlicensed spectrum in the 2.4 gigahertz band. Unlicensed spectrum alone is not enough. The integrated nature of our offering is the only way to reliably provide the industry leading speeds instead of BA and CA customers demand, our ATG network with deliver peak speeds of 100 plus megabits per second and 99% or higher reliability and availability. Secondly, in launching our new offerings we have significant economic advantages including time to market because we can leverage our existing ground infrastructure distribution channel’s operational capabilities in aircraft hardware. For a relatively low cost, we will be able to bring forth more than a ten-fold capacity increase. In some, we will have the best ground network at the lowest cost in the United States and Canada. Now I'd like to turn it over to Norm.
Norman Smagley
Thank you Michael and good morning everyone. We had a great third quarter, total revenue was up 17% to $147 million. Service revenue grew 20% to record $129 million. Adjusted EBITDA increased 57% to over $15 million representing 10% margin. Turning to segment results, CA North America service revenue increased 14% to nearly 89 million, driven largely by an increase in aircraft online over 2,600. This reflects 70 installs and 37 retirements. As Michael mentioned, we started production 2Ku installs for American Airlines partners this quarter and are rapidly deploying 2Ku or more aircraft. We had approximately 170 net new awarded or not yet installed aircraft at quarter end. We expect to install most of these aircraft by the end of 2018. In addition, number of CA-NA aircraft to be converted to 2Ku is now about 800. Remember the last of these planes are mainline high bandwidth aircraft, and while they currently account for approximately a third of our North American connected fleet, these aircraft more significant portion of current annual consumption. We expect to see meaningful growth in CA-NA aircraft and these aircraft converts to 2Ku. For the quarter, we achieved annualized ARPU of $134,000 compared to the third quarter of last year. ARPU grew 8% year over year adjusting for the dilution from additional RJs and aircraft aided by new airline partners. We expect to be largely done with RJ installs by the end of this year. We also expect about three quarters of our 2Ku aircraft installs in 2017 to be in North America, both of these factors would start fueling ARPA growth later in 2017. CA North America segment profit was up 23%, $15 million representing 16% margin. This is up 1 percentage point from last year despite incurring some one-time costs associated with the ramp-up of 2Ku installs. Our investment in 2Ku installs drives lower cost and a more rapid installation pace. Turning to rest of world, total revenue for the quarter was 7.6 million more than double the prior year driven by strong aircraft online and ARPA growth. The aircraft online increased 96 from the prior year, we had seven aircrafts during the third quarter including our first 2Ku installs for Gol and Virgin Atlantic and ended with 256 aircrafts online. We’ve now completed 2Ku installs for Delta; I’m sorry Ku installs for Delta and expect to complete them by year end. Our CA rest of world awarded [indiscernible] aircraft increased about 600 at quarter end following the recent air freight KLM win. We expect to install the majority of our awarded aircrafts by the end of the 2018 with installations ramping up during 2017 and further accelerate in 2018. For the quarter, we generated annualized ARPU of 174,000, up 22% for the prior year, driven primarily by higher airline paid users, [indiscernible] driving usage up three-folds. This demonstrates the significant ARPA growth opportunity of the multi-payer model in which connectivity is paid for by airlines, sponsors and other third parties in addition to passengers. We expect ARPA growth to moderate in CA rest of the world as we launch new airline partners for the next several quarters until the new fleets begin to mature. Rest of world segment loss for the quarter was flat to prior year and roughly 20 million despite continued investments in the rollout of 2Ku including SSCs and OEM installation activity. Now turning to BA, service revenue was up 28% to $33 million driven by 20% growth in ATG aircraft online to nearly 4,000 and about 9% increase in ATG service ARPA over 2,500 per month. BA equipment revenue of 16 million was down from the prior year. The primarily driver of the decline was the deferral of revenue on ATG equipment shipped under the sales program in which the equipment will be upgraded to Gogo Biz 4G next year, at which point the revenue will be recognized. We deferred 2 million of equipment revenue in the quarter and 2.8 million year-to-date. Segment profit was up 14% to 21 million representing nearly 42% segment profit margin driven by growth in high margin service revenue which represented almost 70% of BA revenue for the quarter. Third quarter consolidated cash CapEx of 36 million was 24 million higher than prior year due to increased 2Ku equipment purchase in support of 2kU installation. Turning to full-year 2016 expectations, we are reiterating adjusted EBITDA guidance of between 55 million to 65 million and we continue to expect revenue to be above the mid-point of our guidance range of 575 million to 595 million. Based on our success to-date with 2Ku installs, we are now guiding toward the top end of the guidance range of 110 million to 135 million for cash CapEx this year. I’d like to give some additional color on cash CapEx in twenty seventeen and eighteen. We successfully accelerated the rate of 2Ku installs and want to go even faster. These are high return investments for us. For next gen ATG, we expect approximately 50 million of capital investment that will be likely phased in between 2017 and 2019. As Michael mentioned, this investment will enable us to deliver 100 megabits per second speed to business aviation and the regional het market starting in 2018 driving continued revenue growth in this highly profitable business. After 2018, we expect cash CapEx to decline in both absolute dollar and as a percent of revenue driven by lower investment per aircraft, stable installation rate and largely complete next gen ATG network. In conclusion, I’d like to share with you our quarterly performance fits into our long-term profitability outlined during our recent analyst day. Our path to profitability is centered around four key pillars; aircraft online, investments for aircraft, ARPA and margins. During the quarter we made significant progress on all these metrics, 2Ku momentum remains strong following the Air France-KLM win and at the same time it reduced both installed cost and time required to install 2Ku. Further by ramping up 2k installs and announcing our next gen ATG solution, we are now in great position to unlock significant ARPA growth across all aircraft types, getting more bandwidth and more aircraft online will help us leverage our operating investments, drive margins higher and ultimately generate profitability and drive increased shareholder value. Operator we are ready for our first question.
Operator
[Operator Instructions] And our first question comes from Dick Ryan with Dougherty. Your line is open.
Dick Ryan
Hey Michael, it looks like you've added a nice number of orders just shy of maybe 200 since the Analyst Day. Can you discuss where those are going and maybe an extension you talk about ramping installs pretty significantly next year and 2018 as well, what if any supplies challenges - supply chain challenges are you seeing and how confident are you in that installation capability?
Michael Small
The primary increase in 2Ku backlog comes from fleet decision at Delta and the supply chain confidence is rising dramatically every day, you’ve seen the pace of installs over the last month and we are often doing about one a day right now. So, we have very good confidence that we will exceed 500 2Ku installs by the end of next year.
Dick Ryan
With a month gone in Q4, you've got a pretty broad range 11 million and 21 million EBITDA. What happens to get either to the low end of that range or to the upper end of the range?
Michael Small
We feel really good about our ability to deliver consistent results during the quarters and we feel that's a very comfortable range for us. So we don’t see significant swing [indiscernible] change in the quarter.
Dick Ryan
And one last one from me, Norman, Gogo Vision revenue, Delta and American are offering free movies, I think we were kind of looking for maybe a sequential increase in that number, came in at 7.8 million what's driving Vision at this point?
Michael Small
What’s driving Vision, is converting as you know converted to the wholesale model with some of our key airline partners and we’re getting very good adoption from passengers driving a lot of users.
Michael Small
American went free just on at the start of this month. So, that will kick in the fourth quarter.
Dick Ryan
Maybe one last one, China, it looks like you got the flyover rights, what's left to get for certifications there and what's the status with Shareco.
Michael Small
So we did get the right to operate the Ku bands for China and now our partners can fly over there, most often being Delta to maintain service over China and we're making great progress towards our launch with Shareco.
Operator
Thank you. And our next question comes from Phil Cusick with JPMorgan. Your line is open.
Phil Cusick
Norm, thanks for the preview of CapEx, but can you add some more detail, how should we think about the cash CapEx structure of your new 2Ku contracts versus historical?
Norman Smagley
Well, we're seeing - overall economics are attractive in all the deals, we are seeing a trend toward lower co-investment per aircraft and we’re focusing very closely on bring cost of equipment and installs down to further improve those.
Michael Small
So, the cost for aircraft goes two ways, the strength of 2Ku is the leading solution in the marketplace becomes clear every day and then we continue to drive cost out of the system.
Phil Cusick
I just want to make sure I understand. So trend toward lower co-investments means that they're putting in less, smaller percent of return?
Michael Small
No, we put in less.
Phil Cusick
Got it. What is your eRFP pipeline look like today Michael?
Michael Small
It continues strong and again 2Ku is clearly the superior global solution in the marketplace and I would expect to be able to continue to add to our back box.
Phil Cusick
And last, you said that Gol was free the first day. Are they now charging and how does that look, also Aeroméxico charge you? Thanks.
Michael Small
So at this stage of the 2Ku deployment we are focused on network performance, technical performance and it's been extraordinary not only in speed but also in reliability and availability. We continue to begin charging which is either getting regulatory approvals or deploying the platforms or just getting agreement with the airlines, it’s the path we’re moving out of data and then to follow customer mode and that’s happening steadily, but it’s premature across 47 aircraft is across five airlines, it’s way too early to begin talking about financial performance but the technical performance is off the chart is good.
Operator
Thank you. Our next question comes from Louie DiPalma with William Blair. Your line is open.
Louie DiPalma
When you gave the high level target generating cash in 2020, is that on a levered basis?
Michael Small
Yes.
Louie DiPalma
And secondly I have a high level question regarding an alternative perspective of valuing Gogo on many of the investors on this call also follow the telecom tower operators which have 10 to 20 year contracts with their customers and you're one of those customers and many of the investors on the call also cover wholesale data center operators which have 10 to 20 year contracts. Traditionally Gogo has had ten-year contracts with its airline partners and because of these long term contracts, the high switching cost and how successful base investments such as building a new tower or installing a new 2Ku on the aircraft because those comprise most of CapEx, one of the key investor metrics that some investor uses adjusted funds from operation which focuses on maintenance CapEx. So along those lines, I was wondering, I mean, if you could provide any color into what like maintenance CapEx would be for 2017, 2018 or 2019 if you were to strip away some of the success based CapEx associated with 2Ku?
Michael Small
We have made that forecast to the market but you are absolutely right that significant maturity of our capital expenditures are success based for installing 2Ku. There is very, very minimal maintenance CapEx.
Norman Smagley
CapEx is really driven by expansion rather than maintenance.
Louie DiPalma
Great. Is there anything definitive that you could say if, like hypothetically assuming that installation decreased from like the 700 installation target down to like 100, how much CapEx would decrease?
Norman Smagley
Well, let me help you think about it this way. CapEx has three components to it. Success based airborne CapEx, capitalized software and network infrastructure. So we’re not -- barring 2.4G aside from that, we're not spending a lot of money on network infrastructure because we’ve established. On the capitalized software piece, the bulk of that is really development of new technologies and deploying them into the field. So, there's a portion of it for maintenance and enhancements and those kinds of things are existing technology. So the lion's share of our CapEx is really success based airborne spending.
Louie DiPalma
Got you. Thank you very much, Norman.
Operator
Thank you. And our next question comes from Denny Galindo with Morgan Stanley. Your line is open.
Denny Galindo
Hi, there. Good morning. This is Denny Galindo calling in for Simon. I had a question on the activity rate in North America and also the price procession, it looks like there's kind of a trade-off for the activity rates going up and the price processions going down. Is there any -- is there anything that's happening there in North America. You mentioned some international activity, but is there anything on revenue model that’s happening in North America that's causing that and you know do you expect these trends to go in the same direction or kind of reverse back to the previous direction?
Michael Small
Yeah. I mean, you're saying the impact of the promotion we've been doing with T-Mobile. As we've talked about in lots of previous calls, and we do large sponsorships for promotions, it can have the effect of having an impact on our peers down and usage up and that’s what you’re seeing this quarter with T-Mobile.
Denny Galindo
I think it looks like the margins were a little bit lower, is that the direction, maybe, is there a better direction to go the other way or this is just kind of one quarter and it’s going to bounce around a lot?
Norman Smagley
North American margins were lower because of the cost of installed lines for 2Ku. It wasn’t driven by fundamental business changes.
Denny Galindo
Okay. And then on a different direction, on the 75 to 100 2Ku installs, I mean it seems like you're on pace to be very close to 100, if not over 100 and I'm curious why you didn't adjust that guidance 75 to 100, is this kind of monthly install rates, something that you expect to bounce around quite a bit with airline schedules or is October a kind of a steady state rate that you can keep getting in the future?
Michael Small
We have the capability to install this rate, but you have to marry that up with aircraft availability and so you don't install continuously. The summer months being the prime example, we rarely get aircraft during the summer travel season. So this is our capability, plus we’ve married up with the availability of the aircraft that leads for the forecast.
Denny Galindo
And that's it for me. Thank you.
Operator
Thank you. And our next question comes from Andrew De Gasperi with Macquarie. Your line is open.
Andrew De Gasperi
Hi, guys. Thanks. First question, I was wondering, can you maybe go into this durable Phasor antenna that you’ve announced I guess two weeks ago.
Michael Small
Sure. The Phasor antennas, Phasor fully electronic durable antennas, this is early stage R&D, it’s been done to make sure we're always leading the marketplace with new technology and future proof that 2Ku and actually the ACT platform, we actually think that’s the effective way to extend the life of both those platforms. So early stage, that can happen fast in that area. But we think it's important long run, it's where kind of technology is going over the next decade.
Andrew De Gasperi
Very interesting. And then secondly, I'm not sure, have you had talk with American Airlines as far as next year's pace of activity as far as 2Ku or potential churn coming from the legacy aircraft?
Michael Small
Yes. We’re in discussions every day about getting our 2Ku installed on American and that program going very well, as are the ATG4 upgrades and we expect our installs of 2Ku to begin next year. We have no further information on the installations, but we do not expect a lot of activity in that regard in 2017.
Andrew De Gasperi
Got it. And last question for me. Your Business Aviation obviously had great revenue growth, but I'm noticing that your air-to-ground shipments were down significantly in 3Q or decelerated significantly in 2Q to be exact. I was wondering, is there a trend as far as on the top market level side or just some business due to competition? Thanks.
Norman Smagley
Yeah. It’s related to the deferral of the end of the sales program for Gogo Biz 4G.
Michael Small
So what's going on there is a lot of -- the customers that walk out of this 4G are taking our current system now and then we will upgrade the system next year when Gogo Biz 4G is available. We do not put for sale until the final delivery of the upgraded Gogo Biz 4G.
Norman Smagley
Yes. 25 units were deferred in the third quarter.
Operator
Thank you. [Operator Instructions] And our next question comes from John Hodulik with UBS. Your line is open.
Lisa Friedman
Hi. It’s Lisa Friedman for John. Just wanted to see if, Norman, you could give some more color on what you actually have to do to get the next gen ATG up and running? What is the equipment that needs to be bought down on the planes or on the towers, what to be reduced and whether you can sort of front-load any of that as you're doing ATG4 upgrades, so those planes are ready to go when the system is operational?
Michael Small
Hi, Lisa. This is Michael. I’ll take that question. We have to upgrade our 250 cell sites with basically new antennas and radio equipment and other networking equipment. And that takes advantage of the existing power and power and backhaul that we have. So relatively low, fast upgrade for cell site. And then we have to add a new antenna and radio to the aircraft, so we take advantage of the existing server and wireless access points that are already on the plane. All that works are underway. We have very good visibility to exceeding 100 megabits per second and we have very good visibility to exceeding 99% availability and reliability as a system, we think both us or the industry leading solution, this will be deployed in 2018.
Lisa Friedman
Okay. And then you're not the only ones who are using unlicensed spectrum for next gen ATG, I know there are some competitors in the BA space that don't have this licensed spectrum that you do, but I'm just wondering as those competitors start to make more noise and I guess there's also a company that’s promoting a microwave based point-to-point solution, are you seeing any impact from those in the marketplace or are your customers considering those options. Any color you can provide on sort of the competitive landscape would be great?
Michael Small
Yeah. We're feeling great about the competitive landscape. It's a real risk to put something unproven on, on your plane. We have 6,500 planes flying on our ATG network and we will only enhance that proven network with the 2.4G upgrade to the network. So this is dramatically less risky, it’s going to be way lower cost for us to do it, it’s going to be way lower costs for the -- our existing customers, who want to upgrade and to go to a totally new system. So we think we’re going to have a lower cost, higher speed, more reliable solution from a proven operator than anything else in the marketplace. We see -- we're seeing very little impact.
Lisa Friedman
Okay. And just one more, which is any progress on line-fit with Boeing and Airbus?
Michael Small
Great progress with both of them. As we build our order book, airline technology, they're going to see how well to perform and it's only going to perform better as the new modem comes down in the high throughput satellite, we're actively working to get 2Ku online, that’s going to come in very well.
Lisa Friedman
And any sense of when you might reach that milestone?
Michael Small
Well as we said at Investor Day, the first factory install should happen in 2017, we still expect that and we expect to be ultimately OEM installable on all major aircraft types.
Operator
Thank you. And our next question comes from Andrew Spinola with Wells Fargo. Your line is open.
Andrew Spinola
Hi. Thanks. I just want to follow-up on that prior question about the business jet market, two new technologies coming both the 4G and the next gen. It seems like a lot of change for that market and maybe there would be some decision making pauses and things like that. Do you think some of the people that are looking at adding Wi-Fi to their business jets might pause until the next gen network is available or are you going to do something similar with what you do with 4G where you’ll provide a hardware solution and upgrade them when the next gen is available?
Michael Small
I don't think there will be -- there will be limited freezing of decision making. The 4G is going to be most affluent to the larger business jets, almost all of which have our service today. So this is an upgrade decision, not a new purchase in most cases. And the primary use in commercial aviation is going to be the regional jets where satellite solutions are offered in some cases. So I don't feel a lot of freeze. The primary process in business aviation is general market at the moment and then as Norm explained, the quarter and a tiny bit earlier in the year was just deferral of recognition of the sale as we sell until we ultimately upgrade the sales of Gogo Biz 4G.
Andrew Spinola
Right. And the second question, just wanted to ask, when you’re talking about the competitive advantage you're going to have the next gen network, you referenced how having the two networks, the license, and the unlicensed will give you a competitive advantage. It's unclear to me why the existing network will provide you an advantage with the future network, I mean clearly you're the established operator, you have certain benefits, but what I don't understand is, how the two networks will be better than one network and I was wondering if you could elaborate on that, because I'm just trying to figure out what your competitive advantage looks like in the next gen world? Thanks.
Michael Small
Yeah. So the primary factor, fair and simple, is we're building on what we have today. So if your 4G phone, there is no 3G network anywhere, you would go to and service. If you offload to Wi-Fi and there was no 4G network behind it, you would go to service. So this is the upgrade path that the wireless industry uses generally to maintain backward compatibility and cross-network availability to ensure the call always goes through. There are also more subtle technical issues, the nature of the 850 megahertz network for instance, a 2.4 gigahertz that allow us to more easily locate the aircraft space, but nowhere it is and how did you hand off. We have significant advantages technically, but I'd also point out the cost issue is highly relevant with all the existing callers and airborne equipment is already out there and the backhaul network is already out there. So this is -- as an integrated solution, it is dramatically favored, dramatically more reliable and it's also going to allow us to get to 100 megabits per second, which we don't see others being able to achieve.
Norman Smagley
To make it really tangible, if you're flying over New York City with a high noise floor and then life in spectrum, there's a reasonable probability that the quality of the current call goes dramatically down from 2.4gig. If you don't have the backup network that we have, we can assure the reliability and connection, you're running into a potential issue there. We avoid that issue by having the -- placing spectrum to back up the 2.4G.
Operator
Thank you. And our next question comes from Lance Vitanza from Cowen. Your line is open.
Lance Vitanza
Hey, hi, guys. Thanks for taking the questions, I had a couple. The first, Norm, I think you touched on this in your prepared remarks, but could you walk me through the rationale for adjusting ARPA to exclude the regional jets and the aircraft operated by new airline partners that you've been -- that have been added since 2015?
Norman Smagley
Yes, sure. So generally speaking, the ARPA of RJs is lower than that of mainline. So as you add additional RJs into the mix, you'll have a natural dilutive impact on the overall ARPA. So we take those out to get effectively like a same store sales type of approach and that's the rationale behind doing that. So you can get a real sense of underlying what’s happening with ARPA, on a meaningful apples-to-apples basis. Excluding that impact, we saw an 8% increase year-over-year for the quarter. Right. On new airlines, as new airlines that came on board that fleets haven’t matured yet as well, so they had more aircraft as the second dilutive impact from those. So we take those out as well.
Lance Vitanza
Okay. Thanks for that. And then on the claim that the 2Ku is the superior global solution in the marketplace, others are arguing that Ka is a better solution, what are the data points that you're looking at or that you can point us to that confirm that this is really the superior global solution or is it just a function of the fact that you've got more installs than anyone else or is there something else that we should be thinking about?
Michael Small
That we have installs that are flying allows us to collect the data, but we are seeing superior exceeds, we’re seeing more consistent streaming across larger number of customers and very importantly, we are seeing reliability and availability numbers that are dramatic higher than anything else we see in the marketplace.
Lance Vitanza
Okay. Thanks. Last one for me, could you talk a little bit about the recent Verizon announcement and if you did already, I apologize for missing it. But clearly that appears to be focused on drones for now, but there was certainly a lot of confusion I think around that release, but do you envision Verizon as an eventual competitor in the NACA marketplace?
Michael Small
No. Verizon will not compete with at least the current contemplated solution. It’s four drones which are much lower altitude, much slower speed, network architecture that works for that will not work for 500 plus mile an hour aircraft at over 30,000 feet.
Operator
Thank you. And our next question comes from Louie DiPalma with William Blair. Your line is open.
Louie DiPalma
Thank you. You have provided a tremendous amount of marketing commentary regarding 2018 and 2019 and I was just wondering, as more aircraft are upgraded from ATG to 2Ku, do you still expect that the business aviation segment margin will remain in the low-40% range?
Michael Small
Yes. The fuel for the growth of our business is bandwidth and the more bandwidth you bring to air, the better everything gets. So this is all good news financially as to bring to keep upgrading the network.
Norman Smagley
The ATG network will maintain high utilization, so I think the question you’re getting.
Louie DiPalma
Great. Is there going to be a headwind, I guess, as the 800 aircraft are upgraded from ATG to 2Ku and are some of those costs going to be transferred from the commercial segment to the business aviation segment?
Michael Small
I think there will be an increased amount of the network capacity of the air-to-ground going to business aviation over time. We’re already seeing that trend, but we have with 4000 planes flying in VA, we have plenty of scale to support that and more bandwidth equals more revenue. But I think your question is, if you're asking that question about us with 4,000 planes and growing, imagine a new competitor trying to support an air-to-ground network. Even if they claim, they might have a possible intention to get to 300 aircraft, it does take 1000s of aircraft to support it. Regional air-to-ground network and we have them and I'm very comfortable with the economics in our case.
Louie DiPalma
Great. And how far away do you envision low profile antennas such as the Phasor antenna that you're working on, how far away do you think those are from becoming more mainstream in the business aviation market?
Michael Small
There may be some applications in the next few years, but it is several years before even possibly the primary solution to the marketplace.
Operator
Thank you. And our last question comes from Carter Mansbac with Jupiter Wealth. Your line is open.
Carter Mansbac
Good morning, gentlemen. Congratulations on another solid quarter. So I don't believe you answered the first question directly. So since the Analyst Day, it seems like you’ve had an increase of about 150 to 200 planes. Who are the airlines that you signed with?
Michael Small
There have been no unannounced signings in that. We said primarily it’s an increase in the aircraft count. But our airline mergers make decisions on a regular basis about which aircraft to upgrade now and that's a result of those conversations and decisions by airlines.
Carter Mansbac
Got you. So no new airlines just increased the airlines you currently have, yeah.
Michael Small
Correct.
Carter Mansbac
Okay. So listen I've been involved with the company for three years and I'm sure you would agree that the company is in the best position for growth going forward. However, stock is down 10%, 50% of the company is sold short. The perception of the product in the public eye is weak and the stock clearly is negative. What is the mission and how are you going to go about changing that perception?
Norman Smagley
We've created this business group and air-to-ground solution that became congestive. We’ve acknowledged that for some time. The answer is bandwidth and we have to 2Ku coming to market right now. Top on a plane, fly 2Ku, you will change your perception of the company, we have the winning position for the next stage of growth in this industry.
Operator
Thank you. I would like to turn the call back to Michael Small for any closing remarks.
Michael Small
Okay. Thank you. We’re again thrilled that 2Ku is getting installed on planes every day. It is a superior solution and now that we’re seeing it go on planes, we've removed one more, we've gone over one more step on the journey to delivering bandwidth for the sky and we’re in great shape and stronger than we've ever been and we look forward to a great 2017 and beyond. So thank you all for joining the call today.